2018 Jordanian protests

The 2018 Jordanian protests started as a general strike organized by more than 30 trade unions on 30 May 2018 after the government of Hani Mulki submitted a new tax law to Parliament. The bill followed IMF-backed austerity measures adopted by Mulki's government since 2016 that aimed to tackle Jordan's growing public debt. Although Jordan had been relatively unscathed from the violence that swept the region following the 2011 Arab Spring, its economy had taken a hit from the surrounding turmoil and from an influx of a large number of Syrian refugees into the country. Jordan also hosts a large contingent of Iraqi and Palestinian refugees, further straining its finances. The UNHCR places Jordan as the world's second largest host of refugees per capita.[1]

2018 Jordanian protests
Part of Arab protests (2018–19) and the Anti-austerity movement
DateMay 30, 2018 (2018-05-30) – June 7, 2018 (2018-06-07)
LocationJordan
TypeProtests, General strike
Cause
Organised byTrade unions
Outcome
  • Resignation of Hani Mulki's government
  • Omar Razzaz forms new government
  • Controversial tax bill withdrawn for further discussion

The day following the strike on 31 May, the government raised fuel and electricity prices responding to an increase in international oil prices. This led to crowds of protesters pouring onto the 4th circle, in Amman, near the Prime Ministry's offices that night. Other Jordanians also gathered across the country in protest of the measure in unprecedented large numbers. On 1 June King Abdullah intervened and ordered the freeze of the price hikes; the government acquiesced but said the decision would cost the treasury $20 million. The protests continued for four days until Mulki submitted his resignation to the King on 4 June, and Omar Razzaz, his Education Minister, became Prime Minister. Protests only ceased after Razzaz announced his intention of withdrawing the new tax bill.

The protests have not been led by traditional opposition groups like the Muslim Brotherhood or leftists, but by diverse crowds from the middle and poor classes. Although some protesters set aflame tires and blocked roads multiple nights, protests were largely peaceful and few casualties were reported. They were staged after daylight hours as it was during the month of Ramadan.

Background

Jordan's total foreign debt in 2011 was $19 billion, representing 60% of its GDP. In 2016, the debt reached $35.1 billion representing 93% of its GDP.[2] This substantial increase is attributed to effects of regional instability stemming from the Arab Spring causing: decrease in tourist activity; decreased foreign investments; increased military expenditure; attacks on Egyptian gas pipeline supplying the Kingdom; the collapse of trade with Iraq and Syria; expenses from hosting 1.4 million Syrian refugees and accumulated interests from loans.[2] According to the World Bank, Syrian refugees have cost Jordan more than $2.5 billion a year, amounting to 6% of the GDP and 25% of the government's annual revenue.[3] Foreign aid covers only a small part of these costs, while 63% of the total costs are covered by Jordan.[4]

King Abdullah had warned in January 2016 that Jordanians have reached “a boiling point”, and called on donor countries to provide more to Jordan to help it cope with the crises. He told the BBC in an interview that "in the psyche of the Jordanian people I think it's gotten to a boiling point, sooner or later the dam is going to burst."[5] Jordan has historically welcomed refugees—Palestinians in 1948 and 1967, Iraqis during the American invasion and now Syrians, who make up about 20 percent of Jordan's then 9.5 million population—and, according to Abdullah, "For the first time, we can't do it any more."[6][7] The UNHCR places Jordan as the world's second largest host of refugees per capita.[1]

Rising Jordanian public debt led Prime Minister Hani Mulki in 2016 to negotiate a 3-year program $732 million loan facility with the International Monetary Fund, which would see the public debt falling from 95% of the GDP to 77% by 2021.[8] The austerity program raised prices on several food staples in 2016 and 2017, making him very unpopular in the country.[9] The programme succeeded in preventing the debt from rising above 95% in 2018, however, it strained Jordan's weak economy.[10]

Furthermore, worsening Jordan's conditions is a decision by Persian Gulf countries, like Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, to withhold $1 billion in annual economic assistance that were directed towards the creation of jobs and economic growth hampered the finances of Jordan, which lacks the natural resources of its neighbors, amassing an unemployment rate of 18% and a much higher poverty rate.[11]

A 22 March 2018 report by Carnegie Endowment for International Peace commented on Mulki's policies: "Mulki declared openly that his predecessors had left the country at the brink of insolvency and that the failure to take tough revenue-raising measure would lead to a debt crisis which would destroy the country. And he is correct. What is more doubtful is Mulki’s assertion that Jordan “will get out of the bottleneck” in 2019. While the measures to raise taxes and reduce subsidies buy time, they leave Jordan struggling to stay afloat and dependent on the continued flow of extensive aid."[12]

On 22 May, the Jordanian Cabinet approved a new draft law proposing changes to the 2014 income tax law. The draft aimed to fight tax evasion and to raise taxes on some sectors and individuals.[13]

Corporate Income Taxation
Sector Current Proposed
Banks 35% 40%
Mining companies 24% 30%
Insurance and reinsurance companies 24% 40%
Financial and leasing companies 24% 40%
Personal tax rates
Salary (JOD) Current Proposed
1–5,000 7% 5%
5,001–10,000 7% 10%
10,001–15,000 14% 15%
15,001–20,000 14% 22%
20,001+ 20% 25%

