2018 Connecticut gubernatorial election

The 2018 Connecticut gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor and lieutenant governor of Connecticut, concurrently with the election of Connecticut's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. This race's Democratic margin of victory was the closest to the national average of 3.1 points. (It was 0.1 point more Democratic.)

2018 Connecticut gubernatorial election

November 6, 2018
Turnout61.4%
 
Nominee Ned Lamont Bob Stefanowski
Party Democratic Republican
Running mate Susan Bysiewicz Joe Markley
Popular vote 694,510 650,138
Percentage 49.4% 46.2%

Municipal results

County results
Lamont:      40–50%      50–60%
Stefanowski:      40–50%      50–60%

Governor before election

Dannel Malloy
Democratic

Elected Governor

Ned Lamont
Democratic

As Connecticut does not have gubernatorial term limits, incumbent Democratic Governor Dannel Malloy was eligible to run for a third term, but declined to do so.[1][2][3] After the resignation of Kansas Governor Sam Brownback in January 2018, Malloy became the most unpopular governor in the United States.[4][5] The general election was between 2006 Democratic Senate nominee and businessman Ned Lamont, and Republican businessman Bob Stefanowski. Independent candidate and former Republican Oz Griebel has been called a spoiler candidate for Stefanowski, earning 3.89% of the vote.[6]

Democratic primary

Governor

Democratic nominee

  • Ned Lamont, businessman, former Greenwich Selectman, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2006 and candidate for Governor of Connecticut in 2010[7][8] (endorsed by the state party)

Lost the Democratic primary

Withdrew prior to the Democratic primary

Declined

Primary endorsements

Susan Bysiewicz (withdrew)
State legislators
Mayors and other municipal leaders
Sean Connolly (withdrew)
State legislators
Jonathan Harris (withdrew)
Statewide officials
State legislators
Mayors and other municipal leaders
Ned Lamont
Presidents
Vice President
  • Joe Biden, former Vice President of the United States of America [42]
Withdrawn Candidates
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Party leaders
  • Kevin Comer, Chairman of Washington Democratic Town Committee[42]
  • Steven Sheinberg, Chairman of Fairfield Democratic Town Committee[42]
  • Audrey Tyson, Member of Democratic State Central Committee[42]
  • Barbara Reynolds, Member of Democratic State Central Committee[42]
  • Karen Jarmoc, Member of Democratic State Central Committee[42]
Newspapers and magazines
Mayors and other municipal leaders
2018 Candidates for Office
  • Amanda Webster, Democratic Nominee for Connecticut Representatives from the 62nd District
Labor unions

Results

Democratic primary results by municipality. Shades of brown denote win for Lamont, green for Ganim.
Democratic primary results by county. Shades of blue denote win for Lamont.
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ned Lamont 172,024 81.2
Democratic Joe Ganim 39,913 18.8
Total votes 211,937 100.0

Lieutenant Governor

Democratic nominee

Lost the Democratic primary

  • Eva Bermúdez Zimmerman, activist[53]

Withdrew

  • Liz Linehan, state representative[54]
  • Drew Marzullo, Greenwich Selectman[55]
  • Charlie Stallworth, state representative[56]

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Susan Bysiewicz 129,928 62.2
Democratic Eva Bermúdez Zimmerman 79,021 37.8
Total votes 208,949 100.0

Republican primary

Governor

Republican nominee

Endorsed by the state party; lost the Republican primary

Lost the Republican primary

  • Tim Herbst, former First Selectman of Trumbull and nominee for state treasurer in 2014[61]
  • Stephen A. Obsitnik, businessman and nominee for CT-04 in 2012[62]
  • David Stemerman, businessman[63]

Eliminated at Convention

  • Mike Handler, Stamford Director of Administration[64]
  • Mark Lauretti, Mayor of Shelton and candidate for governor and lieutenant governor in 2014[65][66][67] (endorsed Stefanowski)
  • Peter Lumaj, attorney and nominee for secretary of state in 2014[68][69][66] (endorsed Stefanowski)
  • Prasad Srinivasan, state representative[70] (endorsed Herbst)
  • David M. Walker, former United States Comptroller General and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2014[71][72][66] (endorsed Stefanowski)

Withdrew prior to the Convention

Declined

Convention

The Republican statewide nominating convention was held May 11–12, 2018 at Foxwoods Resort Casino in Ledyard, Connecticut.

