Political impact of Hurricane Sandy

In late October 2012, the post-tropical cyclone once known as Hurricane Sandy made landfall in New Jersey. By the time it made landfall, it had merged with other storm systems. Though no longer a hurricane, the combined storm caused over $50 billion in damages and cost over 100 lives in the United States.

The storm and its aftermath had several direct and indirect effects on the American political environment leading up to the 2012 United States General Election, in which Mitt Romney challenged incumbent Barack Obama for the Presidency.

Climate change

Many scientists say warming oceans and greater atmospheric moisture are adding to the intensity of storms while rising sea levels are making coastal impacts worse.[1] Dr. Klaus Jacob of Columbia University, who contributed to the Responding to Climate Change in New York "ClimAID" report, explained the increasing risks. "Let’s assume you need 8 feet of surge at current sea level. If you have an additional four feet by the end of the century, then you need only another four feet of surge to get to the entrance of the tunnels. So if you only need a storm that produces a four foot sea level surge, then flooding will occur much more often. Instead of a 100 year storm you can make it only a 5 or 10 year storm to achieve the same thing."[2]

In response to scientific concerns, Rep. Henry Waxman (D-Calif.), the top Democrat of the House Energy and Commerce Committee, requested a hearing in the lame duck session on links between climate change and Hurricane Sandy, writing along with Rep. Bobby Rush (D-Ill.): "Hurricane Sandy is exactly the type of extreme weather event that climate scientists have said will become more frequent and more severe if we fail to reduce our carbon pollution. That is why we are writing to request that you hold a hearing on the storm and its relation to climate change in the lame-duck session."[3]

2012 United States presidential election

The storm hit the United States one week before the 2012 United States General Election and affected the various campaigns. As reported by the Christian Science Monitor, "The day after hurricane Sandy hit the eastern United States, to devastating effect, a political debate is raging over whether Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney suggested last year the elimination of the Federal Emergency Management Agency, or FEMA."[4] For example, in a lead opinion on Monday, October 29, editors at The New York Times summarized their view of Romney's primary position: "Mr. Romney not only believes that states acting independently can handle the response to a vast East Coast storm better than Washington, but that profit-making companies can do an even better job. He said it was 'immoral' for the federal government to do all these things if it means increasing the debt."[5] Two days later,[6] on Wednesday, October 31, Governor Romney's campaign released a statement on his behalf which said: "I believe that FEMA plays a key role in working with states and localities to prepare for and respond to natural disasters... As president, I will ensure FEMA has the funding it needs to fulfill its mission, while directing maximum resources to the first responders who work tirelessly to help those in need, because states and localities are in the best position to get aid to the individuals and communities affected by natural disasters", but he did not explain what other federal programs would have to be cut from his proposed budget in order to pay for it.[7] During this period Mitt Romney recast an October 30 campaign stop as a relief effort.[8][9]

Role of FEMA

When Hurricane Sandy made landfall on October 29, 2012, The New York Times posted an opinion piece titled, "A Big Storm Requires Big Government".[10] The piece argued that FEMA was needed in natural disasters and alleged that statements by Mitt Romney might be taken as supporting cuts to the agency.[11] Romney refused to comment on The New York Times' opinion of his positions.[12][13] Some commentators had previously suggested that Romney's refusal to rule out cuts to FEMA (should Paul Ryan's budget plans be implemented) was evidence Romney plans to cut FEMA's budget by 20 to 40 percent. President Barack Obama has proposed a 3 percent cut.[14][15]

Reactions to disaster response

Governor Chris Christie and President Barack Obama talking with residents of New Jersey about the storm damage

New Jersey Governor Chris Christie offered praise for the President and his reaction to the hurricane. The two of them also toured the areas of New Jersey that were hard-hit by the hurricane.[16]

Michael Brown, the FEMA director under President George W. Bush who resigned in the wake of criticism of the response to Hurricane Katrina's destruction,[17] criticized the Obama administration for doing too much publicity before the storm, contrasting it to their lack of response to the attack on the U.S. diplomatic mission in Benghazi several weeks earlier.[18][19]

New York City mayor Michael Bloomberg endorsed the President, citing Obama's reactions to the storm and his belief that action needs to be taken on climate change as reasons why.[20][21]

Republican political strategist Karl Rove indicated that the storm helped Obama politically before the upcoming presidential elections, by drawing the discussion away from economic issues, which Rove feels are Romney's strong point. He also said that it gave Obama a chance to be "the Comforter-in-Chief".[22]

MSNBC commentator Chris Matthews got himself into trouble in the early hours of November 7, 2012 while offering his thoughts on the outcome of the presidential election after a long night of analyzing the election returns when he suggested that Hurricane Sandy was a good thing for the American political system. "I'm so glad we had that storm last week," he said, "because I think the storm was one of those things. No, politically I should say. Not in terms of hurting people. The storm brought in possibilities for good politics."[23] Matthews later apologized.[24]

