2010 New Brunswick general election

The 2010 New Brunswick general election was held on September 27, 2010, to elect 55 members to the 57th New Brunswick Legislative Assembly, the governing house of the province of New Brunswick, Canada. The incumbent Liberal government won 13 seats, while the opposition Progressive Conservatives won a landslide majority of 42 seats in the legislature. As leader of the PC party, David Alward became New Brunswick's 32nd premier.

2010 New Brunswick general election
September 27, 2010
55 seats of the Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick
28 seats needed for a majority
Turnout69.56% [1]
  First party Second party Third party
 
NDP
Leader David Alward Shawn Graham Roger Duguay
Party Progressive Conservative Liberal New Democratic
Leader since October 18, 2008 May 11, 2002 October 13, 2007
Leader's seat Woodstock Kent Ran in Tracadie-Sheila (lost)
Last election 26 seats, 47.5% 29 seats, 47.1% 0 seats, 5.1%
Seats before 21 32 0
Seats won 42 13 0
Seat change 21 19 0
Popular vote 181,776 128,113 38,737
Percentage 48.84% 34.42% 10.41%
Swing 1.34pp 12.68pp 5.26pp
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding.
Premier before election

Shawn Graham
Liberals

 Premier after election

David Alward
Progressive Conservatives

The Lieutenant-Governor of New Brunswick – acting on the advice of the Premier – would have originally been able to call an election earlier or as late as 2011; however a bill in the 56th Legislature has fixed election dates to the fourth Monday of September every four years beginning with this election.[2]

With the defeat of Liberals, this election marked the first time in New Brunswick's history that a political party was voted out of office after just one term.[3]

Timeline

2006
  • October 10, 2006 - Organizers for the Green Party of Canada in New Brunswick announce plans to form a provincial Green Party in time to field a full slate of candidates in this election.[4]
  • November 5, 2006 - Allison Brewer resigns as leader of the New Democratic Party. She will be replaced on an interim basis by Pat Hanratty and permanently upon the election of a new leader in late 2007.
  • December 12, 2006 - An opinion poll conducted November 10 to December 7 by Corporate Research Associates showed the Liberals enjoying an unprecedented lead in opinion polls, standing at 65% in contrast to 27% for the Progressive Conservatives, 6% for the New Democrats and 2% for the Greens.[5]
  • December 13, 2006 - Bernard Lord resigns as leader of the Progressive Conservatives and announces he will resign his seat in the legislature on January 31, 2007.[6]

2007
  • March 5, 2007 - Liberal Chris Collins wins Lord's former seat in Moncton East changing the standings in the legislature to 30 Liberals, 25 Progressive Conservatives.
  • April 17, 2007 - Progressive Conservatives Joan MacAlpine-Stiles and Wally Stiles cross the floor and join the Liberals changing the standings in the legislature to Liberals 32, Progressive Conservatives 23.
  • May 29, 2007 - Government House Leader Stuart Jamieson tables Bill 75 which would fix election dates to the fourth Monday of September every four years beginning on September 27 in 2010.
  • October 13, 2007 - The NDP elect Roger Duguay as their new leader.

2008
  • May 17, 2008 - The Green Party of New Brunswick is formed. Mike Milligan is elected as the interim leader of the party until a convention can be held in the fall.
  • November 3, 2008 - Progressive Conservative Jack Carr holds a seat previously held by fellow Progressive Conservative Keith Ashfield who was elected as Conservative MP for Fredericton restoring the standings in the legislature to 32 Liberals, 23 Progressive Conservatives.

2009

2010
  • January 4, 2010 - Justice Minister Michael Murphy unexpectedly resigns his seat to "spend more time with his family and return to practising law".[8]
  • February 5, 2010 - Cabinet Minister Stuart Jamieson is forced to leave his cabinet post for suggesting that the NB power deal be put to a referendum.
  • March 24, 2010 - Premier Shawn Graham announces that the proposed sale of NB Power has been canceled.[9]
  • May 10, 2010 - Premier Shawn Graham shuffles the New Brunswick cabinet. Bernard LeBlanc is reinstated as minister of justice, and also named the first minister responsible for public engagement. Brian Kenny is promoted to the tourism portfolio. Cheryl Lavoie enters cabinet as minister of state for seniors. Donald Arseneault gains title of deputy premier.[10]
  • May 19, 2010 - Progressive Conservatives release Vision for Citizen Engagement and Responsible Government, a pre-campaign document that outlines the PC strategy to improve citizen engagement.[11]
  • June 9, 2010 - People's Alliance officially forms the newest N.B. political party under the leadership of former Tory Kris Austin.[12]
  • September 27, 2010 - David Alward is elected into office as Premier of New Brunswick.

