2015 Prince Edward Island general election

The 2015 Prince Edward Island general election was held May 4, 2015, to elect members of the 65th General Assembly of Prince Edward Island.[2] Under amendments passed by the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island in 2008, Prince Edward Island elections are usually held on the first Monday of October in the fourth calendar year, unless it is dissolved earlier by the Lieutenant Governor of Prince Edward Island due to a motion of no confidence. The current government had hinted that an election would be held "before Mother's Day" 2015, and such a dissolution would avoid any conflicts with the next federal election, expected to be held in October 2015.

2015 Prince Edward Island general election

May 4, 2015 (2015-05-04)

All 27 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island
14 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout82.10%[1]
  First party Second party
 
Leader Wade MacLauchlan Rob Lantz
Party Liberal Progressive Conservative
Leader since February 21, 2015 February 28, 2015
Leader's seat York-Oyster Bed Ran in Charlottetown-Brighton (lost)
Last election 22 seats, 51.39% 5 seats, 40.18%
Seats before 20 3
Seats won 18 8
Seat change 2 5
Popular vote 33,481 30,663
Percentage 40.83% 37.39%
Swing 10.56pp 2.79pp

  Third party Fourth party
 
Leader Peter Bevan-Baker Michael Redmond
Party Green New Democratic
Leader since November 3, 2012 October 13, 2012
Leader's seat Kellys Cross-Cumberland Ran in Montague-Kilmuir (lost)
Last election 0 seats, 4.36% 0 seats, 3.16%
Seats before 0 0
Seats won 1 0
Seat change 1
Popular vote 8,857 8,997
Percentage 10.81% 10.97%
Swing 6.45pp 7.81pp

Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via plurality results by each riding.

Premier before election

Wade MacLauchlan
Liberal

Premier after election

Wade MacLauchlan
Liberal

The governing Liberals were elected to a third consecutive majority government under Premier Wade MacLauchlan, while the Progressive Conservatives made slight gains despite party leader Rob Lantz failing to win election in Charlottetown-Brighton. The Green Party, meanwhile, won its first seat in the legislature, with leader Peter Bevan-Baker elected in Kellys Cross-Cumberland.[3] The New Democratic Party was shut out.

Standings

18 8 1
Liberal Progressive Conservative Grn

Summary of the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island election results

Party Party leader Candidates Seats Popular vote
2011 Dissol. 2015 Change # % Change
Liberal Wade MacLauchlan 27 22 20 18 4 33,481 40.83% 10.55%
Progressive Conservative Rob Lantz 27 5 3 8 +3 30,663 37.39% 2.77%
Green Peter Bevan-Baker 24 0 0 1 +1 8,857 10.81% +6.45%
New Democratic Michael Redmond 27 0 0 0 8,997 10.97% +7.81%
  Independent 0 1 0
  Vacant 3 - -
Total 105 27 27 27 81,998
Popular vote
Liberal
40.83%
PC
37.39%
New Democratic
10.97%
Green
10.81%
Seats summary
Liberal
66.67%
PC
29.63%
Green
3.70%

Results by region

Party Name Cardigan Malpeque Charlottetown Egmont Total
  Liberal Seats: 2 2 7 7 18
  Popular Vote: 38.16% 36.33% 40.69% 49.00% 40.83%
  Progressive Conservative Seats: 5 3 0 0 8
  Popular Vote: 44.95% 38.21% 31.08% 34.97% 37.39%
  Green Seats: 0 1 0 0 1
  Popular Vote: 5.45% 18.76% 12.41% 6.01% 10.81%
Total seats: 7 6 7 7 27
Parties that won no seats:
  NDP Seats: 0 0 0 0 0
  Popular Vote: 11.44% 6.69% 15.82% 10.01% 10.98%

Timeline

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Opinion polls

Voting intentions since the 2011 election.
Polling Firm Last date of polling Link Liberal PC Green NDP Island Other
Corporate Research Associates April 23, 2015 HTML 44 35 6 15
Abingdon Research April 20, 2015 PDF 43 27 12 18
Corporate Research Associates February 28, 2015 PDF 58 26 4 12 0
Corporate Research Associates November 25, 2014 PDF 50 23 11 15 0 0
Corporate Research Associates September 1, 2014 PDF 48 28 7 16 0 0
Corporate Research Associates May 22, 2014 PDF 53 23 3 21 0 0
Corporate Research Associates February 27, 2014 PDF 53 17 7 22 0 1
Corporate Research Associates November 27, 2013 PDF 49 17 7 26 0 1
Corporate Research Associates August 28, 2013 PDF 42 23 3 32 0 0
Corporate Research Associates May 28, 2013 PDF 52 22 5 21 0 1
Corporate Research Associates March 2, 2013 PDF 51 16 7 26 0 0
Corporate Research Associates December 1, 2012 PDF 45 28 5 22 0 0
Corporate Research Associates August 31, 2012 PDF 42 32 8 18 0 0
Corporate Research Associates June 4, 2012 PDF 47 26 8 18 1 1
Corporate Research Associates February 26, 2012 PDF 50 33 5 11 0 0
Corporate Research Associates November 29, 2011 PDF 53 34 4 9 0 0
2011 election October 3, 2011 51.38 40.16 4.36 3.16 0.91 0.02

Results

  • Candidates' names appear as recorded by Elections PEI
  • Party leaders' names are in bold; cabinet ministers' names are in italics.

