2014 Ontario general election
The 2014 Ontario general election was held on June 12, 2014, to elect the members of the 41st Parliament of Ontario. The Liberal Party won a majority of seats in the legislature, allowing its leader, Kathleen Wynne, to continue as premier, moving from a minority to majority government. This was the Liberals' fourth consecutive win since 2003 and an improvement from their performance in the 2011 election.[2] The Progressive Conservatives under Tim Hudak were returned to the official opposition; following the election loss, Hudak announced his resignation as Progressive Conservative leader.[3] The New Democratic Party under Andrea Horwath remained in third place, albeit with an improved share of the popular vote.
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107 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Ontario 54 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Turnout | 51.3% ( | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Riding names are listed at the bottom. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The election was called on May 2, 2014, by Lieutenant Governor David Onley,[4] upon the recommendation of Wynne following the announcement that the NDP, whose support was critical to the survival of the Liberal's minority government in the Legislative Assembly, would vote against the Liberals' proposed budget.[5]
With the election, Wynne became the first gay woman to lead her party to a majority victory in an Ontario general election.[6]
Results
Summary analysis
Party | 2011 | Gain from (loss to) | 2014 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lib | PC | NDP | ||||||
Liberal | 53 | 7 | 3 | (5) | 58 | |||
Conservative | 37 | (7) | (2) | 28 | ||||
New Democratic | 17 | 5 | (3) | 2 | 21 | |||
Total | 107 | 5 | (10) | 9 | 3 | (7) | 107 |
Pairing off the top three parties, swings were calculated to be:
- PC to Liberal: 2.6%
- PC to NDP: 2.6%
- Liberal to NDP: insignificant
Regional analysis
Party | Toronto | 905 Belt | Ham/Niagara | Central | East | Midwest | Southwest | North | Total | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | 20 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 58 | |
Conservative | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 28 | ||
New Democratic | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 21 | |||
Total | 22 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 107 |
Party | Toronto | 905 Belt | Ham/Niagara | Central | East | Midwest | Southwest | North | Total | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | (3) | (1) | 5 | |||
Conservative | (1) | (2) | (4) | (2) | (9) | |||||
New Democratic | (3) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Detailed analysis
↓ | |||||||||
58 | 28 | 21 | |||||||
Liberal | PC | NDP |
Party | Votes | Seats | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | 1,862,907 | 38.65% |
58 / 107 (54%) | ||
Progressive Conservative | 1,506,267 | 31.25% |
28 / 107 (26%) | ||
New Democratic | 1,144,576 | 23.75% |
21 / 107 (20%) | ||
Green | 233,269 | 4.84% |
0 / 107 (0%) | ||
Libertarian | 38,956 | 0.81% |
0 / 107 (0%) |
Party | Party leader | Candidates | Seats | Popular vote[7] | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2011 | Dissol. | 2014 | Change | # | % | Change | ||||
Liberal | Kathleen Wynne | 107 | 53 | 48 | 58 | +5 | 1,862,907 | 38.65% | +1.00% | |
Progressive Conservative | Tim Hudak | 107 | 37 | 37 | 28 | -9 | 1,506,267 | 31.25% | -4.20% | |
New Democratic | Andrea Horwath | 107 | 17 | 21 | 21 | +4 | 1,144,576 | 23.75% | +1.01% | |
Green | Mike Schreiner | 107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 233,269 | 4.84% | +1.92% | |
Libertarian | Allen Small | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 38,956 | 0.81% | +0.36% | |
Freedom | Paul McKeever | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 12,381 | 0.26% | +0.05% | |
Family Coalition | Eric Ames (interim) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 4,288 | 0.09% | -0.13% | |
None of the Above | Greg Vezina | 8 | * | 0 | 0 | - | 4,247 | 0.09% | - | |
Independents and no affiliation | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 3,854 | 0.08% | - | ||
Communist | Elizabeth Rowley | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2,290 | 0.05% | +0.02% | |
Canadians' Choice | Bahman Yazdanfar | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 1,293 | 0.03% | +0.027% | |
Vegan Environmental | Paul Figueiras | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 907 | 0.02% | +0.012% | |
People's Political Party | Kevin Clarke | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 894 | 0.02% | +0.012% | |
Northern Ontario Heritage | Edward Deibel | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 892 | 0.02% | = | |
Special Needs | Danish Ahmed | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 709 | 0.01% | -0.01% | |
Confederation of Regions | vacant | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 551 | 0.01% | = | |
Trillium | Bob Yaciuk | 2 | * | 0 | 0 | - | 397 | 0.01% | - | |
Equal Parenting | Dennis Valenta | 2 | * | 0 | 0 | - | 366 | 0.01% | - | |
Socialist | Michael Laxer | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 361 | 0.01% | = | |
Ontario Moderate Party | Yuri Duboisky | 2 | * | 0 | 0 | - | 335 | 0.01% | - | |
Pauper | John Turmel | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 194 | <0.01% | = | |
Declined Vote[8] | 31,399 | 0.64% | +0.59% | |||||||
Vacant | 1 | |||||||||
Total | 616 | 107 | 107 | 107 | 4,851,333 |
Principal races
Party in 1st place | Party in 2nd place | Total | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lib | PC | NDP | |||
Liberal | – | 43 | 15 | 58 | |
