2014 United States Senate election in Montana

The 2014 United States Senate election in Montana took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate from Montana, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

2014 United States Senate election in Montana

November 4, 2014

Nominee Steve Daines Amanda Curtis Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 213,709 148,184 Percentage 57.8% 40.1%

County results Daines:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90% Curtis:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. senator before election John Walsh Democratic Elected U.S. Senator Steve Daines Republican

Democratic Senator Max Baucus, who had announced he would retire and not seek a seventh term in office, resigned from the Senate in February 2014 in order to accept an appointment as United States Ambassador to China. Democrat John Walsh, the Lieutenant Governor of Montana, who was already running for Baucus' seat when Baucus was named to the ambassadorship, was appointed to replace Baucus by Governor Steve Bullock.[1]

Walsh won the Democratic primary on June 3, but withdrew from the race on August 7, 2014 due to allegations that he had plagiarized a term paper while attending the Army War College.[2] Democrats selected Amanda Curtis, a state representative from Butte, to replace Walsh as the party's nominee at a convention in Helena on August 16.[3] Steve Daines, the sole U.S. Representative for the state of Montana, easily won the Republican nomination. This is the 1st open seat election since the retired Baucus was first elected in 1978.

Daines defeated Curtis by a 57.9% to 40.0% margin, with Libertarian Roger Roots winning 2.2%. Daines and Arkansas' Tom Cotton became just the 18th and 19th U.S. House freshmen to win U.S. Senate races over the last 100 years, and just the third and fourth over the last 40 years.[4] He became the first Republican to win this Senate seat since 1913.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• Dirk Adams, rancher, businessman and former business law professor[5]
• John Bohlinger, former Republican Lieutenant Governor of Montana[6][7][8]
• John Walsh, incumbent U.S. Senator, former Lieutenant Governor of Montana and former Adjutant General of the Montana National Guard[9][10]

Declined

• Max Baucus, former U.S. Senator[11]
• Steve Bullock, Governor of Montana[12]
• John Brueggeman, former Republican state senator[13]
• Shane Colton, attorney and former commissioner of the Montana Department of Fish, Wildlife and Parks[14]
• Amanda Curtis, state representative[15]
• Melinda Gopher, writer and candidate for Montana's at-large congressional district in 2010[16]
• Mike Halligan, executive director of the Dennis and Phyllis Washington Foundation and former state senator[14]
• Denise Juneau, Montana Superintendent of Public Instruction[17]
• Nancy Keenan, former president of NARAL Pro-Choice America and former Montana Superintendent of Public Instruction[18]
• John Lewis, former state director for Senator Max Baucus (ran for the U.S. House)[19]
• Monica Lindeen, Montana State Auditor[20]
• Linda McCulloch, Secretary of State of Montana and former state representative[21]
• Mike McGrath, Chief Justice of the Montana Supreme Court and former Attorney General of Montana[22]
• John Morrison, former Montana State Auditor and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2006[23]
• Brian Morris, Judge of the United States District Court for the District of Montana and former associate justice of the Montana Supreme Court[14]
• Stephanie Schriock, president of Emily's List and former chief of staff to Senator Jon Tester[24]
• Brian Schweitzer, former Governor of Montana[25]
• Kendall Van Dyk, state senator[14]
• Mike Wheat, Justice of the Montana Supreme Court (ran for re-election)[26]
• Carol Williams, former Majority Leader of the Montana Senate and nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Montana in 2000[27]
• Pat Williams, former U.S. Representative[27]
• Whitney Williams, former director of operations for Hillary Clinton[27]
• Franke Wilmer, state representative[28]
• Johnathan Windy Boy, state senator

Endorsements

John Walsh
Max Baucus, former U.S. Senator (D-MT)[29] Steve Bullock, Governor of Montana[30] Jon Tester, U.S. Senator (D-MT)[31] VoteVets.org[32] Council for a Livable World

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	John Walsh	Dirk Adams	John Bohlinger	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	November 15–17, 2013	381	± 5%	39%	3%	31%	—	27%
Harper Polling	January 20–22, 2014	519	± 4.3%	23%	2%	23%	—	52%

Results

Democratic primary results[33]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	John Walsh (incumbent)	48,665	64.04%
	Democratic	John Bohlinger	17,187	22.62%
	Democratic	Dirk Adams	10,139	13.34%
Total votes			75,991	100.00%

Democratic convention

Because Walsh withdrew, a nominating convention was held to pick a new nominee prior to August 20.[34] The state party called a convention for August 16, and voting delegates were members of the State Central Committee, specifically: "one chair and one vice chair from each existing county central committee; one state committeeman and one state committeewoman from each county central committee; all voting members of the State Party Executive Board; the president of each chartered organization of the Montana Democratic Party; Montana State House leadership, and Montana State Senate leaders, and all Democrats currently holding statewide or federal office."[35]

Candidates

Momentary buzz was created by a movement to draft actor Jeff Bridges for the nomination, with over 1,000 people signing a petition on Change.org and a Twitter account, DudeSenator, being created online. Bridges, who lives part-time and owns property in the Paradise Valley south of Livingston, Montana, declined the offer on the Howard Stern show, noting the disapproval of his wife. Other news outlets noted that he also was not registered to vote in Montana.[36][37]

Potential

• Dirk Adams, rancher, businessman and former business law professor[38]
• John Bohlinger, former Republican Lieutenant Governor of Montana[38]
• Amanda Curtis, state representative[39]
• Linda McCulloch, Secretary of State of Montana[40]
• Anna Whiting Sorrell, former director of the state Department of Health and Human Services and former state director of the Indian Health Services[41]

Withdrew

• Franke Wilmer, state representative[39][42]
• David Wanzenried, state senator[39][43]

