2020 Azorean regional election

A regional election will be held in the Azores, no later than October 2020, to determine the composition of the Legislative Assembly of the Autonomous Region of the Azores. The election will renovate all 57 members of the assembly.

2020 Azorean regional election
No later than October 2020
57 seats to the Legislative Assembly of the Azores[1]
29 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Leader Vasco Cordeiro José Manuel Bolieiro Artur Lima
Party PS PSD CDS–PP
Leader since 2012 2019 2008
Leader's seat São Miguel[2] — Terceira[2]
Last election 46.4% 30.9% 7.2%
Current seats 30 19 4
 
Leader António Lima Marco Varela Paulo Estêvão
Party BE CDU PPM
Leader since 2018 2019 2008
Leader's seat São Miguel[2] — Corvo[2]
Last election 3.7% 2.6% 0.93%
Current seats 2 1 1
Incumbent President

Vasco Cordeiro
PS

In this election, the incumbent president of the regional government, led by the Socialist Vasco Cordeiro, is expected to seek a third term, in order to further consolidate the Socialist Party's rule from 1996.

Electoral system

The Azores regional parliament elects 57 members through a proportional system in which the 9 islands elect a number of MPs proportional to the number of registered voters. MPs are allocated by using the D'Hondt method. 5 members are also elected for a Compensation constituency. Current distribution of MPs by constituency:

Constituency Total
MPs		 Registered
voters
Corvo 2
Faial 4
Flores 3
Graciosa 3
Pico 4
Santa Maria 3
São Jorge 3
São Miguel 20
Terceira 10
Compensation 5
Total 57

Parties

The table below lists parties currently represented in the Legislative Assembly of the Azores.

Name Ideology Leader 2016 result
Votes (%) Seats
PS Socialist Party
Partido Socialista		 Social democracy Vasco Cordeiro 46.4%
30 / 57
PSD Social Democratic Party
Partido Social-Democrata		 Liberal conservatism José Manuel Bolieiro 30.9%
19 / 57
CDS-PP CDS – People's Party
Centro Democrático Social – Partido Popular		 Christian Democracy Artur Lima 7.2%
4 / 57
B.E. Left Bloc
Bloco de Esquerda		 Democratic socialism António Lima 3.7%
2 / 57
PCP Portuguese Communist Party
Partido Comunista Português		 Communism João Corvelo 2.6%
[lower-alpha 1]
1 / 57
PPM People's Monarchist Party
Partido Popular Monárquico		 Monarchism Paulo Estêvâo 0.9%
1 / 57

Opinion polls
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample
size		 TO CDU O Lead
2019 Legislative Election 6 Oct 2019 N/A 36.5 40.1 30.2 4.8 8.0 2.5 14.4 9.9
2019 EP Elections 26 May 2019 N/A 18.7 40.8 20.7 6.5 7.5 2.5 22.0 20.1
2017 Local Elections 1 Oct 2017 N/A 53.5 45.0 41.7 3.2 1.5 1.9 6.7 3.3
2016 Regional Elections 16 Oct 2016 N/A 40.8 46.4
30		 30.9
19		 7.2
4		 3.7
2		 2.6
1		 9.2
1		 15.5

Notes
  1. The Portuguese Communist Party (PCP) and the Ecologist Party "The Greens" (PEV) contested the 2016 election in a coalition called Unitary Democratic Coalition and won a combined 2.6% of the vote and elected one MP to parliament.
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gollark: There are probably more ancappy books.
gollark: Central planning is just not practical.
gollark: Though the opposite would be an ancap.
gollark: Well, he doesn't like anarchocommunists, and I know one.

References
  1. Alteração à Lei Eleitoral da ALRA dos Açores - CNE (in Portuguese), Lisbon, Portugal: Comissão Nacional dos Eleições, archived from the original on 2009-02-19
  2. Assembleia Legislativa dos Açores - Deputados e Grupos Parlamentares
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