Progressive Conservative | 22 | – | 6 | 28 | |
New Democratic | 14 | 7 | – | 21 | |
Total | 36 | 50 | 21 | 107 |
Parties | Seats | |
---|---|---|
█ Liberal | █ Progressive Conservative | 65 |
█ Liberal | █ New Democratic | 29 |
█ Progressive Conservative | █ New Democratic | 13 |
Total | 107 |
Marginal seats
The following seats had a margin of victory of less than 5 percentage points in the election:
Marginal constituencies (Ontario general election, 2014)[9] | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Constituency | Rank of parties | Margins | Result | ||||
1st | 2nd | 3rd | 1st vs 2nd | 1st vs 3rd | |||
Barrie | 40.7% | 36.1% | 16.3% | 4.6% | 24.4% | Lib gain | |
Beaches—East York | 40.1% | 39.0% | 13.9% | 1.1% | 26.2% | Lib gain | |
Durham | 36.5% | 34.3% | 24.1% | 2.2% | 12.4% | Lib gain | |
Kitchener—Conestoga | 36.4% | 33.3% | 21.2% | 3.1% | 15.2% | PC hold | |
Parkdale—High Park | 40.8% | 40.0% | 12.8% | 0.8% | 28.0% | NDP hold | |
Sudbury | 42.2% | 39.4% | 13.8% | 2.8% | 28.4% | NDP gain | |
Thornhill | 44.0% | 43.8% | 8.1% | 0.2% | 35.9% | PC hold | |
Windsor West | 41.4% | 38.5% | 14.4% | 2.9% | 27.0% | NDP gain |
Maps
- Support for Liberal Party candidates by riding
- Support for Conservative Party candidates by riding
- Support for New Democratic Party candidates by riding
- Support for Green Party candidates by riding
- Support for Libertarian Party candidates by riding
Timeline (2011–2014)
Seat changes
Party | 2011 | Gain/(loss) due to | 2014 | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
scope="col" Resignation | scope="col" Byelection hold | scope="col" Byelection upset | ||||
Liberal | 53 | (8) | 3 | 48 | ||
Progressive Conservative | 37 | (2) | 1 | 1 | 37 | |
New Democratic | 17 | 4 | 21 | |||
Vacant | – | 1 | 1 | |||
Total | 107 | (9) | 4 | 5 | 107 |
Seat | Before | Change | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Member | Party | Reason | Date | Member | Party | |
Kitchener—Waterloo | April 27, 2012 | Elizabeth Witmer | █ PC | Resignation[a 1] | September 6, 2012 | Catherine Fife | █ New Democratic |
Vaughan | August 1, 2012 | Greg Sorbara | █ Liberal | Resignation[a 2] | September 6, 2012 | Steven Del Duca | █ Liberal |
London West | February 14, 2013[10] | Chris Bentley | █ Liberal | Resignation[a 3] | August 1, 2013[11] | Peggy Sattler | █ New Democratic |
Windsor—Tecumseh | February 14, 2013 | Dwight Duncan | █ Liberal | Resignation[a 4] | August 1, 2013 | Percy Hatfield | █ New Democratic |
Ottawa South | June 12, 2013[12] | Dalton McGuinty | █ Liberal | Resignation | August 1, 2013 | John Fraser | █ Liberal |
Scarborough—Guildwood | June 27, 2013[13] | Margarett Best | █ Liberal | Resignation | August 1, 2013 | Mitzie Hunter | █ Liberal |
Etobicoke—Lakeshore | July 2, 2013[14] | Laurel Broten | █ Liberal | Resignation[a 5] | August 1, 2013 | Doug Holyday | █ PC |
Niagara Falls | September 24, 2013[15] | Kim Craitor | █ Liberal | Resignation | February 13, 2014[16] | Wayne Gates | █ New Democratic |
Thornhill | December 31, 2013[17] | Peter Shurman | █ PC | Resignation | February 13, 2014 | Gila Martow | █ PC |
Brampton—Springdale | March 25, 2014[18] | Linda Jeffrey | █ Liberal | Resignation[a 6] | █ Vacant |
- after being appointed chair of the Workplace Safety & Insurance Board
- former Chair of the Management Board of Cabinet and Minister of Finance
- also from the positions of Minister of Aboriginal Affairs and Minister of Energy
- also from the positions of Minister of Finance and Minister of Government Services
- also from her position as Minister of Intergovernmental Affairs
- resigning from the positions of Chair of Cabinet and Minister of Municipal Affairs and Housing, to run for Mayor of Brampton
Other developments
Date | Event |
---|---|
October 6, 2011 | Election held for members of the Ontario Legislature in the 40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario. |
November 22, 2011 | The 40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario opens with a Speech from the throne.[19] |
March 28, 2012 | Dwight Duncan presents the Government's first minority budget, requiring support from at least one of the other two parties to ensure passage and avoid an early election. |
April 10, 2012 | NDP Leader Andrea Horwath makes several demands to be met in exchange for her party to support the Liberal budget, which support is necessary for the approval of the budget following Tim Hudak's outright rejection of it.[20] |
June 15, 2012 | Premier Dalton McGuinty states he will drop the writ if his budget is not passed.[21] |
June 20, 2012 | The budget bill is passed, after the NDP agrees to abstain, avoiding a summer election.[22] |
October 15, 2012 | Dalton McGuinty announces his resignation as Premier of Ontario and as Leader of the Ontario Liberal Party.[23] |
January 26, 2013 | Kathleen Wynne is elected Leader of the Ontario Liberal Party.[24] |
February 11, 2013 | Wynne is sworn in as Premier, and a new cabinet is sworn in.[25] |
February 20, 2013 | Wynne resumes the 40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario with a Speech of the Throne. |
May 1, 2014 | Progressive Conservative leader Tim Hudak announces that his caucus will be voting against the Liberals' budget, proposed earlier that day. |
May 2, 2014 | NDP leader Andrea Horwath announces that the NDP will be voting against the Liberals' proposed budget, triggering a spring election.[5] Following this, Premier Wynne formally asks Lieutenant Governor David Onley to dissolve the legislature and call an election for June 12, 2014.[26] |
June 12, 2014 | The Liberal Party wins a majority, claiming 58 ridings in the Ontario election.[27] Tim Hudak announced that he is stepping down from his leadership of the PC party.[28] |