Cardigan

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal PC Green NDP
4. Belfast-Murray River Charlie McGeoghegan
1,095 - 41.1%
Darlene Compton
1,203 - 45.1%
Jordan MacPhee
152 - 5.7%
Alan Hicken
216 - 8.1%
  Charlie McGeoghegan
2. Georgetown-St. Peters Russ Stewart
1,170 - 38.8%
Steven Myers
1,448 - 48.0%
Heather Gallant
145 - 4.8%
Nathan Bushey
256 - 8.5%
  Steven Myers
3. Montague-Kilmuir Allen Roach
1,060 - 41.8%
Andrew Daggett
785 - 31.0%
Jason Furness
106 - 4.2%
Mike Redmond
585 - 23.1%
  Allen Roach
7. Morell-Mermaid Daniel MacDonald
1,114 - 37.1%
Sidney MacEwen
1,501 - 50.0%
Meaghan Lister
177 - 5.9%
Edith Perry
211 - 7.0%
  Olive Crane
1. Souris-Elmira Tommy Kickham
951 - 35.8%
Colin LaVie
1,179 - 44.4%
  Susan Birt
528 - 19.9%
Colin LaVie
6. Stratford-Kinlock David Dunphy
1,453 - 33.9%
James Aylward
2,155 - 50.3%
Samantha Saunders
330 - 7.7%
Chris van Ouwerkerk
350 - 8.2%
James Aylward
5. Vernon River-Stratford* Alan McIsaac*
1,173 - 41.3%
Mary Ellen McInnis*
1,173 - 41.3%
Nicholas Graveline
234 - 8.2%
Kathleen Romans
258 - 9.1%
Alan McIsaac
  • This riding vote count resulted in a tie between McIsaac and McInnis. As a result, a coin toss was held, which determined McIsaac, the Liberal candidate, as the winner.[21]

Malpeque

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal PC Green NDP
19. Borden-Kinkora Ramona Roberts
1,154 - 34.1%
Jamie Fox
1,597 - 47.1%
Ranald MacFarlane
511 - 15.1%
Aleida Tweten
126 - 3.7%
George Webster
16. Cornwall-Meadowbank Heath MacDonald
1,444 - 46.3%
Michael Drake
1,056 - 33.8%
Rosalyn Abbott
377 - 12.1%
Jennifer Coughlin
243 - 7.8%
Ron MacKinley
17. Kellys Cross-Cumberland Valerie Docherty
1,046 - 27.6%
Randy Robar
609 - 16.1%
Peter Bevan-Baker
2,077 - 54.8%
Jesse Cousins
58 - 1.5%
Valerie Docherty
20. Kensington-Malpeque Paul Montgomery
1,033 - 28.3%
Matthew MacKay
1,984 - 54.3%
Lynne Lund
374 - 10.2%
Joseph Larkin
264 - 7.2%
Vacant
18. Rustico-Emerald Bertha Campbell
1,152 - 34.3%
Brad Trivers
1,585 - 47.2%
Marianne Janowicz
325 - 9.7%
Leah-Jane Hayward
294 - 8.8%
Carolyn Bertram
9. York-Oyster Bed Wade MacLauchlan
1,938 - 47.7%
Jim "Benson" Carragher
1,338 - 32.9%
Thane Bernard
347 - 8.5%
Gordon Gay
442 - 10.9%
Vacant

Charlottetown

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal PC Green NDP
13. Charlottetown-Brighton Jordan Brown
1,054 - 39.0%
Rob Lantz
1,032 - 38.2%
Derrick Biso
352 - 13.0%
Bob MacLean
265 - 9.8%
Vacant
14. Charlottetown-Lewis Point Kathleen Casey
1,040 - 34.3%
Dianne Young
821 - 27.0%
Doug Millington
244 - 8.0%
Gord McNeilly
931 - 30.7%
  Kathleen Casey
11. Charlottetown-Parkdale Doug Currie
1,166 - 43.7%
Lynn MacLaren
699 - 26.2%
Becka Viau
511 - 19.2%
Andrew Watts
292 - 10.9%
  Doug Currie
10. Charlottetown-Sherwood Robert Mitchell
1,425 - 45.8%
Mike Gillis
1,031 - 33.1%
Mitchell Gallant
295 - 9.5%
Karalee McAskill
360 - 11.6%
  Robert Mitchell
12. Charlottetown-Victoria Park Richard Brown
955 - 39.4%
Joey Kitson
666 - 27.5%
Darcie Lanthier
456 - 18.8%
Chris Clay
348 - 14.4%
  Richard Brown
8. Tracadie-Hillsborough Park Buck Watts
1,354 - 45.7%
Darren Creamer
826 - 27.8%
Isaac Williams
237 - 8.0%
Jason Murray
549 - 18.5%
Buck Watts
15. West Royalty-Springvale Bush Dumville
1,389 - 37.6%
Linda Clements
1,330 - 36.0%
Charles Sanderson
462 - 12.5%
Peter Meggs
516 - 14.0%
Bush Dumville

