Nationwide opinion polling for the 2020 United States presidential election
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the general election for the 2020 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters is prioritized, then registered voters, then adults.
 2020 U.S. presidential election | |
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| Democratic Party | |
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Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Polling aggregation
The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from September 2019 to present. Former Vice President Joe Biden, the presumptive nominee in the Democratic primary, has an average polling margin of 8.0% over incumbent President Donald Trump, the presumed Republican nominee.
| Active candidates |
| Joe Biden (Democratic) |
| Donald Trump (Republican) |
| Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Other/Undecided[lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
| 270 to Win | Jul 29 – Aug 4, 2020 | Aug 8, 2020 | 49.2% | 40.8% | 10.0% | Biden +8.4 |
| RealClear Politics | Jul 25 – Aug 11, 2020 | Aug 12, 2020 | 49.1% | 41.8% | 9.1% | Biden +7.3 |
| FiveThirtyEight | until Aug 11, 2020 | Aug 12, 2020 | 50.4% | 42.2% | 7.4% | Biden +8.2 |
| Average | 49.6% | 41.6% | 8.8% | Biden +8.0 | ||
National poll results
July 1 – August 31, 2020
| Poll source | Date | Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Howie Hawkins Green |
Other | Abstention | Undecided | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yougov/CBS News | Aug 12-14 | 2,152 (LV) | 2.4% | 42% | 52% | 10% | |||||
| Morning Consult | Aug 12 | 43% | 51% | 8% | |||||||
| NBC/Wall Street Journal | Aug 9-12 | 41% | 50% | 4% | 9% | ||||||
| Fox News | Aug 9–12 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3% | 42% | 49% | - | - | 3% | 1% | 5% | 7% |
| Data for Progress | Aug 11 | 782 RV | 40% | 53% | 8% | 13% | |||||
| Ipsos | Aug 10–11 | 1,034 | 38% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 5%[lower-alpha 3] | 2% | 6% | 9% | |
| Yougov | Aug 9–11 | 1,201 (RV) | 39% | 49% | - | - | 5% | 1% | 5% | 10% | |
| HarrisX/The Hill | Aug 8–11 | 2,828 (RV) | ± 1.84% | 40% | 44% | - | - | 4% | 4% | 9% | 4% |
| Rasmussen | Aug 5–11 | 2,500 (LV) | ± 2% | 43% | 49% | - | - | 4% | - | 4% | 6% |
| Marist Polling | Aug 3–11 | 1,120 RV | ± 3.3% | 42% | 53% | 2% | 4% | 11% | |||
| Navigation Research | Aug 6–10 | 1,420 RV | 43% | 52% | 5% | 9% | |||||
| Monmouth | Aug 6–10 | 785 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 51% | 2% | 1% | 1% | – | 4% | 10% |
| Morning Consult | Aug 9–10 | 40% | 49% | 9% | |||||||
| Morning Consult | Aug 7–9 | 11,967 (LV) | 43% | 51% | 8% | ||||||
| Change Research/CNBC | Aug 7–9 | 2,143 (LV) | ± 2.12% | 44% | 50% | 3% | 1% | - | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| RMG Research | Aug 6–8 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 37% | 45% | 1% | 1% | 3% | – | 14% | 8% |
| Léger | Aug 4–7 | 1,202 | – | 42% | 51% | – | – | 7% | – | – | 9% |
| Georgetown University/Battleground | Aug 1–6 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 40% | 53% | – | – | – | – | 7% | 13% |
| HarrisX/The Hill | Aug 2–5 | 2,850 (RV) | ± 1.84% | 40% | 43% | – | – | 5% | 3% | 9% | 3% |
| Research Co | Aug 3–4 | 1,018 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 38% | 48% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Aug 3–4 | 964 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 38% | 48% | – | – | 6% | 2% | 6% | 10% |
| YouGov/Economist | Aug 2–4 | 1,225 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 40% | 49% | – | – | 3% | 2% | 6% | 9% |
| Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Jul 29 – Aug 4 | 2,500 (LV) | ± 2% | 45% | 48% | – | – | 3% | – | 3% | 3% |
| Morning Consult | Jul 31 – Aug 2 | 11,568 (LV) | 42% | 51% | 9% | ||||||
| Pew Research | Jul 27 – Aug 2 | 45% | 53% | - | - | 2% | - | - | 8% | ||
| Emerson | Jul 29–30 | 964 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 50% | – | – | – | – | 4% | 4% |
| Yougov | Jul 28–30 | 1,088 (RV) | – | 40% | 49% | – | – | 2% | 1% | 8% | 9% |
| Data For Progress | Jul 28 | 794 (RV) | 42% | 52% | – | – | 6% | – | – | 10% | |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Jul 27–28 | 947 (RV) | 38% | 47% | – | – | 7% | 2% | 6% | 9% | |
| Yougov | Jul 26–28 | 1,260 (RV) | 40% | 49% | – | – | 4% | 1% | 6% | 9% | |
| IBD/TIPP | Jul 25–28 | 1,160 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 48% | – | – | – | – | – | 7% |
| Optimus | Jul 24–28 | 914 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 40% | 48% | – | – | 3% | 1% | 8% | 8% |
| Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Jul 21–28 | 2,500 (LV) | ± 2% | 42% | 48% | – | – | 5% | – | 4% | 6% |
| Beacon Research | Jul 23–27 | 1,504 (RV) | 41% | 48% | – | – | – | – | 7% | ||
| Yougov Blue / Data For Progress | Jul 21–27 | 45% | 51% | 6% | |||||||
| Change Research/CNBC | Jul 24–26 | 1,039 (LV) | ± 3.04% | 42% | 51% | 2% | 1% | – | 1% | 3% | 9% |
| Morning Consult | Jul 24–26 | 12,235 (LV) | 43% | 51% | 8% | ||||||
| RMG Research | Jul 21–24 | 1,200 (RV) | 37% | 45% | 2% | 1% | 3% | – | 12% | 8% | |
| YouGov/CBS News | Jul 21–24 | 1,401 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 51% | – | – | 4% | – | 4% | 10% |
| Zogby Analytics | Jul 21–23 | 1,516 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 40% | 44% | 5% | 2% | – | – | 9% | 4% |
| HarrisPoll | Jul 21–23 | 1,932 (RV) | – | 45% | 55% | 10% | |||||
| Echelon Insights | Jul 17–22 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 37% | 50% | 3% | 1% | – | – | 9% | 13% |
| Data for Progress | Jul 21 | 652 (RV) | 44% | 50% | – | – | 6% | – | – | 6% | |
| YouGov/Economist | Jul 19–21 | 1,222 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 41% | 48% | – | – | 5% | 2% | 4% | 7% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Jul 15–21 | 3,744 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 38% | 46% | – | – | 8% | 2% | 6% | 8% |
| Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Jul 15–21 | 2,500 (LV) | ± 2% | 45% | 47% | – | – | 5% | – | 4% | 2% |
| HarrisX/The Hill | Jul 17–20 | 2,829 (RV) | ± 1.84% | 38% | 45% | – | – | 5% | 4% | 9% | 7% |
| AP-NORC | Jul 16–20 | 1,057 (A) | 34% | 46% | – | – | 10% | 8% | 1% | 12% | |
| Morning Consult | Jul 17–19 | 1,991 (RV) | ± 2% | 40% | 47% | – | – | – | – | – | 7% |
| GQR Research | Jul 15–19 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 55% | – | – | 1% | – | 0% | 11% |
| Kaiser Family Foundation | Jul 14–19 | 1,117 (RV) | – | 38% | 47% | – | – | 2% | 1% | 10% | 9% |
| ABC News/Washington Post | Jul 12–15 | 845 (RV) | ± 4% | 40% | 55% | – | – | 4% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
| Fox News | Jul 12–15 | 1,104 (RV) | ± 3% | 41% | 49% | – | – | 4% | 1% | 5% | 8% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Jul 13–14 | 961 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 37% | 47% | – | – | 7% | 2% | 7% | 10% |
| YouGov/Economist | Jul 12–14 | 1,252 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 40% | 49% | – | – | 4% | 2% | 4% | 9% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | Jul 11–14 | 1,081 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 39% | 47% | – | – | 3% | 1% | 10% | 8% |
| Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Jul 8–14 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 47% | – | – | 5% | – | 4% | 3% |
| Quinnipiac University | Jul 9–13 | 1,273 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 37% | 52% | – | – | 3% | 2% | 6% | 15% |
| Morning Consult | Jul 6–13 | 32,514 (RV) | ±2.0% | 39% | 47% | – | – | – | – | – | 8% |
| Change Research/CNBC | Jul 10–12 | 1,258 (LV) | ± 2.76% | 41% | 51% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 10% |
| NBC/WSJ | Jul 9–12 | 900 (RV) | ± 3.27% | 40% | 51% | – | – | – | 7% | 2% | 11% |
| RMG Research/Scott Rasmussen/Just the News | Jul 9–11 | 1,200 (RV) | ±5.0% | 39% | 46% | – | – | 6% | – | 8% | 7% |
| Redfield & Whilton Strategies | Jul 9 | 1,853 (LV) | 2.5% | 40%[lower-alpha 4] | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% | – | 9% | 8% |
| 39%[lower-alpha 5] | 48% | 2% | 1% | 2%[lower-alpha 6] | – | 8% | 9% | ||||