Results
Summary of the 2010 Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick election results
Party Party leader # of
candidates		 Seats Popular vote
2006 Dissolution Elected % Change # % Change
  Progressive Conservative David Alward 55 26 21 42 +16 181,397 48.80% +1.30%
  Liberal Shawn Graham 55 29 32 13 -16 128,078 34.45% -12.65%
  New Democratic Roger Duguay 55 0 0 0 38,686 10.41% +5.26%
Green Jack MacDougall 49 * 0 0 16,943 4.56% *
People's Alliance Kris Austin 14 * 0 0 4,363 1.17% *
  Independent 7 0 0 0   2,275 0.61% +0.36%
  Vacant 2
Total 235 55 55 55 - 372,208 100%
Source: Provincial Election Results - Elections NB

* Party did not run candidates in the last election

Popular vote
PC
 
 48.80%
Liberal
 
 34.45%
New Democratic
 
 10.41%
Green
 
 4.56%
Others
 
 1.78%
Seats summary
PC
 
 76.36%
Liberal
 
 23.64%

Results by region
Party Name Central North East North West South East South West Total
  Progressive
Conservative		 Seats 9 7 7 8 11 42
  Popular Vote 52.26% 43.93% 59.76% 45.24% 50.41% 48.84%
  Liberal Seats 0 6 0 6 1 13
  Popular Vote 27.72% 40.52% 28.86% 37.78% 31.04% 34.42%
  New Democratic Seats 0 0 0 0 0 0
  Popular Vote 10.48% 12.88% 4.45% 9.58% 12.07% 10.41%
  Green Seats 0 0 0 0 0 0
  Popular Vote 6.46% 1.81% 2.56% 6.83% 4.50% 4.54%
  People's Alliance Seats 0 0 0 0 0 0
  Popular Vote 2.97% 0.86% 0.41% 0.38% 1.65% 1.18%
  Independent Seats 0 0 0 0 0 0
  Popular Vote 0.11% 0.00% 3.95% 0.19% 0.34% 0.61%
Total seats 9 13 7 14 12 55

Results by place
Party Seats Second Third Fourth
  Progressive Conservative 42 13 0 0
  Liberal 13 40 2 0
  New Democratic 0 1 41 11
Green 0 0 8 34
People's Alliance 0 0 2 4
  Independent 0 1 2 1

Target ridings

The following is a list of ridings which were narrowly lost by the indicated party. For instance, under the Liberal column are the 10 seats in which they came closest to winning from the Conservatives, while under the Conservative column are the 10 seats in which they came closest to winning from the Liberals. Listed is the name of the riding, and the margin, in terms of percentage of the vote, by which the party lost.

These ridings are likely to be targeted by the specified party because the party lost them by a very slim margin in the 2006 election.

Up to 10 are shown, with a maximum margin of victory of 15%. No party or independent candidate, other than the Liberals or Progressive Conservatives, came within 15% of winning any seats.

* Indicates incumbent not running again.

To clarify further; this is a list of provincial general election winners with their party in parentheses, and their margin as a percentage of the vote over the party whose list the seat is on (not the same as the margin of victory if the party potentially "targeting" the seat in that list did not finish second in the previous election). "Won" means that the targeting party won the seat from the incumbent party. "Held" means the incumbent party held the seat.

