2010 New Hampshire gubernatorial election

The 2010 New Hampshire gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic Governor John Lynch was re-elected to his fourth term and final term.[1]

2010 New Hampshire gubernatorial election
November 2, 2010
 
Nominee John Lynch John Stephen
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 239,390 205,433
Percentage 52.6% 45.1%
County Results

Lynch:      40–50%      50–60%

Stephen:      40–50%
Governor before election

John Lynch
Democratic

 Elected Governor

John Lynch
Democratic

Elections in New Hampshire

Background

New Hampshire is one of only two states where the Governor serves for a two-year term, the other being neighboring Vermont. Lynch was re-elected by landslide margins in 2006 and 2008, and has enjoyed historically high approval ratings. In early 2010, his approval rating showed a downward trend, with an April poll indicating that his approval had fallen below 50% (44% approve, 42% disapprove).[2] After the primary elections in mid-September, Lynch's approval rating rebounded (51% approve, 38% disapprove).[3]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • John Lynch, incumbent Governor[4]
  • Timothy Robertson, state representative
  • Frank Sullivan

Results
Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic John Lynch (incumbent) 49,832 87.5
Democratic Timothy Robertson 3,771 6.6
Democratic Frank Sullivan 3,377 5.9
Total votes 56,980 97.3

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Frank Robert Emiro Sr., state representative
  • Jack Kimball, businessman[6]
  • John Stephen, former Health and Human Services Commissioner[7]
  • Karen Testerman, conservative activist[6]

Declined

Polling
Poll source Dates administered Jack
Kimball		 John
Stephen		 Karen
Testerman
Public Policy Polling September 11–12, 2010 24% 45% 8%
Public Policy Polling July 23–25, 2010 15% 26% 5%
Public Policy Polling April 17–18, 2010 10% 29% 15%

Results
Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Stephen 77,962 61.6
Republican Jack Kimball 31,581 24.9
Republican Karen Testerman 12,708 10.0
Republican Frank Emiro 4,394 3.5
Total votes 126,645 96.7

General election

Candidates
  • John Babiarz, Libertarian
  • John Lynch, Democratic
  • John Stephen, Republican

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report Solid D[11] October 12, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball Leans D[12] October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics Safe D[13]
Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe D[14] September 30, 2010
CQ Politics Safe D[15] October 12, 2010

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 John
Lynch (D)		 John
Stephen (R)
Rasmussen Reports October 27, 2010 51% 45%
WMUR/UNH October 7–12, 2010 51% 38%
American Research Group October 3–5, 2010 51% 41%
Granite State Poll October 1, 2010 51% 34%
American Research Group September 22–26, 2010 42% 40%
Rasmussen Reports September 15, 2010 48% 46%
Public Policy Polling September 11–12, 2010 51% 39%
Rasmussen Reports August 5, 2010 50% 39%
Public Policy Polling July 23–25, 2010 51% 34%
Rasmussen Reports May 26, 2010 47% 35%
Public Policy Polling April 17–18, 2010 47% 36%
Rasmussen Reports April 7, 2010 47% 37%
Rasmussen Reports March 8, 2010 50% 35%
Granite State Poll January 27-February 3, 2010 50% 30%

Results
2010 New Hampshire gubernatorial election
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Democratic John Lynch (incumbent) 240,346 52.63% -17.57%
Republican John Stephen 205,616 45.03% +17.43%
Libertarian John Babiarz 10,089 2.21% +0.02%
Write-in 537 <0.01% N/A
Total votes 456,588 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold
gollark: Just remove your hands.
gollark: It will reduce your WPM by a factor *independent of length*.
gollark: Your accuracy is still constant, though? So it doesn't matter.
gollark: You're not less likely to make mistakes, if we assume mistakes have a constant probability per keystroke/word, which they probably do.
gollark: The shorter tests are easier because something.

References
  1. "NH Gov. John Lynch Running for 4th Term - FOX44NOW.COM - Burlington/Plattsburgh News, Weather and Sports". FOX44NOW.COM. Archived from the original on March 1, 2012. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  2. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2010/PPP_Release_NH_423.pdf
  3. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NH_916.pdf
  4. "Gov. Lynch could face difficult re-election bid » New Hampshire » EagleTribune.com, North Andover, MA". Eagletribune.com. April 18, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  5. "New Hampshire Gubernatorial Primary Results". Politico. September 14, 2010. Retrieved September 14, 2010.
  6. John Distaso (December 9, 2009). "Testerman steps into the ring in governor's race". The Union Leader. Archived from the original on February 20, 2010. Retrieved January 1, 2010.
  7. "John Stephen for Governor | New Leadership for New Hampshire". Johnstephen.com. Archived from the original on September 15, 2008. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  8. "Republicans land top recruit in New Hampshire - The Scorecard". Politico.Com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  9. "Frank Guinta for Congress". Teamguinta.com. July 29, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  10. "Downing runs for sheriff, Morse for NH Senate » Latest News » EagleTribune.com, North Andover, MA". Eagletribune.com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  11. "Senate". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 12, 2010.
  12. "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
  13. "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 12, 2010.
  14. "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 12, 2010.
  15. "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 12, 2010.
Official campaign sites (Archived)
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