June 14, 2014 | A judicial recount has been requested in the riding of Thornhill.[29] |
June 24, 2014 | A judge confirms results in Thornhill are in favour of the Progressive Conservatives.[30] |
Opinion polls
Voting intention polls released throughout the election campaign were distinctly inconsistent and contradictory,[31][32][33][34] as shown in the graph and table below. During much of the campaign, different pollsters persistently disagreed, frequently by important margins, on whether the Liberals or Progressive Conservatives held the lead, though by the final days most polls showed the Liberals marginally to comfortably ahead. Still, polls completed on the last day of the campaign by Ipsos Reid and EKOS showed vastly divergent support for the NDP, at 30% and 19%, respectively. Also of note, although four different pollsters released results among "likely voters" alongside their results among all eligible voters in an effort to better predict the outcome of the election based on expected voter turnout, in all cases the former proved to be overall poorer predictors than the latter.[35]
General opinion polls
Polling firm | Last date of polling |
Link | Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Libertarian | Other | Type of poll |
Sample size |
Margin of Error | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election 2014 | June 12, 2014 | HTML | 38.65 | 31.25 | 23.75 | 4.84 | 1.51 | Ballot | 4,851,333 | |||
Forum Research | June 11, 2014 | 41 | 35 | 20 | 3 | 1 | IVR | 1,054 | ±3% | 19 | ||
EKOS[2] | June 11, 2014 | 37.3 | 31.3 | 19.2 | 8.2 | 3.9 | IVR | 1,311 | ±2.7% | 19 | ||
Abacus Data[2] | June 11, 2014 | 35 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 1 | Online | 1,882 | ±2.3% | 19 | ||
Ipsos Reid[2] | June 11, 2014 | HTML | 33 | 31 | 30 | 5 | Online | 1,991 | ±2.4% | |||
EKOS[2] | June 10, 2014 | 36.6 | 30.2 | 21.5 | 6.6 | 5.0 | IVR | 1,332 | ±2.7% | 19 | ||
Angus Reid[2] | June 10, 2014 | 36 | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | Online | 1,866 | ±2.3% | 19 | ||
Forum Research | June 9, 2014 | 42 | 35 | 19 | 3 | 1 | IVR | 739 | ±4% | 19 | ||
Léger Marketing | June 9, 2014 | 37 | 37 | 20 | 5 | 1 | Online | 1,050 | ±3.2% | 19 | ||
EKOS[2] | June 9, 2014 | 34.7 | 34.5 | 19.8 | 6.7 | 4.3 | IVR | 1,417 | ±2.6% | 19 | ||
EKOS[2] | June 8, 2014 | 35.9 | 35.9 | 17.6 | 7.7 | 2.8 | IVR | 1,331 | ±2.7% | 19 | ||
Oraclepoll Research | June 8, 2014 | 35 | 36 | 24 | 5 | Telephone | 1,000 | ±3.1% | 19 | |||
Abacus Data[2] | June 7, 2014 | 34 | 31 | 28 | 5 | 1 | Online | 1,000 | ±3.1% | 19 | ||
EKOS[2] | June 6, 2014 | 34.2 | 35.5 | 20.5 | 7.4 | 2.4 | IVR | 1,767 | ±2.3% | 19 | ||
Ipsos Reid[2] | June 6, 2014 | HTML | 35 | 35 | 26 | 4 | Online | 2,140 | ±2.4% | |||
Forum Research | June 5, 2014 | 39 | 37 | 17 | 6 | 1 | IVR | 1,022 | ±3% | 19 | ||
EKOS[2] | June 5, 2014 | 33.9 | 34.9 | 20.5 | 8.4 | 2.3 | IVR | 1,690 | ±2.4% | 19 | ||
EKOS[2] | June 4, 2014 | 35.7 | 30.9 | 19.8 | 9.6 | 4.0 | IVR | 1,303 | ±2.7% | 19 | ||
EKOS | June 3, 2014 | 36.4 | 31.0 | 19.3 | 8.4 | 4.9 | IVR | 997 | ±3.1% | 19 | ||
EKOS | June 2, 2014 | 38.8 | 30.5 | 17.8 | 8.4 | 4.5 | IVR | 934 | ±3.2% | 19 | ||
EKOS | June 1, 2014 | 38.5 | 33.7 | 16.9 | 7.8 | 3.0 | IVR | 927 | ±3.2% | 19 | ||
Abacus Data[2] | May 31, 2014 | 37 | 30 | 24 | 7 | 2 | Online | 1,000 | ±3.1% | 19 | ||
Ipsos Reid[2] | May 29, 2014 | HTML | 34 | 36 | 23 | 7 | Online | 868 | ±3.8% | |||
Forum Research | May 27, 2014 | 36 | 36 | 20 | 7 | 1 | IVR | 882 | ±3% | 19 | ||
Oraclepoll Research | May 27, 2014 | 32 | 36 | 25 | 7 | Telephone | 1,000 | ±3.1% | 19 | |||
Nanos Research | May 26, 2014 | 37.7 | 31.2 | 23.7 | 5.3 | Telephone | 500 | ±4.4% | 19 | |||
Abacus Data[2] | May 24, 2014 | 34 | 32 | 25 | 6 | 2 | Online | 1,000 | ±3.1% | 19 | ||
EKOS | May 23, 2014 | 35.8 | 30.0 | 20.4 | 11.9 | 1.9 | IVR | 1,215 | ±2.8% | 19 | ||
Ipsos Reid[2] | May 21, 2014 | HTML | 31 | 35 | 28 | 6 | Online | 800 | ±3.9% | |||
Forum Research | May 20, 2014 | 41 | 34 | 20 | 4 | 1 | IVR | 1,136 | ±3% | 19 | ||
Abacus Data[2] | May 16, 2014 | 33 | 33 | 26 | 6 | 2 | Online | 2,000 | ±2.2% | 19 | ||
EKOS | May 15, 2014 | 37.1 | 30.3 | 20.9 | 7.3 | 4.5 | IVR | 1,111 | ±2.9% | 19 | ||
Ipsos Reid[2] | May 14, 2014 | HTML | 30 | 39 | 24 | 7 | Online | 801 | ±3.9% | |||
Forum Research | May 12, 2014 | 38 | 35 | 21 | 5 | 1 | IVR | 996 | ±3% | 19 | ||
Ipsos Reid[2] | May 9, 2014 | HTML | 31 | 37 | 28 | 4 | Online | 821 | ±3.9% | |||
Innovative Research | May 6, 2014 | 38.8 | 32.8 | 19.9 | 6.5 | 2.0 | Online | 1,000 | N/A[1] | |||
Innovative Research | May 6, 2014 | 38.7 | 32.8 | 23.7 | 4.3 | 0.5 | Telephone | 500 | ±4.4% | 19 | ||
Oraclepoll Research | May 5, 2014 | 31 | 42 | 25 | 3 | Telephone | 1,000 | ±3.2% | 19 | |||
Forum Research | May 3, 2014 | 33 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 1 | IVR | 1,845 | ±2% | 19 | ||
EKOS | May 1, 2014 | 34.7 | 31.6 | 22.2 | 9.4 | 2.0 | IVR | 1,576 | ±2.5% | 19 | ||
Election 2011 | October 6, 2011 | 37.65 | 35.45 | 22.74 | 2.92 | 1.24 | Ballot | 4,316,382 |
1 Innovative Research states, for Province Wide Online Survey, "Margin of error not applicable, online samples not random."
2 Data shown above for campaign-period polls are top-line results, typically among all eligible voters. However, certain pollsters additionally report results among "likely voters" in an effort to better predict the actual outcome of the election. When available, these alternative results are shown in the following table:
Likely voters
Polling firm | Last date of polling |
Link | Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Libertarian | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EKOS | June 11, 2014 | 42.2 | 35.9 | 16.9 | 2.9 | 2.1 | ||