Liberal Progressive Conservative
  1. Dieppe Centre-Lewisville 0.7%* (won)
  2. Rothesay 1.5% (held)
  3. York 2.4% (held)
  4. Charlotte-Campobello 4.4%* (held)
  5. Saint John Portland 4.6% (held)
  6. Moncton West 4.8%* (won by PCs)
  7. New Maryland-Sunbury West 9.0% (held)
  8. Tracadie-Sheila 10.1% (held)
  9. Moncton Crescent 12.9% (held)
  10. Woodstock 13.0% (held)
  1. Fredericton-Nashwaaksis 2.0% (won)
  2. Bathurst 2.8% (held)
  3. Grand Lake-Gagetown 3.0%* (won)
  4. Fundy-River Valley 3.3% (won)
  5. Moncton North 4.3%* (won by PCs)
  6. Fredericton-Silverwood 6.5% (won)
  7. Nepisiguit 6.9% (won)
  8. Kent 7.0% (held)
  9. Quispamsis 7.3% (won)
  10. Southwest Miramichi 7.6% (won)

The ridings of Moncton East, Moncton West, Restigouche-La-Vallée and Petitcodiac are also likely to be targeted by the Conservatives as all have switched to the Liberals since the 2006 election. Moncton East and Restigouche-La-Vallée were carried by the Liberals in by-elections while the MLAs for Moncton West and Petitcodiac crossed the floor from the PCs to the Liberals.

Opinion polls
Polling Firm Date of Polling Link Liberal Progressive Conservative New Democratic Green People's Alliance
CBC News/L'Acadie Nouvelle September 20, 2010 HTML 37 47 9 5 0
Abacus Data September 19, 2010 PDF 38 42 11 6 2
Corporate Research Associates September 19, 2010 HTML 36 46 11 6 1
Corporate Research Associates September 18, 2010 HTML 38 45 10 6 1
Corporate Research Associates September 17, 2010 HTML 37 49 9 4 1
Corporate Research Associates September 16, 2010 HTML 38 48 9 5 1
Corporate Research Associates September 15, 2010 HTML 38 48 10 4 0
Corporate Research Associates September 14, 2010 HTML 37 50 9 4 0
Corporate Research Associates September 13, 2010 HTML 37 49 10 4 0
Corporate Research Associates September 12, 2010 HTML 38 49 9 4 0
Corporate Research Associates September 11, 2010 HTML 41 46 9 4 0
Corporate Research Associates September 9, 2010 HTML 41 45 9 4 0
Corporate Research Associates September 8, 2010 HTML 43 45 8 3 0
Corporate Research Associates September 7, 2010 HTML 43 43 11 3 0
Corporate Research Associates September 6, 2010 HTML 43 41 11 4 1
Corporate Research Associates September 5, 2010 HTML 43 41 11 4 1
Corporate Research Associates September 4, 2010 HTML 43 42 10 4 1
Corporate Research Associates September 1, 2010 HTML 42 43 10 3 2
Corporate Research Associates August 24, 2010 PDF 41 36 16 6 1
Corporate Research Associates May 31, 2010 PDF 37 42 16 5 —
Corporate Research Associates March 9, 2010 PDF 36 42 18 4 —
Corporate Research Associates December 2, 2009 PDF 36 46 14 4 —
Léger Marketing November 22, 2009 PDF 33 45 19 — —
Corporate Research Associates September, 2009 HTML 41 35 22 2 —
Corporate Research Associates May, 2009 HTML 41 40 16 3 —
Corporate Research Associates February, 2009 HTML 50 34 13 3 —
Corporate Research Associates November, 2008 HTML 45 38 13 4 —
Corporate Research Associates August, 2008 HTML 49 34 14 4 —
Corporate Research Associates May, 2008 HTML 51 36 11 2 —
Corporate Research Associates February, 2008 HTML 63 26 8 2 —
Corporate Research Associates November, 2007 HTML 53 32 10 4 —
Corporate Research Associates August, 2007 HTML 60 30 7 2 —
Corporate Research Associates May, 2007 HTML 53 33 10 4 —
Corporate Research Associates February, 2007 HTML 59 27 11 2 —
Corporate Research Associates November, 2006 HTML 65 27 6 2 —
Election 2006 September 18, 2006 HTML 47.1 47.5 5.1 — —

Candidates

Retiring incumbents

The following sitting MLAs have announced that they will not seek re-election.

