2018 Madhya Pradesh Legislative Assembly election
Elections to the Madhya Pradesh Legislative Assembly were held on 28 November 2018 to elect members of the 230 constituencies in Madhya Pradesh. It is believed that the election was a direct political battle between the BJP and the INC. One of the main centre of attraction was the contest between Congress heavy-weight Arun yadav and the then Chief Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan . While the Shivraj Singh Chouhan government had tried to win for consecutive 4th term, the INC had fight for winning the state after 2003. The election led to a hung assembly, with the INC emerging as the single largest party and the BJP winning the popular vote.[2]
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All 230 seats in the Madhya Pradesh Legislative Assembly 116 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Opinion polls | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Turnout | 75.63% (![]() | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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![]() Election results (by Constituencies) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Background
The tenure of Madhya Pradesh[3] Legislative Assembly elected in 2013 ended on 7 January 2019.[4]
Schedule
Election dates were announced on 6 October 2018 and voting was held on 28 November 2018.
Results were declared on 11 December 2018.
Event | Date | Day |
Date for Nominations | 2 Nov 2018 | Friday |
Last Date for filing Nominations | 9 Nov 2018 | Friday |
Date for scrutiny of nominations | 12 Nov 2018 | Monday |
Last date for withdrawal of candidatures | 14 Nov 2018 | Wednesday |
Date of poll | 28 Nov 2018 | Wednesday |
Date of counting | 11 Dec 2018 | Tuesday |
Date before which the election shall be completed | 13 Dec 2018 | Thursday |
Surveys and Polls
Opinion polls
The opinion polls show a tough election battle between the BJP and the INC.
Date | Polling agency | BJP | INC | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 November 2018 | Timesnow - CNX | 122 | 90 | 18 | 32 |
9 November 2018 | ABP News- CSDS | 116 | 105 | 09 | 11 |
9 November 2018 | Cvoter | 107 | 116 | 07 | 9 |
2 November 2018 | ABP News- C Voter Survey | 106 | 118 | 06 | 12 |
25 October 2018 | IndiaTV - CNX | 128 | 85 | 17 | 43 |
17 October 2018 | ABP News- C Voter | 108 | 122 | – | 14 |
10 October 2018 | News Nation | 111 | 109 | 10 | 2 |
9 October 2018 | Times Now - Chrome DM | 108 | 103 | 19 | 5 |
9 October 2018 | Times Now - Warroom Strategies | 142 | 77 | 11 | 65 |
14 August 2018 | ABP News- C Voter | 106 | 117 | 7 | 11 |
4 April 2018 | IBC24 | 101 | 119 | 10 | 18 |
Average as on 9 November 2018 | 114 | 106 | 10 | 08 |
Exit polls
Most exit polls predicted a "tight finish" between the BJP and the INC. According of Poll of Polls, There was a little edge to BJP over INC, however No party got the majority to form the Government.
Polling agency | BJP | INC | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|
CNX– Times Now | 126 | 89 | 15 | 37 |
News 24-Pace Media | 103 | 115 | 12 | 12 |
News Nation | 110 | 107 | 13 | 03 |
C Voter – Republic TV | 106 | 118 | 06 | 12 |
Jan Ki Baat– Republic TV | 118 | 105 | 07 | 13 |
CSDS – ABP News | 94 | 126 | 10 | 32 |
Axis My India – India Today | 111 | 113 | 06 | 02 |
VDPA Associates | 135 | 88 | 07 | 47 |
India News- NETA | 106 | 112 | 12 | 06 |
News 18- Surjit Bhalla | 130 | 90 | 10 | 40 |
Today's Chanakya | 103 | 125 | 02 | 22 |
Poll of Polls | 113 | 108 | 09 | 05 |
Results
Seats and vote-share
The election led to a hung assembly, with the INC emerging as the largest party, with 114 seats, but failing to win a majority.[5] The seat and vote share was as follows -:[6]
Parties and coalitions | Popular vote | Seats | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | ±pp | Won | +/− | ||||
Indian National Congress | 1,55,95,696 | 40.89% | ![]() |
114 | ![]() | |||
Bharatiya Janata Party | 1,56,43,623 | 41.02% | ![]() |
109 | ![]() | |||
Bahujan Samaj Party | 19,11,642 | 5% | ![]() |
2 | ![]() | |||
Samajwadi Party | 4,96,025 | 1.3% | ![]() |
1 | ![]() | |||
Independents | 22,18,230 | 5.8% | ![]() |
4 | ![]() | |||
None of the Above | 5,42,295 | 1.4% | ||||||
Total | 3,81,37,528 | 100.00 | 230 | ±0 | ||||
Valid votes | 3,81,37,528 | 99.86 | ||||||
Invalid votes | 51,706 | 0.14 | ||||||
Votes cast / turnout | 3,81,89,234 | 75.63 | ||||||
Abstentions | 1,23,06,017 | 24.37 | ||||||
Registered voters | 5,04,95,251 | |||||||
Region-wise break up
Region | Total seats | Bharatiya Janata Party | Indian National Congress | Independent | Bahujan Samaj Party | Samajwadi Party |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bagelkhand | 22 | 19 | 03 | 00 | 00 | 00 |
Bhopal | 25 | 17 | 07 | 01 | 0 | 0 |
Bundelkhand | 26 | 14 | 10 | 00 | 01 | 01 |
Gird | 34 | 7 | 26 | 00 | 01 | 01 |
Mahakoshal | 46 | 17 | 28 | 01 | 00 | 00 |
Malwa | 50 | 24 | 26 | 00 | 00 | 00 |
Narmadapuram | 11 | 7 | 4 | 00 | 00 | 00 |
Nimar | 16 | 04 | 10 | 02 | 00 | 00 |
Total | 230 | 109 | 114 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
Constituency-wise results
By-Elections
Government Formation
Counting of votes started on 11 December 2018, results were fluctuating throughout the day. On 12 December 2018 final figure of Result declared. INC became the single largest party with 114 seats. BJP won 109 seats. INC claimed support of Samajwadi Party's 1 MLA, Bahujan Samaj Party's 2 MLA and 4 Independent MLA . Due to no majority Shivraj Singh Chouhan, Chief Minister Of Madhya Pradesh resigned on 12 December 2018. Kamal Nath took oath on 17 December 2018 as new Chief Minister Of Madhya Pradesh and with this, INC came back to the power in State after 15 years. However, after the resignation of 22 sitting MLAs from the INC, Kamal Nath was forced to resign on 20 March 2020 and subsequently Shivraj Singh Chouhan of the BJP returned as the CM again on 23 March 2020.
References
- "Madhya Pradesh: Women voted more than men in 44 constituencies". Ramendra Singh. The Times of India. 13 December 2018. Retrieved 13 December 2018.
- "MP cliffhanger ends; Congress single-largest party with 114 , BJP gets 109". The Times of India. 12 December 2018. Retrieved 12 December 2018.
- "MP Election 2018". Rajasthan Patrika. Retrieved 16 November 2018.
- "Terms of the Houses". Election Commission of India. Retrieved 11 May 2018.
- https://www.indiatoday.in/elections/story/the-curse-of-4-337-on-shivraj-1408078-2018-12-12
- News 18: Madhya Pradesh Election Results