| SurveyMonkey/Study Finds | Released Jul 8 | 469 (A) | 9.5% | 37%[lower-alpha 7] | 55% | – | – | 8%[lower-alpha 8] | – | – | 18% |
| 39%[lower-alpha 9] | 61% | – | – | – | – | – | 21% | ||||
| Zogby Analytics/EMI Research | Jul 8 | 1,000 (LV) | 5.6% | 42% | 49% | – | – | – | – | 9% | 7% |
| Democracy Fund & UCLA Nationscape | Jul 2–8 | 4,983 (RV)[lower-alpha 10] | 1.5% | 41% | 49% | – | – | – | – | – | 8% |
| Data for Progress | Jul 7 | 673 (RV) | 5.8 | 42% | 52% | – | – | 6% | – | – | 10% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Jul 6–7 | 952 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 37%[lower-alpha 11] | 43% | – | – | 10% | 3% | 7% | 6% |
| Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Jul 5–7 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 40% | 50% | – | – | – | – | 6% | 10% |
| YouGov/Economist | Jul 5–7 | 1,165 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 40% | 49% | – | – | 4% | 2% | 4% | 9% |
| Morning Consult | Jun 29 – Jul 5 | 33,549 (RV) | ± 2% | 39% | 48% | – | – | – | – | – | 9% |
| HarrisX/The Hill | Jul 3–4 | 933 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 39% | 43% | – | – | 5% | 5% | 8% | 4% |
| Research Co. | Jul 1–2[lower-alpha 12] | 1,049 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 49% | 1% | – | 2% | 4% | 4% | 9% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | Jun 29 – Jul 1 | 1,187 (RV) | 4.4% | 40% | 45% | – | – | 4% | 3% | 9% | 5% |
| Global Strategy Group/Data For Progress | Jun 23 – Jul 1 | 3,249 (RV) | – | 39% | 50% | – | 2% | 2%[lower-alpha 13] | – | 4% | 11% |
May 3 – June 30, 2020
| Poll source | Date | Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Libertarian |
Green |
Other | Undecided | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipsos/Reuters | Jun 29–30 | 943 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 38% | 46% | - | - | 10%[lower-alpha 14] | 6% | 8% |
| YouGov/Economist | Jun 28–30 | 1,198 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 49% | - | - | 6%[lower-alpha 15] | 4% | 9% |
| IBD/TIPP | Jun 27–30 | 1,005 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 40% | 48% | - | - | – | – | 8% |
| Monmouth | Jun 26–30 | 733 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 41% | 53% | - | - | 4%[lower-alpha 16] | 2% | 12% |
| Suffolk University/USA Today | Jun 25–29 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 41%[lower-alpha 17] | 53% | - | - | – | – | 12% |
| 37%[lower-alpha 18] | 46% | - | - | 11%[lower-alpha 19] | 6% | 9% | ||||
| Change Research/CNBC | Jun 26–28 | 1,663 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 41% | 49% | 5% | 2% | 1%[lower-alpha 20] | 3% | 8% |
| Hart Research Associates/Protect Our Care[upper-alpha 1] | Jun 22–28 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 41% | 55% | - | - | 1%[lower-alpha 21] | 3% | 14% |
| Morning Consult | Jun 22–28 | 28,722 (RV) | ± 1% | 40% | 47% | - | - | – | – | 7% |
| PureSpectrum/COVID-19 Consortium | Jun 12–28 | 22,501 (LV) | – | 39% | 47% | - | - | – | – | 8% |
| RMG Research/Scott Rasmussen | Jun 25–27 | 1,200 (RV) | – | 39% | 47% | - | - | 6%[lower-alpha 22] | 7% | 8% |
| Optimus/Firehouse | Jun 23–27 | 903 (LV) | – | 40.6% | 44.8% | - | - | 6.1%[lower-alpha 23] | 8.5% | 4.2% |
| PPP/Giffords[upper-alpha 2] | Jun 25–26 | 996 (RV) | – | 42% | 53% | - | - | – | 5% | 11% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | Jun 24–25 | 1,244 (RV) | – | 39% | 47% | - | - | 5%[lower-alpha 24] | 9% | 8% |
| Marist College | Jun 22–24 | 1,515 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 52% | - | - | 3% | 2% | 8% |
| Opinium/The Guardian | Jun 19–24 | 1,215 (LV)[lower-alpha 25] | – | 40% | 52% | - | - | 3%[lower-alpha 26] | 4% | 12% |
| Data for Progress | Jun 23 | 721 (RV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | 5%[lower-alpha 27] | – | 6% |
| HarrisX/The Hill | Jun 22–23 | 951 (RV) | ± 3.18% | 39% | 43% | - | - | 9%[lower-alpha 28] | 9% | 4% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Jun 22–23 | 934 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 37% | 47% | - | - | 10%[lower-alpha 29] | 6% | 10% |
| YouGov/Economist | Jun 21–23 | 1,230 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 41% | 49% | - | - | 6%[lower-alpha 30] | 5% | 8% |
| CNBC/Hart Research/Public Opinion Strategies | Jun 19–22 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 38% | 47% | - | - | – | – | 9% |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College | Jun 17–22 | 1,337 (RV) | ± 3% | 36% | 50% | - | - | 5%[lower-alpha 31] | 9% | 14% |
| Pew Research Center | Jun 16–22 | 3,577 (RV) | ± 2% | 44% | 54% | - | - | 2%[lower-alpha 32] | – | 10% |
| Morning Consult | Jun 15–21 | 30,942 (RV) | ± 1% | 39% | 47% | - | - | – | – | 8% |
| PPP/Protect Our Care[upper-alpha 3] | Jun 19–20 | 1,013 (V) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 52% | - | - | – | 6% | 9% |
| Harvard-Harris | Jun 17–18 | ~ 1,735 (LV)[lower-alpha 33] | – | 44% | 56% | - | - | – | – | 12% |
| YouGov/Economist | Jun 14–16 | 1,160 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 50% | - | - | 5%[lower-alpha 34] | 4% | 9% |
| Fox News | Jun 13–16 | 1,343 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 38% | 50% | - | - | 7%[lower-alpha 35] | 5% | 12% |
| Axios/SurveyMonkey | Jun 12–16 | 5,666 (A) | – | 42% | 53% | - | - | 4%[lower-alpha 36] | – | 11% |
| Echelon Insights | Jun 12–16 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | 8% | 8% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Jun 10–16 | 3,768 (RV)[lower-alpha 37] | ± 1.8% | 35% | 48% | - | - | 10%[lower-alpha 38] | 7% | 13% |
| Optimus/Firehouse | Jun 9–16 | 686 (LV) | – | 43.9% | 50% | - | - | 6.1%[lower-alpha 39] | – | 6% |
| Quinnipiac | Jun 11–15 | 1,332 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 41% | 49% | - | - | 4%[lower-alpha 40] | 5% | 8% |
| Change Research/CNBC | Jun 12–14 | 1,250 (LV) | ± 2.77% | 41% | 51% | 3% | 2% | 0%[lower-alpha 41] | 3% | 10% |
| Kaiser Family Foundation | Jun 8–14 | 1,094 (RV) | ± 4% | 38% | 51% | - | - | 5%[lower-alpha 42] | 7% | 13% |
| Morning Consult | Jun 8–14 | 32,138 (RV) | ± 1% | 39% | 48% | - | - | – | – | 9% |
| RMG Research/Scott Rasmussen/Just the News | Jun 11–13 | 1,200 (RV) | – | 36% | 48% | - | - | 6% | 9% | 12% |
| Abacus Data | Jun 11–13 | 1,004 (LV)[lower-alpha 43] | – | 41% | 51% | - | - | – | – | 10% |
| Firehouse/Optimus | Jun 6–13 | 742 (LV) | – | 42.9% | 51.6% | - | - | 5.5%[lower-alpha 44] | – | 8.7% |
| Climate Nexus | Jun 6–11 | 9,087 (RV) | ± 1% | 41% | 48% | - | - | – | 11% | 7% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | Jun 9–10 | 1,288 (RV) | – | 40% | 49% | - | - | 5%[lower-alpha 45] | 6% | 9% |
| Democracy Fund & UCLA Nationscape/SurveyUSA | May 28 – Jun 10 | 10,601 (RV) | ± 1.5% | 39% | 50% | - | - | – | – | 11% |
| YouGov/Econnomist | Jun 7–9 | 1,241 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 41% | 49% | - | - | 5%[lower-alpha 46] | 5% | 8% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Jun 8–9 | 931 (RV) | – | 38% | 46% | - | - | 7% | 9%[lower-alpha 47] | 8% |
| Firehouse/Optimus | Jun 2–9 | 762 (LV) | – | 42.2% | 53% | - | - | 4.8%[lower-alpha 48] | – | 11% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Jun 2–9 | 1,500 (LV) | – | 37% | 50% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 13% |
| MSR Group | Jun 7 | 855 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 38.9% | 46.3% | - | - | 7.3%[lower-alpha 49] | 7.5% | 7.3% |
| Morning Consult | Jun 1–7 | 32,380 (RV) | ± 1% | 39% | 47% | - | - | – | – | 8% |
| Firehouse/Optimus | Jun 4–6 | 787 (LV) | – | 41.9% | 53.1% | - | - | 5%[lower-alpha 50] | – | 11.2% |
| Scott Rasmussen/RMG Research | Jun 4–6 | 1,200 (RV) | – | 37% | 47% | - | - | 9%[lower-alpha 51] | 7% | 10% |
| Garin-Hart-Yang/Senate Majority PAC/Priorities USA[upper-alpha 4] | Jun 3–6 | 1,223 (LV) | – | 41% | 53% | - | - | – | – | 12% |
| Democracy Institute/Sunday Express | Jun 3–5 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 47% | - | - | – | 5% | 1% |
| CNN/SSRS | Jun 2–5 | 1,125 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 41% | 55% | - | - | 3%[lower-alpha 52] | 2% | 14% |