Candidates by riding

Legend

  • bold denotes cabinet minister or party leader
  • italics denotes a potential candidate who has not received his/her party's nomination
  • † denotes an incumbent who is not running for re-election

Northeast
Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal PC NDP GreenOther
1. Campbellton-Restigouche Centre Roy Boudreau
2,453
34.42%		 Greg Davis
3,914
54.92%		 Widler Jules[20][21][22][23]
524
7.35%		 Lynn Morrison Hemson
236
3.31%		 Roy Boudreau
2. Dalhousie-Restigouche East Donald Arseneault
3,631
46.53%		 Joseph Elias
2,593
33.23%		 Ray Godin[24]
1,413
18.11%		 Susan Smissaert
167
2.14%		 Donald Arseneault
3. Nigadoo-Chaleur Roland Haché
3,649
49.77%		 Fred Albert
2,798
38.16%		 Serge Beaubrun[25]
706
9.63%		 Mathieu LaPlante
179
2.44%		 Roland Haché
4. Bathurst Brian Kenny
2,899
44.99%		 Nancy McKay
2,821
43.78%		 Sebastien Duke[26][27]
620
9.62%		 Hazel Hachey
104
1.61%		 Brian Kenny
5. Nepisiguit Cheryl Lavoie
1,946
32.49%		 Ryan Riordon
2,456
41.01%		 Pierre Cyr[28][29][30]
1,476
24.65%		 Patrice Des Lauriers
111
1.85%		 Cheryl Lavoie
6. Caraquet Hédard Albert
3,663 - (50.07%)		 Philip Chiasson[31]
3,041 - (41.57%)		 Claudia Julien[32]
406 - (5.55%)		 Mathieu Chayer
206 - (2.82%)		 Hédard Albert
7. Lamèque-Shippagan-Miscou Alonzo Rail[33]
2,304 - (31.74%)		 Paul Robichaud
4,272 - (58.84%)		 Armel Chiasson[34]
684 - (9.42%)		 Paul Robichaud
8. Centre-Péninsule-Saint-Sauveur Denis Landry
4,655 - (63.85%)		 Anike Robichaud[35]
1,487 - (20.40%)		 Francois Rousselle[36]
1,149 - (15.76%)		 Denis Landry
9. Tracadie-Sheila Norma McGraw
1,480 - (18.96%)		 Claude Landry
3,808 - (48.78%)		 Roger Duguay[37]
2,518 - (32.26%)		 Claude Landry
10. Miramichi Bay-Neguac Carmel Robichaud
2,546 - (37.36%)		 Serge Robichaud
2,908 - (42.67%)		 Marc-Alphonse Leclair[38]
1,132 - (16.61%)		 Filip Vanicek
93 - (1.36%)		 Thomas L'Huillier (PANB)
136 - (2.00%)		 Carmel Robichaud
11. Miramichi-Bay du Vin Bill Fraser
3,290 - (49.62%)		 Joan Cripps
2,615 - (39.44%)		 Kelly Clancy-King[28][39]
510 - (7.69%)		 Ronald Mazerolle
216 - (3.26%)		 Bill Fraser
12. Miramichi Centre John Foran
2,552 - (38.56%)		 Robert Trevors
3,187 - (48.16%)		 Douglas Mullin[40]
379 - (5.73%)		 Dylan Schneider
175 - (2.64%)		 Frances Connell (PANB)
325 - (4.91%)		 John Foran
13. Southwest Miramichi Rick Brewer
1,952 - (30.17%)		 Jake Stewart
3,792 - (58.60%)		 Jason Robar[41]
200 - (3.09%)		 Jimmy Lawlor
204 - (3.15%)		 Wes Gullison (PANB)
323 - (4.99%)		 Rick Brewer

