Opinion polling for the 1997 Polish parliamentary election

Opinion polling was carried out prior to the September 1997 parliamentary elections in Poland. CBOS polling showed a lead for Solidarity Electoral Action (AWS) in late 1996 and early 1997, but a lead for Democratic Left Alliance (SLD) in the months immediately before the elections. The AWS ultimately emerged as the largest party in the elections, leading by a margin of 7%.

Poll results

1997

Dates of Polling Polling Firm/Link UW BBWR ROP KPEiR Others/Undecided Lead
21 September 1997 Election results 27.1 7.3 13.4 4.7 1.4 33.8 5.6 2.2 4.5 6.7
21 September 1997 Exit polls
PBS/ "Rz"
26.53 7.90 13.95 4.43 0.75 34.15 5.33 2.58 4.38 7.62
6–9 September 1997 OBOP 26 9 14 5 3 22 8 5 8 4
26 August-1 September 1997 CBOS 22 8 10 5 2 21 5 5 22 1
21–25 August 1997 OBOP 26 10 11 6 2 27 7 7 4 1
24–30 July 1997 CBOS 24 9 6 4 1 23 4 5 25 1
26–29 June 1997 OBOP 23 9 13 9 2 25 9 7 3 2
21-22 June 1997 PBS/ "Rz" 28 10 11 9 - 25 6 8 6 3
13–17 June 1997 CBOS 26 8 7 8 1 21 5 7 17 5
13–15 June 1997 OBOP 20 11 11 7 3 25 7 12 4 5
7-8 June 1997 PBS/ "Rz" 25 9 12 9 - 26 8 7 4 1
15–19 May 1997 CBOS 24 10 8 8 2 22 5 7 14 2
17-18 May 1997 PBS/ "Rz" 24 9 13 10 - 25 7 6 6 1
8–11 May 1997 OBOP 24 10 9 5 2 24 12 10 4 Tie
26-27 April 1997 PBS/ "Rz" 25 9 11 10 - 27 8 7 3 2
12-19 April 1997 PBS/ "Rz" 29 9 14 7 - 27 6 7 1 2
11–15 April 1997 CBOS 23 7 8 5 1 26 5 7 16 3
5–8 April 1997 OBOP 25 10 11 4 3 23 11 8 5 2
22-29 March 1997 PBS/ "Rz" 25 12 12 10 - 29 10 - 3 4
13–18 March 1997 CBOS 23 10 8 5 1 24 6 5 18 1
8–11 March 1997 OBOP 23 12 12 5 4 20 13 6 5 3
8-9 March 1997 PBS/ "Rz" 26 12 12 9 - 29 8 - 4 3
22-23 February 1997 PBS/ "Rz" 29 10 12 11 - 26 8 - 4 3
14–17 February 1997 CBOS 22 10 8 8 1 24 6 3 18 2
8–11 February 1997 OBOP 22 12 12 6 2 29 10 4 3 7
8-9 February 1997 PBS/ "Rz" 26 15 10 9 - 26 10 - 4 Tie
17–21 January 1997 CBOS 20 10 4 5 4 25 8 6 18 5
18-19 January 1997 PBS/ "Rz" 29 10 11 8 - 29 9 - 4 Tie
9–12 January 1997 OBOP 25 12 7 6 0 29 16 - 5 4

1996

Dates of Polling Polling Firm/Link UW KPN BBWR ROP KPEiR Others/Undecided Lead
12–17 December 1996 CBOS 18 12 8 8 w. AWS 2 23 8 3 16 5
14-15 December 1996 PBS/ "Rz" 28 11 13 10 w. AWS - 26 9 - 3 2
7–10 December 1996 OBOP 16 12 10 5 w. AWS 2 19 10 - 26 3
16–19 November 1996 OBOP 20 11 10 4 w. AWS 2 19 11 - 23 1
15–19 November 1996 CBOS 22 11 7 7 w. AWS 1 26 8 5 13 4
19–22 October 1996 OBOP 19 10 8 6 w. AWS - 21 12 - 24 2
11–15 October 1996 CBOS 23 12 7 8 w. AWS 4 20 9 - 17 3
21–24 September 1996 OBOP 19 12 9 5 w. AWS - 23 11 - 21 4
12–17 September 1996 CBOS 22 15 8 9 w. AWS - 21 7 - 18 1
23–27 August 1996 OBOP 21 10 6 4 w. AWS - 21 14 - 24 Tie
22–27 August 1996 CBOS 23 14 9 6 w. AWS - 18 12 - 16 5
12–17 July 1996 CBOS 22 14 8 5 w. AWS - 26 13 - 12 4
12–16 July 1996 OBOP 24 10 6 4 w. AWS 1 15 13 - 27 9
21–25 June 1996[lower-alpha 1] OBOP 24 9 6 4 w. AWS 1 17 13 - 26 7
14–18 June 1996 CBOS 18 14 11 4 3 2 14 16 - 18 2
8 June 1996 Creation of Solidarity Electoral Action announced
May 1996 CBOS 24 13 8 5 3 1 14 10 - 22 10
18–21 May 1996 OBOP 24 9 8 5 2 3 10 11 - 28 13
9–13 May 1996 CBOS 23 12 8 5 3 2 10 13 - 24 10
April 1996 CBOS 19 10 8 5 1 2 14 15 - 26 4
13–16 April 1996 OBOP 20 12 10 4 2 2 13 8 - 29 7
11–15 April 1996[lower-alpha 2] CBOS 19 11 6 5 3 1 13 10 - 32 6
11–15 April 1996[lower-alpha 3] CBOS 24 15 8 7 4 2 14 7 - 19 9
9–12 March 1996 OBOP 22 9 9 3 2 3 15 12 - 25 7
7–12 March 1996[lower-alpha 2] CBOS 24 11 10 5 2 1 10 9 - 28 13
7–12 March 1996[lower-alpha 3] CBOS 24 15 8 5 4 4 16 3 - 21 8
10–13 February 1996 OBOP 22 10 10 3 4 2 11 9 - 29 11
9–13 February 1996 CBOS 28 9 8 4 4 3 15 6 - 23 13
2–6 February 1996 CBOS 26 10 10 6 3 3 15 4 - 23 11
20–23 January 1996 OBOP 21 8 10 4 3 2 11 9 - 32 10
12–16 January 1996 CBOS 28 10 8 7 3 5 12 4 - 23 16

