Opinion polling for the next German federal election

In the run-up to the next German federal election, various organisations will carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Germany. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous federal election, held on 24 September 2017, to the present day. The next election will be held on or before 24 October 2021, unless a State of Defence is called before then.

Graphical summary

Civey (SPON-Wahltrend) has continued to publish daily data since 1 October 2017; however, its daily results are not accounted for in the trendlines below, and not included in the table below (except if an article on the figures is published in Spiegel Online), given notable methodological differences.

10-poll moving averages

Poll results

2020
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Abs. Union SPD AfD FDP Linke Grüne Others Lead
INSA 11 Aug 2020 1,012 – 36 18 11 7 9 15 4 18
Infratest dimap 3–5 Aug 2020 1,511 – 38 15 11 6 7 18 5 20
YouGov 30 Jul–4 Aug 2020 1,623 – 36 14 11 6 9 18 6 18
INSA 31 Jul–3 Aug 2020 2,090 – 36.5 15 11 6.5 8.5 16.5 6 20
Forsa 27–31 Jul 2020 2,504 22 38 14 8 6 8 18 8 20
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 28–30 Jul 2020 1,249 – 38 14 9 5 8 21 5 17
Emnid 23–29 Jul 2020 1,449 – 37 16 10 6 8 17 6 20
INSA 24–27 Jul 2020 2,039 – 36.5 15 11 7 8 16 6.5 20.5
GMS 22–27 Jul 2020 1,003 – 38 14 10 6 6 19 7 19
Forsa 20–24 Jul 2020 2,504 23 38 14 9 6 8 18 7 20
Infratest dimap 21–22 Jul 2020 1,064 – 37 14 11 5 7 20 6 17
Emnid 16–22 Jul 2020 2,031 – 37 15 11 6 8 18 5 19
INSA 17–20 Jul 2020 2,049 – 36.5 16 10 7.5 7.5 16 6.5 20.5
Forsa 13–16 Jul 2020 2,501 23 38 14 9 6 8 18 7 20
Allensbach 3–16 Jul 2020 1,237 – 38 15.5 9 5.5 7.5 20 4.5 18
Emnid 9–15 Jul 2020 1,449 – 38 16 10 6 8 17 5 21
INSA 10–13 Jul 2020 2,051 – 37 14.5 11 7 8.5 16.5 5.5 20.5
Forsa 6–10 Jul 2020 2,500 24 38 14 10 6 7 18 7 20
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 7–9 Jul 2020 1,226 – 39 15 9 5 7 20 5 19
Emnid 2–8 Jul 2020 1,426 – 38 15 11 6 8 17 5 21
INSA 3–6 Jul 2020 2,040 – 36 15 11 7 8 17 6 19
Forsa 29 Jun–3 Jul 2020 2,503 27 38 14 10 5 8 18 7 20
Emnid 24 Jun–2 Jul 2020 1,436 – 37 16 10 6 8 19 4 18
Infratest dimap 29 Jun–1 Jul 2020 1,503 – 37 16 10 5 7 20 5 17
INSA 26–29 Jun 2020 2,051 – 36.5 16 10.5 7 8 17 5 19.5
Forsa 22–26 Jun 2020 2,501 27 38 14 10 6 8 17 7 21
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 23–25 Jun 2020 1,227 – 40 15 9 5 7 19 5 21
Infratest dimap 23–24 Jun 2020 1,068 – 37 16 10 5 7 20 5 17
Emnid 18–24 Jun 2020 1,550 – 37 16 10 6 8 18 5 19
INSA 19–22 Jun 2020 2,058 – 36.5 15 10 6 8.5 18.5 5.5 18
YouGov 18–22 Jun 2020 1,636 – 37 15 11 5 9 17 6 20
Forsa 15–19 Jun 2020 2,501 25 39 14 9 5 8 18 7 21
Emnid 10–17 Jun 2020 2,403 – 38 15 10 7 8 17 5 21