Under the rules established by the convention, any candidate not receiving at least eight percent of the vote would be eliminated in the first round of voting. In the second round of voting, candidates not receiving 15 percent of the vote would be eliminated. In all subsequent rounds of voting, the candidate with the fewest votes would be eliminated, regardless of percentage. Voting would continue until one candidate receives 50 percent plus one of all votes cast.[88]

Results at the Convention

Round Mark Boughton Tim Herbst Steve Obsitnik Peter Lumaj Mark Lauretti David M. Walker Prasad Srinivasan Mike Handler
1 277 24.4% 213 18.8% 117 10.3% 167 14.7% 119 10.5% 104 9.2% 90 7.9% 46 4.1%
2 408 36.3% 319 28.4% 198 17.6% 161 14.3% 26 2.3% 13 1.2%
3 557 50.1% 454 40.9% 100 9.0%

Primary endorsements

Mark Boughton[89]
Tim Herbst[97]
Steve Obsitnik
Bob Stefanowski
David Stemerman
Mike Handler (eliminated)
Mark Lauretti (eliminated)
State legislators
Mayors and other municipal leaders
Republican Town Committee leaders
  • Mike Barnes, Chairman, New Milford RTC[119]
  • Bill Paecht, Chairman, Seymour RTC[119]
  • Anthony Simonetti, Chairman, Shelton RTC[119]
Peter Lumaj (eliminated)
Prasad Srinivasan (eliminated)
State Legislators
  • State Rep. Sam Belsito (R-53rd District) of Tolland
  • State Rep. Tom Delnicki (R-14th District) of South Windsor
  • State Rep. Bill Simanski (R-62nd District) of Granby
  • State Rep. Mark Tweedie (R-13th District) of Manchester
Local Officials
  • Stewart "Chip" Beckett, Member, Glastonbury Town Council
  • Tim Devanney, Member, Town of Manchester Board of Directors
  • Matthew Galligan, Member, Town of Manchester Board of Directors
  • Carolyn Mirek, Member, South Windsor Town Council and former Mayor
  • Robert Morra, Member, Town of Bolton Board of Selectmen
  • George P. Norman, Member, Glastonbury Town Council
  • Donald Palmer, Member, Town of Manchester Ways and Means Committee
  • William T. Finn, former Member, Glastonbury Town Council
  • Michael T. Zelasky, Chairman, Lisbon Board of Finance
State Central Committee
  • Michael FitzPatrick (4th Senatorial District) of Glastonbury
  • Louis Spadaccini (4th Senatorial District) of Manchester
Republican Town Committee Leaders
  • John Deeb, Chairman, Manchester RTC
  • Rodney Fournier, Chairman, Bolton RTC
  • Ken Hjulstrom, Chairman, Marlborough RTC
  • Robert Ike, Chairman, Bloomfield RTC
  • Robert Lynn, Chairman, Glastonbury RTC
  • Allan Spotts, Chairman, Cromwell RTC
  • John Tanski, First Vice Chair, Glastonbury RTC
Erin Stewart (withdrew)

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mark
Boughton
Tim
Herbst
Steve
Obsitnik
Bob
Stefanowski
David
Stemerman
Undecided
Tremont Public Advisors August 7–9, 2018 1,151 ± 3.0% 32% 16% 11% 22% 17% 3%
Tremont Public Advisors July 18–20, 2018 1,006 ± 3.0% 34% 15% 12% 20% 15% 5%
McLaughlin & Associates (R-Stefanowski) July 21–23, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 18% 11% 4% 29% 17% 21%

Results

Republican primary results by municipality. Shades of blue denote win for Stefanowski, red for Boughton, green for Stemerman, yellow for Herbst, and purple for Obsitnik.
Republican primary results by county. Shades of red denote win for Stefanowski. Shades of green denote win for Boughton.
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bob Stefanowski 42,119 29.4
Republican Mark D. Boughton 30,505 21.3
Republican David Stemerman 26,276 18.3
Republican Tim Herbst 25,144 17.6
Republican Steve Obsitnik 19,151 13.4
Total votes 143,195 100.0

Lieutenant Governor

Republican nominee

Lost the Republican primary

Withdrew

  • Ann Brookes, attorney[128]
  • Peter Tesei, Greenwich First Selectman[129]

