2014 United States Senate election in Tennessee
The 2014 United States Senate election in Tennessee took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate from the State of Tennessee. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Lamar Alexander defeated Democrat Gordon Ball and was reelected to a third term in office with 61.9% of the vote against 31.9%.
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Background
Alexander was reelected with 65.1% of the vote in the 2008 election. Alexander stepped down from his leadership role as Republican Conference Chairman of the United States Senate in 2011, but announced that he would seek reelection to a third term.[1] Nashville businessman, counseling executive and former 2012 U.S. Senate candidate Larry Crim filed his announcement of candidacy with the Secretary of the United States Senate in January 2013.[2]
Republican primary
Although Alexander was initially thought to be vulnerable to a primary challenge from the right, he worked to avoid this and ultimately did not face a high-profile challenger. He declared his intention to run early, quickly won the endorsement of Governor Bill Haslam, every living former Tennessee Republican Party Chairman and the state's entire Republican congressional delegation (except scandal-hit Scott DesJarlais). He also raised a large amount of money and worked to avoid the mistakes of ousted Senators Bob Bennett and Richard Lugar by trying to stay in touch with his constituents, especially in East Tennessee. Moreover, out-of-state conservative organizations such as the Senate Conservatives Fund made little effort to defeat Alexander.[3]
During his re-election campaign in 2008, Alexander faced no opponents in the Republican primary.[4] As early as July 2013, it was obvious that the same would not be true in 2014. The weekend of July 20, 2013, a rally was held in Smyrna in opposition to Alexander. Activists attending the event included Williamson County GOP leader Kevin Kookogey.[5] By mid-August, Triton Polling released a poll showing Alexander trailing "a generic conservative" by 4.6 points.[6] But no "generic conservative" seemed to want to step up. In search of a candidate, a "Beat Lamar" PAC held a forum and invited Kookogey, Knox County mayor Tim Burchett, and Alexander's only formal opponent at the time, Brenda Lenard of Knoxville.[7]
On August 20, 2013, State Representative Joe Carr announced his candidacy. He had previously been opposing Scott Desjarlais in the race for Tennessee's 4th congressional district, but swapped races under public pressure.[8] Kookogey soon dropped out of the race.[9] Four candidates were then vetted in September by the "Coalition for a Constitutional Senate": Carr, truck driver Jerry Davis, business owner John McDaniel, and electrician Danny Page.[10] The coalition ultimately endorsed Carr with 59% of the vote,[11][12] but some felt that Carr's nomination was coerced by the leaders of the Beat Lamar PAC.[13][14] Independent candidate Danny Page was especially vocal on that issue.[15]
Entering the race late was George Flinn, a radiologist from Memphis who had run for Congress against Steve Cohen in 2012.[16] There was some speculation that Flinn was a spoiler deployed by Alexander to steal Tea Party votes from Carr.[16]
In the primary's final stretch Carr was endorsed by Sarah Palin,[17] but he did not receive much other support from outside of Tennessee, failing to receive endorsements from the Senate Conservatives Fund[18] or the Club for Growth.[19]
Ultimately, Alexander won the primary, though he recorded the lowest winning percentage (49.7%) and lowest margin of victory (9.2 points) ever in a primary for a Republican U.S. Senator from Tennessee. Carr won a larger percentage of the vote (40.5%) than the previous 11 challengers to sitting Republican U.S. Senators in Tennessee history combined (40.3%).[20]
Candidates
Declared
- Christian Agnew[21]
- Lamar Alexander, incumbent U.S. Senator[21]
- Joe Carr, state representative[22]
- George Flinn, radiologist, radio station owner, former Shelby County Commissioner and nominee for Tennessee's 9th congressional district in 2012[23]
- John King, businessman[21]
- Brenda Lenard, doctoral student at the University of Tennessee and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012[24]
- Erin Kent Magee[21]
Declined
- Diane Black, U.S. Representative[27]
- Marsha Blackburn, U.S. Representative[27]
- Tim Burchett, Mayor of Knox County[28]
- Stacey Campfield, state senator[29]
- Jimmy Duncan, U.S. Representative[27]
- Stephen Fincher, U.S. Representative[27]
- Chuck Fleischmann, U.S. Representative[27]
- Mark Green, state senator[29]
- Glenn Jacobs (Kane), professional wrestler[30]
- Kevin Kookogey, former Chairman of the Williamson County Republican Party[31]
