2012 Washington gubernatorial election

The 2012 Washington gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2012.[1] Candidates in the election were chosen in an August 7, 2012[2] primary election, under the state's nonpartisan blanket primary system, which allows voters to vote for any candidate running in the race, regardless of party affiliation. The two candidates who received the most votes in the primary election qualified for the general election.[3]

2012 Washington gubernatorial election
November 6, 2012 (2012-11-06)
 
Nominee Jay Inslee Rob McKenna
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,582,802 1,488,245
Percentage 51.5% 48.5%
County results
Inslee:      50–60%      60–70%
McKenna:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Governor before election

Christine Gregoire
Democratic

 Elected Governor

Jay Inslee
Democratic

Elections in Washington

Incumbent Democratic Governor Christine Gregoire decided to retire rather than seek a third term.[4] She endorsed fellow Democrat Jay Inslee, a U.S. Congressman, as her successor. On March 20, 2012, Inslee resigned from Congress in order to focus on his gubernatorial campaign.[5]

Inslee and Republican Rob McKenna, the Washington Attorney General, advanced to the general election. Inslee narrowly won the election, and McKenna conceded three days later.[6]

Primary election

Democratic candidates

Declined

Republican candidates

Declined

Independent candidates
  • Christian Joubert
  • L. Dale Sorgen, computer programmer and former pastor[18]
  • James White

Results
Blanket primary results[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jay Inslee 664,534 47.13
Republican Rob McKenna 604,872 42.90
Republican Shahram Hadian 46,169 3.27
Democratic Rob Hill 45,453 3.22
Independent James White 13,764 0.98
Independent Christian Joubert 10,457 0.74
Independent L. Dale Sorgen 9,734 0.69
Republican Max Sampson 8,753 0.62
Republican Javier O. Lopez 6,131 0.43
Total votes 1,409,867 100.00

General election

Candidates

Debates

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Tossup November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] Lean D November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[22] Tilt D November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[23] Tossup November 5, 2012

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Jay
Inslee (D)		 Rob
McKenna (R)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 1–3, 2012 932 ± 3.2% 50% 48% — 2%
KING5/SurveyUSA October 28–31, 2012 555 ± 4.2% 47% 46% — 7%
KCTS 9/Washington Poll October 18–31, 2012 632 ± 3.9% 49% 46% — 6%
Elway Poll October 18–21, 2012 451 ± 4.5% 45% 47% 2% 8%
Strategies360 October 17–20, 2012 500 ± 4.4% 45% 45% 2% 8%
Public Policy Polling/WCV October 15–16, 2012 574 ± n/a% 48% 42% — 10%
KCTS 9/Washington Poll October 1–16, 2012 782 ± 3.5% 48% 45% — 8%
Rasmussen Reports October 14, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 47% 45% 1% 8%
SurveyUSA October 12–14, 2012 543 ± 4.3% 47% 44% — 9%
SurveyUSA September 28–30, 2012 540 ± 4.3% 48% 42% — 10%
Rasmussen Reports September 26, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 46% 45% 3% 6%
Public Elway Poll September 9–12, 2012 405 ± 5% 44% 41% — 15%
Public Policy Polling September 7–9, 2012 563 ± n/a% 48% 42% — 10%
Survey USA September 7–9, 2012 524 ± 4.4% 49% 44% — 7%
Survey USA August 2–3, 2012 524 ± 4.4% 48% 45% — 7%
Elway Poll July 18–22, 2012 405 ± 5.0% 43% 36% — 21%
Survey USA July 16–17, 2012 630 ± 4.0% 41% 42% — 16%
Public Policy Polling June 14–17, 2012 1,073 ± 3.0% 40% 43% — 17%
Elway Poll June 13–16, 2012 408 ± 5.0% 40% 42% — 18%
Survey USA May 8–9, 2012 557 ± 4.2% 38% 40% — 22%
Public Policy Polling February 16–19, 2012 1,264 ± 2.76% 42% 42% — 16%
Survey USA February 13–15, 2012 572 ± 4.2% 39% 49% — 12%
Elway Poll February 7–9, 2012 405 ± 5.0% 36% 45% — 19%
Survey USA January 12–16, 2012 617 ± 4.0% 43% 46% — 11%
Survey USA November 21–23, 2011 549 ± 4.3% 38% 44% — 17%
Washington Poll October 10–30, 2011 938 ± 3.2% 38% 44% — 18%
Survey USA September 21–22, 2011 529 ± 4.3% 38% 44% — 18%
Survey USA June 24–26, 2011 600 ± 4.4% 47% 44% — 9%
Public Policy Polling May 12–15, 2011 1,098 ± 3.0% 38% 40% — 22%
Survey USA April 27–28, 2011 610 ± 4.0% 41% 48% — 11%

