2020 Campanian regional election

The 2020 Campanian regional election will take place in Campania, Italy, sometime between 15 September and 15 November. It was originally scheduled to take place on May 31, 2020, but it was delayed due to the coronavirus pandemic in Italy.[1][2]

2020 Campania regional election
20 September 2020
All 51 seats to the Regional Council of Campania
  Majority party Minority party Third party
 
Leader Vincenzo De Luca Stefano Caldoro Valeria Ciarambino
Party Democratic Party Forza Italia Five Star Movement
Alliance Centre-left coalition Centre-right coalition
President before election

Vincenzo De Luca
Democratic Party

 President

TBD

Electoral system

The Regional Council of Campania (Consiglio Regionale della Campania) is composed of 50 members, elected in a party-list proportional representation system. The seats are divided among five constituencies corresponding to the region's provinces: Avellino with 4 seats, Benevento with 2 seats, Caserta with 8 seats, Naples with 27 seats, and Salerno with 9 seats. Regional councillors are selected from party lists at the constituency level, with an electoral threshold at 3%. An additional seat is reserved to the President-elect, who is the candidate winning a plurality of votes. A majority bonus of 60% is granted to the winning coalition.[3][4]

Background

In February 2020, the direction of the Democratic Party (PD) officially confirmed that the centre-left candidate for President of Campania would be the incumbent President Vincenzo De Luca.[5]

The centre-right coalition picked former President Stefano Caldoro, a member of Forza Italia (FI), as its candidate, after hypotheses of a Northern League candidate or Mara Carfagna (FI) were abandoned.[6][7]

The Five Star Movement (M5S) discarded the idea of a coalition with the centre-left, and proposed its own candidate Valeria Ciarambino.[6] Previously, the M5S had proposed the incumbent Minister of Environment Sergio Costa as its candidate.[8]

Parties and candidates
Political party or alliance Constituent lists Previous result Candidate
Votes (%) Seats
Centre-left coalition Democratic Party (PD) 19.5 15
Vincenzo De Luca
Free Campania (CL) 4.8 3
De Luca for President 4.9 4
Really Ecology and Rights – Animalist Party – Italy in Common (DED-PA-IiC) N/A N/A
More Campania in Europe (+C) (inc. PLI) N/A N/A
Us Campanians (NC) N/A N/A
Democratic Centre (CD) 2.8 2
Democratic Making (FD) N/A N/A
Liberal Democrats – Popular Campania – Moderates (LD–CP–Mod) N/A N/A
Populars (Pop) N/A N/A
Democrats and Progressives (inc. Art.1, Futura) N/A N/A
Italia Viva (IV) N/A N/A
Green Europe – Solidary Democracy (EV-DemoS) 1.2 1
Italian Socialist Party (PSI) 2.2 1
For People and the Community N/A N/A
Italian Republican Party – League for Italy (PRI–LpI) N/A N/A
Centre-right coalition Forza Italia (FI) 17.8 7
Stefano Caldoro
Brothers of Italy (FdI) 5.5 2
League (Lega) N/A N/A
Caldoro for President – Union of the Centre (CP–UdC) (inc. NPSI) 7.2 (CP)
2.4 (UdC)		 2 (CP)
2 (UdC)
Us with Italy (NcI) N/A N/A
Cambiamo! (C!) N/A N/A
Alliance of the Centre (AdC) N/A N/A
Animalist Movement (MA) N/A N/A
South Camp (CS) N/A N/A
Five Star Movement (M5S) 17.0 7
Valeria Ciarambino
Power to the People (PaP) N/A N/A
Giuliano Granato
Terra (incl. SI, PRC, PCI, PdS, AET) 2.3 –
Stefania Fanelli
Third Pole (TP) N/A N/A
Sergio Angrisano
Federalist Greens (VF) N/A N/A
Carmine Attanasio

