Opinion polling for the 2016 Scottish Parliament election


The 2016 Scottish Parliament election was held on Thursday 5 May 2016[1] to elect 129 members to the Scottish Parliament. It was the fifth general election since the parliament was established in 1999.

Polling data

Graphical Summary

The constituency vote is shown as semi-transparent lines, while the regional vote is shown in full lines.

Average 30 day trend line of poll results for the 2016 Scottish Parliament election. Results from 29 January 2012 to 4 May 2016

Constituency Vote (FPTP)

2016

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeSNPLabConLib DemOthersLead
5 MayGeneral Election Result2,279,15346.5%22.6%22.0%7.8%1.1%23.9%
2–4 MayYouGov/The Times1,44548%22%19%7%4%26%
1–2 MaySurvation/Daily Record1,02449%21%19%7%5%28%
1 MayBBC Scotland debate between Davidson, Dugdale, Harvie, Rennie and Sturgeon.
23–28 AprPanelbase/Sunday Times1,07449%23%17%6%4%26%
18–25 AprIpsos MORI/STV1,01551%19%18%6%6%32%
1–24 AprTNS1,03552%22%17%7%3%30%
15–20 AprSurvation/Daily Record1,00553%18%17%7%5%35%
11–15 AprBMG Research/Herald1,01253%21%16%6%3%32%
6–15 AprPanelbase/Sunday Times1,02151%19%18%5%7%32%
7–11 AprYouGov/The Times1,01250%21%18%5%6%29%
23 Mar–3 AprSurvation/Unison Scotland1,00352%21%16%6%4%31%
29 MarSTV debate between Davidson, Dugdale, Harvie, Rennie and Sturgeon.
24 MarBBC Scotland debate between Coburn, Davidson, Dugdale, Harvie, Rennie and Sturgeon.
2–22 MarTNS1,01356%19%15%6%3%37%
10–17 MarSurvation/Daily Record1,05154%20%16%7%4%34%
7–9 MarYouGov/The Times1,07049%19%19%6%7%30%
25–29 FebSurvation/Daily Mail1,02254%21%16%5%4%33%
3–24 FebTNS1,03660%21%13%4%2%39%
11–16 FebSurvation/Daily Record1,00653%22%16%6%3%31%
1–7 FebIpsos MORI/STV1,00053%20%16%6%5%33%
1–4 FebYouGov/The Times1,02250%19%20%6%5%30%
6–25 JanTNS1,01657%21%17%3%2%36%
8–14 JanPanelbase/Sunday Times1,05350%21%17%6%5%29%
8–12 JanSurvation/Daily Record1,02952%21%16%7%4%31%

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeSNPLabConLib DemOthersLead
5 MayGeneral Election Result1,989,22245.4%31.7%13.9%7.9%1.1%13.7%

Regional Vote (AMS)

Graphical summary

2016

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeSNPLabConGreenLib DemUKIPRISE[2]OthersLead
5 MayGeneral Election Result2,285,75241.7%19.1%22.9%6.6%5.2%2.0%0.5%2.0%18.8%
2–4 MayYouGov/The Times1,44541%19%20%9%6%4%1%1%21%
1–2 MaySurvation/Daily Record1,02444%19%20%7%6%2%N/A2%24%
1 MayBBC Scotland debate between Davidson, Dugdale, Harvie, Rennie and Sturgeon.
23–28 AprPanelbase/Sunday Times1,07444%22%19%6%4%3%2%<1%22%
18–25 AprIpsos MORI/STV1,01545%17%19%10%7%1%<1%<1%26%
1–24 AprTNS1,03545%22%18%8%5%<1%1%<1%23%
15–20 AprSurvation/Daily Record1,00543%17%18%11%7%4%N/A2%25%
11–15 AprBMG Research/Herald1,01246%20%16%7%6%4%N/A0%26%
6–15 AprPanelbase/Sunday Times1,02147%18%19%8%4%3%1%<1%28%
7–11 AprYouGov/The Times1,01245%19%18%8%5%3%1%1%26%
23 Mar–3 AprSurvation/Unison Scotland1,00344%19%16%10%7%4%N/A1%25%
29 MarSTV debate between Davidson, Dugdale, Harvie, Rennie and Sturgeon.
24 MarBBC Scotland debate between Coburn, Davidson, Dugdale, Harvie, Rennie and Sturgeon.
2–22 MarTNS1,01347%21%15%8%6%1%2%26%
10–17 MarSurvation/Daily Record1,05142%18%18%10%6%5%N/A1%24%
7–9 MarYouGov/The Times1,07043%17%19%8%5%4%1%1%24%
25–29 FebSurvation/Daily Mail1,02243%19%14%9%7%6%1%24%
3–24 FebTNS1,03655%21%13%6%4%34%
11–16 FebSurvation/Daily Record1,00645%18%15%9%6%6%1%27%
1–7 FebIpsos MORI/STV1,00049%19%15%6%8%1%<1%2%30%
1–4 FebYouGov/The Times1,02242%20%20%6%5%3%2%1%22%
6–25 JanTNS1,01652%19%17%6%6%<1%<1%1%33%
8–14 JanPanelbase/Sunday Times1,05348%19%17%5%7%2%1%1%29%
8–12 JanSurvation/Daily Record1,02942%20%16%9%8%5%<1%22%

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeSNPLabConLib DemGreenOthersLead
5 MayGeneral Election Result1,991,05144.0%26.3%12.4%5.2%4.4%7.7%17.7%

Footnotes

    gollark: (they run a public homeserver, for purposes)
    gollark: In Element connected to matrix.org, that is.
    gollark: There's a room directory listing them in size order on matrix.org.
    gollark: There are some big servers, like the Rust one.
    gollark: The main issue I have with Matrix is that because it needs to keep all the room history ever and resolve events with it, in big (thousands of people and long history) rooms your server might run out of RAM.

    References

    1. Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011 section 4
    2. In August 2015, the Scottish Socialist Party announced it would stand as part of an electoral alliance called RISE - Scotland's Left Alliance


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