Declined

• Jeff Bridges, actor and part-time Montana resident[36]
• Steve Bullock, Governor of Montana[44]
• Denise Juneau, Montana Superintendent of Public Instruction[44]
• Nancy Keenan, former president of NARAL Pro-Choice America and former Montana Superintendent of Public Instruction[45]
• Monica Lindeen, Montana State Auditor[44]
• Stephanie Schriock, president of Emily's List and former chief of staff to Senator Jon Tester[45]
• Brian Schweitzer, former Governor of Montana[39]
• Carol Williams, former Majority Leader of the Montana Senate and nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Montana in 2000[44]

Endorsements

Amanda Curtis

Elected officials Kirsten Gillibrand, Junior U.S. Senator from New York Jon Tester, Senior U.S. Senator from Montana[46] John Walsh, Junior U.S. Senator from Montana[47] Steve Bullock, Governor of Montana[48] Angela McLean, Lieutenant Governor of Montana[48][49] Linda McCulloch, Montana Secretary of State[48] Denise Juneau, Montana State Superintendent of Public Instruction[48] Monica Lindeen, Montana Commissioner of Securities & Insurance[48] Mike Wheat, Montana Supreme Court Justice[50] Organizations Democracy for America, political action committee EMILY's List, political action committee[51] International Association of Firefighters, labor union[52] Montana AFL-CIO, labor union[43] Montana Conservation Voters, conservation movement organization[53] Montana Education Association-Montana Federation of Teachers, labor union[54] Montana Laborers' International Union of North America, labor union[55] Montana Native Vote, Native American rights organization[56] Montana Sportsmen Alliance, sportsmen and conservation organization[57] Montana State Building and Construction Trades Council, trade union[58] Montana Stonewall Democrats, LGBT rights group affiliated with the Democratic Party[59] NARAL Pro-Choice America, reproductive rights organization[60] National Organization for Women, feminist organization[61]

Results

Democratic convention results[62]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Amanda Curtis	82	64.0%
	Democratic	Dirk Adams	46	36.0%
Total votes			128	100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Susan Cundiff[63]
• Steve Daines, U.S. Representative and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2008[64][65]
• Champ Edmunds, state representative[66]

Withdrew

• David Leaser, air traffic manager at Glacier Park International Airport[67][68]
• Corey Stapleton, former state senator and candidate for governor in 2012 (running for MT-AL)[69]

Declined

• Chuck Baldwin, Baptist pastor, radio host, Constitution Party nominee for vice president in 2004 and for President in 2008[70]
• John Bohlinger, former Lieutenant Governor of Montana (ran as a Democrat)[6]
• Tim Fox, Attorney General of Montana[71]
• Rick Hill, former U.S. Representative and nominee for governor in 2012[72]
• Krayton Kerns, state representative[73]
• Marc Racicot, former Governor of Montana[74]
• Scott Reichner, state representative (ran for the state senate)[75]
• Matthew Rosendale, state senator (ran for the U.S. House)[76]
• Denny Rehberg, former U.S. Representative, former lieutenant governor and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 1996 and 2012[77]
• Jon Sonju, state senator and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2012[75]
• Larry R. Williams, author, commodity trader and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 1978 and 1982[78]
• Ryan Zinke, former state senator and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2012 (ran for the U.S. House)[79]

Endorsements

Steve Daines
Gun Owners of America[80] Tea Party Express[81] Rick Santorum, former U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania and candidate for President of the United States in 2012[82] Citizens Against Government Waste Political Action Committee (CCAGW PAC)[83]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Steve Daines	Champ Edmunds	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	November 15–17, 2013	469	± 4.5%	66%	7%	27%

Results

Republican primary results[33]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Steve Daines	110,565	83.37%
	Republican	Susan Cundiff	11,909	8.98%
	Republican	Champ Edmunds	10,151	7.65%
Total votes			132,625	100.00%

Libertarian nomination

Candidates

Declared

• Roger Roots, nominee for Secretary of State of Montana in 2012[63]

Independents

Candidates

Declined

• John Bohlinger, former Lieutenant Governor of Montana (ran as a Democrat)[6]
• Sam Rankin, real estate broker (did not qualify)[84]

General election

Debates

• Complete video of debate, October 20, 2014

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[85]	Solid R	November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[86]	Safe R	November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[87]	Safe R	November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[88]	Safe R	November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Steve Daines (R)	Amanda Curtis (D)	Other	Undecided
Rasmussen Reports	August 18–19, 2014	750	± 4%	55%	35%	2%	8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	August 18 – September 2, 2014	684	± 5%	53%	35%	1%	11%
Gravis Marketing	September 29–30, 2014	535	± 4%	54%	41%	—	5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	September 20 – October 1, 2014	549	± 5%	55%	34%	0%	10%
The MSU-Billings Poll	October 6–11, 2014	410	± 5%	46.7%	30.6%	2.2%[89]	20.5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	October 16–23, 2014	497	± 6%	56%	38%	0%	6%
Gravis Marketing	October 23–24, 2014	604	± 4%	53%	39%	—	8%

Results

United States Senate election in Montana, 2014[91]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Republican	Steve Daines	213,709	57.79%	+30.71%
	Democratic	Amanda Curtis	148,184	40.07%	-32.85%
	Libertarian	Roger Roots	7,933	2.14%	N/A
Total votes			369,826	100.00%	N/A
	Republican gain from Democratic

See also

• 2014 United States House of Representatives election in Montana
• 2014 United States Senate elections
• 2014 United States elections

References

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90. Roger Roots (L) 4%, Other 5%
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External links

• U.S. Senate elections in Montana, 2014 at Ballotpedia
• Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets.org