2008 United States Senate election in Louisiana

The 2008 United States Senate election in Louisiana was held on November 4, 2008. This was the first time since the 1970s that Louisiana used primaries for federal races. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Mary Landrieu won reelection to a third term, while her Republican opponent John Kennedy won Louisiana's other Senate seat in 2016. As of 2020, this is the last Senate election in Louisiana that was won by a Democrat.

2008 United States Senate election in Louisiana

November 4, 2008
 
Nominee Mary Landrieu John Kennedy
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 988,298 867,177
Percentage 52.1% 45.7%

Parish results
Landrieu:      40-50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Kennedy:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. senator before election

Mary Landrieu
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Mary Landrieu
Democratic

Background

Landrieu's increased vulnerability was supposed to be the result of a significant drop in the state's African-American population after Hurricane Katrina, especially in Landrieu's home city of New Orleans. Louisiana also elected a Republican senator in 2004 and President Bush carried the state twice, in 2004 with 58 percent of the vote. Also, Republican Congressman Bobby Jindal won the 2007 gubernatorial election with 54 percent of the vote.

Major candidates

Democratic

Republican

  • John Neely Kennedy, State Treasurer and Democratic candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2004.

Predictions

CQ Politics rated this race as 'Leans Democrat'.[1] The Cook Political Report considered it 'Lean Democrat'.[2] The Rothenberg Political Report considered it a 'Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party'.[3] Landrieu was considered the most vulnerable incumbent Democratic senator, and although she won, her margin of victory was the narrowest of any Democratic-held Senate seats in 2008.[4]

Polling

Poll Source Dates administered Mary
Landrieu (D)
John
Kennedy (R)
Rasmussen Reports October 21, 2008 53% 43%
Rasmussen Reports September 25, 2008 54% 41%
Rasmussen Reports August 17, 2008 56% 39%
Rasmussen Reports July 9, 2008 49% 44%
Southern Media & Opinion Research July 1, 2008 46% 40%
Rasmussen Reports May 28, 2008 47% 44%
Southern Media & Opinion Research March 26 – April 9, 2008 50% 38%
Survey USA December 6–10, 2007 46% 42%

Results

Landrieu, despite being one of the most vulnerable incumbent senators in 2008 and then-senator Barack Obama losing the state to senator John McCain, won on election night by 121,121 votes and 6.39%.

2008 United States Senate election in Louisiana
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Democratic Mary Landrieu (incumbent) 988,298 52.11% +0.41%
Republican John Kennedy 867,177 45.72% -2.58%
Libertarian Richard Fontanesi 18,590 0.98% n/a
Independent Jay Patel 13,729 0.72% n/a
Independent Robert Stewart 8,780 0.46% n/a
Majority 121,121 6.39% +2.99
Turnout 1,896,574 100.0%
Democratic hold Swing

References

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