Endorsements

Joe Markley
Erin Stewart

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Joe Markley 65,702 47.6
Republican Erin Stewart 45,262 32.8
Republican Jayme Stevenson 27,139 19.7
Total votes 138,103 100.0

Independent

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Withdrew

  • Micah Welintukonis, former Coventry town councilman and army veteran[134]

Endorsements

Oz Griebel

General election

Endorsements

Bob Stefanowski (R)
Ned Lamont (D)
Federal officials
Public figures
Statewide officials
State legislators
Party leaders
Newspapers and magazines
Mayors and other municipal leaders
2018 Candidates for Office
  • Amanda Webster, Democratic Nominee for Connecticut Representatives from the 62nd District
Organizations
Labor unions
Oz Griebel (I)
Newspapers and magazines

Debates

Dates Location Lamont Stefanowski Griebel Link
October 18, 2018 Hartford, Connecticut Participant Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN
October 30, 2018 New Haven, Connecticut Participant Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[171] Tossup October 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[172] Lean D October 12, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[173] Lean D October 11, 2018
Real Clear Politics[174] Tossup October 30, 2018
Daily Kos[175] Lean D October 23, 2018
Fox News[176] Likely D November 5, 2018
Politico[177] Lean D October 23, 2018
Governing[178] Lean D October 23, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[179] Likely D October 23, 2018
The Washington Post[180] Tossup November 4, 2018

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ned
Lamont (D)
Bob
Stefanowski (R)
Oz
Griebel (I)
Other Undecided
Gravis Marketing October 30 – November 1, 2018 681 ± 3.8% 46% 37% 9% 8%
Sacred Heart University October 29–31, 2018 500 ± 4.3% 38% 40% 9% 1% 12%
Emerson College October 27–29, 2018 780 ± 3.7% 46% 39% 10% 0%[181] 5%
Quinnipiac University October 22–28, 2018 1,201 ± 4.0% 47% 43% 7% 0% 4%
Sacred Heart University October 13–17, 2018 501 ± 4.3% 40% 36% 8% 1% 15%
Public Policy Polling (D-Change Course CT PAC) October 8–9, 2018 828 43% 38% 19%
Quinnipiac University October 3–8, 2018 767 ± 5.0% 47% 39% 11% 0% 3%
Sacred Heart University September 12–17, 2018 501 ± 4.3% 43% 37% 4% 16%
Gravis Marketing August 24–27, 2018 606 ± 4.0% 49% 40% 12%
Quinnipiac University August 16–21, 2018 1,029 ± 3.9% 46% 33% 4% 2%[182] 14%
53% 37% 6%
Sacred Heart University August 16–21, 2018 502 ± 4.3% 41% 37% 6% 17%

Results

Results by congressional district:
  Lamont/Bysiewicz—50–60%
  Stefanowski/Markley—40–50%
Connecticut's gubernatorial election, 2018[183]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Democratic Ned Lamont 694,510 49.37% -1.36%
Republican Bob Stefanowski 650,138 46.21% -1.95%
Independent Oz Griebel 54,741 3.89% N/A
Libertarian Rod Hanscomb 6,086 0.43% N/A
Independent Mark Greenstein 1,254 0.09% N/A
Independent Lee Whitnum (write-in) 74 0.01% N/A
Total votes 1,406,803 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

