2021 Bulgarian parliamentary election

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on 28 March 2021.[1]

Next Bulgarian parliamentary election
28 March 2021
All 240 seats in the National Assembly
121 seats needed for a majority
Party Leader Current seats
GERB Boyko Borisov 95
BSP Korneliya Ninova 78
DPS Mustafa Karadaya 25
United Patriots Valeri Simeonov and Krasimir Karakachanov 20
Volya Veselin Mareshki 12
Independents - 10
Bulgaria
This article is part of a series on the
politics and government of
Bulgaria

Electoral system

The 240 members of the National Assembly are elected by closed list proportional representation from 31 multi-member constituencies ranging in size from 4 to 16 seats. The electoral threshold is 4%.[2]

Opinion polls
PollsterDateSampleGERBBSPITNDBDPSUPStand Up.BGIMROVolyaABVOthers / None
Barometer Bulgaria 03-11 August 2020 842[lower-alpha 1] 38.96% 18.92% 5.38% 4.82% 12.24% 11.69% 1.86% - 1.67% - 4.45%
Center for Analyses and Marketing 01-05 August 2020 1021 30.1% 19.7% 13.9% 10.1% 10.8% 4.3% 5% - 2.1% - 3.9%
Market Links (voters only)28 July - 03 August 20201093[lower-alpha 2]26.25%24.73%13.67%12.8%10.63%4.99%2.39%---4.34%
Market Links (overall support)28 July - 03 August 20201093[lower-alpha 3]23.25%20.73%22.97%10.08%9.66%4.62%3.92%---4.76%
Alpha Research23-30 July 20201017[lower-alpha 4]26.63%19.2%18.84%12.32%8.33%3.99%5.98%-0.91%-3.8%
Sova Harris 26 June-01 July 2020 1000[lower-alpha 5] 37.37% 21.4% 9.12% 4.21% 7.72% 7.54% 2.63% 4.21% 1.75% 4.04%
Barometer Bulgaria 20-25 June 2020 828[lower-alpha 6] 37.48% 20.43% 3.79% 3.38% 11.23% 10.01% 1.62% - 1.49% - 10.55%
Market Links (voters only)27 May-03 June 2020995[lower-alpha 7]34.1%25.6%9.8%8.5%9.8%--3.7%--8.5%
Alpha Research28 April-05 May 2020100033%20%15%6%10%6%--2%--
Barometer Bulgaria 27 February 2020 - 35.2% 24% 3.7% 3.1% 10.5% - 1.6% 9% 1.4% - 11.5%
Trend03-10 February 20201007[lower-alpha 8]30.54%27.24%10.78%5.99%10.18%--3.89%1.95%-9.43%
Barometer Bulgaria (voters only) 09-13 January 2020 873 35.5% 28.2% 3.6% 3.2% 11% 11% - - - - 7.5%
Alpha Research05-12 December 2019101730%25%12%7%11%--7%2%-2%
Market Links21-28 November 201998030%27%13%8%13%7%--2%-4%
Trend07-15 November 2019100836%28%8%5%12%--5%2%--
Alpha Research10-16 September 2019102330%26%11%6%12%5%--3%-4%
Trend05-12 July 2019100838%30%-5%11%2%[lower-alpha 9]-6%2%-4%
2019 European election26 May 2019–31.1%[lower-alpha 10]24.3%-6.0%16.6%2.2%[lower-alpha 9]-7.4%3.6%1.0%8%
Exacta10–17 December 2018–36%32%-4%8%6%--2%2%11%
Trend6–12 November 20181,00434%32%-3%10%7%--2%–10%
Exacta25 September–5 October 20181,00039%33%-3%10%10%--2%2%-
2017 election27 March 2017–32.6%27.2%-5.4%[lower-alpha 11]9.0%9.1%--4.1%1.5%11,1%
  1. Actual sample, after removing pollees that chose 'undecided' or 'will not vote', is 539.
  2. Actual sample, after removing pollees that chose 'undecided', is 461.
  3. Actual sample, after removing pollees that chose 'undecided' or 'will not vote', is 714.
  4. Actual sample, after removing pollees that chose 'undecided' or 'will not vote', is 552.
  5. Actual sample, after removing pollees that chose 'undecided' or 'will not vote', is 570.
  6. Actual sample ,after removing pollees that chose 'undecided', is 739.
  7. Actual sample, after removing pollees that chose 'undecided', is 396.
  8. Actual sample, after removing pollees that chose 'will not vote', is 668.
  9. Without IMRO.
  10. With SDS.
  11. Combined result of Yes, Bulgaria! and DSB.
gollark: ++remind 2.2d-1h .
gollark: Huh. When did I make 2.1d work right?
gollark: `yes` *is* very efficient.
gollark: ++remind 2d Have GTech™ Courageousness Analytic Continuation® produce better AutoDare machines
gollark: Troubling. Further development may be required.

References
  1. "Parliamentary elections are going to be held on March 28, 2021". Iskra.bg. 13 June 2020. Retrieved 9 August 2020. (in Bulgarian)
  2. Bulgaria IFES
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