Southeast
Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal PC NDP GreenOther
14. Rogersville-Kouchibouguac Bertrand LeBlanc
3,442 - (46.03%)		 Jimmy Bourque
3,174 - (42.45%)		 Alida Fagan[28][42]
861 - (11.52%)		 vacant
15. Kent Shawn Graham
3,722 - (55.72%)		 Bruce Hickey[43]
1,720 - (25.75%)		 Susan Levi-Peters[44][45][46][47]
1,023 - (15.31%)		 Garry Sanipass
215 - (3.22%)		 Shawn Graham
16. Kent South Martin Goguen
2,447 - (29.20%)		 Claude Williams
5,055 - (60.33%)		 Oscar Doucet[48]
503 - (6.00%)		 Luc LeBreton
374 - (4.46%)		 Claude Williams
17. Shediac-Cap-Pelé Victor Boudreau
5,244 - (61.33%)		 Janice Brun
2,121 - (24.81%)		 Yves Leger[49]
669 - (7.82%)		 Natalie Arsenault
409 - (4.78%)		 Charles Vautour (Ind.)
107 - (1.25%)		 Victor Boudreau
18. Tantramar Beth Barczyk
911 - (19.02%)		 Mike Olscamp
2,712 - (56.62%)		 Bill Evans[50][51][52]
513 - (10.71%)		 Margaret Tusz-King
654 - (13.65%)		 Mike Olscamp
19. Memramcook-Lakeville-Dieppe Bernard LeBlanc
3,426 - (50.82%)		 Fortunat Duguay
2,174 - (32.25%)		 Denis Brun[53]
707 - (10.49%)		 Fanny Leblanc
435 - (6.45%)		 Bernard LeBlanc
20. Dieppe Centre-Lewisville Roger Melanson
4,541 - (46.24%)		 Dave Maltais
3,429 - (34.91%)		 Agathe Lapointe[54]
1,174 - (11.95%)		 Paul LeBreton
677 - (6.89%)		 Cy LeBlanc†
21. Moncton East Chris Collins
2,694 - (41.54%)		 Karen Nelson
2,528 - (38.98%)		 Teresa Sullivan[55]
626 - (9.65%)		 Roy MacMullin
637 - (9.82%)		 Chris Collinsa
22. Moncton West Anne Marie Picone Ford[56]
1,995 - (32.50%)		 Susan Stultz
2,983 - (48.59%)		 Shawna Gagne[57]
580 - (9.45%)		 Carrie Sullivan
503 - (8.19%)		 Barry Renouf (Ind.)
78 - (1.27%)		 Joan MacAlpine-Stiles†b
23. Moncton North Kevin Robart
1,912 - (36.54%)		 Marie-Claude Blais
2,349 - (44.90%)		 Jean Guimond[58]
512 - (9.79%)		 Greta Doucet
367 - (7.01%)		 Carl Bainbridge (PANB)
92 - (1.76%)		 vacant
24. Moncton Crescent Russ Mallard
2,538 - (30.77%)		 John Betts
4,171 - (50.57%)		 Cyprien Okana[59][60]
809 - (9.81%)		 Mike Milligan
730 - (8.85%)		 John Betts
25. Petitcodiac Wally Stiles
1,769 - (23.84%)		 Sherry Wilson
4,135 - (55.74%)		 Leta Both[61][62]
666 - (8.98%)		 Bethany Thorne-Dykstra[63]
849 - (11.44%)		 Wally Stilesc
26. Riverview Lana Hansen
1,626 - (23.47%)		 Bruce Fitch
4,357 - (62.89%)		 Darryl Pitre[64][65]
457 - (6.60%)		 Steven Steeves
488 - (7.04%)		 Bruce Fitch
27. Albert Claude Curwin
1,252 - (19.54%)		 Wayne Steeves
4,009 - (62.57%)		 Anthony Crandall[66]
412 - (6.43%)		 Vernon Woolsey
448 - (6.99%)		 Lucy Rolfe (PANB)
286 - (4.46%)		 Wayne Steeves

^a - Collins won the seat in a by-election on March 5, 2007. The seat was previously held by Progressive Conservative former premier Bernard Lord.

^b - MacAlpine-Stiles crossed the floor to the Liberals on April 17, 2007. She previously sat as a Progressive Conservative.

^c - Stiles crossed the floor to the Liberals on April 17, 2007. He previously sat as a Progressive Conservative.