See also

  • United States gubernatorial elections, 2018

References

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  114. Bob Stefanowski. "I am pleased to announce that Enfield Mayor, Mike Ludwick, has endorsed me to be Connecticut's next governor. I hope that you will join Mike in voting for me on Tuesday!". Twitter.
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  120. "Lumaj Announces Steering Committee For Exploratory Effort" (Press release). Peter Lumaj for CT. February 6, 2018. Retrieved February 10, 2018.
  121. Peter Lumaj [@PeterLumaj] (January 23, 2018). "Lumaj Grabs Major Endorsement! Senator Henri Martin Endorses Lumaj For Governor!" (Tweet) via Twitter.
  122. Peter Lumaj [@PeterLumaj] (February 1, 2018). "Happy to have the endorsement of @Rep80! Rob is a great friend and a steadfast conservative leader! Looking forward to working with him the create a #FreshStart4CT!" (Tweet) via Twitter.
  123. https://docs.wixstatic.com/ugd/563568_df3a024d12c64a60b3bb5c2dc4984d43.pdf
  124. Erin Stewart [@erinstewartct] (May 2, 2018). "I am honored to receive an endorsement from former U.S. Rep. Nancy Johnson. Read more at bit.ly/2KaGSeT" (Tweet) via Twitter.
  125. "Markley seeks a run for Lt. Governor". Southington Observer. March 30, 2017. Retrieved July 8, 2018.
  126. "UPDATED with reaction: First Selectman Jayme Stevenson to run for lieutenant governor – Darien". www.darientimes.com. Retrieved July 8, 2018.
  127. "Stewart Drops Bid for Gov., Will Run for Lieutenant Gov". NBC Connecticut. Retrieved July 8, 2018.
  128. "Ann Brookes will not wage GOP primary in 2nd Congressional - The CT MirrorThe CT Mirror". ctmirror.org. Retrieved July 8, 2018.
  129. "Erin Stewart switches to Lt. Gov., drops Tesei". Connecticut Post. May 11, 2018. Retrieved July 8, 2018.
  130. "Joseph Markley for Connecticut Lieutenant Governor". National Review. August 8, 2018.
  131. "Erin Stewart For Republican Lieutenant Governor". Hartford Courant. August 5, 2018.
  132. Pazniokis, Mark (December 19, 2017). "Oz Griebel to open indy run with a Sandy Hook running mate". Retrieved December 20, 2017.
  133. Blair, Russell (July 12, 2017). "New Canaan's Joe Scarborough Leaving Republican Party". Retrieved July 14, 2017.
  134. Tchelidze, Ekaterine (September 9, 2017). "War hero aims for Hartford". The Chronicle. Retrieved January 1, 2018.
  135. Donald Trump. "It is about time that Connecticut had a real and talented Governor. Bob Stefanowski is the person needed to do the job. Tough on crime, Bob is also a big cutter of Taxes. He will win in November and make a Great Governor, a major difference maker. Bob has my total Endorsement!". Twitter.
  136. David Stemerman. "David: "I just got off the phone with Bob Stefanowski to offer him my support as the best chance to fix Connecticut." THANK YOU to our supporters, to our team and to the people of Connecticut. Let's unite and #SaveConnecticut". Twitter.
  137. The Editorial Board (October 25, 2018). "A Connecticut Rescue Plan". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved October 27, 2018.
  138. Altimari, Daniela (October 18, 2018). "Bob Stefanowski Makes a Play for Democratic Voters". Hartford Courant.
  139. Mark Pazniokas (August 26, 2018). "Independent Party cross-endorses Stefanowski and GOP ticket". The Connecticut Mirror.
  140. "NFIB Connecticut PAC Endorses Bob Stefanowski in the race for Governor". NFIB. October 11, 2018.
  141. Altimari, Daniela (October 15, 2018). "Realtors, Electrical Contractors Back Bob Stefanowski for Governor". Hartford Courant. Retrieved October 23, 2018.
  142. https://www.nationalreview.com/2018/11/bob-stefanowski-connecticut-governors-race-historic-campaign/
  143. "Stefanowski can bring Connecticut back from the brink". New York Post. October 30, 2018. Retrieved October 31, 2018.
  144. "We endorse: Stefanowski for governor". Waterbury Republican-American. November 3, 2018.
  145. "We endorse: Stefanowski for governor". Greenwich Sentinel. November 2, 2018.
  146. Barack Obama. "Today, I'm proud to endorse even more Democratic candidates who aren't just running against something, but for something—to expand opportunity for all of us and to restore dignity, honor, and compassion to public service. They deserve your vote:". Twitter.
  147. "President Barack Obama Endorses Ned Lamont for Governor of Connecticut". NedLamont.com. October 1, 2018. Archived from the original on October 2, 2018. Retrieved October 2, 2018.