- Monty Lankford, businessman, board member of the Tennessee Family Action Council and nominee for Tennessee's 4th congressional district in 2008[32]
- Ron Ramsey, Lieutenant Governor and Speaker of the Tennessee Senate[29]
- Phil Roe, U.S. Representative[27]
Endorsements
Lamar Alexander |
---|
Individuals
|
Joe Carr |
---|
Individuals
Organizations
|
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Lamar Alexander |
Joe Carr |
George Flinn |
Brenda Lenard |
Danny Page |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
North Star Opinion Research* | August 19–22, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 64% | 22% | — | — | — | — | 14% |
69% | — | — | 16% | — | — | 15% | ||||
Public Policy Polling^ | December 2–3, 2013 | 391 | ± 5% | 46% | 40% | — | — | — | — | 14% |
MTSU | January 23–26, 2014 | ? | ± ? | 40% | 7% | — | — | — | 4% | 49% |
North Star Opinion Research* | February 3–6, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 62% | 17% | — | 2% | 1% | — | 18% |
North Star Opinion Research* | May 12–14, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 56% | 14% | — | 1% | 1% | — | 22% |
Tea Party Nation/Triton | May 22, 2014 | 1,100 | ± ? | 44% | 20% | — | — | — | 9% | 27% |
Tea Party Nation/Triton | July 10–11, 2014 | 1,099 | ± 2.9% | 43% | 36% | — | — | — | — | 21% |
North Star Opinion Research* | July 20–22, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 53% | 21% | — | — | — | 9% | 15% |
North Star Opinion Research* | July 27–29, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 53% | 24% | — | 1% | 1% | 5% | 16% |
Red Racing Horses & PMI inc. | July 28–30, 2014 | 400 | ± 5% | 41% | 29% | 5% | — | — | 5% | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Lamar Alexander |
Someone more conservative |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Triton Polling | August 15–16, 2013 | 680 | ± 3.7% | 44.9% | 49.5% | 5.6% |
- * Internal poll for Lamar Alexander campaign
- ^ Internal Poll for Terry Adams campaign
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Lamar Alexander (incumbent) | 331,705 | 49.65% | |
Republican | Joe Carr | 271,324 | 40.61% | |
Republican | George Shea Flinn | 34,668 | 5.19% | |
Republican | Christian Agnew | 11,320 | 1.69% | |
Republican | Brenda S. Lenard | 7,908 | 1.18% | |
Republican | John D. King | 7,748 | 1.16% | |
Republican | Erin Kent Magee | 3,366 | 0.52% | |
Total votes | 668,039 | 100.00% |
Democratic primary
Declared
Withdrew
Declined
- Phil Bredesen, former Governor of Tennessee[47]
- Joe Brown, arbiter of the CBS television series Judge Joe Brown and former Shelby County Criminal Court judge[48]
- Craig Fitzhugh, Minority Leader of the Tennessee House of Representatives[49]
- Roy Herron, Chairman of the Tennessee Democratic Party, former state senator and nominee for Tennessee's 8th congressional district in 2010[50]
Endorsements
Terry Adams |
---|
Public Figures
Other
|
Gordon Ball |
---|
Larry Crim |
---|
Public Figures
Other |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Gordon Ball | 87,829 | 36.45% | |
Democratic | Terry Adams | 85,794 | 35.61% | |
Democratic | Gary Gene Davis | 42,549 | 17.66% | |
Democratic | Larry Crim | 24,777 | 10.28% | |
Total votes | 240,949 | 100.00% |
General election
Candidates
- Lamar Alexander (Republican), incumbent U.S. Senator[21]
- Gordon Ball (Democratic), attorney[44]
- Tom Emerson, Jr. (Independent)[21]
- Edmund Gauthier (Independent)[21]
- Joshua James (Independent)[21]
- Danny Page (Independent), electrician[21][26]
- Bartholomew Phillips (Independent)[21]
- Martin Pleasant (Green)[21]
- C. Salekin (Independent)[21]
- Eric Schecter (Independent)[21]
- Rick Tyler (Independent)[21]
- Joe Wilmoth (Constitution), candidate for the State Senate in 2010[21]
Endorsements
Lamar Alexander (R) |
---|
Tennessee State Government
Members of US Congress
Former Tennessee Officials
U.S. Governors
|
Gordon Ball (D) |
---|
|
Danny Page (I) |
---|
|
Debates
The first was held in Chattanooga, Tennessee sponsored by Democrats United For Tennessee Inc. and Central Labor Council Members which included 15 Candidates for state and federal office attended by Larry Crim for U.S. Senate [69] (The Chattanoogan). Crim criticized Senators Bob Corker of Chattanooga and Lamar Alexander of Nashville for overreaching into the free enterprise of VW and their works councils which Mr. Crim stated also implicated free association rights of the company, workers and labor and the free vote.(http://www.chattanoogan.com/2014/3/3/270950/Tennessee-Democratic-Candidates-And.aspx) (The Chattanoogan). U.S. Senate candidate Larry Crim and UAW International Rep. Tom Savage spoke on the importance of free elections at the Volkswagen plant in Chattanooga at the candidate debate. The candidate debate and forum was held at the Kingdom Center of Olivet Baptist Church. Mr. Crim said, "Protecting voter rights for a free and fair election are as fundamental to expressing the will of workers in the workplace as it is to Americans at the polling place". "For a U.S. Senator to offer incentives or threaten withdrawing public resources based on whether workers vote to recognize the union interferes with their free choice" continued the Democratic candidate for United States Senate. "It seems clear that there was an overreach here and I stand with labor on that" said Crim.[70]