1995

Dates of Polling Polling Firm/Link UW KPN BBWR ROP Others/Undecided Lead
December 1995 OBOP 25 7 8 3 3 6 10 8 30 15
December 1995 CBOS 25 7 11 6 3 5 15 - 28 10
November 1995 CBOS 24 6 8 8 3 5 14 - 32 10
24–26 November 1995 OBOP 30 5 10 3 4 5 9 8 26 20
6–10 October 1995 CBOS 21 9 8 9 2 5 16 - 30 5
September 1995 CBOS 18 10 10 8 1 5 12 - 36 6
September 1995 CBOS 16 11 7 10 3 4 10 - 39 5
August 1995 CBOS 21 9 6 9 3 8 10 - 34 11
24 June-3 July 1995 OBOP 23 11 9 6 3 4 9 - 35 12
June 1995 OBOP 22 10 10 5 4 3 9 - 37 12
8–12 June 1995 CBOS 21 13 11 10 4 5 13 - 23 8
29 May 1995 CBOS 23 12 13 12 5 5 11 - 19 10
13–16 May 1995 OBOP 25 8 9 7 4 3 6 - 38 16
10 May 1995 CBOS 22 12 14 11 2 5 11 - 23 8
7–11 April 1995 CBOS 20 15 13 10 3 4 11 - 24 5
1–4 April 1995 OBOP 22 12 12 5 4 2 8 - 35 10
30 March-3 April 1995 CBOS 23 12 13 10 4 5 11 - 22 10
March 1995 CBOS 24 11 11 12 4 5 10 - 23 12
3–7 March 1995 OBOP 21 13 11 11 6 2 5 - 31 8
February 1995 CBOS 21 17 11 9 4 6 7 - 25 4
3–6 February 1995 OBOP 19 12 11 8 5 5 7 - 33 7
January 1995 CBOS 19 14 13 10 3 5 12 - 24 5

1994

Dates of Polling Polling Firm/Link UW KPN BBWR Others/Undecided Lead
December 1994 CBOS 18 14 13 10 4 6 12 23 4
9–13 December 1994 OBOP 19 19 9 7 3 5 7 31 Tie
18–22 November 1994 OBOP 15 21 10 5 6 4 4 35 6
3–7 November 1994 CBOS 23 15 11 11 3 6 8 23 8
October 1994 CBOS 20 17 10 10 3 4 10 26 3
1–4 October 1994 OBOP 17 24 11 5 5 6 7 25 7
2–6 September 1994 OBOP 19 22 9 7 4 5 6 28 3
2–5 September 1994 CBOS 22 20 8 8 4 6 8 24 5
July 1994 CBOS 20 15 13 9 3 6 7 27 5
15–19 July 1994 OBOP 24 19 11 8 3 9 4 22 5
June 1994 CBOS 21 16 13 9 3 9 7 22 5
May 1994 CBOS 16 18 12 8 6 5 7 28 2
20–24 May 1994 OBOP 14 17 8 7 3 5 3 43 3
6–10 May 1994 OBOP 14 19 10 6 3 6 6 36 5
19 September 1993 Election results 20.4 15.4 14.6[lower-alpha 4] 7.3 5.8 5.4 4.9 26.2 5.0

Notes

  1. The poll includes two alternative scenarios:
    a) SLD – 23, ROP – 13, SO – 11, PSL – 9, UW – 6, UP – 3, others – 35,
    b) Coalition of AWS and ROP – 27, SLD – 22, PSL – 10, UW – 6, UP – 4, others – 31.
  2. The question included names of parties and names of their leaders.
  3. The question included names of parties only.
  4. The sum of results of UD (10.6) and KLD (4.0) parties which merged in April 1994 and formed the UW.
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