Egmont

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal PC Green NDP
26. Alberton-Roseville Pat Murphy
1,569 - 53.7%
John Griffin
1,166 - 39.9%
  Orville Lewis
188 - 6.4%
  Pat Murphy
24. Evangeline-Miscouche Sonny Gallant
1,419 - 62.6%
Debbie Montgomery
586 - 25.8%
Jordan Cameron
125 - 5.5%
Grant Gallant
138 - 6.1%
  Sonny Gallant
25. O'Leary-Inverness Robert Henderson
1,310 - 48.8%
Daniel MacDonald
1,063 - 39.6%
  Billy Mackendrick
311 - 11.6%
  Robert Henderson
22. Summerside-St. Eleanors Tina Mundy
1,246 - 41.2%
Major Stewart
1,098 - 36.3%
Caleb Adams
321 - 10.6%
Olivia Wood
358 - 11.8%
  Gerard Greenan
21. Summerside-Wilmot Janice Sherry
1,135 - 39.4%
Brian Ramsay
1,105 - 38.4%
Donald MacFadzen-Reid
285 - 9.9%
Scott Gaudet
353 - 12.3%
  Janice Sherry
27. Tignish-Palmer Road Hal Perry
1,486 - 58.2%
Joseph Profit
818 - 32.1%
Malcolm Pitre
167 - 6.5%
John A'Hearn
81 - 3.2%
  Hal Perry
23. Tyne Valley-Linkletter Paula Biggar
1,147 - 43.0%
Ryan Williams
810 - 30.3%
Shelagh Young
240 - 9.0%
Jacqueline Tuplin
473 - 17.7%
  Paula Biggar

References

  1. https://www.theguardian.pe.ca/news/pei-election/voter-turnout-dips-below-80-per-cent-in-2019-pei-election-305149/
  2. PEI election called for May 4, 2015
  3. "Liberals win majority in P.E.I. election". CBC News. May 4, 2015. Retrieved May 4, 2015.
  4. "P.E.I. NDP elect Mike Redmond as party leader". CBC News, October 13, 2012.
  5. "Bevan-Baker acclaimed as P.E.I. Green Party leader". Charlottetown: The Guardian. November 3, 2012. Archived from the original on August 19, 2013. Retrieved June 13, 2014.
  6. "P.E.I. PC Leader Olive Crane resigns". CBC News. December 5, 2012. Retrieved June 13, 2014.
  7. "Olive Crane resigns as P.E.I. Opposition leader". CBC News. January 30, 2013. Retrieved June 13, 2014.
  8. "Tories name new P.E.I. Opposition leader". CBC News. January 30, 2013. Retrieved June 13, 2014.
  9. "MLA Steven Myers named interim PC leader". CBC News. January 31, 2014. Retrieved June 13, 2014.
  10. "Perry to step down as Opposition leader". CBC News. February 11, 2013. Retrieved June 13, 2014.
  11. Wright, Teresa (October 3, 2013). "Hal Perry crossing floor to join Liberals". The Guardian. Archived from the original on July 14, 2014. Retrieved June 13, 2014.
  12. "Olive Crane kicked out of PC caucus". The Journal Pioneer. October 4, 2013. Archived from the original on October 22, 2013. Retrieved June 13, 2014.
  13. "P.E.I.-Liberals-and-PCs-both-looking-for-leaders".
  14. Wade MacLauchlan confirmed as P.E.I. Liberal leader
  15. "Experienced faces make up Wade MacLauchlan cabinet". CBC News. February 23, 2015. Retrieved February 25, 2015.
  16. Legislative Assembly of PEI: Members
  17. Rob Lantz celebrates Progressive Conservative leadership victory
  18. "Island Party sitting out election". Archived from the original on 2015-07-10. Retrieved 2015-04-12.
  19. PEI Votes 2015: Leaders' Debate
  20. Leaders met in 2nd TV debate
  21. Liberal Alan McIsaac wins seat in coin toss after recount tie. CBC News, May 19, 2015.
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