| NORC/AEI | May 21 – Jun 5 | 3,504 (A) | ± 2.3% | 32% | 40% | - | - | 19%[lower-alpha 53] | 9% | 8% |
| Whitman Insight Strategies | Jun 2–4 | 500 (RV) | – | 43% | 53% | - | - | 1% | 2% | 10% |
| HarrisX/The Hill | Jun 1–4 | 2,827 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 37% | 47% | - | - | 8%[lower-alpha 54] | 8% | 10% |
| Marist College | Jun 2–3 | 958 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 50% | - | - | 2% | 5% | 7% |
| Emerson College | Jun 2–3 | 1,431 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 53% | - | - | – | – | 6% |
| Civiqs/Daily Kos | Jun 1–3 | 1,327 (A) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 47% | - | - | 7%[lower-alpha 55] | 3% | 3% |
| IBD/TIPP | May 31 – Jun 3 | 964 (RV) | – | 42% | 45% | - | - | – | – | 13% |
| Data for Progress | Jun 2, 2020[lower-alpha 56] | 688 (RV) | – | 40.2% | 53.58% | - | - | 6.22%[lower-alpha 57] | – | 13.4% |
| Zogby Analytics | Jun 1–2 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 46% | - | - | – | 8% | Tie |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Jun 1–2 | 964 (RV) | – | 37% | 47% | - | - | – | – | 10% |
| Research Co. | Jun 1–2 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 46% | 2% | – | 1% | 10%[lower-alpha 58] | 5% |
| YouGov/Economist | May 31 – Jun 2 | 1,244 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 40% | 47% | - | - | 8%[lower-alpha 59] | 5% | 7% |
| NBC/WSJ | May 28 – Jun 2 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 42% | 49% | - | - | 5%[lower-alpha 60] | 4% | 7% |
| Firehouse/Optimus | May 26 – Jun 2 | 795 (LV) | – | 44.4% | 50.9% | - | - | 4.7%[lower-alpha 61] | – | 6.5% |
| Morning Consult | May 31 – Jun 1 | 1,624 (RV) | ± 2% | 39% | 51% | - | - | – | 10% | 12% |
| YouGov/CBS News | May 29 – Jun 1 | 1,486 (LV) | – | 43% | 47% | - | - | 4%[lower-alpha 62] | 5% | 4% |
| Monmouth | May 28 – Jun 1 | 742 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 41% | 52% | - | - | 6%[lower-alpha 63] | 1% | 11% |
| Change Research/CNBC | May 29–31 | 1,457 (LV) | ± 2.567% | 41% | 48% | 3% | 3% | 1%[lower-alpha 64] | 4% | 7% |
| Morning Consult | May 25–31 | 31,983 (RV)[lower-alpha 65] | ± 1% | 41% | 46% | - | - | – | – | 5% |
| PureSpectrum/COVID-19 Consortium | May 16–31 | 18,132 (LV) | – | 37% | 46% | - | - | – | – | 9% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | May 29–30 | 861 (RV) | – | 40% | 48% | - | - | 6%[lower-alpha 66] | 5% | 8% |
| RMG Research/Scott Rasmussen/Just the News | May 28–30 | 1,200 (RV) | – | 39% | 46% | - | - | 7%[lower-alpha 67] | 8% | 7% |
| Firehouse/Optimus | May 21–30 | 789 (LV) | – | 45.4% | 49.7% | - | - | 4.9%[lower-alpha 68] | – | 4.3% |
| ABC News/Washington Post | May 25–28 | 835 (RV) | ± 4% | 43% | 53% | - | - | 2%[lower-alpha 69] | 1% | 10% |
| TargetSmart | May 21–27 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 40% | 43% | - | - | 9%[lower-alpha 70] | 8% | 3% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | May 20–27 | 3,732 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 39% | 45% | - | - | 8%[lower-alpha 71] | 7% | 6% |
| Data for Progress | May 26, 2020[lower-alpha 72] | 686 (RV) | – | 43.67% | 49.81% | - | - | 4.52%[lower-alpha 73] | – | 3.14% |
| Zogby/EMI/Washington Examiner | May 26, 2020[lower-alpha 74] | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 40% | 53% | - | - | – | – | 13% |
| YouGov/Economist | May 23–26 | 1,153 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 45% | - | - | 8%[lower-alpha 75] | 6% | 3% |
| Firehouse/Optimus | May 19–26 | 793 (LV) | – | 44.1% | 51.8% | - | - | 4.1%[lower-alpha 76] | – | 7.7% |
| Morning Consult | May 18–24 | 30,317 (RV) | ± 1% | 41% | 46% | - | - | – | – | 5% |
| Firehouse/Optimus | May 16–23 | 766 (LV) | – | 42.7% | 53.9% | - | - | 3.4%[lower-alpha 77] | – | 11.2% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | May 20–21 | 1,218 (RV) | – | 42% | 46% | - | - | 6%[lower-alpha 78] | 6% | 4% |
| Echelon Insights | May 18–20 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 42% | 51% | - | - | – | 7% | 9% |
| Fox News | May 17–20 | 1,207 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 40% | 48% | - | - | 6%[lower-alpha 79] | 5% | 8% |
| Data for Progress/Harvard | May 19 | 810 (RV) | – | 42% | 51% | - | - | – | – | 9% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | May 18–19 | 957 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 38% | 47% | - | - | 7%[lower-alpha 80] | 7% | 9% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | May 18–19 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 43% | 48% | - | - | – | 8% | 5% |
| YouGov/Economist | May 17–19 | 1,235 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 42% | 47% | - | - | 6%[lower-alpha 81] | 5% | 5% |
| Firehouse/Optimus | May 12–19 | 774 (LV) | – | 41.5% | 51.5% | - | - | 7%[lower-alpha 82] | – | 10.0% |
| Quinnipiac | May 14–18 | 1,323 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 39% | 50% | - | - | 4%[lower-alpha 83] | 7% | 11% |
| Kaiser Family Foundation | May 13–18 | 970 (RV) | ± 4% | 41% | 43% | - | - | 5%[lower-alpha 84] | 12% | 2% |
| Change Research/CNBC | May 15–17 | 1,424 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 45% | 48% | 3% | 3% | 0%[lower-alpha 85] | 2% | 3% |
| Morning Consult | May 11–17 | 28,159 (RV) | ± 1% | 41% | 46% | - | - | – | – | 5% |
| Scott Rasmussen/RMG Research/Just the News | May 14–16 | 1,200 (RV) | – | 39% | 43% | - | - | 8%[lower-alpha 86] | 9% | 4% |
| Firehouse/Optimus | May 9–16 | 780 (LV) | – | 41.4% | 51.6% | - | - | 7%[lower-alpha 87] | – | 10.2% |
| PureSpectrum/COVID-19 Consortium | May 2–15 | 20,333 (LV) | – | 39% | 43% | - | - | – | – | 4% |
| HarrisX/The Hill | May 13–14 | 950 (RV) | ± 3.18% | 41% | 42% | - | - | 9%[lower-alpha 88] | 9% | 1% |
| Harvard-Harris | May 13–14 | 1,708 (LV) | – | 47% | 53% | - | - | – | – | 6% |
| Data for Progress/Harvard | May 12 | 684 (RV) | – | 41% | 48% | - | - | – | – | 7% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | May 11–12 | 973 (RV) | – | 38% | 46% | - | - | – | – | 8% |
| YouGov/Economist | May 10–12 | 1,175 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 47% | - | - | 6%[lower-alpha 89] | 5% | 4% |
| Firehouse/Optimus | May 5–12 | 728 (LV) | – | 43.3% | 52% | - | - | 4.7%[lower-alpha 90] | – | 9% |
| CNN/SSRS | May 7–10 | 1,001 (RV) | ± 4% | 46% | 51% | - | - | 2%[lower-alpha 91] | 1%[lower-alpha 92] | 5% |
| Morning Consult | May 4–10 | 27,754 (RV) | ± 1% | 42% | 45% | - | - | – | 13% | 3% |
| Redfield and Wilton Strategies | May 8–9 | 1,384 (LV) | – | 40%[lower-alpha 93] | 47% | - | - | 4%[lower-alpha 94] | 9% | 7% |
| 1,408 (LV) | – | 39%[lower-alpha 95] | 48% | - | - | 4%[lower-alpha 96] | 9% | 9% | ||
| Scott Rasmussen/RMG Research | May 7–9 | 1,200 (RV) | – | 38% | 44% | - | - | 7%[lower-alpha 97] | 10% | 6% |
| Firehouse/Optimus | May 2–9 | 726 (LV) | – | 44.5% | 50% | - | - | 5.5%[lower-alpha 98] | – | 5% |
| HarrisX/The Hill | May 6 | 957 (RV) | ± 3.17% | 41% | 41% | - | - | 9%[lower-alpha 99] | 9% | Tie |
| Data for Progress/Harvard | May 5 | 795 (RV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – | 6% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | May 4–5 | 1,224 (RV) | – | 42% | 45% | - | - | 7%[lower-alpha 100] | 6% | 3% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | May 4–5 | 1,015 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 43% | - | - | 9%[lower-alpha 101] | 6% | 2% |
| YouGov/Economist | May 3–5 | 1,206 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 42% | 46% | - | - | 7%[lower-alpha 102] | 5% | 4% |
| Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 2–5 | 1,546 (A) | ± 2.5% | 44% | 47% | - | - | 7%[lower-alpha 103] | 2% | 3% |
| Firehouse/Optimus | Apr 28 – May 5 | 758 (LV) | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | 4%[lower-alpha 104] | – | 6% |
| Monmouth University | Apr 30 – May 4 | 739 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 41%[lower-alpha 105] | 50% | - | - | 4%[lower-alpha 106] | 5% | 9% |
| 40%[lower-alpha 107] | 47% | - | - | 7%[lower-alpha 108] | 6% | 7% | ||||
| Morning Consult | May 2–3 | 1,991 (RV) | ± 2% | 41% | 45% | - | - | 3%[lower-alpha 109] | 11% | 4% |