Southwest
Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal PC NDP GreenOther
28. Kings East George Horton
1,418 - (21.14%)		 Bruce Northrup
4,476 - (66.73%)		 Robert Murray[67][68]
487 - (7.26%)		 Jenna Milligan
327 - (4.87%)		 Bruce Northrup
29. Hampton-Kings Kit Hickey[69]
1,668 - (22.28%)		 Bev Harrison
4,302 - (57.47%)		 Julie Drummond[70][71][72]
1,193 - (15.93%)		 Pierre Roy
323 - (4.31%)		 Bev Harrison
30. Quispamsis Mary Schryer
2,752 - (34.24%)		 Blaine Higgs
4,075 - (50.70%)		 Matt Doherty[73][74]
911 - (11.33%)		 Mark Woolsey
300 - (3.73%)		 Mary Schryer
31. Saint John-Fundy Gary Keating
1,736 - (30.98%)		 Glen Savoie[75]
2,913 - (51.99%)		 Lise Lennon[76]
594 - (10.60%)		 Matthew Clark
187 - (3.34%)		 Glenn McAllister (PANB)
173 - (3.09%)		 Stuart Jamieson†
32. Rothesay Victoria Clarke
1,694 - (28.40%)		 Margaret-Ann Blaney
3,374 - (56.57%)		 Pamela Scichilone[77]
535 - (8.97%)		 Sharon Murphy-Flatt
361 - (6.05%)		 Margaret-Ann Blaney
33. Saint John East Kevin McCarville
1,867 - (33.06%)		 Glen Tait[78]
2,137 - (37.84%)		 Sandy Harding [79][80]
1,338 - (23.69%)		 Ann McAllister
305 - (5.40%)		 Roly MacIntyre†
34. Saint John Harbour Ed Doherty[81]
1,326 - (30.45%)		 Carl Killen
1,333 - (30.66%)		 Wayne Dryer[82]
1,203 - (27.63%)		 Patty Higgins[83]
236 - (5.45%)		 John Campbell (Ind.)
247 - (5.81%)		 Ed Doherty
35. Saint John Portland Dan Joyce
2,062 - (35.31%)		 Trevor Holder
2,926 - (50.10%)		 Jeremy Higgins[84][85]
576 - (9.86%)		 Stefan Warner
192 - (3.29%)		 Lisa Cromwell (PANB)
84 - (1.44%)		 Trevor Holder
36. Saint John Lancaster Abel LeBlanc
2,287 - (33.81%)		 Dorothy Shephard
3,433 - (50.75%)		 Habib Kilisli[86][87]
688 - (10.17%)		 Mary Ellen Carpenter
247 - (3.65%)		 Wendy Coughlin (PANB)
110 - (1.63%)		 Abel LeBlanc
37. Fundy-River Valley Jack Keir
1,815 - (28.74%)		 Jim Parrott
3,633 - (57.53%)		 David Sullivan[88]
427 - (6.76%)		 Stephanie Coburn
222 - (3.52%)		 Edward Hoyt (PANB)
218 - (3.45%)		 Jack Keir
38. Charlotte-The Isles Rick Doucet
3,176 - (51.27%)		 Sharon Tucker
2,286 - (36.90%)		 Sharon Greenlaw[89][90]
305 - (4.92%)		 Burt Folkins
180 - (2.91%)		 Theresa James (PANB)
248 - (4.00%)		 Rick Doucet
39. Charlotte-Campobello Annabelle Juneau
1,516 - (24.46%)		 Curtis Malloch
2,980 - (48.08%)		 Lloyd Groom[91]
798 - (12.88%)		 Janice Harvey[92]
500 - (8.07%)		 John Craig (PANB)
404 - (6.52%)		 Tony Huntjens†