Abacus Data | June 11, 2014 | 36 | 36 | 23 | 5 | 1 | ||
Ipsos Reid | June 11, 2014 | HTML | 30 | 36 | 30 | 4 | ||
EKOS | June 10, 2014 | 41.1 | 33.2 | 17.1 | 5.6 | 2.9 | ||
Angus Reid | June 10, 2014 | 34 | 36 | 24 | 5 | 1 | ||
EKOS | June 9, 2014 | 38.1 | 36.3 | 16.9 | 5.7 | 3.1 | ||
EKOS | June 8, 2014 | 42.2 | 35.4 | 13.9 | 6.4 | 2.0 | ||
Abacus Data | June 7, 2014 | 34 | 34 | 26 | 5 | 1 | ||
EKOS | June 6, 2014 | 40.7 | 35.7 | 16.3 | 5.6 | 1.8 | ||
Ipsos Reid | June 6, 2014 | HTML | 32 | 40 | 24 | 3 | ||
EKOS | June 5, 2014 | 39.5 | 35.6 | 16.7 | 6.6 | 2 | ||
EKOS | June 4, 2014 | 41.4 | 32.0 | 17.8 | 6.2 | 3 | ||
Abacus Data | May 31, 2014 | 37 | 35 | 22 | 5 | 2 | ||
Ipsos Reid | May 29, 2014 | HTML | 29 | 41 | 25 | 4 | ||
Abacus Data | May 24, 2014 | 36 | 33 | 24 | 6 | 1 | ||
Ipsos Reid | May 21, 2014 | HTML | 30 | 41 | 26 | 3 | ||
Abacus Data | May 16, 2014 | 33 | 36 | 25 | 5 | 1 | ||
Ipsos Reid | May 14, 2014 | HTML | 31 | 43 | 22 | 4 | ||
Ipsos Reid | May 9, 2014 | HTML | 28 | 42 | 27 | 2 |
Pre-campaign period
Pre-campaign period polling (October 2011 – April 2014) | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polling firm | Last date of polling | Link | Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Type of poll | Sample size | |
Ipsos Reid | April 17, 2014 | HTML | 32 | 37 | 27 | 5 | Online | 813 | |
Innovative Research | April 14, 2014 | 39 | 30 | 23 | 7 | Online | 800 | ||
Nanos Research | April 11, 2014 | 36.3 | 36.0 | 21.6 | 5.7 | Telephone | 503 | ||
Forum Research | April 7, 2014 | 31 | 38 | 23 | 7 | IVR | 928 | ||
Oraclepoll Research | April 7, 2014 | 35 | 34 | 24 | 8 | Telephone | 1,000 | ||
EKOS | April 3, 2014 | 32.3 | 27.4 | 29.0 | 8.3 | IVR | 1,234 | ||
Innovative Research | March 26, 2014 | 38 | 33 | 25 | 4 | Online | 1,017 | ||
Forum Research | March 24, 2014 | 35 | 32 | 25 | 7 | IVR | 908 | ||
Nanos Research | March 3, 2014 | 35.7 | 32.9 | 24.5 | 6.8 | Telephone | 500 | ||
Forum Research | February 25, 2014 | HTML | 32 | 35 | 26 | 6 | IVR | 1,014 | |
Ipsos Reid | February 7, 2014 | HTML | 31 | 34 | 31 | 4 | Online | 828 | |
Forum Research | January 25, 2014 | HTML | 33 | 36 | 26 | 4 | IVR | 1,222 | |
Nanos Research | January 20, 2014 | 35.5 | 28.1 | 27.4 | 8.1 | Telephone | 500 | ||
Forum Research | December 18, 2013 | HTML | 31 | 38 | 24 | 5 | IVR | 1,044 | |
Forum Research | November 26, 2013 | 32 | 38 | 23 | 6 | IVR | 1,126 | ||
Ipsos Reid | November 6, 2013 | HTML | 34 | 31 | 31 | 5 | Online | 832 | |
Forum Research | October 25, 2013 | HTML | 31 | 34 | 27 | 7 | IVR | 1,049 | |
Forum Research | October 1, 2013 | HTML | 33 | 36 | 23 | 7 | IVR | 1,093 | |
Nanos Research | September 29, 2013 | 36.0 | 31.3 | 26.1 | 6.3 | Telephone | 500 | ||
Campaign Research | September 19, 2013 | 36 | 32 | 22 | 8 | IVR | 1,414 | ||
Abacus Data | September 4, 2013 | 30 | 33 | 30 | 5 | Online | 1,000 | ||
Forum Research | August 28, 2013 | 32 | 35 | 26 | 6 | IVR | 1,063 | ||
Innovative Research | August 27, 2013 | HTML | 37 | 30 | 22 | 10 | Telephone | 600 | |
Forum Research | July 22, 2013 | 31 | 36 | 27 | 5 | IVR | 914 | ||
Nanos Research | July 14, 2013 | 37.2 | 30.6 | 27.0 | 4.9 | Telephone | 500 | ||
EKOS | July 9, 2013 | 31.9 | 28.9 | 25.9 | 9.4 | IVR | 830 | ||
Forum Research | June 26, 2013 | 33 | 35 | 24 | 8 | IVR | 1,037 | ||
Forum Research | May 28, 2013 | 38 | 34 | 21 | 6 | IVR | 918 | ||
EKOS | May 26, 2013 | HTML | 34.9 | 29.6 | 22.6 | 9.4 | IVR | 1,152 | |
Ipsos Reid | May 21, 2013 | HTML | 34 | 34 | 26 | 5 | Online | 1,772 | |
Abacus Data | May 9, 2013 | 34 | 34 | 25 | 6 | Online | 1,185 | ||
Innovative Research | May 9, 2013 | 37 | 30 | 25 | 6 | Telephone | 610 | ||
Forum Research | May 3, 2013 | 35 | 35 | 25 | 4 | IVR | 869 | ||
Forum Research | April 26, 2013 | 36 | 36 | 24 | 4 | IVR | 1,133 | ||
Ipsos Reid | April 17, 2013 | HTML | 28 | 37 | 29 | 6 | Online | 1,360 | |
EKOS | April 10, 2013 | 30.8 | 31.7 | 25.5 | 9.7 | IVR | 1,084 | ||
Forum Research | March 27, 2013 | 33 | 35 | 26 | 5 | IVR | 1,156 | ||
Forum Research | March 1, 2013 | 32 | 32 | 29 | 5 | IVR | 2,773 | ||
Forum Research | February 20, 2013 | 29 | 36 | 28 | 5 | IVR | 1,053 | ||
Nanos Research | February 13, 2013 | 33.6 | 33.7 | 26.5 | 5.4 | Telephone | 500 | ||
EKOS | February 10, 2013 | 32.5 | 28.5 | 25.6 | 10.1 | IVR | 1,797 | ||
Abacus Data | February 6, 2013 | 30 | 33 | 31 | 5 | Online | 1,020 | ||
Innovative Research | January 29, 2013 | 31 | 30 | 27 | 9 | Telephone | 446 | ||
Forum Research | January 24, 2013 | 27 | 32 | 35 | 5 | IVR | 1,108 | ||
Forum Research | December 17, 2012 | 27 | 33 | 31 | 8 | IVR | 990 | ||
Abacus Data | December 8, 2012 | 28 | 35 | 31 | 5 | Online | 821 | ||
Forum Research | November 28, 2012 | 29 | 35 | 27 | 8 | IVR | 1,127 | ||
Oraclepoll Research | November 24, 2012 | 26 | 37 | 31 | 6 | Telephone | |||
Forum Research | October 31, 2012 | 22 | 37 | 32 | 7 | IVR | 1,102 | ||
Innovative Research | October 22, 2012 | 28 | 32 | 31 | 9 | Telephone | 600 | ||
Angus Reid | October 17, 2012 | 26 | 36 | 32 | 5 | Online | 802 | ||
Forum Research | September 25, 2012 | 20 | 37 | 35 | 7 | IVR | 851 | ||
Nanos Research | August 16, 2012 | 34.0 | 34.7 | 22.1 | 6.8 | Telephone | 1,000 | ||
Forum Research | August 15, 2012 | 27 | 38 | 28 | 6 | IVR | 1,021 | ||
Forum Research | June 15, 2012 | 26 | 38 | 30 | 5 | IVR | 1,098 | ||
Forum Research | June 4, 2012 | 28 | 36 | 30 | 4 | IVR | 1,038 | ||
Environics | May 25, 2012 | 25 | 37 | 28 | 10 | Telephone | 500 | ||
Forum Research | May 14, 2012 | 27 | 34 | 32 | 5 | IVR | 1,072 | ||
Nanos Research | May 13, 2012 | 31.0 | 33.6 | 28.5 | 5.6 | Telephone | 500 | ||
Forum Research | April 17, 2012 | 28 | 34 | 31 | 5 | IVR | 1,084 | ||