| Change Research/CNBC | May 1–3 | 1,489 (LV) | ± 2.54% | 44% | 47% | - | - | 7%[lower-alpha 110] | 2% | 3% |
| Morning Consult | Apr 27 – May 3 | 31,117 (RV)[lower-alpha 111] | – | 42% | 46% | - | - | – | – | 4% |
2017 – May 2, 2020
| Poll source | Date | Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other | Undecided | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Rasmussen/RMG Research | Apr 30 – May 2, 2020 | 1,200 (RV) | – | 39% | 46% | 7%[lower-alpha 112] | 8% | 7% |
| Firehouse/Optimus | Apr 25 – May 2, 2020 | 765 (LV) | – | 45.3% | 49.5% | 5.2%[lower-alpha 113] | – | 4.2% |
| YouGov/CBS News | Apr 28 – May 1, 2020 | 1,671 (LV) | – | 43% | 49% | 4%[lower-alpha 114] | 4% | 6% |
| PureSpectrum/COVID-19 Consortium | Apr 16–30, 2020 | 19,505 (LV) | – | 40% | 44% | – | – | 4% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Apr 27–29, 2020 | 1,876 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 39% | 45% | 9%[lower-alpha 115] | 7% | 6% |
| IBD/TIPP | Apr 26–29, 2020 | 948 (RV) | – | 43% | 43% | – | – | Tie |
| Data for Progress/Harvard | Apr 28, 2020 | 895 (RV) | – | 43% | 52% | – | – | 9% |
| YouGov/Economist | Apr 26–28, 2020 | 1,222 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 41% | 47% | 6%[lower-alpha 116] | 6% | 6% |
| Emerson College | Apr 26–28, 2020 | 1,200 (RV) | – | 46.3%[lower-alpha 117] | 53.7% | – | – | 7.4% |
| Firehouse/Optimus | Apr 21–28, 2020 | 766 (LV) | – | 45.3% | 49.2% | 5.5%[lower-alpha 118] | – | 3.9% |
| Morning Consult | Apr 20–26, 2020 | 30,560 (RV) | ± 1% | 42% | 46% | – | – | 4% |
| Scott Rasmussen/RMG Research | Apr 23–25, 2020 | 1,200 (RV) | – | 38% | 46% | 6%[lower-alpha 119] | 9% | 6% |
| Suffolk University/USA Today | Apr 21–25, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | – | 38% | 44% | 10%[lower-alpha 120] | 9% | 6% |
| Firehouse/Optimus | Apr 18–25, 2020 | 784 (LV) | – | 44% | 52% | 4%[lower-alpha 121] | – | 8% |
| Redfield & Whilton Strategies | Apr 23, 2020 | 1,362 (LV) | – | 40% | 49% | 2%[lower-alpha 122] | 9% | 9% |
| Data for Progress/Harvard | Apr 21, 2020 | 860 (RV) | – | 44% | 49% | – | – | 5% |
| YouGov/Economist | Apr 19–21, 2020 | 1,142 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 48% | 5%[lower-alpha 123] | 5% | 6% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Apr 15–21, 2020 | 3,806 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 39% | 47% | 8%[lower-alpha 124] | 7% | 8% |
| Firehouse/Optimus | Apr 14–21, 2020 | 829 (LV) | – | 44.3% | 52.7% | – | 3% | 8.4% |
| HarrisX/The Hill | Apr 19–20, 2020 | 958 (RV) | ± 3.17% | 40% | 42% | 9%[lower-alpha 125] | 9% | 2% |
| Fordham University | Apr 16–20, 2020 | 862 (RV) | ± 4.33% | 42% | 56% | – | 3% | 14% |
| Climate Nexus | Apr 19, 2020 | 1,917 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 40% | 49% | – | 10% | 9% |
| Morning Consult | Apr 13–19, 2020 | 31,482 (RV) [lower-alpha 126] | ± 1% | 42% | 47% | – | – | 5% |
| Change Research/CNBC | Apr 17–18, 2020 | 1,178 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 48% | 6%[lower-alpha 127] | 1% | 4% |
| Scott Rasmussen/RMG Research/Just the News Daily Poll | Apr 16–18, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 40% | 49% | 5%[lower-alpha 128] | 6% | 9% |
| Firehouse/Optimus | Apr 11–18, 2020 | 745 (LV) | – | 44.3% | 52.2% | 3.5%[lower-alpha 129] | – | 7.9% |
| Harvard-Harris | Apr 14–16, 2020 | 2,190 (LV) | – | 47% | 53% | – | – | 6% |
| Morning Consult | Apr 14–16, 2020 | 1,992 (RV) | ± 2.0 % | 42% | 46% | 12%[lower-alpha 130] | – | 4% |
| 43% | 47% | 10%[lower-alpha 131] | - | 4% | ||||
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal | Apr 13–15, 2020 | 900 (RV) | ± 3.27 % | 42% | 49% | 5% | 4% | 7% |
| Change Research | Apr 13–15, 2020 | 1,349 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 40%[lower-alpha 132] | 51% | 7%[lower-alpha 133] | 2% | 11% |
| Democracy Fund & UCLA Nationscape | Apr 9–15, 2020 | 5,036 (RV)[lower-alpha 134] | – | 43% | 48% | – | – | 5% |
| Data for Progress/Harvard | Apr 14, 2020 | 802 (RV) | – | 45% | 49% | – | – | 4% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Apr 13–14, 2020 | 937 (RV) | ± 4.0 % | 40% | 45% | – | – | 5% |
| YouGov/Economist | Apr 12–14, 2020 | 1,160 (RV) | ± 3.4 % | 43% | 48% | 5%[lower-alpha 135] | 4% | 5% |
| Civiqs | Apr 11–14, 2020 | 1,600 (A) | ± 2.6 % | 44% | 48% | 6% | 2% | 4% |
| Firehouse/Optimus | Apr 7–14, 2020 | 732 (LV) | – | 42.1% | 53.9% | 4%[lower-alpha 136] | – | 11.8% |
| Pew Research Center | Apr 8–12, 2020 | 4,208 (RV) | ± 2.2 % | 45% | 47% | 8% | – | 2% |
| Morning Consult | Apr 6–12, 2020 | 25,372 (RV) [lower-alpha 137] | ± 1% | 42% | 45% | – | – | 3% |
| Firehouse/Optimus | Apr 4–10, 2020 | 814 (LV)[lower-alpha 138] | – | 43.3% | 52.8% | 4%[lower-alpha 139] | – | 9.5% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | Apr 6–7, 2020 | 1,139 (RV) | – | 40% | 49% | 6%[lower-alpha 140] | 5% | 9% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Apr 6–7, 2020 | 959 (RV) | – | 37% | 43% | – | – | 6% |
| YouGov/Economist | Apr 5–7, 2020 | 1,144 (RV) | ± 3.1 % | 42% | 48% | 6%[lower-alpha 141] | 4% | 6% |
| Fox News | Apr 4–7, 2020 | 1,107 (RV) | ± 3.0 % | 42% | 42% | 7% | 6% | Tie |
| Climate Nexus | Apr 3–7, 2020 | 3,168 (RV) | – | 41% | 47% | – | – | 6% |
| Monmouth University | Apr 3–7, 2020 | 743 (RV) | ± 3.6 % | 44% | 48% | 6%[lower-alpha 142] | 3% | 4% |
| CNN/SSRS | Apr 3–6, 2020 | 875 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 42% | 53% | 2%[lower-alpha 143] | 3% | 11% |
| Hart Research/Public Opinion Strategies/CNBC |
Apr 3–6, 2020 | 604 (RV) | – | 39% | 44% | 4%[lower-alpha 144] | 13%[lower-alpha 145] | 5% |
| Quinnipiac University | Apr 2–6, 2020 | 2,077 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 41% | 49% | 5%[lower-alpha 146] | 5% | 8% |
| Hart Research Associates/Protect Our Care[upper-alpha 5] | Apr 3–5, 2020 | 1,015 (RV) | – | 43% | 51% | 2%[lower-alpha 147] | 4% | 8% |
| Morning Consult | Mar 30 – Apr 5, 2020 | 30,985 (RV) | ± 1% | 42% | 46% | – | 12% | 4% |
| Firehouse/Optimus | Mar 28 – Apr 4, 2020 | 937 (LV)[lower-alpha 148] | – | 43.8% | 50.2% | 6%[lower-alpha 149] | – | 6.4% |
| Research Co. | Apr 3, 2020 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.1 % | 44% | 50% | 6% | – | 6% |
| Change Research | Apr 2–3, 2020 | 1,200 (LV) | – | 45% | 43% | 9%[lower-alpha 150] | 2% | 2% |
| IBD/TIPP | Mar 29 – Apr 1, 2020 | 980 (RV) | – | 41% | 47% | 6%[lower-alpha 151] | 7% | 6% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Mar 30–31, 2020 | 930 (RV) | – | 40% | 46% | – | – | 6% |
| YouGov/Economist | Mar 29–31, 2020 | 1,194 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 42% | 46% | 7%[lower-alpha 152] | 6% | 4% |
| Selzer & Co./Grinnell College | Mar 27–30, 2020 | 777 (LV) | ± 3.5 % | 43% | 47% | 8% | 1% | 4% |
| Morning Consult | Mar 23–29, 2020 | 34,645 (RV) | ± 1% | 42% | 46% | – | 12% | 4% |
| YouGov | Mar 26–28, 2020 | 1,193 (RV) | ± 3.2 % | 42% | 46% | 4% | 6% | 4% |
| Change Research | Mar 26–28, 2020 | 1,845 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 42% | 47% | – | 11% | 5% |
| Scott Rasmussen/RMG | Mar 26–28, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | – | 40% | 45% | – | – | 5% |
| Firehouse/Optimus | Mar 21–28, 2020 | 1,032 (LV)[lower-alpha 153] | – | 42.8% | 51.1% | 6.1%[lower-alpha 154] | – | 8.3% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | Mar 25–26, 2020 | 1,579 (A) | ± 3.1 % | 40% | 46% | 5%[lower-alpha 155] | 8% | 6% |
| Harvard-Harris | Mar 24–26, 2020 | 2,410 (RV) | – | 45% | 55% | – | – | 10% |
| ABC News/Washington Post | Mar 22–25, 2020 | 845 (RV) | ± 3.5 % | 47% | 49% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| YouGov/Economist | Mar 22–24, 2020 | 1,167 (RV) | ± 3.4 % | 42% | 46% | 6%[lower-alpha 156] | 6% | 4% |
| Fox News | Mar 21–24, 2020 | 1,011 (RV) | ± 3.0 % | 40% | 49% | 5% | 4% | 9% |
| Echelon Insights | Mar 20–24, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | – | 41% | 50% | – | 8% | 9% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Mar 18–24, 2020 | 3,763 (RV) | – | 39% | 46% | – | – | 7% |
| Lord Ashcroft Polls | Mar 10–24, 2020 | 10,357 (A) | – | 36% | 48% | 9%[lower-alpha 157] | 7% | 12% |