Results

The race was close throughout the night, with results too close to call after 60 percent of ballots were cast.[24] Inslee was declared the winner early the next morning; McKenna conceded later in the evening.[25]

Inslee won only eight of the state's 39 counties, relying on heavy votes from the Seattle metropolitan area pushing him to victory.[26]

2012 Washington gubernatorial election[27]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Democratic Jay Inslee 1,582,802 51.54% -1.70%
Republican Rob McKenna 1,488,245 48.46% +1.70%
Total votes 3,071,047 100.0% N/A
Democratic hold
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See also

References
  1. "Washington's 2012 elections". Balletopedia - The Encyclopedia of American Politics. Balletopedia. Retrieved 28 June 2017.
  2. RCW 29a.04.311: Primaries. (Effective until January 1, 2012.)
  3. Pages - Top 2 Primary Archived April 25, 2011, at the Wayback Machine
  4. Garber, Andrew (June 13, 2011). "2 terms and out for Gov. Chris Gregoire". The Seattle Times. Retrieved June 13, 2011.
  5. Grygiel, Chris (March 10, 2012). "US Rep. Inslee to resign for Wash. gov. race". The News Tribune. Associated Press.
  6. Brunner, Jim (November 10, 2012). "McKenna concedes; Inslee to be governor". The Seattle Times.
  7. "Inslee Announcement Prompts More Democratic Interest", Roll Call Politics
  8. "Lisa Brown endorses Inslee"
  9. "Inslee Running for Gov; Constantine Cheers Him on Facebook - PubliCola". 30 June 2011. Archived from the original on 30 June 2011. Retrieved 29 June 2011.
  10. 2012 races take shape - Elections - The Olympian
  11. Haglund, Noah (October 19, 2011). "Aaron Reardon says he has no plans to run for governor or Congress". The Herald (Everett). Retrieved October 21, 2011.
  12. Sims Quits HUD Post, Hotline On Call Archived June 16, 2011, at the Wayback Machine
  13. Garber, Andrew (July 5, 2011). "Brian Sonntag will not run for governor". The Seattle Times.
  14. "State auditor Brian Sonntag makes decision on governor's race-KING5.com Seattle".
  15. Cornfield, Jerry (August 9, 2011). "Everett pastor enters governor race". The Herald (Everett). Retrieved August 16, 2011.
  16. Brunner, Jim (June 8, 2011). "McKenna launches campaign for governor". The Seattle Times.
  17. Connelly, Joel (June 8, 2011). "Reichert: I'll support McKenna for governor". Seattle Post-Intelligencer.
  18. Rathbun, Andy (November 19, 2009). "Sultan man declares 2012 governor bid". The Herald (Everett). Retrieved October 12, 2011.
  19. "Governor". Archived from the original on November 12, 2012. Retrieved November 13, 2012.
  20. "2012 Governor Race Ratings for November 1, 2012". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
  21. "PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
  22. "2012 Gubernatorial Ratings". Gubernatorial Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
  23. "2012 Elections Map - 2012 Governor Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
  24. "Inslee vs. McKenna could drag on". The Seattle Times. November 6, 2012. Retrieved August 25, 2016.
  25. Brunner, Jim (November 9, 2012). "McKenna concedes; Inslee to be governor". The Seattle Times. Retrieved August 25, 2016.
  26. Johnson, Kirk (November 28, 2012). "In West's 'Democratopolis,' Winning an Election With Only 8 of 39 Counties". The New York Times. p. A22. Retrieved August 25, 2016.
  27. "November 06, 2012 General Election Results: Governor". Washington State Secretary of State. November 27, 2012. Retrieved August 25, 2016.
Campaign sites
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