Nanos Research | April 15, 2012 | 35.4 | 32.1 | 26.5 | 6.0 | Telephone | 501 | ||
Environics | April 13, 2012 | HTML | 27 | 37 | 30 | 6 | Telephone | 500 | |
Forum Research | March 28, 2012 | 30 | 34 | 30 | 5 | IVR | 1,131 | ||
Forum Research | March 13, 2012 | 28 | 40 | 23 | 8 | IVR | 1,065 | ||
Nanos Research | March 5, 2012 | 39.9 | 30.0 | 24.7 | 4.3 | Telephone | 500 | ||
Forum Research | February 15, 2012 | 32 | 36 | 26 | 5 | IVR | 1,218 | ||
Forum Research | January 18, 2012 | 33 | 41 | 20 | 4 | IVR | 1,041 | ||
Nanos Research | November 13, 2011 | 39.1 | 34.5 | 21.6 | 3.5 | Telephone | 500 | ||
Innovative Research | November 2, 2011 | 39 | 34 | 23 | 4 | Online | 545 | ||
Election 2011 | October 6, 2011 | 37.65 | 35.45 | 22.74 | 2.92 | Ballot | 4,316,382 |
Incumbent MPPs not running for re-election
Liberals
- Rick Bartolucci, Sudbury[36]
- Donna Cansfield, Etobicoke Centre[37]
- John Gerretsen, Kingston and the Islands[38]
- Phil McNeely, Ottawa—Orléans[39]
- John Milloy, Kitchener Centre[40]
Progressive Conservative
Candidates by region
East
Ottawa
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Libertarian | Other | |||||||||
Carleton—Mississippi Mills | Rosalyn Stevens | Jack MacLaren | John Hansen | Andrew West | Jack MacLaren | |||||||||
Nepean—Carleton | Jack Uppal | Lisa MacLeod | Ric Dagenais | Gordon Kubanek | Coreen Corcoran | Lisa MacLeod | ||||||||
Ottawa Centre | Yasir Naqvi | Rob Dekker | Jennifer McKenzie | Kevin O'Donnell | Bruce Faulkner | Larry Wasslen (Communist) | Yasir Naqvi | |||||||
Ottawa—Orléans | Marie-France Lalonde | Andrew Lister | Prosper M'Bemba-Meka | Bob Bell | Gerald Bourdeau | Phil McNeely† | ||||||||
Ottawa South | John Fraser | Matt Young | Bronwyn Funiciello | Matt Lakatos-Hayward | Jean-Serge Brisson | Espoir Manirambona (Communist)
John Redins (Special Needs) |
John Fraser | |||||||
Ottawa—Vanier | Madeleine Meilleur | Martin Forget | Hervé Ngamby | David Bagler | Phillip Richard | Madeleine Meilleur | ||||||||
Ottawa West—Nepean | Bob Chiarelli | Randall Denley | Alex Cullen | Alex Hill | Matthew Brooks | Bob Chiarelli |
Eastern Ontario
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Libertarian | Other | |||||||||
Glengarry— Prescott—Russell |
Grant Crack | Roxane Villeneuve Robertson | Isabelle Sabourin | Raymond St. Martin | Darcy Donnelly |
Marc-Antoine Gagnier (Independent), |
Grant Crack | |||||||
Kingston and the Islands | Sophie Kiwala | Mark Bain | Mary Rita Holland | Robert Kiley | Jonathan Reid (Freedom) | John Gerretsen† | ||||||||
Lanark—Frontenac— Lennox and Addington |
Bill MacDonald | Randy Hillier | Dave Parkhill | Cam Mather | Randy Hillier | |||||||||
Leeds—Grenville | Christine Milks | Steve Clark | David Lundy | Steve Bowering | Harold Gabriel | Steve Clark | ||||||||
Prince Edward—Hastings | Georgina Thompson | Todd Smith | Merrill Stewart | Anita Payne | Lindsay Forbes | Todd Smith | ||||||||
Renfrew—Nipissing— Pembroke |
Rod Boileau | John Yakabuski | Brian Dougherty | Benjamin Wright |
Chad Beckwith-Smith (Independent), |
John Yakabuski | ||||||||
Stormont—Dundas— South Glengarry |
John Earle | Jim McDonell | Elaine MacDonald | Sharron Norman | Shawn McRae | Jim McDonell |
Central Ontario
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Libertarian | Other | |||||||||
Barrie | Ann Hoggarth | Rod Jackson | David Bradbury | Bonnie North | Darren Roskam | Rod Jackson | ||||||||
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound | Ellen Anderson | Bill Walker | Karen Gventer | Jenny Parsons | Caleb Voskamp | Jamie Spence (Freedom) | Bill Walker | |||||||
Dufferin—Caledon | Bobbie Daid | Sylvia Jones | Rehya Rebecca Yazbek | Karren Wallace | Daniel Kowalewski | Sylvia Jones | ||||||||
Durham | Granville Anderson | Mike Patrick | Derek Spence | Halyna Zalucky | Conner Toye | John O'Toole† | ||||||||
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock | Rick Johnson | Laurie Scott | Don Abel | Arsalan Ahmad | Laurie Scott | |||||||||
Newmarket—Aurora | Chris Ballard | Jane Twinney | Angus Duff | Andrew Roblin | Jason Jenkins |
Dorian Baxter (Cdns' Choice), |
Frank Klees† | |||||||
Northumberland— Quinte West |
Lou Rinaldi | Rob Milligan | Kira Mees | Gudrun Ludorf-Weaver | Rob Milligan | |||||||||
Peterborough | Jeff Leal | Scott Stewart | Sheila Wood | Gary Beamish |
Andrea Gar Quiano (Socialist), |
Jeff Leal | ||||||||
Simcoe—Grey | Lorne Kenney | Jim Wilson | David Matthews | Jesseca Dudun | Jim Wilson | |||||||||
Simcoe North | Fred Larsen | Garfield Dunlop | Doris Middleton | Peter Stubbins | Garfield Dunlop | |||||||||
York—Simcoe | Loralea Carruthers | Julia Munro | Laura Bowman | Peter Elgie | Craig Wallace | Julia Munro |
905 Belt
Durham & York
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Libertarian | Other | |||||||||
Ajax—Pickering | Joe Dickson | Todd McCarthy | Jermaine King | Adam Narraway | Kyle Stewart | Joe Dickson | ||||||||
Markham—Unionville | Michael Chan | Shan Thayaparan | Nadine Kormos Hawkins | Myles O'Brien | Allen Small | Michael Chan | ||||||||
Oak Ridges—Markham | Helena Jaczek | Farid Wassef | Miles Krauter | Emilia Melara | Karl Boelling | Gennady Vilensky (Trillium) | Helena Jaczek | |||||||
Oshawa | Esrick Quintyn | Jerry Ouellette | Jennifer French | Becky Smit | Jerry Ouellette | |||||||||
Pickering— Scarborough East |
Tracy MacCharles | Kevin Gaudet | Eileen Higdon | Anthony Navarro | Scott Hoefig | Matt Oliver (Freedom) | Tracy MacCharles | |||||||
Richmond Hill | Reza Moridi | Vic Gupta | Adam DeVita | Rachael Lave | Igor Bily | Yuri Duboisky (Moderate) | Reza Moridi | |||||||
Thornhill | Sandra Yeung Racco | Gila Martow | Cindy Hackelberg | David Bergart | Gene Balfour | Erin Goodwin (Freedom) | Gila Martow | |||||||