  148. Ned Lamont. "Vice President Biden is an inspiration to all Americans and I am honored to receive his endorsement, @JoeBiden". Twitter.
  149. "U.S. Sen. Chris Murphy Endorses Ned Lamont for Governor". NedLamont.com. August 18, 2018. Archived from the original on August 19, 2018. Retrieved August 20, 2018.
  150. "Thank you, Sen. @DickBlumenthal for your endorsement..." Ned Lamont on Twitter. August 21, 2018. Archived from the original on August 22, 2018. Retrieved August 25, 2018.
  151. Ned Lamont. "My thanks to @KamalaHarris for her enthusiastic support and for speaking to Connecticut voters about how much is at stake in this election". Twitter.
  152. Emilie Munson (August 15, 2018). "Kamala Harris calls in her support for Lamont". The Connecticut Post. Retrieved August 16, 2018.
  153. Jim Himes. "Very happy to stand with @NedLamont @ShawnTWooden @SteveStafstrom @reprosario128 @repsantiago130 in #Bridgeport for some serious door-knocking!". Twitter.
  154. "Medal of Honor recipient Paul Bucha of Ridgefield wants you to know his choice for governor. I am grateful beyond words". Ned Lamont on Facebook. Retrieved October 27, 2018.
  155. "With my good friend @NedLamont at his #Hartford headquarters running through #ElectionDay strategy. #VoteNed". Ted Kennedy Jr. on Twitter. November 5, 2018.
  156. Ned Lamont. "Thank you so much @donnabrazile for joining @SusanForCT and me in Hartford. Thank you for bringing your inspiring message to Connecticut. We will keep on speaking out, keep on fighting, and yes, we will VOTE!". Twitter.
  157. "Lamont emerges as best choice for governor". The Day. October 20, 2018. Retrieved October 21, 2018.
  158. "Our endorsements for the 2018 midterm elections". The Lakeville Journal. October 24, 2018. Retrieved October 24, 2018.
  159. "Editorial: Ned Lamont for governor". Stamford Advocate. Hearst Connecticut Media Group. October 28, 2018.
  160. "Editorial: Ned Lamont for governor". Connecticut Post. Hearst Connecticut Media Group. October 28, 2018.
  161. "Editorial: Ned Lamont for governor". The Hour. Hearst Connecticut Media Group. October 28, 2018.
  162. "Editorial: Ned Lamont for governor". The Hour. Hearst Connecticut Media Group. October 28, 2018.
  163. "EDITORIAL: Lamont for governor". Record-Journal. October 29, 2018.
  164. "CTLCV Endorses Ned Lamont - Connecticut League of Conservation Voters". Connecticut League of Conservation Voters.
  165. "The Sierra Club of Connecticut has endorsed Susan and me, citing our "demonstrated commitment to protecting the environment."". Ned Lamont on Twitter. October 19, 2018. Retrieved October 21, 2018.
  166. "Newtown Action Alliance Endorses Ned Lamont for Governor of Connecticut". Newtown Action Alliance. October 23, 2018.
  167. "Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund Endorses More Than 70 State and Federal Candidates". Everytown for Gun Safety. October 9, 2018. Retrieved October 25, 2018.
  168. "Without leadership at top, CT gun laws are at risk. @NedLamont as Governor will be champion for gun safety". Connecticut Against Gun Violence on Twitter. October 25, 2018.
  169. Silber, Clarice (September 27, 2018). "Lamont wins CT state police union endorsement". The Connecticut Mirror. Retrieved September 27, 2018.
  170. "Editorial: The Courant Endorses Oz Griebel For Governor". Hartford Courant. October 28, 2018.
  171. "2018 Governor Race ratings | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 10, 2018.
  172. "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. February 2, 2018. Retrieved April 6, 2018.
  173. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Governor". www.centerforpolitics.org. January 11, 2018. Retrieved April 5, 2018.
  174. "2018 Governor Races". Real Clear Politics. August 9, 2018.
  175. "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. June 5, 2018.
  176. "2018 Midterm Power Rankings". Fox News. Retrieved August 25, 2018.
  177. "POLITICO PREDICTS..." Politico. September 5, 2018.
  178. "Tracking the 2018 Governors Races". www.governing.com. Retrieved October 23, 2018.
  179. "2018 Governor Forecast | FiveThirtyEight". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 17, 2018.
  180. "The Washington Post's gubernatorial race ratings". The Washington Post. October 16, 2018.
  181. Rod Hanscomb (L) with 0%
  182. Rod Hanscomb (L) with 1%, other with 1%
  183. https://ctemspublic.pcctg.net/#/races
Debates
Official gubernatorial campaign websites
Official lieutenant gubernatorial campaign websites
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