Central
Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal PC NDP GreenOther
40. Oromocto Georgina Jones
569 - (12.62%)		 Jody Carr
3,662 - (81.23%)		 Beau Davidson[93]
277 - (6.14%)		 Jody Carr
41. Grand Lake-Gagetown Barry Armstrong
2,108 - (29.16%)		 Ross Wetmore[94]
3,290 - (45.51%)		 J.R. Magee[95]
237 - (3.28%)		 Sandra Burtt
175 - (2.42%)		 Kris Austin (PANB)
1,419 - (19.63%)		 Eugene McGinley†
42. Fredericton-Nashwaaksis T.J. Burke
2,712 - (35.28%)		 Troy Lifford
3,656 - (47.56%)		 Dana Brown[96]
592 - (7.70%)		 Jack MacDougall
727 - (9.46%)		 T.J. Burke
43. Fredericton-Fort Nashwaak Kelly Lamrock
2,586 - (34.16%)		 Pam Lynch[97]
3,571 - (47.17%)		 Andy Scott[98]
861 - (11.37%)		 Kathleen MacDougall
553 - (7.30%)		 Kelly Lamrock
44. Fredericton-Lincoln Greg Byrne
2,178 - (35.31%)		 Craig Leonard
2,437 - (39.51%)		 Jason Purdy[99]
945 - (15.32%)		 Tracey Waite
608 - (9.86%)		 Greg Byrne
45. Fredericton-Silverwood Rick Miles
2,469 - (32.53%)		 Brian Macdonald
2,931 - (38.62%)		 Tony Myatt[100][101]
1,220 - (16.07%)		 Jim Wolstenholme
903 - (11.90%)		 Jim Andrews (Ind.)
67 - (0.88%)		 Rick Miles
46. New Maryland-Sunbury West Larry DeLong
1,502 - (23.33%)		 Jack Carr
4,097 - (63.65%)		 Jesse Travis [29][102]
547 - (8.50%)		 Ellen Comer
291 - (4.52%)		 Jack Carrd
47. York Winston Gamblin
1,486 - (22.95%)		 Carl Urquhart
3,614 - (55.82%)		 Sharon Scott-Levesque[103][104]
1,012 - (15.63%)		 Jean Louis Deveau
362 - (5.59%)		 Carl Urquhart
48. York North Eugene Price[105]
1,232 - (17.39%)		 Kirk MacDonald
4,486 - (63.33%)		 Genevieve MacRae[106]
675 - (9.53%)		 Jarrod Currie
305 - (4.31%)		 Steven Hawkes[107] (PANB)
386 - (5.45%)		 Kirk MacDonald

^d - Carr won the seat in a by-election on November 3, 2008. The seat was previously held by fellow Progressive Conservative Keith Ashfield.

Northwest
Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal PC NDP GreenOther
49. Woodstock Jeff Bradbury
710 - (10.22%)		 David Alward
4,673 - (67.27%)		 Conrad Anderson[108]
280 - (4.03%)		 Todd Antworth
103 - (1.48%)		 Dale Allen (Ind.)
996 - (14.34%)
David Kennedy (PANB)
185 - (2.66%)		 David Alward
50. Carleton Peter Cook
1,711 - (27.17%)		 Dale Graham
3,884 - (61.67%)		 Jacob Elsinga[109]
319 - (5.07%)		 Tegan Wong-Daugherty
384 - (6.10%)		 Dale Graham
51. Victoria-Tobique Larry Kennedy
2,039 - (40.05%)		 Wes McLean
2,684 - (52.72%)		 David Burns[110]
109 - (2.14%)		 Wayne Sabine
118 - (2.32%)		 Carter Edgar (Ind.)
141 - (2.77%)		 Larry Kennedy
52. Grand Falls-Drummond-Saint-André Ron Ouellette
2,715 - (43.60%)		 Danny Soucy
3,058 - (49.11%)		 Maureen Michaud[111]
292 - (4.69%)		 Cécile Martel Robitaille
162 - (2.60%)		 Ron Ouellette
53. Restigouche-La-Vallée Burt Paulin
2,492 - (35.72%)		 Martine Coulombe
3,727 - (53.43%)		 Alain Martel[112]
551 - (7.90%)		 André Arpin
206 - (2.95%)		 Burt Pauline
54. Edmundston-Saint-Basile Michelle Daigle
1,362 - (18.60%)		 Madeleine Dubé
5,551 - (75.81%)		 Michel Thebeau[113]
226 - (3.09%)		 Michelle Simard
183 - (2.50%)		 Madeleine Dubé
55. Madawaska-les-Lacs Jocelyn Lévesque
1,989 - (31.85%)		 Yvon Bonenfant
3,380 - (54.13%)		 Nicole Theriault[114]
230 - (3.68%)		 Jean-Marc Nadeau (Ind.)
645 - (10.33%)		 Jeannot Volpé†

^e - Paulin won the seat in a by-election on March 9, 2009. The seat was previously held by Progressive Conservative Percy Mockler.

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gollark: It might. I don't use MySQL.

References
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