Vaughan | Steven Del Duca | Peter Meffe | Marco Coletta | Matthew Pankhurst | Paolo Fabrizio | Steven Del Duca | ||||||||
Whitby—Oshawa | Ajay Krishnan | Christine Elliott | Ryan Kelly | Stacey Leadbetter | Douglas Thom (Freedom) | Christine Elliott |
Brampton, Mississauga & Oakville
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Libertarian | Other | |||||||||
Bramalea—Gore— Malton |
Kuldip Kular | Harjit Jaswal | Jagmeet Singh | Pauline Thornham | Jagmeet Singh | |||||||||
Brampton—Springdale | Harinder Malhi | Pam Hundal | Gurpreet Dhillon | Laila Zarrabi Yan | Elizabeth Hill (Communist) | Vacant | ||||||||
Brampton West | Vic Dhillon | Randeep Sandhu | Gugni Gill Panaich | Sayyeda Ebrahim | Luis Chacin |
Ted Harlson (Freedom), |
Vic Dhillon | |||||||
Mississauga— Brampton South |
Amrit Mangat | Amarjeet Gill | Kevin Troake | Kathy Acheson | Richard Levesque |
Robert Alilovic (Independent), |
Amrit Mangat | |||||||
Mississauga East— Cooksville |
Dipika Damerla | Zoran Churchin | Fayaz Karim | Linh Nguyen | Levko Iwanusiw | Dolly Catena (EPP) | Dipika Damerla | |||||||
Mississauga—Erindale | Harinder Takhar | Jeff White | Michelle Bilek | Vivek Gupta | Chris Jewell |
Nabila Kiyani (FamilyCoalition), |
Harinder Takhar | |||||||
Mississauga South | Charles Sousa | Effie Triantafilopoulos | Boris Rosolak | Lloyd Jones | James Judson | Andrew Weber (NOTA) | Charles Sousa | |||||||
Mississauga—Streetsville | Bob Delaney | Nina Tangri | Anju Sikka | Scott Warner | Dave Walach | Alexander Vezina (NOTA) | Bob Delaney | |||||||
Oakville | Kevin Flynn | Larry Scott | Che Marville | Andrew Chlobowski | David Clement | Silvio Ursomarzo (Freedom) | Kevin Flynn |
Toronto
Scarborough
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Other | ||||||||
Scarborough—Agincourt | Soo Wong | Liang Chen | Alex Wilson | Pauline Thompson | Kevin Clarke (People's) | Soo Wong | ||||||
Scarborough Centre | Brad Duguid | David Ramalho | Carol Baker | Edward Yaghledjian | Brad Duguid | |||||||
Scarborough—Guildwood | Mitzie Hunter | Ken Kirupa | Shuja Syed | Jeffrey Bustard |
Richard Kerr (Libertarian), |
Mitzie Hunter | ||||||
Scarborough—Rouge River | Bas Balkissoon | Raymond Cho | Neethan Shan | George Singh | Amir Khan (NOTA) | Bas Balkissoon | ||||||
Scarborough Southwest | Lorenzo Berardinetti | Nita Kang | Jessie Macaulay | David Del Grande |
Tyler Rose (Libertarian), |
Lorenzo Berardinetti |
North York and North Toronto
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Freedom | Other | |||||||||
Don Valley East | Michael Coteau | Angela Kennedy | Akil Sadikali | Christopher McLeod | Wayne Simmons | Michael Coteau | ||||||||
Don Valley West | Kathleen Wynne | David Porter | Khalid Ahmed | Louis Fliss | Tracy Curley |
Dimitrios Kabitsis (Communist), |
Kathleen Wynne | |||||||
Eglinton—Lawrence | Michael Colle | Robin Martin | Thomas Gallezot | Lucas McCann | Michael Bone | Erwin Sniedzins (Independent) | Michael Colle | |||||||
Willowdale | David Zimmer | Michael Ceci | Alexander Brown | Teresa Pun | David Zimmer | |||||||||
York Centre | Monte Kwinter | Avi Yufest | John Fagan | Josh Borenstein | Laurence Cherniak | Monte Kwinter |
Toronto & East York
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Libertarian | Freedom | Other | ||||||||||
Beaches—East York | Arthur Potts | Nicolas Johnson | Michael Prue | Debra Scott | Alex Lindsay | Naomi Poley-Fisher | Michael Prue | |||||||||
Davenport | Cristina Martins | Lan Daniel | Jonah Schein | Daniel Stein | Nunzio Venuto | Franz Cauchi |
Mariam Ahmad (Communist), |
Jonah Schein | ||||||||
St. Paul's | Eric Hoskins | Justine Deluce | Luke Savage | Josh Rachlis | John Kittredge | Mike Rita | Eric Hoskins | |||||||||
Toronto Centre | Glen Murray | Martin Abell | Kate Sellar | Mark Daye | Judi Falardeau | Chris Goodwin |
Lada Alekseychuk (Special Needs), |
Glen Murray | ||||||||
Toronto—Danforth | Rob Newman | Naomi Solomon | Peter Tabuns | Rachel Power | Thomas Armstrong | Tristan Parlette |
Elizabeth Rowley (Communist), |
Peter Tabuns | ||||||||
Trinity—Spadina | Han Dong | Roberta Scott | Rosario Marchese | Tim Grant | Andrew Echevarria |
Paul Figueiras (Vegan Environ.), |
Rosario Marchese |
Etobicoke & York
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Libertarian | Freedom | Other | ||||||||||
Etobicoke Centre | Yvan Baker | Pina Martino | Chris Jones | George Morrison | Alexander Bussmann | Andrew Kuess |
John Martins (People's), |
Donna Cansfield† | ||||||||
Etobicoke—Lakeshore | Peter Milczyn | Doug Holyday | P. C. Choo | Angela Salewsky | Mark Wrzesniewski | Jeff Merklinger | Doug Holyday | |||||||||
Etobicoke North | Shafiq Qaadri | Tony Milone | Nigel Barriffe | Kenny Robertson | Allan deRoo | James McConnell | Shafiq Qaadri | |||||||||
Parkdale—High Park | Nancy Leblanc | Jamie Ellerton | Cheri DiNovo | Tim Rudkins | Redmond Weissenberger | Melanie Motz | Matthew Vezina (NOTA) | Cheri DiNovo | ||||||||
York South—Weston | Laura Albanese | Andrew Ffrench | Paul Ferreira | Jessica Higgins | Eric Compton | Abi Issa (Independent) | Laura Albanese | |||||||||
York West | Mario Sergio | Karlene Nation | Tom Rakocevic | Keith Jarrett | Kayla Baptiste | Wally Schwauss (Independent) | Mario Sergio |
Hamilton, Burlington & Niagara
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Libertarian | Other | |||||||||
Ancaster—Dundas— Flamborough—Westdale |
Ted McMeekin | Donna Skelly | Alex Johnstone | Raymond Dartsch | Glenn Langton | Barry Spruce (Freedom) | Ted McMeekin | |||||||
Burlington | Eleanor McMahon | Jane McKenna | Jan Mowbray | Meredith Cross | Charles Zach | Andrew Brannan (Freedom) | Jane McKenna | |||||||
