2021 Bulgarian parliamentary election
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on 28 March 2021.[1]
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All 240 seats in the National Assembly 121 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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This article is part of a series on the politics and government of Bulgaria |
Presidency |
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Administrative divisions |
Electoral system
The 240 members of the National Assembly are elected by closed list proportional representation from 31 multi-member constituencies ranging in size from 4 to 16 seats. The electoral threshold is 4%.[2]
Opinion polls
Pollster | Date | Sample | GERB | BSP | ITN | DB | DPS | UP | Stand Up.BG | IMRO | Volya | ABV | Others / None |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Barometer Bulgaria | 03-11 August 2020 | 842[lower-alpha 1] | 38.96% | 18.92% | 5.38% | 4.82% | 12.24% | 11.69% | 1.86% | - | 1.67% | - | 4.45% |
Center for Analyses and Marketing | 01-05 August 2020 | 1021 | 30.1% | 19.7% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 4.3% | 5% | - | 2.1% | - | 3.9% |
Market Links (voters only) | 28 July - 03 August 2020 | 1093[lower-alpha 2] | 26.25% | 24.73% | 13.67% | 12.8% | 10.63% | 4.99% | 2.39% | - | - | - | 4.34% |
Market Links (overall support) | 28 July - 03 August 2020 | 1093[lower-alpha 3] | 23.25% | 20.73% | 22.97% | 10.08% | 9.66% | 4.62% | 3.92% | - | - | - | 4.76% |
Alpha Research | 23-30 July 2020 | 1017[lower-alpha 4] | 26.63% | 19.2% | 18.84% | 12.32% | 8.33% | 3.99% | 5.98% | - | 0.91% | - | 3.8% |
Sova Harris | 26 June-01 July 2020 | 1000[lower-alpha 5] | 37.37% | 21.4% | 9.12% | 4.21% | 7.72% | 7.54% | 2.63% | 4.21% | 1.75% | 4.04% | |
Barometer Bulgaria | 20-25 June 2020 | 828[lower-alpha 6] | 37.48% | 20.43% | 3.79% | 3.38% | 11.23% | 10.01% | 1.62% | - | 1.49% | - | 10.55% |
Market Links (voters only) | 27 May-03 June 2020 | 995[lower-alpha 7] | 34.1% | 25.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | - | - | 3.7% | - | - | 8.5% |
Alpha Research | 28 April-05 May 2020 | 1000 | 33% | 20% | 15% | 6% | 10% | 6% | - | - | 2% | - | - |
Barometer Bulgaria | 27 February 2020 | - | 35.2% | 24% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 10.5% | - | 1.6% | 9% | 1.4% | - | 11.5% |
Trend | 03-10 February 2020 | 1007[lower-alpha 8] | 30.54% | 27.24% | 10.78% | 5.99% | 10.18% | - | - | 3.89% | 1.95% | - | 9.43% |
Barometer Bulgaria (voters only) | 09-13 January 2020 | 873 | 35.5% | 28.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 11% | 11% | - | - | - | - | 7.5% |
Alpha Research | 05-12 December 2019 | 1017 | 30% | 25% | 12% | 7% | 11% | - | - | 7% | 2% | - | 2% |
Market Links | 21-28 November 2019 | 980 | 30% | 27% | 13% | 8% | 13% | 7% | - | - | 2% | - | 4% |
Trend | 07-15 November 2019 | 1008 | 36% | 28% | 8% | 5% | 12% | - | - | 5% | 2% | - | - |
Alpha Research | 10-16 September 2019 | 1023 | 30% | 26% | 11% | 6% | 12% | 5% | - | - | 3% | - | 4% |
Trend | 05-12 July 2019 | 1008 | 38% | 30% | - | 5% | 11% | 2%[lower-alpha 9] | - | 6% | 2% | - | 4% |
2019 European election | 26 May 2019 | – | 31.1%[lower-alpha 10] | 24.3% | - | 6.0% | 16.6% | 2.2%[lower-alpha 9] | - | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 8% |
Exacta | 10–17 December 2018 | – | 36% | 32% | - | 4% | 8% | 6% | - | - | 2% | 2% | 11% |
Trend | 6–12 November 2018 | 1,004 | 34% | 32% | - | 3% | 10% | 7% | - | - | 2% | – | 10% |
Exacta | 25 September–5 October 2018 | 1,000 | 39% | 33% | - | 3% | 10% | 10% | - | - | 2% | 2% | - |
2017 election | 27 March 2017 | – | 32.6% | 27.2% | - | 5.4%[lower-alpha 11] | 9.0% | 9.1% | - | - | 4.1% | 1.5% | 11,1% |
- Actual sample, after removing pollees that chose 'undecided' or 'will not vote', is 539.
- Actual sample, after removing pollees that chose 'undecided', is 461.
- Actual sample, after removing pollees that chose 'undecided' or 'will not vote', is 714.
- Actual sample, after removing pollees that chose 'undecided' or 'will not vote', is 552.
- Actual sample, after removing pollees that chose 'undecided' or 'will not vote', is 570.
- Actual sample ,after removing pollees that chose 'undecided', is 739.
- Actual sample, after removing pollees that chose 'undecided', is 396.
- Actual sample, after removing pollees that chose 'will not vote', is 668.
- Without IMRO.
- With SDS.
- Combined result of Yes, Bulgaria! and DSB.
gollark: <@293066066605768714> As detailed in infocontext.txt palaiologos also wants acknowledgement that you got this.
gollark: Hello! As you may know, I am (barely) staff in old esolangs. For transparency purposes I also share some of the staff discussion which goes on there. They recently complained about this; palaiologos apparently wants me to post *full* context for staff discussions instead of my somewhat small screenshots, including retroactively in the case of the rules change discussion since apparently people have been led to believe that the staff weren't mostly in favour of this. Thusly, here you go.
gollark: And also the permissions system, via [REDACTED] beeonic incursions.
gollark: Well, you are in our hearts.
gollark: Baidicoot is a staff however.
References
- "Parliamentary elections are going to be held on March 28, 2021". Iskra.bg. 13 June 2020. Retrieved 9 August 2020. (in Bulgarian)
- Bulgaria IFES
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