2018 North Sumatra gubernatorial election

The 2018 North Sumatra gubernatorial election took place on 27 June 2018 as part of the simultaneous local elections. It was held to elect the governor of North Sumatra alongside with their deputy, whilst members of the provincial council (Dewan Perwakilan Rakyat Daerah) will be re-elected in 2019.

2018 North Sumatra gubernatorial election
27 June 2018
Turnout61.8%[1]
 
Nominee Edy Rahmayadi Djarot Saiful Hidayat
Party Gerindra PDI-P
Running mate Musa Rajekshah Sihar Sitorus
Popular vote 3,291,137 2,424,960
Percentage 57.58 42.42
  Djarot Saiful Hidayat and Sihar Sitorus
  Edy Rahmayadi and Musa Rajekshah
Governor before election

Tengku Erry Nuradi
Nasdem

 Elected Governor

Edy Rahmayadi

Candidates were former Governor of Jakarta Djarot Saiful Hidayat and former commander of Kostrad Lt. Gen Edy Rahmayadi.

Timeline

On 10 September 2017, the KPU declared that there will be 10,194,368 eligible voters in the province.[2] The North Sumatran KPU set a budget of Rp 855 billion (US$59.9 million) for the election.[3]

Registration for party-backed candidates were opened between 8 and 10 January 2018, while independent candidates were required to register between 22 and 26 November 2017.[4] The candidates were assigned their ballot numbers on 13 February 2018.[5] The campaigning period would commence between 15 February and 24 June, with a three-day election silence before voting on 27 June.[6]

Candidates

Under regulations, candidates are required to secure the support of a political party or a coalition thereof comprising at least 20 seats in the regional house. Alternatively, independent candidates may run provided they are capable of securing support from 6.5 percent of the total voter population (764,578) in form of photocopied ID cards subject to verification by the local committee although no candidates expressing interest managed to do this.[2][7]

#CandidateMost recent positionRunning mateParties
1Edy RahmayadiCommander of Kostrad (2015-2018)Musa RajekshahGolkar (17 seats)
Gerindra (13 seats)
Hanura (10 seats)
PKS (9 seats)
PAN (6 seats)
Nasdem (5 seats)

Total 50 seats[8][5]

2Djarot Saiful HidayatGovernor of Jakarta (2017)Sihar SitorusPDI-P (16 seats)
PPP (4 seats)

Total 20 seats[9]

While acting governor Tengku Erry Nuradi was eligible to run, he failed to secure sufficient support with his party Nasdem placing their support behind Edy-Musa instead.[10]

Rahmayadi first registered at Hanura to run for the gubernatorial seat on August 2017, through his running mate and young entrepreneur Musa Rajeckshah.[11][12] Gerindra, PKS and PAN declared their support for him in late December 2017.[13] In order to participate in the election, Rahmayadi resigned from his position as Commander of the Kostrad in 2018.[14] While initially expressing support for incumbent Tengku Erry Nuradi, Golkar and Nasdem diverted their support for Edy-Musa as well.[15][16]

Djarot Saiful Hidayat, who lost as a running mate in the 2017 elections in Jakarta and briefly became its governor following the incarceration of Basuki Tjahaja Purnama, was declared by PDI-P as their candidate on 5 January 2018.[17] Sihar Sitorus became his running mate, and the pair secured the support of PPP making them eligible to run.[18][19]

Also registering as early as August, J.R. Saragih who was also the regional chair of Demokrat obtained official support on September.[20][21] Closer to the registration limit, PKB declared their support once their cadre Ance Selian became running mate.[22] PKPI, which held 3 seats in the regional parliament despite having none in the People's Representative Council, declared their support for the pair allowing them to run, but diverted their support to Djarot-Sihar after the registration process had been completed.[23][24] However, the pair was disqualified due to failing verification in February 2018.[25] After a failed lawsuit, the pair withdrew from the election and asked for their supporters to vote for Djarot instead.[26]

Polling

After formal nominations
PollsterDateSample sizeResults
CEPP27 May-8 June 2018800Edy Rahmayadi (53.1%), Djarot Saiful Hidayat (35.7%)
Indo Barometer26 May-2 June 2018800Djarot Saiful Hidayat (37.8%), Edy Rahmayadi (36.9%)
CSIS16–30 April 20181,000Edy Rahmayadi (44.8%), Djarot Saiful Hidayat (36.6%)
LSI11–15 April 20181,000Edy Rahmayadi (43.1%), Djarot Saiful Hidayat (33.4%)
Indo Barometer4–10 February 2018800Djarot Saiful Hidayat (26.0%), Edy Rahmayadi (25.8%), JR Saragih (8.4%)
Median16–25 January 20181,200Edy Rahmayadi (33.1%), Djarot Saiful Hidayat (19.2%), JR Saragih (10.5%)

Before nominations
PollsterDateSample sizeResults
Survei dan Polling Indonesia11–23 December 20171,262Tengku (37.54%), Edy (32.45%), Gus Irawan (10.21%), Djarot Saiful Hidayat (9.10%)
Indonesia Network Election Survey24 November - 3 December 20171,816Effendi MS Simbolon (25.2%), Edy Rahmayadi (13.9%), Gus Irawan Pasaribu (11.9%), Tengku Erry Nuradi (6.4%), Ngogesa Sitepu (6.2%), JR Saragih (5.1%)

Results

Quick count
PollsterEdy-MusaDjarot-Sihar
Charta Politika 59.98 40.02
Indikator 56.64 43.36
LSI 57.12 42.88
SMRC 58.81 41.19
gollark: In Spanish, it's the word for "black",even, IIRC.
gollark: poßibly.
gollark: I would, personally, like to be mostly generalist and not excessively tied to some particular industry/etc.
gollark: Anyway, I feel like specializing entirely in some esoteric computer science field is problematic.
gollark: And yes, you *have* summoned me, and you *may* regret it.