The second debate was held in Bolivar, Tennessee and attended by Democrats Gordon Ball and Terry Adams, Republican George Flinn, and independents Ed Gauthier and Danny Page. The attendees criticized Alexander and Carr for not attending.[71][72]
The third was a "candidates' forum" after the primary in Cookeville on October 16. Only Republican nominee Lamar Alexander and Democrat nominee Gordon Ball were allowed to participate.[73]
The fourth debate was on October 23 at a Sheraton Hotel across from the Tennessee State Capitol in Nashville. The nominees for the Democratic Party (Gordon Ball), Libertarian Party (Joshua James), Green Party (Martin Pleasant), and Constitution Party (Joe Wilmoth) were all in attendance as well as independents Tom Emerson, Ed Gauthier, and Danny Page.[74] The moderator was blogger Tom Humphrey of the blog "Humphrey on the Hill". The candidates discussed a number of issues, including abortion, The Islamic State, Common Core education standards, and global warming, but the issue that stuck most with the media was marijuana. There was a general consensus among the seven candidates in attendance that the federal government should not be involved in the issue, and that authority on marijuana should be reserved to the states and people.[75] Incumbent Senator Lamar Alexander declined to participate in the debate, and was mocked by Democrat Gordon Ball as being "chicken". Alexander was speaking in front of various groups in Nashville and Murfreesboro that day.[74]
The fifth and sixth debates were held in Johnson City and Crossville, and featured candidates Gordon Ball and Danny Page. Senator Alexander was invited, but attended neither.[76][77]
Campaign
In September, an education summit was held in Nashville by Governor Bill Haslam. A protest of the summit (which was largely a protest of the "Common Core" standards) was attended by Democrat Gordon Ball and independent Danny Page.[78]
In late September, eleven members of the Tennessee General Assembly who had backed Joe Carr in the primaries announced they would back Alexander in the general election, saying, "We feel that it is vitally important to the country that we stand together and support replacing the liberal agenda that is now in control of the United States Senate". Carr himself abstained from the endorsement.[63]
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[79] | Solid R | November 3, 2014 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[80] | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
Rothenberg Political Report[81] | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
Real Clear Politics[82] | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Lamar Alexander (R) |
Gordon Ball (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | April 29–30, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 51% | 25% | 10% | 15% |
CBS News/New York Times | July 5–24, 2014 | 1,465 | ± 5.4% | 48% | 33% | 14% | 5% |
Rasmussen Reports | August 11–12, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 47% | 32% | 10% | 12% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18 – September 2, 2014 | 1,056 | ± 4% | 47% | 32% | 10% | 11% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 1,007 | ± 4% | 53% | 32% | 2% | 12% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 974 | ± 5% | 55% | 33% | 2% | 10% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ± | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Lamar Alexander (incumbent) | 850,087 | 61.87% | -3.27% | |
Democratic | Gordon Ball | 437,848 | 31.87% | +0.23% | |
Constitution | Joe Wilmoth | 36,088 | 2.63% | N/A | |
Green | Martin Pleasant | 12,570 | 0.91% | N/A | |
Independent | Tom Emerson, Jr. | 11,157 | 0.81% | N/A | |
Independent | Danny Page | 7,713 | 0.56% | N/A | |
Independent | Rick Tyler | 5,759 | 0.42% | N/A | |
Independent | Joshua James | 5,678 | 0.41% | N/A | |
Independent | Bartholomew J. Phillips | 2,386 | 0.17% | N/A | |
Independent | Edmund L. Gauthier | 2,314 | 0.17% | N/A | |
Independent | Eric Schechter | 1,673 | 0.12% | N/A | |
Independent | Choudhury Salekin | 787 | 0.06% | N/A | |
n/a | Write-ins | 5 | 0.00% | N/A | |
Total votes | '1,374,065' | '100.0%' | N/A | ||
Republican hold |
See also
References
- "Alexander quitting leadership post in Senate". Politico. September 20, 2011.