| Redfield & Whilton Strategies | Mar 23, 2020 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.57% | 40%[lower-alpha 158] | 48% | 4%[lower-alpha 159] | 8% | 8% |
| Monmouth University | Mar 18–22, 2020 | 754 (RV) | ± 3.6 % | 45% | 48% | 3% | 4% | 3% |
| Morning Consult | Mar 16–22, 2020 | 36,272 (RV) | ± 1% | 42% | 47% | – | 12% | 5% |
| Emerson College | Mar 18–19, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 2.9 % | 47% | 53% | – | – | 6% |
| YouGov/Economist | Mar 15–17, 2020 | 1,129 (RV) | ± 3.5 % | 41% | 48% | 6%[lower-alpha 160] | 5% | 7% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Mar 13–16, 2020 | 955 (RV) | ± 3.6 % | 37% | 46% | 11%[lower-alpha 161] | 6%[lower-alpha 162] | 9% |
| Morning Consult | Mar 11–15, 2020 | 9,979 (RV) | ± 1% | 42% | 48% | – | 11% | 6% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal | Mar 11–13, 2020 | 900 (RV) | ± 3.3 % | 43% | 52% | 3% | 2% | 9% |
| Hofstra University/YouGov | Mar 5–12, 2020 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.9 % | 49% | 51% | – | – | 2% |
| YouGov | Mar 10–11, 2020 | 1,240 (RV) | – | 41% | 45% | 7%[lower-alpha 163] | 6% | 4% |
| Civiqs | Mar 8–11, 2020 | 1,441 (RV) | ± 2.7 % | 46% | 48% | – | 6% | 2% |
| YouGov | Mar 8–10, 2020 | 1,191 (RV) | ± 2.9 % | 43% | 47% | 5%[lower-alpha 164] | 5% | 4% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Mar 6–9, 2020 | 956 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 44% | 10%[lower-alpha 165] | 5%[lower-alpha 166] | 2% |
| Quinnipiac University | Mar 5–8, 2020 | 1,261 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 41% | 52% | 3%[lower-alpha 167] | 5% | 11% |
| Rasmussen Reports | Mar 5–8, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3% | 42% | 48% | – | 9% | 6% |
| Morning Consult | Mar 5–8, 2020 | 6,112 (RV) | ± 1% | 42% | 46% | – | 12% | 4% |
| CNN/SSRS | Mar 4–7, 2020 | 1,084 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 53% | 1%[lower-alpha 168] | 2% | 10% |
| IBD/TIPP | Feb 20–29, 2020 | 839 (RV) | – | 46% | 49% | 2%[lower-alpha 169] | 2% | 3% |
| Harvard-Harris | Feb 26–28, 2020 | 651 (RV) | – | 45% | 55% | – | – | 10% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | Feb 26–27, 2020 | 1,662 (RV) | – | 41% | 50% | 6%[lower-alpha 170] | 3% | 9% |
| Morning Consult | Feb 23–27, 2020 | 6,117 (RV) | ± 1% | 42% | 46% | – | 12% | 4% |
| Fox News | Feb 23–26, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0 % | 41% | 49% | 6%[lower-alpha 171] | 4% | 8% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Feb 19–25, 2020 | 3,809 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 40%[lower-alpha 172] | 47% | –[lower-alpha 173] | –[lower-alpha 174] | 7% |
| YouGov/CBS News | Feb 20–22, 2020 | 10,000 (RV) | ± 1.2 % | 45% | 47% | 5%[lower-alpha 175] | 4% | 2% |
| Saint Leo University | Feb 17–22, 2020 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3% | 39.4% | 46.8% | – | 13.8% | 7.4% |
| Emerson College | Feb 16–18, 2020 | 1,250 (RV) | ± 2.7 % | 52% | 48% | – | – | 4% |
| ABC News/Washington Post | Feb 14–17, 2020 | 913 (RV) | ± 4% | 45% | 52% | 3%[lower-alpha 176] | 1% | 7% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal | Feb 14–17, 2020 | 900 (RV) | ± 3.3 % | 44% | 52% | – | – | 8% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Feb 14–17, 2020 | 947 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 40% | 42% | 12%[lower-alpha 177] | 6%[lower-alpha 178] | 2% |
| SurveyUSA | Feb 13–17, 2020 | 2,768 (RV) | ± 1.9 % | 45% | 48% | – | 7% | 3% |
| Morning Consult | Feb 12–17, 2020 | 7,313 (RV) | ± 1% | 42% | 46% | – | 12% | 4% |
| NPR/PBS News/Marist College | Feb 13–16, 2020 | 1,164 (RV) | ± 3.7 % | 44% | 50% | 1% | 5% | 6% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Feb 7–10, 2020 | 952 (RV) | ± 3.6 % | 42% | 44% | 11%[lower-alpha 179] | 4%[lower-alpha 180] | 2% |
| Quinnipiac University | Feb 5–9, 2020 | 1,519 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 43% | 50% | 5%[lower-alpha 181] | 2% | 7% |
| Morning Consult | Feb 4–9, 2020 | 36,180 (RV) | ± 1% | 42% | 45% | – | 13% | 3% |
| Atlas Intel | Jan 30 – Feb 2, 2020 | 1,600 (RV) | ± 2% | 45.4% | 45.8% | – | 8.8% | 0.4% |
| Morning Consult | Jan 27 – Feb 2, 2020 | 7,178 (RV) | ± 1% | 42% | 46% | – | 12% | 4% |
| IBD/TIPP[lower-alpha 182] | Jan 23–30, 2020 | 856 (RV) | – | 48% | 49% | 2%[lower-alpha 183] | 2% | 1% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal | Jan 26–29, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 50% | 4%[lower-alpha 184] | 2% | 6% |
| USC Dornlife/LA Times | Jan 15–28, 2020 | 4,869 (RV) | ± 2% | 40% | 49% | 6%[lower-alpha 185] | 5% | 9% |
| Morning Consult | Jan 20–26, 2020 | 8,399 (RV) | ± 1% | 41% | 47% | – | 13% | 6% |
| Emerson College | Jan 21–23, 2020 | 1,128 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 50% | – | – | Tie |
| ABC News/Washington Post | Jan 20–23, 2020 | 880 (RV) | ± 4% | 46% | 50% | 3%[lower-alpha 186] | 1% | 4% |
| Echelon Insights | Jan 20–23, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | – | 41% | 49% | – | 10% | 8% |
| Fox News | Jan 19–22, 2020 | 1,005 (RV) | ± 3% | 41% | 50% | 8%[lower-alpha 187] | 2% | 9% |
| CNN/SSRS | Jan 16–19, 2020 | 1,051 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 44% | 53% | 1%[lower-alpha 188] | 1% | 9% |
| Morning Consult | Jan 15–19, 2020 | 5,944 (RV) | ± 1% | 41% | 46% | – | 13% | 5% |
| Zogby Analytics | Jan 15–16, 2020 | 882 (LV) | – | 46% | 46% | – | 8% | Tie |
| SurveyUSA | Jan 14–16, 2020 | 4,069 (RV) | ± 1.7% | 43% | 50% | – | 7% | 7% |
| Morning Consult | Jan 6–12, 2020 | 8,299 (RV) | ± 1% | 41% | 46% | – | 13% | 5% |
| IBD/TIPP | Jan 3–11, 2020 | 901 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 48% | 3%[lower-alpha 189] | 2% | 2% |
| Morning Consult | Dec 30, 2019 – Jan 5, 2020 | 8,436 (RV) | ± 1% | 40% | 46% | – | 14% | 6% |
| Meeting Street Insights | Dec 28–30, 2019 | 1,000 (RV) | – | 38% | 49% | – | – | 11% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Dec 18–19, 2019 | 1,117 (A) | ± 3.3% | 35% | 39% | 17%[lower-alpha 190] | 9% | 4% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Dec 18–19, 2019 | 1,108 (A) | ± 3.4% | 36% | 37% | 20%[lower-alpha 191] | 8% | 1% |
| Emerson College | Dec 15–17, 2019 | 1,222 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 48% | 52% | – | – | 4% |
| CNN/SSRS | Dec 12–15, 2019 | 1,005 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 49% | 1% | 3% | 5% |
| IBD/TIPP | Dec 6–14, 2019 | 905 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 50% | 3%[lower-alpha 192] | 2% | 5% |
| Fox News | Dec 8–11, 2019 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 48% | 2% | 4% | 7% |
| Quinnipiac | Dec 4–9, 2019 | 1,553 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 42% | 51% | 4%[lower-alpha 193] | 3% | 9% |
| Zogby Analytics | Dec 5, 2019 | 865 | ± 3.3% | 46% | 45% | – | – | 1% |
| SurveyUSA | Nov 20–21, 2019 | 3,850 (RV) | ± 1.7% | 39% | 52% | – | 9% | 13% |
| RealClear Opinion Research | Nov 15–21, 2019 | 2,055 (RV) | ± 2.38% | 39% | 51% | – | 10% | 12% |
| Emerson College | Nov 17–20, 2019 | 1,092 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 49% | – | – | 2% |
| Morning Consult | Nov 8, 2019 | 1,300 (RV) | ± 3% | 40% | 44% | – | 16% | 4% |
| YouGov/Hofstra University | Oct 25–31, 2019 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 3% | 48.5% | 51.5% | – | – | 3.0% |
| ABC/Washington Post | Oct 27–30, 2019 | 876 (RV) | ± 4% | 39% | 56% | 4% [lower-alpha 194] | 0% | 17% |
| FOX News | Oct 27–30, 2019 | 1,040 (RV) | ± 3% | 39% | 51% | 7%[lower-alpha 195] | 4% | 12% |
| IBD/TIPP | Oct 27–30, 2019 | 903 (A) | ± 3.3% | 41% | 51% | – | – | 10% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal | Oct 27–30, 2019 | 720 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 41% | 50% | 6%[lower-alpha 196] | 3% | 9% |
| Morning Consult/Politico | Oct 25–28, 2019 | 1,997 (RV) | ± 2% | 36% | 41% | – | 23% | 5% |
| Emerson College | Oct 18–21, 2019 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 49% | 51% | – | – | 2% |
| CNN/SSRS | Oct 17–20, 2019 | 892 | ± 4.0% | 43% | 53% | 2%[lower-alpha 197] | 1%[lower-alpha 198] | 10% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 17–18, 2019 | 945 | ± 3.6% | 38% | 47% | 9%[lower-alpha 199] | 6%[lower-alpha 200] | 9% |