References
  1. "PENETAPAN HASIL : PILKADA PROVINSI SUMATERA UTARA". Komisi Pemilihan Umum. Retrieved 20 July 2018.
  2. Siregar, Wahyudi Aulia (11 September 2017). "Pilgub Sumut 2018, KPU Tetapkan Calon Independen Harus Kantongi 764.578 Dukungan". okezone.com (in Indonesian). Retrieved 22 January 2018.
  3. Batubara, Nanda F. (6 September 2017). "WOW! Anggaran Pilgub 2018 Mencapai Rp 855 Miliar, Ini Rinciannya". Tribun Medan (in Indonesian). Retrieved 22 January 2018.
  4. Putra, Putu Merta Surya (8 January 2018). "Pendaftaran Paslon Pilkada 2018 Dibuka, KPU Ingatkan Ikuti Aturan". liputan6 (in Indonesian). Retrieved 20 January 2018.
  5. Muhardiansyah, Yan (13 February 2018). "Nomor urut Pilgub Sumut: Edy-Ijeck 1, Djarot-Sihar 2". merdeka.com. Retrieved 12 March 2018.
  6. Suryowati, Estu (14 June 2017). "Tahapan Pilkada Serentak 2018 Dimulai, Ini Jadwal Lengkapnya". KOMPAS (in Indonesian). Retrieved 20 January 2018.
  7. Muhardiansyah, Yan (27 November 2017). "Pilgub Sumut 2018 tanpa calon independen". Merdeka (in Indonesian). Retrieved 22 January 2018.
  8. Sukmana, Yoga (11 January 2018). "Fakta Seputar Pilkada Sumut". KOMPAS (in Indonesian). Retrieved 24 January 2018.
  9. Damhuri, Elba (13 January 2018). "Nasib Djarot-Sihar di Tengah Konflik PPP Sumut Vs DPP PPP". Republika (in Indonesian). Retrieved 23 January 2018.
  10. "Lapang Hati Petahana Tengku Erry Nuradi Tak Ikut Pilgub Sumut". CNN Indonesia (in Indonesian). 8 January 2018. Retrieved 27 January 2018.
  11. Santama, Jefris (1 August 2017). "Pangkostrad Letjen Edy Rahmayadi Daftar Jadi Cagub Sumut ke Hanura". detiknews (in Indonesian). Retrieved 27 January 2018.
  12. Fadil, Iqbal (16 August 2017). "3 Jenderal ini berhasrat ingin jadi gubernur di pilkada 2018". merdeka.com. Retrieved 27 January 2018.
  13. "Gerindra, PKS, PAN endorse Army general in North Sumatra election". The Jakarta Post. 27 December 2017. Retrieved 25 January 2018.
  14. "TNI commander appoints new Kostrad chief". The Jakarta Post. 5 January 2018. Retrieved 25 January 2018.
  15. Maharani, Tsarina (5 January 2018). "Ini Alasan Golkar Ubah Dukungan dari Tengku Erry ke Edy Rahmayadi". detik.com (in Indonesian). Retrieved 25 January 2018.
  16. Andayani, Dwi (5 January 2018). "Batal Dicalonkan NasDem di Sumut, Tengku Erry Tetap Dukung Edy". detik.com (in Indonesian). Retrieved 25 January 2018.
  17. Erviani, Ni Komang; Ramadhani, Nurul Fitri (5 January 2018). "PDI-P seeks support to field Djarot in N. Sumatra race". The Jakarta Post. Retrieved 27 January 2018.
  18. "Former Jakarta Governor to run for N. Sumatra Governor". Antara News. 7 January 2018. Retrieved 27 January 2018.
  19. Zulfikar, Muhammad (10 January 2018). "PPP Resmi Usung Djarot - Sihar Sitorus di Pilgub Sumut". Tribun News (in Indonesian). Retrieved 27 January 2018.
  20. Tanjung, M Azhari (7 September 2017). "JR Saragih Resmi Diusung Demokrat Maju Menuju Sumut 1, Siapa Wakilnya?". Tribun Medan (in Indonesian). Retrieved 27 January 2018.
  21. Warsito, Budi (31 August 2017). "JR Saragih Daftar Sebagai Calon Gubernur Sumut". Metro TV (in Indonesian). Archived from the original on 27 January 2018. Retrieved 27 January 2018.
  22. Ihsannudin (8 January 2018). "Gabung Demokrat, PKB Dukung JR Siragih-Ance Selian di Pilgub Sumut". KOMPAS (in Indonesian). Retrieved 27 January 2018.
  23. Chairunnisa, Ninis (21 January 2018). "Bukan Djarot, KPU Sumut Sebut Dukungan PKPI Tetap bagi JR Saragih". Tempo (in Indonesian). Retrieved 27 January 2018.
  24. "Setelah Golkar, PKPI Cabut Dukungan Cagub Petahana Sumut Erry". beritasatu.com (in Indonesian). 5 January 2018. Retrieved 27 January 2018.
  25. Muhardiansyah, Yan (13 February 2018). "Pilgub Sumut diikuti dua paslon, JR Saragih-Ance gagal karena tak serahkan ijazah". Merdeka (in Indonesian). Retrieved 12 March 2018.
  26. Munthe, Tigor (2 April 2018). "Pilkada Sumut, JR Saragih Dukung Djarot-Sihar". KOMPAS (in Indonesian). Retrieved 15 April 2018.
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