Effect on campaigns

Following the storm, President Barack Obama and Republican challenger Mitt Romney stopped campaigning. Romney recast one of his planned rallies as a relief effort, raising money and supplies for victims of the hurricane.[25] Meanwhile, Obama visited the headquarters of FEMA and the American Red Cross.[26]

It was feared Sandy would threaten campaigns in several states, especially by suppressing voter turnout for early voting.[27] The Economist explained: "In this case, the weather is supposed to clear up well ahead of election day, but the impact could be felt in the turnout of early voters."[28] However, ABC News suggested that this may be countered by a tendency to clear roads and restore power more quickly in urban areas.[29]

See also

• Hurricane Sandy relief bill
• October surprise

References

1. "AR4 SYR Synthesis Report Summary for Policymakers". IPCC Fourth Assessment Report: Climate Change 2007. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Retrieved 15 April 2013.
2. "Columbia geophysicist Klaus Jacob on Hurricane Sandy". World Socialist Web Site. International Committee of the Fourth International. Retrieved 15 April 2013.
3. "Rep. Waxman seeks lame-duck hearing on Sandy, climate change links". The Hill. Retrieved 4 November 2012.
4. "Did Mitt Romney suggest eliminating FEMA?". Christian Science Monitor. 2012-10-30.
5. Lead editorial (2012-10-29). "A Big Storm Requires Big Government". New York Times.
6. staff reporter Felicia Sonmez (October 30, 2012). "Romney ignores questions about eliminating FEMA". Washington Post online Election Blog.
7. Andrew Taylor (AP) (October 31, 2012). "Mitt Romney Disaster Relief Position Faces Scrutiny". US News & World Report.
8. "A $5,000 Shopping Run to Walmart Turned Romney's Campaign Stop into a 'Relief Event'". The Atlantic. Retrieved 2 November 2012.
9. Sink, Justin. "Romney hosts 'storm relief' event in Ohio". The Hill. Retrieved 2 November 2012.
10. "Opinion: A Big Storm Requires Big Government". The New York Times. 30 October 2012.
11. "A Big Storm Requires Big Government". New York Times. 29 October 2012. Retrieved 31 October 2012.
12. Wasson, Erik. "Reports: Romney ducks questions on FEMA funding". The Hill. Retrieved 31 October 2012.
13. Sabrina, Siddiqui (30 October 2012). "Mitt Romney Refuses To Talk About FEMA After Hurricane Sandy Event". Huffington Post. Retrieved 31 October 2012.
14. Khimm, Suzy. "Obama cuts FEMA funding by 3 percent. Romney-Ryan cuts it by 40 percent. Or more. Or less". Washington Post.
15. Cassidy, John. "Romney Has a Christie Problem and a FEMA Problem". The New Yorker. Retrieved 31 October 2012.
16. Horsey, David (31 October 2012). "Chris Christie and Hurricane Sandy give Obama a timely boost". LA Times. Retrieved 2 November 2012.
17. "FEMA director Brown resigns - Sep 12, 2005". CNN.com. Retrieved 2012-11-24.
18. Cervantes, Bobby (2012-10-30). "Michael Brown: Obama spoke too soon on Sandy". Politico. Retrieved 2012-11-04.
19. Petri, Alexandra (31 October 2012). "Obama response to Sandy — too fast? Bush's FEMA head worries". Washington Post. Retrieved 31 October 2012.
20. "A Vote for a President to Lead on Climate Change". LA Times. Retrieved 2 November 2012.
21. Hernandez, Raymond (1 November 2012). "Bloomberg Backs Obama, Citing Fallout From Storm". New York Times. Retrieved 3 November 2012. he had decided over the past several days that Mr. Obama was the better candidate to tackle the global climate change that he believes might have contributed to the violent storm
22. Slack, Donovan (2012-11-03). "Rove: Sandy helped Obama". Politico. Retrieved 2012-11-04.
23. "Chris Matthews: ""I'm So Glad We Had That Storm Last Week"". Real Clear Politics. 7 November 2012. Retrieved 14 January 2013.
24. Fung, Katherine (7 November 2012). "Chris Matthews Addresses Controversial Hurricane Sandy Comments: 'I Wasn't Talking About The Horror Of The Storm". The Huffington Post. Retrieved 14 January 2013.
25. "Romney Rally Turns Into Hurricane Relief Effort". Wall Street Journal. 30 October 2012. Retrieved 6 November 2012.
26. Bruce, Mary. "Obama Visits FEMA HQ Before Touring Storm Damage". ABCNews. Retrieved 6 November 2012.
27. W.E. Messamore (2012-10-31). "Hurricane Sandy effect on election could hurt Democrats". Foundation for Independent Voter Education.
28. "The politics of Hurricane Sandy". The Economist. 2012-10-29.
29. "Could Sandy push back Election Day?". ABC News.