| SurveyUSA | Oct 15–16, 2019 | 3,080 | ± 2.1% | 41% | 52% | – | 7% | 11% |
| Lord Ashcroft Polls | Oct 1–15, 2019 | 15,051 (A) | – | 41% | 59% | – | – | 18% |
| Fox News | Oct 6–8, 2019 | 1,003 | ± 3.0% | 40% | 50% | 5% | 2% | 10% |
| Quinnipiac University | Oct 4–7, 2019 | 1,483 | ± 3.1% | 40% | 51% | 2% | 4% | 11% |
| Zogby Analytics | Oct 1–3, 2019 | 887 | ± 3.3% | 47% | 45% | – | 8% | 2% |
| IBD/TIPP | Sep 26 – Oct 3, 2019 | 863 | ± 3.5% | 44% | 51% | 1% | 3% | 7% |
| HarrisX | Oct 1–2, 2019 | 1,000 (RV) | – | 35% | 44% | 11%[lower-alpha 201] | 10% | 9% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 26–30, 2019 | 1,917 | ± 2.6% | 36% | 43% | 11% | 8% | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports | Sep 23–24, 2019 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 47% | 43% | – | – | 4% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 23–24, 2019 | 876 | ± 3.8% | 36% | 42% | 12% | 8% | 6% |
| Emerson College | Sep 21–23, 2019 | 1,019 | ± 3.0% | 49% | 50% | – | – | 1% |
| Zogby Analytics | Sep 16–17, 2019 | 1,004 | ± 3.1% | 44% | 49% | – | 8% | 5% |
| Fox News | Sep 15–17, 2019 | 1,008 | ± 3.0% | 38% | 52% | 5% | 2% | 14% |
| SurveyUSA | Sep 13–16, 2019 | 4,520 | ± 1.6% | 41% | 49% | – | 10% | 8% |
| Marquette University Law School | Sep 3–13, 2019 | 1,392 | – | 35% [lower-alpha 202] | 45%[lower-alpha 203] | 20%[lower-alpha 204] | –[lower-alpha 205] | 10% |
| ABC News/Washington Post | Sep 2–5, 2019 | 877 | ± 4.0% | 40% | 55% | – | 1% | 15% |
| IBD/TIPP | Aug 22–30, 2019 | 848 | ± 3.5% | 42% | 54% | 1% | 3% | 12% |
| Emerson College | Aug 24–26, 2019 | 1,458 | ± 2.5% | 46% | 54% | – | – | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University | Aug 21–26, 2019 | 1,422 | ± 3.1% | 38% | 54% | 1% | 4% | 16% |
| Morning Consult | Aug 16–18, 2019 | 1,998 | ± 2.0% | 35% | 42% | – | 23% | 7% |
| Fox News | Aug 11–13, 2019 | 1,013 | ± 3.0% | 38% | 50% | 5% | 4% | 12% |
| SurveyUSA | Aug 1–5, 2019 | 5,459 | ± 1.6% | 42% | 50% | – | 9% | 8% |
| IBD/TIPP | Jul 25 – Aug 1, 2019 | 856 | ± 3.5% | 41% | 54% | 1% | 3% | 14% |
| Emerson College | Jul 27–29, 2019 | 1,233 | ± 2.7% | 49% | 51% | – | – | 2% |
| HarrisX | Jul 25–26, 2019 | 1,000 (RV) | – | 39% | 42% | 11%[lower-alpha 206] | 8% | 3% |
| Fox News | Jul 21–23, 2019 | 1,004 | ± 3.0% | 39% | 49% | 5% | 5% | 10% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal | Jul 7–9, 2019 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 42% | 51% | 4% | 3% | 9% |
| Emerson College | Jul 6–8, 2019 | 1,100 | ± 2.9% | 47% | 53% | – | – | 6% |
| Rasmussen Reports | Jun 23 – Jul 2, 2019 | 4,500 | ± 1.5% | 44% | 48% | – | 7% | 4% |
| ABC News/Washington Post | Jun 28 – Jul 1, 2019 | 875 | ± 4.0% | 43% | 53% | – | 1% | 10% |
| Emerson College | Jun 21–24, 2019 | 1,096 | ± 2.9% | 45% | 55% | – | – | 10% |
| HarrisX | Jun 22–23, 2019 | 1,001 | ± 3.1% | 40% | 41% | 11%[lower-alpha 207] | 8% | 1% |
| Fox News | Jun 9–12, 2019 | 1,001 | ± 3.0% | 39% | 49% | 5% | 5% | 10% |
| Ipsos/Daily Beast | Jun 10–11, 2019 | 1,005 | ± 2.5% | 35% | 46% | – | 9% | 11% |
| Quinnipiac University | Jun 6–10, 2019 | 1,214 | ± 3.5% | 40% | 53% | 1% | 4% | 13% |
| Morning Consult | Jun 7–9, 2019 | 1,991 | ± 2.0% | 33% | 44% | – | 24% | 11% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | May 29 – Jun 5, 2019 | 3,851 | ± 1.8% | 36% | 50% | 7% | 5% | 14% |
| HarrisX | May 25–26, 2019 | 1,001 | ± 3.1% | 36% | 43% | 5% | 11% | 7% |
| Change Research | May 18–21, 2019 | 2,904 | ± 1.8% | 46% | 47% | 7% | – | 1% |
| Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 12–14, 2019 | 1,650 | ± 2.6% | 44% | 48% | – | 8% | 4% |
| Fox News | May 11–14, 2019 | 1,008 | ± 3.0% | 38% | 49% | 5% | 5% | 11% |
| Emerson College | May 10–13, 2019 | 1,006 | ± 3.0% | 46% | 54% | – | – | 8% |
| Zogby Analytics | May 2–9, 2019 | 903 | – | 39% | 49% | – | 12% | 10% |
| HarrisX | Apr 28–29, 2019 | 1,002 | ± 3.1% | 36% | 43% | 8% | 8% | 7% |
| CNN/SSRS | Apr 25–28, 2019 | 470 | ± 5.5% | 45% | 51% | <1% | 2% | 6% |
| HarrisX | Apr 25–26, 2019 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% | 37% | 43% | 5% | 15% | 6% |
| Morning Consult | Apr 19–21, 2019 | 1,992 | ± 2.0% | 34% | 42% | – | 19% | 8% |
| Emerson College | Apr 11–14, 2019 | 914 | ± 3.2% | 47% | 53% | – | – | 6% |
| Civiqs/Daily Kos | Apr 6–9, 2019 | 1,584 | ± 2.7% | 45% | 45% | – | 10% | Tie |
| HarrisX | Mar 31 – Apr 1, 2019 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% | 36% | 45% | 8% | 8% | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling | Mar 27–28, 2019 | 846 | ± 3.4% | 40% | 53% | – | 7% | 13% |
| Rasmussen Reports | Mar 17–28, 2019 | 5,000 | ± 1.5% | 44% | 49% | – | 7% | 5% |
| Fox News | Mar 17–20, 2019 | 1,002 | ± 3.0% | 40% | 47% | 4% | 5% | 7% |
| Emerson College | Mar 17–18, 2019 | 1,153 | ± 2.8% | 45% | 55% | – | – | 10% |
| HarrisX | Mar 17–18, 2019 | 1,001 | ± 3.1% | 33% | 44% | 8% | 10% | 11% |
| Civiqs/Daily Kos | Mar 9–12, 2019 | 1,622 | ± 2.6% | 43% | 48% | – | 9% | 5% |
| Change Research | Mar 8–10, 2019 | 4,049 | ± 2.5% | 46% | 51% | – | – | 5% |
| D-CYFOR | Feb 22–23, 2019 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% | 40% | 51% | – | 9% | 11% |
| Emerson College | Feb 14–16, 2019 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 45% | 55% | – | – | 10% |
| Change Research | Jan 31 – Feb 1, 2019 | 1,338 | ± 2.7% | 45% | 52% | – | – | 7% |
| Øptimus | Jan 30 – Feb 1, 2019 | 1,084 | ± 3.0% | 43% | 50% | – | 7% | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling | Jan 19–21, 2019 | 760 | ± 3.6% | 41% | 53% | – | 6% | 12% |
| HarrisX | Dec 16–17, 2018 | 1,001 | ± 3.1% | 36% | 42% | – | 22% | 6% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 24–29, 2018 | 3,064 | – | 44% | 53% | – | 3% | 9% |
| Morning Consult | Aug 16–18, 2018 | 1,974 | ± 2.0% | 31% | 43% | – | 26% | 12% |
| Morning Consult | Jul 26–30, 2018 | 1,993 | ± 2.0% | 37% | 44% | – | 19% | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling | Jun 8–10, 2018 | 679 | ± 3.8% | 39% | 53% | – | 8% | 14% |
| Zogby Analytics | May 10–12, 2018 | 881 | ± 3.2% | 38% | 48% | – | 14% | 10% |
| Public Policy Polling | Mar 23–25, 2018 | 846 | ± 3.4% | 39% | 56% | – | 6% | 17% |
| Public Policy Polling | Feb 9–11, 2018 | 687 | ± 3.7% | 42% | 51% | – | 7% | 9% |
| CNN/SSRS | Jan 14–18, 2018 | 913 | ± 3.8% | 40% | 57% | 1% | 1% | 17% |
| Zogby Analytics | Jan 12–15, 2018 | 847 | ± 3.4% | 38% | 53% | – | 9% | 15% |
| Public Policy Polling | Dec 11–12, 2017 | 862 | ± 3.3% | 40% | 54% | – | 6% | 14% |
| Morning Consult | Nov 9–11, 2017 | 1,993 | ± 2.0% | 35% | 46% | – | 20% | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling | Oct 27–29, 2017 | 572 | ± 4.1% | 38% | 56% | – | 6% | 16% |
| Zogby Analytics | Oct 19–25, 2017 | 1,514 | ± 2.5% | 41% | 50% | – | 9% | 9% |
| Emerson College | Oct 12–14, 2017 | 820 | ± 3.4% | 42% | 51% | – | 7% | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling | Sep 22–25, 2017 | 865 | ± 3.3% | 40% | 53% | – | 6% | 13% |
| Public Policy Polling | Aug 18–21, 2017 | 887 | ± 3.3% | 39% | 51% | – | 11% | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling | Jul 14–17, 2017 | 836 | ± 3.4% | 39% | 54% | – | 7% | 15% |
| Public Policy Polling | Jun 9–11, 2017 | 811 | ± 3.4% | 41% | 54% | – | 5% | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 12–14, 2017 | 692 | ± 3.7% | 40% | 54% | – | 6% | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling | Apr 17–18, 2017 | 648 | ± 3.9% | 40% | 54% | – | 6% | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling | Mar 27–28, 2017 | 677 | ± 3.8% | 40% | 54% | – | 6% | 14% |
Donald Trump vs. former Democratic candidates
The following candidates are ordered by the date they withdrew or suspended their campaign.
Donald Trump vs. former Democratic candidates | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Hypothetical polling
The scenarios contained in the collapsed table below include candidates who have explicitly declined to run, candidates who have not been the subject of speculation regarding a potential candidacy, and generic Democratic and independent opponents. Hypotheticals are also included involving withdrawn candidates.