Halton | Indira Naidoo-Harris | Ted Chudleigh | Nik Spohr | Susan Farrant | Kal Ghory | Gerry Marsh (FamilyCoalition) | Ted Chudleigh | |||||||
Hamilton Centre | Donna Tiqui-Shebib | John Vail | Andrea Horwath | Peter Ormond | Andrea Horwath | |||||||||
Hamilton East— Stoney Creek |
Ivan Luksic | David Brown | Paul Miller | Greg Zink | Mark Burnison | Britney Johnston (Freedom) | Paul Miller | |||||||
Hamilton Mountain | Javid Mirza | Albert Marshall | Monique Taylor | Greg Lenko | Hans Wienhold | Brian Goodwin (Freedom) | Monique Taylor | |||||||
Niagara Falls | Lionel Tupman | Bart Maves | Wayne Gates | Clarke Bitter | Ralph Panucci | John Beam (NOTA) | Wayne Gates | |||||||
Niagara West—Glanbrook | David Mossey | Tim Hudak | Brian McCormack | Basia Krzyzanowski | Stefanos Karatopis | Geoff Peacock (Freedom) | Tim Hudak | |||||||
St. Catharines | Jim Bradley | Mat Siscoe | Jennie Stevens | Karen Fraser | Nicholas Dushko | Jim Bradley | ||||||||
Welland | Benoit Mercier | Frank Campion | Cindy Forster | Donna Cridland | Andrea Murik | Cindy Forster |
Midwestern Ontario
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Libertarian | Other | |||||||||
Brant | Dave Levac | Phil Gillies | Alex Felsky | Ken Burns | Rob Ferguson |
Brittni Mitchell (Freedom), |
Dave Levac | |||||||
Cambridge | Kathryn McGarry | Rob Leone | Bobbi Stewart | Temara Brown | Allan Dettweiler | Rob Leone | ||||||||
Guelph | Liz Sandals | Anthony MacDonald | James Gordon | Mike Schreiner | Blair Smythe | Juanita Burnett (Communist) | Liz Sandals | |||||||
Haldimand—Norfolk | Karen Robinson | Toby Barrett | Ian Nichols | Anne Faulkner | Brad Mottashed | Toby Barrett | ||||||||
Huron—Bruce | Colleen Schenk | Lisa Thompson | Jan Johnstone | Adam Werstine | Max Maister |
Dennis Valenta (EPP), |
Lisa Thompson | |||||||
Kitchener Centre | Daiene Vernile | Wayne Wettlaufer | Margaret Johnston | Ronnie Smith | Patrick Bernier | John Milloy† | ||||||||
Kitchener—Conestoga | Wayne Wright | Michael Harris | James Villeneuve | David Weber | David Schumm | Michael Harris | ||||||||
Kitchener—Waterloo | Jamie Burton | Tracey Weiler | Catherine Fife | Stacey Danckert | James Schulz | Catherine Fife | ||||||||
Oxford | Dan Moulton | Ernie Hardeman | Bryan Smith | Mike Farlow | Devin Wright | Tim Hodges (Freedom) | Ernie Hardeman | |||||||
Perth—Wellington | Stewart Skinner | Randy Pettapiece | Romayne Smith Fullerton | Chris Desjardins | Scott Marshall |
Matthew Murphy (Independent), |
Randy Pettapiece | |||||||
Wellington—Halton Hills | Dan Zister | Ted Arnott | Michael Carlucci | Dave Rodgers | Jason Cousineau | Mitch Sproule (Freedom) | Ted Arnott |
Southwestern Ontario
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Libertarian | Other | |||||||||
Chatham-Kent—Essex | Terry Johnson | Rick Nicholls | Dan Gelinas | Ken Bell | Douglas McLarty | Rick Nicholls | ||||||||
Elgin—Middlesex—London | Serge Lavoie | Jeff Yurek | Kathy Cornish | John Fisher | Clare Maloney (Freedom) | Jeff Yurek | ||||||||
Essex | Crystal Meloche | Ray Cecile | Taras Natyshak | Mark Vercouteren | Taras Natyshak | |||||||||
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex | Mike Radan | Monte McNaughton | Joe Hill | James Armstrong | Matt Willson |
Dave Durnin (Freedom), |
Monte McNaughton | |||||||
London—Fanshawe | Marcel Marcellin | Chris Robson | Teresa Armstrong | William Sorrell | Tim Harnick |
Paul McKeever (Freedom), |
Teresa Armstrong | |||||||
London North Centre | Deb Matthews | Nancy Branscombe | Judy Bryant | Kevin Labonte |
Dave McKee (Communist), |
Deb Matthews | ||||||||
London West | Nick Steinburg | Jeff Bennett | Peggy Sattler | Keith McAlister | Al Gretzky (Freedom) | Peggy Sattler | ||||||||
Sarnia—Lambton | Anne Marie Gillis | Bob Bailey | Brian White | Kevin Shaw | Andrew Falby | Bob Bailey | ||||||||
Windsor—Tecumseh | Jason Dupuis | Brandon Wright | Percy Hatfield | Adam Wright | Timothy Marshall | Percy Hatfield | ||||||||
Windsor West | Teresa Piruzza | Henry Lau | Lisa Gretzky | Chad Durocher | Helmi Charif (Independent) | Teresa Piruzza |
Northern Ontario
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Libertarian | Other | |||||||||
Algoma—Manitoulin | Craig Hughson | Jib Turner | Michael Mantha | Alexandra Zalucky | Richard Hadidian | Michael Mantha | ||||||||
Kenora—Rainy River | Anthony Leek | Randy Nickle | Sarah Campbell | Tim McKillop | Sarah Campbell | |||||||||
Nickel Belt | James Tregonning | Marck Blay | France Gélinas | Heather Dahlstrom | France Gélinas | |||||||||
Nipissing | Catherine Whiting | Vic Fedeli | Henri Giroux | Nicole Peltier | Derek Elliott | Patrick Clement (Independent) | Vic Fedeli | |||||||
Parry Sound—Muskoka | Dan Waters | Norm Miller | Clyde Mobbley | Matt Richter | Andy Stivrins (Freedom) | Norm Miller | ||||||||
Sault Ste. Marie | David Orazietti | Rod Fremlin | Celia Ross | Kara Flannigan | Austin Williams | David Orazietti | ||||||||
Sudbury | Andrew Olivier | Paula Peroni | Joe Cimino | Casey Lalonde | Steve Wilson | J. David Popescu (Independent) | Rick Bartolucci† | |||||||
Thunder Bay—Atikokan | Bill Mauro | Harold Wilson | Mary Kozorys | John Northey | Joe Talarico | Ed Deibel (N.Ont. Heritage) | Bill Mauro | |||||||
Thunder Bay—Superior North | Michael Gravelle | Derek Parks | Andrew Foulds | Joseph LeBlanc | Tamara Johnson | Paul Sloan (N.Ont. Heritage) | Michael Gravelle | |||||||
Timiskaming—Cochrane | Sébastien Goyer | Peter Politis | John Vanthof | Cody Fraser | Gino Chitaroni (N.Ont. Heritage) | John Vanthof | ||||||||
Timmins—James Bay | Sylvie Fontaine | Steve Black | Gilles Bisson | Bozena Hrycyna | Fauzia Sadiq (Conf of Regions) | Gilles Bisson |
- † Indicates MPP not running for re-election.