- http://knoxblogs.com/humphreyhill/2013/01/31/larry_crim_files_as_democratic/
- Alexis Levinson (August 1, 2014). "How Lamar Alexander Staved Off His Primary Challenger".
- "Elections - Tennessee Secretary of State" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2011-07-13. Retrieved 2014-09-25.
- "Alexander under fire on immigration".
- "Triton Polling - Tennessee US Senate Survey - Topline Results _3_". Archived from the original on October 30, 2013.
- "www.tennessean.com/article/20130816/NEWS02/308160101/1972/NEWS02".
- "Rep. Joe Carr Announces Primary Challenge of Sen. Lamar Alexander".
- "Kevin Kookogey backs out of tea party bid against Sen. Alexander". wbir.com. WBIR-TV. September 3, 2013. Retrieved April 29, 2017.
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- "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 2013-10-29. Retrieved 2013-10-28.CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
- "Some Tea Party members OK with the Carr, but not with the driver - Tennessee Ticket".
- "Tea party support for Joe Carr not unanimous". October 1, 2013.
- "Tea Party Candidate Says He's Been Shut Out of Beat Lamar Process". The Tennessean.
- "George Flinn plans to run against Lamar Alexander - Memphis Business Journal".
- "Sarah Palin endorses Joe Carr against Sen. Lamar Alexander".
- http://www.washingtontimes.com, The Washington Times. "PHILLIPS: Ken Cuccinelli: Put your money where your mouth is".
- "Challengers From the Right Struggle in G.O.P. Senate Primaries in 2 States". The New York Times. August 5, 2014.
- Ostermeier, Eric (August 7, 2014). "Alexander Records Weakest Primary Win for GOP US Senator in Tennessee History". Smart Politics.
- "Petitions Filed for Governor, United States Senate, and United States House of Representatives" (PDF). Tennessee Secretary of State. Retrieved April 7, 2014.
- SCHELZIG, ERIK (August 20, 2013). "State Rep. Joe Carr announces Alexander challenge". The Miami Herald. Retrieved August 20, 2013.
- Veazey, Kyle (April 1, 2014). "George Flinn says he'll challenge Alexander in U.S. Senate primary". The Commercial Appeal. Retrieved April 3, 2014.
- Dugger III, A.J. (August 4, 2013). "Tea Party candidate challenges Alexander". The Murfreesboro Post. Retrieved August 20, 2013.
- Garrison, Joey (September 24, 2013). "Tea Party candidate says he's been shut out of Beat Lamar process". The Tennessean. Retrieved October 7, 2013.
- Page, Danny (March 15, 2014). "A Declaration of Running as an Independent". Danny Page for Senate. Archived from the original on April 4, 2014. Retrieved April 3, 2014.
- "Clamoring for a conservative to challenge Alexander". Chattanooga Times Free Press. May 26, 2013. Retrieved June 26, 2013.
- "Knox County Mayor Tim Burchett won't run for U.S. Senate". WATE-TV. October 9, 2013. Retrieved October 25, 2013.
- Humphrey, Tom (July 14, 2013). "Political notebook: Ramsey, Campfield reject entreaties to oppose Sen. Alexander". Knoxville News Sentinel. Retrieved August 12, 2013.
- Harris, Alex (August 28, 2013). "Jacobs Staying Out of Political Ring, Leaves Alexander to Other Challengers". TNReport. Retrieved July 25, 2014.
- Garrison, Joey (September 3, 2013). "Kevin Kookogey backs out of tea party bid against Sen. Alexander". The Tennessean. Retrieved September 4, 2013.
- Sher, Andy (March 18, 2013). "Franklin businessman says he won't challenge Sen. Alexander in 2014, will support him instead". Chattanooga Times Free Press. Retrieved August 20, 2013.
- Harrison, James (March 8, 2013). "Sen. Lamar Alexander touts additional backers for 2014". Nooga.com. Retrieved December 6, 2013.
