Appeal to probability
An appeal to probability (or appeal to possibility) is the logical fallacy of taking something for granted because it would probably be the case (or might possibly be the case).[1] Inductive arguments lack deductive validity and must therefore be asserted or denied in the premises.
Example
A fallacious appeal to possibility:
- Something can go wrong (premise).
- Therefore, something will go wrong (invalid conclusion).
- If I do not bring my umbrella (premise)
- It will rain. (invalid conclusion).
Murphy's law is a (typically deliberate, tongue-in-cheek) invocation of the fallacy.
gollark: Doesn't Haskell's runtime allocate 1TB of memory it never uses on start?
gollark: [INFORMATION CLASSIFIED BY POTAT-O5 COUNCIL]
gollark: POSIX is great, it's one of my favourite things ending in -ix and beginning with P.
gollark: See, no osmarkslibc mallocs will do that.
gollark: How evil.
References
Notes
Bibliography
- Bennett, Bo, "Appeal to possibility", Logically Fallacious, retrieved 18 April 2017CS1 maint: ref=harv (link)
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