Protests

The protests started as a general strike organized by more than 30 trade unions on 30 May 2018 after the new tax bill was submitted to Parliament. The day following the strike on 31 May, the government raised fuel and electricity prices responding to an increase in international oil prices.[14] This led to crowds of protesters pouring onto the 4th circle, in Amman, near the Prime Ministry's offices that night. Other Jordanians also gathered across the country in protest of the measure in unprecedented large numbers. Although protests have been largely peaceful and staged after daylight hours during Ramadan, some protesters set aflame tires and blocked roads multiple nights. These protests have not been led by traditional opposition groups like the Muslim Brotherhood or the leftists, but by diverse crowds from the middle and poor classes.[11] On 1 June King Abdullah intervened and ordered the freeze of the price hikes; the government acquiesced but said the decision would cost the treasury $20 million.[15] The protests continued for four days until Mulki submitted his resignation to the King on 4 June, and Omar Razzaz, his Education Minister, was appointed Prime Minister.[16] However, protests continued.[17]

It was reported on June 6 that hundreds were still protesting in Amman.[18] The same day, some trade unions organized a national walkout, while others pulled out following the appointment of Razzaz.[18] This walkout included shops, universities, offices, schools and hospitals.[19][20][18]

Outcome

On June 7, Omar Razzaz met with the trade union leaders and agreed to withdraw the proposed tax bill as soon as a new cabinet was sworn in.[21] Following this announcement, protests in Amman's 4th circle area came to a halt.[22]

Leaders of Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Kuwait invited King Abdullah on June 11 to a summit in the Saudi capital. It was announced that the Gulf countries promised $2.5 billion in direct and indirect aid over the course of 5 years. Most of the amount was promised to be deposited at the Central Bank of Jordan to support Jordan's share of foreign currency, while the rest would go to development projects and a smaller portion to direct budgetary support.[23]

Qatar, which Jordan withdrew its ambassador from in June 2017 as part of the boycott of Qatar led by Saudi Arabia, sent its foreign minister three days later to announce $500 million worth of investments in Jordan. Qatar also promised to employ 10,000 Jordanians in its country to help tackle unemployment among young Jordanians.[24]

gollark: Not necessarily!
gollark: Probably actually having to read the papers can, but still.
gollark: You can't stop me.
gollark: Fine, I'll just use DEEP LEARNING™.
gollark: It's not wrong, just inefficient.

See also

References
  1. "Jordan second largest refugee host worldwide — UNHCR". The Jordan Times. 8 March 2017. Retrieved 5 June 2018.
  2. Sowell, Kirk (18 March 2016). "Jordan is Sliding Toward Insolvency". Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Retrieved 20 March 2016.
  3. Malkawi, Khetam (6 February 2016). "Syrian refugees cost Kingdom $2.5 billion a year — report". The Jordan Times. Retrieved 30 July 2016.
  4. "Gov't readying for refugee donor conference". The Jordan Times. 5 October 2015. Retrieved 12 October 2015.
  5. "Jordan is at 'boiling point' as it struggles with Syrian refugees, King Abdullah warns". The Telegraph. 2 February 2016. Retrieved 4 June 2018.
  6. "Syria conflict: Jordanians 'at boiling point' over refugees". BBC. 2 February 2016. Archived from the original on 17 February 2017. Retrieved 17 February 2017.
  7. Ghazal, Mohammad (30 January 2016). "Population stands at around 9.5 million, including 2.9 million guests". The Jordan Times. Archived from the original on 19 October 2017. Retrieved 4 January 2018.
  8. "IMF approves $732m loan to Jordan". Arabian business. 25 August 2016. Retrieved 4 June 2018.
  9. Omar Obeidat (21 June 2016). "'IMF programme to yield budget surplus in 2019'". The Jordan Times. Retrieved 9 March 2017.
  10. "Slowing Jordan's Slide Into Debt". Kirk Sowell. Carnegie. 22 March 2018. Retrieved 31 May 2018.
  11. "Jordan's Prime Minister Quits as Protesters Demand an End to Austerity". The New York Times. 5 June 2018. Retrieved 4 June 2018.
  12. "Slowing Jordan's Slide Into Debt". Carnegie. 22 March 2018. Retrieved 4 June 2018.
  13. PricewaterhouseCoopers. "Jordan: Proposed amendments to the Income Tax Law". PwC. Retrieved 4 June 2018.
  14. Editorial, Reuters. "Jordan king asks Omar al-Razzaz to form new government: ministerial..." U.S. Retrieved 4 June 2018.
  15. "Jordan PM Hani Mulki resigns amid mass protests over tax bill". www.aljazeera.com. 4 June 2018. Retrieved 4 June 2018.
  16. "Jordan's King Abdullah 'to ask PM Mulki to resign'". www.aljazeera.com. Retrieved 4 June 2018.
  17. "Jordanians strike to protest against IMF-guided tax rises". RT International. Retrieved 3 June 2018.
  18. "Jordan protesters press on, some unions strike after new PM appointed". 7 June 2018 – via www.reuters.com.
  19. "General strike brings Jordan to a standstill". The National.
  20. "Unionists pressured by crowd to resume protests". Jordan Times. 7 June 2018.
  21. Akour, Omar (7 June 2018). "New Jordan PM Says He Will Cancel Tax Bill". U.S. News & World Report.
  22. "Fourth Circle area protests come to halt". Jordan Times. 8 June 2018.
  23. "Saudi Arabia, Two Gulf States Pledge $2.5 Billion Jordan Aid". Bloomberg. 11 June 2018. Retrieved 15 June 2018.
  24. "Qatar extends $500 million aid package to Jordan: official". Reuters. 13 June 2018. Retrieved 15 June 2018.
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