Hypothetical polling | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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See also
- Statewide opinion polling for the 2020 United States presidential election
- Nationwide opinion polling for the 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- Statewide opinion polling for the 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- Opinion polling for the 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2020 Democratic National Convention
- 2020 Republican National Convention
- Opinion polling on the Donald Trump administration
Notes
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - 3% "Some other candidate", 2% Kanye West
- Standard VI response
- With Kanye West
- Kanye West
- With Kanye West
- Kanye West
- Without Kanye West
- Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- Jacob Hornberger
- "Some other candidate" with 8%; would not vote with 2%
- "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
- "Some other candidate" with 4%; "no one" with 0%
- If only Biden and Trump were candidates
- With a third party option
- "Third party candidate" with 11%
- "Would not vote" with 1%
- "Third party candidate" with 1%
- "Some other candidate" with 6%
- "Other candidate" with 5.6%; would not vote with 0.5%
- "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 1%
- Not yet released
- "Some other candidate" with 3%
- "A different candidate" with 5%
- "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 4%
- "Some other candidate" with 8%; would not vote with 2%
- "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
- "Another candidate" with 3%; "would not vote" with 2%
- "Neither" with 2%
- 92% of a sample of 1,886 registered voters
- "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
- "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 2%
- "No answer" with 4%
- Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- "Some other candidate" with 8%; would not vote with 2%
- Would not vote with 6.1%
- "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
- "Would not vote"
- "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote and "refused" with 1%
- Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- Would not vote with 5.5%
- "Third party candidate" with 4%; would not vote with 1%
- "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
- Includes would not vote
- Would not vote with 4.8%
- "Neither/other" with 7.3%
- Would not vote with 5%
- "Some other candidate" with 9%
- "Neither" with 2%; "other" with 1%
- Would not vote with 13%; "Third party candidate" with 6%
- "Other" and would not vote with 4%
- "Someone else" with 7%
- Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- "A different candidate" with 6.22%
- Includes would not vote
- "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 3%
- "Neither/other" with 5%
- Would not vote with 4.7%
- "Someone else/third party" with 4%; would not vote with 0%
- "Other" with 5%; "no one" with 1%
- "Would not vote"
- Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- "Third party candidate" with 5%; would not vote with 1%
- "Some other candidate" with 7%
- Would not vote with 4.9%
- "Other" and "Neither" with 1%; would not vote with 0%
- "Other candidate" with 6%; would not vote with 3%
- "Some other candidate" with 6%; would not vote with 2%
- Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- "A different candidate" with 4.52%
- Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 3%
- Would not vote with 4.1%
- Would not vote with 3.4%
- "Third party candidate" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
- "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
- "Some other candidate" with 5%; would not vote with 2%
- "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
- Would not vote with 7%
- "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 2%
- "Refused" with 3%; "someone else" and would not vote with 1%
- "Would not vote"
- Amash with 3%; "Other" with 5%
- "Would not vote" with 7%
- "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 4%
- "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
- Would not vote with 4.7%
- "Other" and "neither" with 1%
- Includes "refused"
- Standard VI response
- "Third party/write-in" with 4%; would not vote with no voters
- Voting intention for an exclusively vote-by-mail election
- "Third party/write-in" with 4%; would not vote with no voters
- "Some other candidate" with 7%
- Would not vote with 5.5%
- "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 4%
- "Third party candidate" with 5%; would not vote with 2%
- "Some other candidate" with 7%; would not vote with 2%
- "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 3%
- "Someone else" with 7%
- "Would not vote" with 4%
- Standard VI response
- "Other candidate" with 3%; "no one" with 1%
- With Justin Amash
- Justin Amash with 5%; "Other candidate" with 1%; "no one" with 1%
- Would not vote with 3%
- "Third party candidate" with 6%; would not vote with 1%
- Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- "Some other candidate" with 7%
- Would not vote with 5.2%
- "Someone else/third party" with 4%; would not vote with 0%
- "Other" with 7%; would not vote with 2%
- "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
- Figures calculated as decided voters + leaners
- "Would not vote" with 5.5%
- "Some other candidate" with 6%
- "Third party candidate" with 8%; "refused" with 1%
- "Would not vote" with 4%
- "Would vote for a third party/write-in candidate" with 2%; would not vote with no voters
- "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
- "Some other candidate" with 6%; would not vote with 2%
- "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 4%
- Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- "A third party candidate" with 6%; would not vote with 0%
- "Some other candidate" with 5%
- "Would not vote" with 3.5%
- Justin Amash with 1%; "Someone else" with 5%; "Would not vote" with 6%
- "Someone else" with 5%; "Would not vote" with 5%
- Vote shares listed as proportion of decided voters for candidate X + proportion of leaners for candidate X * proportion of voters who are leaners
- "Third party candidate" with 6%; would not vote with 1%
- Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
- "Would not vote" with 4%
- Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- Would not vote with 4%
- "Third party candidate" with 4%; "Would not vote" with 2%
- "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
- "Other candidate" with 5%; "No one" with 1%
- Other with 0%; “neither” with 2%
- "Neither/other" with 4%
- "Not sure" with 9%; "Depends" with 4%
- "Someone else" with 3%; wouldn't vote with 2%
- "Third party candidate" with 2%
- Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- Would not vote with 6%
- "Other" with 9%; would not vote with 0%
- "Other" with 5%; "prefer not to answer" with 1%
- "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 3%
- Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- Would not vote with 6.1%
- "Third party candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
- "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
- Would not vote with 9%
- Percentages calculated as listed percentage in sample without undecided voters * Percentage of voters who are not undecided
- "Would vote for a third party/write-in candidate" with 4%
- "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
- "Neither/other" with 7%; would not vote with 4%
- Listed as "don't know/refused"
- "Third party candidate" with 4%; would not vote with 3%
- "Other" with 2%; would not vote with 3%
- "Neither/other" with 8%; wouldn't vote with 2%
- Listed as "don't know/refused"
- "Someone else" with 1%; wouldn't vote with 2%
- "Other" with 0%; "neither" with 1%
- "Other" with 1%; "refused" with 1%
- "Third party candidate" with 5%; would not vote with 1%
- "Other" with 2%; "would not vote with" 4%
- Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- Not yet released
- Not yet released
- "Someone else/third party" with 4%; "would not vote with" 1%
- "Other" with 0%; "Neither" with 2%; "would not vote with" 1%
- "Neither/other" with 10%; would not vote with 2%
- Listed as "don't know/refused"
- "Neither/other" with 8%; "would not vote with" 3%
- Includes "refused"
- "Someone else" with 2%; wouldn't vote with 3%
- Sample size for registered voters sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- Other with 1%; refused with 1%
- "Neither/other" with 4%
- "Some other party's candidate" with 6%
- Other with 0%; neither with 2%; would not vote with 1%
- Other with 6%; would not vote with 2%
- Other with 0%; “neither” with 1%
- Other with 2%; refused with 1%
- "Neither/other" with 10%; wouldn't vote with 7%
- "Neither/other" with 12%; wouldn't vote with 8%
- Other with 2%; refused with 1%
- "Someone else" with 2%; wouldn't vote with 2%
- "Neither" with 2%; would not vote with 2%; other with 0%
- Other with 5%; would not vote with 2%
- "Neither/other" with 6%
- Neither with 2%
- Listed as "no opinion"
- Wouldn't vote with 3%; neither/other with 6%
- Includes "refused"
- Other with 5%; would not vote with 6%
- 7% said they'd probably (as opposed to definitely) vote for Trump
- 12% said they'd probably (as opposed to definitely) vote for Biden
- "Someone else" with 13%; "Wouldn't vote" with 6%; no answer with 1%
- See Biden and Trump notes
- Other with 7%; would not vote with 5%
- Other with 8%; would not vote with 3%
- "Third party candidate" with 4%; would not vote with 4%
- "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
- "Third party candidate" with 8%; would not vote with 0%
- "Other" with 6%; "prefer not to answer" with 1%
- "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
- "Someone else" with 9%; would not vote with 2%
- "Third party candidate" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
- "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
- "Neither/other" with 9%; would not vote with 6%
- Listed as "don't know/refused"
- Would not vote with 7%
- Percentages calculated as listed percentage in sample without undecided voters * Percentage of voters who are not undecided
- "Would vote for a third party/write-in candidate" with 3%
- "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
- "Neither/other" with 6%; would not vote with 3%
- Listed as "don't know/refused"
- "Third party candidate" with 4%; would not vote with 4%
- "Other" with 2%; would not vote with 3%
- "Neither/other" with 8%; wouldn't vote with 2%
- Listed as "don't know/refused"
- "Someone else" with 2%; wouldn't vote with 3%
- "Other" with 0%; "neither" with 2%
- "Other" with 2%; "refused" with 0%
- "Third party candidate" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
- "Other" with 2%; would not vote with 3%
- Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- Not yet released
- Not yet released
- "Someone else/third party" with 3%; "would not vote with" 1%
- "Other" with no voters; "Neither" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
- Would not vote with 4%
- "Neither/other" with 9%; would not vote with 2%
- Listed as "don't know/refused"
- "Neither/other" with 9%; would not vote with 2%
- Includes "refused"
- "Someone else" with 1%; wouldn't vote with 2%
- Sample size for registered voters sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- Other with 2%; refused with 1%
- "Neither/other" with 5%
- "Some other party's candidate" with 8%
- Other with 0%; neither with 2%; would not vote with 1%
- Other with 5%; would not vote with 2%
- Other with 0%; “neither” with 2%
- Responses to the question: “If the 2020 U.S. Presidential election was held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump?”
- Sample size sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- Data not yet released
- Responses to the question: “If the 2020 U.S. Presidential election was held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were Democrat Bernie Sanders and Republican Donald Trump?”
- Sample size sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- Data not yet released
- Responses to the question: " “If the 2020 U.S. Presidential election was held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were Democrat Bernie Sanders, who wants to tax the billionaire class to help the working class and Republican Donald Trump, who says Sanders is a socialist who supports a government takeover of healthcare and open borders?”"