- Whitehouse, Ken (February 7, 2013). "Alexander campaign continues to lasso GOP leaders". NashvillePost.com. Retrieved December 6, 2013.
- Raju, Manu (December 1, 2012). "Lamar Alexander unveils heavyweight support". Politico. Retrieved December 6, 2013.
- Harrison, James (August 22, 2013). "Sen. Lamar Alexander boasts Mike Huckabee endorsement". Nooga.com. Retrieved December 6, 2013.
- "Rep. Joe Carr Lands Pair of Early Key Endorsements in US Senate Race". August 22, 2013.
- "Sarah Palin endorses Joe Carr for U.S. Senate".
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- "Coalition Convention results: Joe Carr is in!". September 30, 2013. Archived from the original on October 29, 2013. Retrieved October 28, 2013.
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- Humphrey, Tom (January 15, 2014). "Attorney Gordon Ball to seek Democratic nomination to U.S. Senate". KnoxBlogs. Retrieved February 26, 2014.
- Humphrey, Tom (January 31, 2013). "Larry Crim Files as Democratic Candidate for U.S. Senate". Knoxville News Sentinel. Archived from the original on October 12, 2013. Retrieved May 1, 2013.
- Garrison, Joey (August 12, 2013). "Jacob Maurer, not just Larry Crim, seeking '14 Democratic nomination for U.S.Senate". The Tennessean. Retrieved October 28, 2013.
- "Bredesen won't challenge Alexander". Politico. December 3, 2012.
- "Judge Joe Brown, Ousted from his CBS Courtroom, Could Run for the Senate". Memphis Flyer. April 21, 2013.
- Zelinski, Andrea (July 22, 2013). "Rep. Fitzhugh passes on run for governor". Nashville City Paper. Archived from the original on August 22, 2013. Retrieved July 24, 2013.
- Garrison, Joey (August 12, 2013). "A year out, TN Democrats' search for governor, Senate candidates turning cold". The Tennessean. Retrieved August 20, 2013.
- Adams challenges fellow Democrat Ball to debate in U.S. Senate primary race Knox News, July 6, 2014
- TN-SEN: Meet Terry Adams, Democratic Challenger to Sen. Lamar Alexander - Mar 12 Fundraiser (Video) Daily-KOS, March 7, 2014
- "Timeline Photos - Terry Adams for U.S. Senate". Facebook. Retrieved July 25, 2014.
- "Times picks for U.S. Senate, governor". Chattanooga Times Free Press. 2014-07-27. Retrieved July 27, 2014.
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- "Larrycrimussenate.com". Archived from the original on 2015-01-04. Retrieved 2020-05-29.
- "Aanmelden bij Facebook".
- "Veiligheidscontrole nodig".
- "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 2015-01-04. Retrieved 2020-05-29.CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
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- "Facebook.com".
- "Eleven Joe Carr supporters now back Lamar Alexander".
- Jaffe, Alexandra (October 24, 2014). "Maine Independent endorses GOP's Alexander". The Hill. Retrieved October 25, 2014.
- "Jim Cooper, council members, lawmakers endorse Gordon Ball".
- "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 2014-08-21. Retrieved 2014-09-11.CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
- "44,761 people across Tennessee believed... - Coonrippy Governor 2018 - Facebook".
- "Page not found – Liberty Organico!".
- (http://www.chattanoogan.com/2014/3/3/270950/Tennessee-Democratic-Candidates-And.aspx)
- (http://www.chattanoogan.com/2014/3/6/271232/UAW-And-U.S.-Senate-Candidate-Address.aspx)
- "Bolivar bristles at politicians' debate snub".
- "Absent Incumbents Take Lumps at Bolivar Forum".
- "Lamar Alexander, Gordon Ball exchange barbs at forum".
- "Ball, others debate without Alexander".
- "Tennessee candidates dismiss federal role on pot during Nashville debate".
- "Two US Senate Candidates Hold Forum at Holiday Inn". wjhl.com. Nexstar Broadcasting.
- "Ball Issues Invitation to Alexander for Final Debate Sunday". November 1, 2014.
- "Summit previews next round of Common Core fight".
- "2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- "2014 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- "2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- https://sos-tn-gov-files.s3.amazonaws.com/20141104_CountyTotals_01.pdf
External links
- U.S. Senate elections in Tennessee, 2014 at Ballotpedia
- Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets.org
- Official campaign websites