Issues
Economy
Unemployment in Ontario was a major political issue. In particular, the manufacturing sector had shrunk by about 30% or more than 300,000 jobs since 2002.[44]
The Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario proposed a plan called "Million Jobs Plan", outlining their strategy for job creation and economic growth. By reducing tax, government services, energy costs and regulations the PCs projected to create a cumulative 507,488 jobs over eight years.[45] The plan also called for the reduction of 100,000 civil service jobs. Economists and critics noted fundamental mathematical errors with the PCs' projections. They held, even if the PCs' own data were correctly tabulated, only 50,000 extra jobs would be created (in addition to the 500,000 that would be created anyway without any policy change).[46]
The Ontario Liberal Party proposed the 10 year "Jobs and Investment Plan", which proposed infrastructure investments as their main strategy to create jobs.[47]
The Ontario New Democratic Party platform called for targeted tax credits and incentives to encourage job creation.[48]
The Green Party of Ontario policy proposal stated that it would "focus on your job by lowering payroll taxes for small businesses" as well as investing in transit infrastructure and subsidising energy-saving home improvements.[49]
The Ontario Libertarian Party called for mass privatization, lower taxes and general deregulation, eliminating many business requirements such as permitting, insurance and certification that they considered to be interfering with job creation.[50] Their platform called for government spending to be limited to "only core functions of government; defending life, liberty, and property"[51] and as such would have eliminated industry subsidies or incentives of any kind, particularly in the energy sector.[52]
The Communist Party of Ontario called for raising the minimum wage to $19/hr as well as introducing a guaranteed annual income, nationalization of the domestic steel industry, and investments in public housing, infrastructure and social programs, while shifting taxes from lower to higher income-earners and businesses.[53]
Transit
Due to rapid urban and suburban expansion in southern Ontario, traffic congestion had been increasing greatly. A 2013 study by the CD Howe Institute determined that it was costing $7.5-11 billion annually for the economy of Toronto alone.[54][55]
The Liberals promised $29 billion in infrastructure spending, $15 billion of which would go towards building new transit (mostly LRT) lines in the GTHA, based on the outline of Metrolinx's The Big Move plan, as well as an LRT in Ottawa.[56][57] A high-speed rail line crossing the province from the southeast into Quebec was also planned. The PCs promised to finish building the Eglinton Crosstown, but cancel all the other planned lines, and instead focus on quickly expanding GO service.[58] The NDP plan was similar to the Liberal plan, but included an extra $1 billion to get certain projects built faster.[56]
Endorsements
Media endorsements
The following media outlets made endorsements during the campaign:
Liberal
Progressive Conservative
- Burlington Post ,[62] The Flamborough Review ,[63] Oakville Beaver [64] (Same editorial printed in several papers)
- The Globe and Mail [65] (endorsing a minority government)
- National Post [66]
- Ottawa Citizen [67]
- Toronto Sun ,[68] Ottawa Sun [69] (Identical editorial printed in multiple cities)
- Windsor Star [70]
New Democratic Party
- Sudbury Star [71] (endorsing a minority government)
Explicitly not endorsing any party
Public figure endorsements
The media has reported the following endorsements by public figures during the campaign:
- Deputy Mayor of Toronto, and acting mayor, Norm Kelly endorsed Liberal leader Kathleen Wynne.[74]
- Mayor of Mississauga, Hazel McCallion endorsed Liberal leader Kathleen Wynne.[75]
- Mayor of Kitchener, Carl Zehr endorsed Liberal leader Kathleen Wynne.[76]
See also
- Independent candidates, 2014 Ontario provincial election
References
- "STATISTICAL SUMMARY" (PDF). Elections Ontario. June 13, 2014. Retrieved April 28, 2018.
- "Ontario election 2014: Liberals return to power with majority". CBC News. June 12, 2014. Retrieved June 12, 2014.
- "Ontario election 2014: Tim Hudak to step down". CBC News. June 12, 2014. Retrieved June 12, 2014.
- "Ontario election 2014: Wynne vows to re-introduce budget - Toronto - CBC News". CBC News. 2014-05-02. Retrieved 2014-05-29.
- "Ontario Election Seemingly On Way As NDP Won't Support Budget". Huffington Post. May 2, 2014. Retrieved May 2, 2014.
- Loriggio, Paola (14 June 2014). "Sexuality a 'non-issue' during Wynne's election campaign: expert". National Post. Canadian Press. Retrieved 21 June 2014.
- "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 2014-06-25. Retrieved 2014-07-12.CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
- Bostelaar, Robert. "Declined ballots jump 1,300% in Ontario election". Ottawa Citizen. Retrieved 20 June 2014.
- "Summary of Valid Votes cast for each Candidate" (PDF). Elections Ontario. June 12, 2014. Archived from the original (PDF) on December 12, 2017. Retrieved May 13, 2018.
- "Energy Minister Chris Bentley to resign his seat". Toronto Star. February 8, 2013. Retrieved February 11, 2013.
- "Ontario byelections: NDP wins 2, PCs take 1 seat". CBC News. August 1, 2013. Retrieved August 1, 2013.
- Criger, Erin (June 12, 2013). "Dalton McGuinty officially resigns as MPP". City News. Retrieved June 13, 2013.
- "Toronto MPP Margarett Best resigns from legislature". CBC News. June 27, 2013. Retrieved June 29, 2013.
- "Liberal cabinet minister Laurel Broten quits". CBC News. June 23, 2013. Retrieved June 24, 2013.
- "Liberal MPP Kim Craitor resigns, setting up byelection". Toronto Star. September 24, 2013. Retrieved September 24, 2013.
- "NDP takes Niagara, Tories keep Thornhill in Ontario byelections". CBC News. February 13, 2014. Retrieved February 14, 2014.
- "Former PC finance critic Peter Shurman resigns as MPP". The Canadian Press. December 10, 2013. Retrieved December 10, 2013.
- "Linda Jeffrey leaving Queen's Park for Brampton mayoral bid". CBC News. March 24, 2014. Retrieved March 27, 2014.
- "MPPs return to work Nov. 21 to elect new Speaker". Toronto Star. November 2, 2011.
- "Horwath makes her budget demands". Toronto Sun. April 10, 2012.
- "Ontario budget: Dalton McGuinty warns NDP to curtail budget demands or face an election". Toronto Star. June 16, 2012.
- "Summer election avoided as Ontario budget bill passes". MetroNews. June 20, 2012. Archived from the original on January 15, 2013.
- Morrow, Howlett, Adrian, Karen (Oct 15, 2012). "Ontario Premier Dalton McGuinty resigns". The Globe and Mail. Toronto. Retrieved Oct 15, 2012.
- "Ontario Liberals to hold leadership convention in January". CBC News. October 21, 2012. Retrieved October 21, 2012.
- "Jobs, Economy, a Fair Society: Priorities for New Ontario Government". Office of the Premier of Ontario. February 11, 2013. Retrieved February 12, 2013.
- "Ontario election called for June 12 as Kathleen Wynne's Liberals lose support of NDP | National Post". News.nationalpost.com. 2014-05-02. Retrieved 2014-05-29.
- Once again, Kathleen Wynne settles the debate
- Tim Hudak to step down as PC leader
- Verstraten, Katelyn. "Ontario election reversal: Thornhill goes PC, not Liberal, after "data entry error"". Toronto Star. Torstar. Retrieved 15 June 2014.
- "Ontario election reversal: Thornhill goes PC, not Liberal, after "data entry error"". CityNews. CityNews. Retrieved 2015-09-26.
- "The dirty secret of political polling: It's now mostly a guess". The Globe and Mail. May 29, 2014. Retrieved June 16, 2014.
- "Ontario election: Why experts suggest ignoring opinion polls". Global News. May 30, 2014. Retrieved June 16, 2014.
- "Polls apart". NOW Magazine. June 5, 2014. Retrieved June 16, 2014.
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