- Data not yet released
- Data not yet released
- Other with 2%; refused with 1%
- "Neither/other" with 9%; wouldn't vote with 6%
- "Neither/other" with 10%; wouldn't vote with 8%
- Other with 3%; refused with 1%
- "Someone else" with 2%; wouldn't vote with 2%
- "Neither" with 2%; would not vote with 1%; other with 0%
- Other with 5%; would not vote with 1%
- Other with 1%; neither with 2%
- Listed as "no opinion"
- Wouldn't vote with 2%; neither/other with 8%
- Includes "refused"
- Other with 10%; would not vote with 6%
- Other with 11%; would not vote with 4%
- Other with 10%; would not vote with 3%
- Other with 10%; would not vote with 7%
- Other with 17%; would not vote with 6%
- Other with 19%; would not vote with 5%
- "Other" with 2%; "refused" with 1%
- "Third party candidate" with 5%; would not vote with 1%
- "Other" with 3%; "would not vote with" 4%
- Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- Not yet released
- Not yet released
- "Someone else/third party" with 3%; "would not vote with" 1%
- "Other" with 0%; "Neither" with 2%; "would not vote with" 1%
- "Neither/other" with 11%; would not vote with 2%
- Listed as "don't know/refused"
- "Neither/other" with 10%; would not vote with 2%
- Includes "refused"
- "Someone else" with 2%; wouldn't vote with 2%
- Sample size for registered voters sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- Other with 3%; refused with 1%
- "Neither/other" with 5%
- "Some other party's candidate" with 9%
- Other with 0%; neither with 2%; would not vote with 2%
- Other with 6%; would not vote with 3%
- Other with 0%; “neither” with 3%
- Other and refused with 2%
- "Neither/other" with 10%; wouldn't vote with 7%
- "Neither/other" with 12%; wouldn't vote with 8%
- Other with 3%; refused with 2%
- "Someone else" with 2%; wouldn't vote with 2%
- "Neither" with 2%; would not vote with 2%; other with 0%
- Other with 7%; would not vote with 2%
- "Neither/other" with 3%
- Wouldn't vote with 3%; neither/other with 8%
- Includes "refused"
- Neither with 3%
- Listed as "no opinion"
- Other with 8%; would not vote with 7%
- 7% said they'd probably (as opposed to definitely) vote for Trump
- 9% said they'd probably (as opposed to definitely) vote for Warren
- "Someone else" with 17%; "Wouldn't vote" with 6%; no answer with 1%
- See Warren and Trump notes
- Other with 10%; would not vote with 5%
- Other with 12%; would not vote with 4%
- "Other" with 2%; "refused" with 1%
- "Third party candidate" with 7%; would not vote with 2%
- "Other" with 2%; would not vote with 5%
- Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- Not yet released
- "Someone else/third party" with 6%; "would not vote with" 1%
- "Neither/other" with 8%; would not vote with 3%
- "Other" with 0%; "Neither" with 2%; would not vote with 1%
- "Neither/other" with 7%; would not vote with 3%
- Includes "refused"
- "Someone else" with 2%; wouldn't vote with 3%
- Sample size for registered voters sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- Other with 2%; refused with 1%
- Other with 1%; neither with 2%; would not vote with 1%
- Other with 5%; would not vote with 2%
- Other with 1%; “neither” with 2%
- Other with 3%; refused with 2%
- "Neither/other" with 12%; wouldn't vote with 7%
- Other with 4%; refused with 1%
- "Someone else" with 2%; wouldn't vote with 3%
- "Other" with 2%; "refused" with 1%
- "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 4%
- Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- Data not yet released
- Data not yet released
- "Someone else/third party" with 5%; "would not vote with" 1%
- "Neither/other" with 12%; would not vote with 2%
- "Other" with 0%; "Neither" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
- "Someone else" with 2%; wouldn't vote with 2%
- "Some other party's candidate" with 11%
- Other with 0%; neither with 2%; would not vote with 2%
- Other with 7%; would not vote with 3%
- Other with 0%; “neither” with 3%
- "Someone else" with 2%; wouldn't vote with 2%
- Other with 13%; would not vote with 7%
- Other with 13%; would not vote with 7%
- Other with 13%; would not vote with 4%
- "Other" with 2%; would not vote with 1%
- "Third party candidate" with 5%; would not vote with 2%
- "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 5%
- Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- Data not yet released
- Data not yet released
- "Someone else/third party" with 5%; "would not vote with" 1%
- Would not vote with 1%
- "Other" with 1%; "Neither" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
- "Neither/other" with 9%; would not vote with 2%
- Listed as "don't know/refused"
- "Neither/other" with 9%; would not vote with 3%
- Includes "refused"
- "Someone else" with 2%; wouldn't vote with 3%
- Sample size for registered voters sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- Other with 3%; refused with 1%
- "Neither/other" with 6%
- "Some other party's candidate" with 10%
- Other with 0%; neither with 3%; would not vote with 2%
- Other with 0%; “neither” with 3%
- Other and refused with 2%
- "Neither/other" with 11%; wouldn't vote with 9%
- Other with 3%; refused with 2%
- "Someone else" with 2%; wouldn't vote with 2%
- "Neither" with 3%; would not vote with 2%; other with 1%
- Other with 9%; would not vote with 2%
- Other with 1%; neither with 3%
- Listed as "no opinion"
- Other with 10%; would not vote with 8%
- Other with 13%; would not vote with 5%
- Other with 11%; would not vote with 4%
- Other with 13%; would not vote with 7%
- Other with 11%; would not vote with 7%
- Other with 16%; would not vote with 6%
- Other with 14%; would not vote with 6%
- Other with 17%; would not vote with 5%
- Other with 18%; would not vote with 5%
- Other with 12%; would not vote with 8%
- Other with 12%; would not vote with 6%
- Other with 17%; would not vote with 6%
- Other with 18%; would not vote with 5%
- Other with 12%; would not vote with 6%
- Other with 16%; would not vote with 6%
- Other with 18%; would not vote with 6%
- Other with 11%; would not vote with 7%
- Other with 12%; would not vote with 5%
- Other with 13%; would not vote with 5%
- Other with 13%; would not vote with 7%
- Other with 17%; would not vote with 5%
- Other with 18%; would not vote with 5%
- Other with 13%; would not vote with 7%
- Other with 15%; would not vote with 5%
- Other with 14%; would not vote with 6%
- Would not vote with 3%; "Neither" with 2%; other with 0%
- Other with 10%; would not vote with 7%
- Other with 11%; would not vote with 5%
- Other with 12%; would not vote with 4%
- Other with 13%; would not vote with 6%
- Other with 16%; would not vote with 6%
- Other with 18%; would not vote with 5%
- Other with 15%; would not vote with 6%
- Other with 18%; would not vote with 6%
- Other with 19%; would not vote with 5%
- Other with 11%; would not vote with 8%
- Other with 14%; would not vote with 5%
- Other with 12%; would not vote with 4%
- Other with 13%; would not vote with 7%
- Other with 17%; would not vote with 6%
- Other with 19%; would not vote with 6%
- Other with 10%; would not vote with 6%
- Other with 14%; would not vote with 6%
- Other with 15%; would not vote with 5%
- Other with 17%; would not vote with 6%
- Other with 19%; would not vote with 5%
- Other with 16%; would not vote with 5%
- Other with 19%; would not vote with 5%
- Other with 17%; would not vote with 5%
- Other with 17%; would not vote with 6%
- Other with 18%; would not vote with 7%
- Other with 20%; would not vote with 6%
- Other with 18%; would not vote with 5%
- Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- Other with 3%; refused with 2%
- Other with 4%; would not vote with 2%
- Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- Not yet released, but poll published on Feb 3, 2019
- Barack Obama is ineligible to run for president due to the Twenty-second Amendment to the United States Constitution
- Ocasio-Cortez is ineligible to run for president until the 2024 Presidential election due to not meeting the minimum age requirement set out in Article II, Section 1, Clause 5 of the Constitution of the United States
- Not yet released, but poll published on Feb 3, 2019
- Percentages listed as a combination of decided voters + leaners * proportion of voters who are undecided
- Would not vote with 10%
- "Someone else" with 8%
- "Someone else" with 10%
- "Someone else" with 8%
- "Someone else" with 9%
- 92% of a sample of 1,886 registered voters
- "Independent or other candidate" with 8%
- Includes "other"
- "Independent or other candidate" with 6%
- Includes "other"
- "Independent or other candidate" with 7%
- Includes "other"
- Would not vote with 2%
- Would not vote with 2%
- "Would vote for independent or other candidate" with 6%
- Would not vote with 1%
- Would not vote with 2%
- Would not vote with 2%
- "Would vote for independent or other candidate" with 6%
- Would not vote with 2%
- Would not vote with 3%
- Would not vote with 2%
- Would not vote with 2%
- "Would vote for independent or other candidate" with 7%
- Would not vote with 3%
- Would not vote with 2%
- No answer with 0%
- Would not vote with 2%
- Would not vote with 3%
- Not yet released
- "Independent or other candidate" with 8%
- Includes "other"
- Would not vote with 2%
- Includes 'other', but not 'will vote for independent and/or other candidate'
- Includes 'other', but not 'will vote for independent and/or other candidate'
- Would not vote with 5%
- Includes 'other', but not 'will vote for independent and/or other candidate'
- No answer with 0%
- Includes 'other', but not 'will vote for independent and/or other candidate'
- "Third-party candidate" with 10%
- Includes 'other', but not 'will vote for independent and/or other candidate'
- Percentage listed as a % of respondents who said they'd definitely vote for the Democratic nominee as a proportion of respondents who said they would definitely not vote for Trump
- "Definitely not Trump and definitely not the Democratic candidate" with 2%
- "Definitely not voting for Trump, but waiting to see the Democratic nominee before deciding whether to vote for them" with 36%; "Would consider voting for Trump" with 14%; "No opinion" with 3%; "No opinion besides definitely not voting for Trump" with 1%
- Listed as "Someone else should be in office" looking ahead to the 2020 presidential election, as opposed to "Trump should be re-elected"
- "Would probably or definitely vote for someone other than Trump" with 55%
- Would not vote with 2%
- Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- "Will definitely not vote for Trump" with 51%
- "Would consider voting for Trump" with 13%; "Don't know/no answer" with 3%
- "Would never consider voting for Trump" with 46%
- "Would consider voting for Trump" with 54%
- "Would definitely not consider voting for Trump" with 56%
- "Would consider voting for Trump" with 14%; "No opinion" with 1%
- Listed as "Someone else"
- Would not vote with 3%
- Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by Protect Our Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act Organisation
- Giffords is a PAC which supports gun control measures
- Poll sponsored by Protect Our Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act Organisation
- This poll was sponsored by the Senate Majority PAC, which supports Democratic Senate candidates, and Priorities USA, a Democratic super PAC
- The poll's sponsor is a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
- By the time of the poll's sampling dates, Data for Progress had endorsed the Elizabeth Warren 2020 presidential campaign
- Poll sponsored by the Progressive Change Campaign Committee (PCCC)
- An internal poll released by Schultz prior to him ruling out a 2020 presidential bid
- An internal poll released by Schultz prior to him ruling out a 2020 presidential bid
- Poll sponsored by Protect Our Care
- Poll sponsored by Priorities USA Action
External links
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