Polls

Hypothetical candidates
Date Polling firm/
Client		 Sample size De Luca Caldoro Other CDX Ciarambino Costa De Magistris Others Undecided Lead
3–4 Aug 2020 Tecnè 7,343 44.5 39.0 N/A 15.0 N/A N/A 1.5 N/A 5.5
25–26 Jun 2020 Winpoll Arcadia 800 65.4 21.9 N/A 10.9 N/A N/A N/A N/A 43.5
24–25 Jun 2020 Noto 1,000 45.0 39.0 N/A 13.0 N/A N/A 3.0 N/A 6.0
17–20 Dec 2019 Winpoll Arcadia 700 39.5 36.7 N/A 23.8 N/A N/A – N/A 2.8
20 Dec–25 Dec 2019 Index 1,000 36.0 47.0 N/A 15.0 N/A N/A 2.0 27.2 11.0
35.0 N/A 49.0[lower-alpha 1] 14.0 N/A N/A 2.0 25.9 14.0
12–15 Nov 2019 Noto[lower-alpha 2] 1,000 34.0 42.0 N/A N/A 20.0 N/A 4.0 30.0 8.0
32.0 N/A 44.0[lower-alpha 1] N/A 22.0 N/A 2.0 25.8 12.0
34.0 N/A 42.0[lower-alpha 3] N/A 20.0 N/A 2.0 26.8 8.0
27 Sep 2019 Winpoll Arcadia – 37.0 N/A 20.4[lower-alpha 4] 5.2 7.9 28.5 4.5 N/A 8.5

Parties
Date Polling firm Sample size Centre-left M5S Centre-right Others Undecided Lead
PD IV LeU Other FI Lega FdI Other
25–26 Jun 2020 Winpoll Arcadia 800 21.3 0.9 1.1 21.7 21.7 8.2 10.7 10.5 2.7 1.1 N/A 0.4
29–30 May 2020 Tecnè 1,000 21.7 2.4 2.7 4.9 24.3 14.1 15.3 12.4 N/A 2.2 N/A 2.6
17–20 Dec 2019 Winpoll Arcadia 700 22.7 2.5 2.6 5.7 26.2 9.7 18.8 8.8 N/A 3.0 N/A 3.5
30 Nov–2 Dec 2019 Index 1,000 16.0 3.0 N/A 15.0 15.0 14.0 17.0 11.0 4.0 5.0 17.2 1.0
12–15 Nov 2019 Noto[lower-alpha 2] 1,000 22.0 3.0 2.0 5.0 18.0 16.0 13.0 10.0 3.0 8.0 N/A 4.0
  1. Mara Carfagna
  2. This poll was commissioned by a political party.
  3. Clemente Mastella
  4. Carfagna 16.9% and Edmondo Cirielli 4.5%.
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See also

References
  1. "Il governo ha rinviato le elezioni regionali e comunali" (in Italian). Il Post. 20 April 2020. Retrieved 25 April 2020.
  2. Elezioni Regionali, il 31 Maggio si vota in Toscana, Veneto, Campania, Puglia, Liguria e Marche
  3. "Elezioni regionali Campania 2020: data, candidati e sondaggi". Money.it (in Italian). 6 December 2019. Retrieved 16 December 2019.
  4. "Regioni.it - n. 2689 del 24-03-2015 - Campania al voto con una nuova legge elettorale - Regioni.it". www.regioni.it. Retrieved 16 December 2019.
  5. "Regionali Campania 2020, la direzione Pd ufficializza la scelta: «Il nostro candidato è De Luca»". il Mattino (in Italian). 17 February 2020. Retrieved 7 August 2020.
  6. "Elezioni regionali Campania 2020, la guida: data, candidati e sondaggi". Money.it (in Italian). 31 July 2020. Retrieved 7 August 2020.
  7. "Regionali Campania 2020, la Lega vuole il candidato ma Forza Italia frena: tocca a noi". il Mattino (in Italian). 10 May 2020. Retrieved 7 August 2020.
  8. "Regionali, il M5S lancia Costa in Campania. Ma il Pd si schiera con De Luca". la Repubblica (in Italian). 17 February 2020. Retrieved 7 August 2020.
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