INSA 12–15 Jun 2020 2,069 – 37 15 10 7 8 18 5 19
GMS 9–15 Jun 2020 1,002 – 39 15 9 6 8 17 6 22
Forsa 8–13 Jun 2020 2,504 26 40 14 8 6 8 17 7 23
Allensbach 1–13 Jun 2020 1,314 – 40 16 9.5 4.5 7 18.5 4.5 21.5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 8–10 Jun 2020 1,270 – 39 15 9 4 7 20 6 19
Emnid 4–9 Jun 2020 1,934 – 39 15 9 7 7 17 6 22
INSA 5–8 Jun 2020 2,051 – 38 14 10 6.5 8.5 17.5 5.5 20.5
Forsa 2–5 Jun 2020 2,002 27 40 16 8 6 8 15 7 24
Infratest dimap 2–3 Jun 2020 1,505 – 38 15 9 6 8 19 5 19
Emnid 28 May–3 Jun 2020 1,428 – 38 15 8 7 8 16 8 22
INSA 29 May–2 Jun 2020 2,047 – 38.5 14 10 5.5 8 18 6 20.5
Forsa 27–29 May 2020 1,507 26 40 15 9 5 8 16 7 24
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 26–28 May 2020 1,377 – 39 15 9 4 8 19 6 20
Emnid 20–26 May 2020 1,934 – 40 16 9 8 7 15 5 24
YouGov 20–26 May 2020 1,584 – 37 15 11 5 9 16 7 21
INSA 22–25 May 2020 2,062 – 37 15 9.5 6 8 18 6.5 19
Forsa 18–22 May 2020 2,002 26 40 15 9 5 8 16 7 24
Emnid 14–19 May 2020 1,914 – 38 16 10 7 8 15 6 22
INSA 15–18 May 2020 2,092 – 37 14 10.5 6 7.5 18 7 19
Forsa 11–15 May 2020 2,509 25 39 15 9 6 8 16 7 23
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–14 May 2020 1,282 – 38 15 10 5 8 18 6 20
Allensbach 6–14 May 2020 1,013 – 38 15.5 9 5.5 7 19 6 19
Infratest dimap 12–13 May 2020 1,074 – 38 15 10 6 7 18 6 20
Emnid 7–13 May 2020 1,559 – 39 16 11 6 8 14 6 23
INSA 8–11 May 2020 2,061 – 37.5 14 11 6.5 7.5 16.5 7 21
Forsa 4–8 May 2020 2,503 – 40 15 10 6 7 15 7 25
Infratest dimap 4–6 May 2020 1,503 – 39 16 9 5 8 18 5 21
Emnid 30 Apr–6 May 2020 1,426 – 38 17 12 5 8 14 6 21
INSA 1–4 May 2020 2,101 – 37.5 15 11 6 7.5 17 6 20.5
Forsa 27–30 Apr 2020 2,004 26 38 17 10 6 8 14 7 21
Emnid 22–29 Apr 2020 1,443 – 37 15 12 6 9 15 6 22
INSA 24–27 Apr 2020 2,071 – 38 15.5 10.5 7 7 16 6 22
YouGov 23–27 Apr 2020 1,636 – 37 16 11 5 9 16 6 21
GMS 20–27 Apr 2020 1,002 – 38 16 10 6 8 16 6 22
Forsa 20–24 Apr 2020 2,505 24 39 16 9 6 8 15 7 23
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 20–23 Apr 2020 1,323 – 39 16 9 5 7 18 6 21
Emnid 16–22 Apr 2020 2,003 – 38 16 11 6 9 15 5 22
INSA 17–20 Apr 2020 2,054 – 38.5 15 10.5 7 7.5 16 5.5 22.5
Forsa 14–17 Apr 2020 2,002 25 39 16 10 5 8 15 7 23
Infratest dimap 14–15 Apr 2020 1,057 – 38 17 9 5 7 19 5 19
Emnid 9–15 Apr 2020 1,534 – 37 18 9 7 8 16 5 19
Allensbach 1–15 Apr 2020 1,152 – 38 16 9 6 7 19 5 19
INSA 9–14 Apr 2020 2,108 – 37.5 16 10.5 7 7.5 16 5.5 21.5
Forsa 6–9 Apr 2020 2,001 – 37 17 10 5 8 16 7 20
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 6–8 Apr 2020 1,175 – 35 17 10 5 7 20 6 15
Emnid 2–8 Apr 2020 1,912 – 37 17 10 6 9 16 5 20
INSA 3–6 Apr 2020 2,062 – 38 16 10 5.5 7 18 5.5 20
Forsa 30 Mar–3 Apr 2020 2,506 25 37 17 9 6 8 16 7 20
Infratest dimap 30 Mar–1 Apr 2020 1,502 – 34 16 10 5 7 22 6 12
Emnid 25 Mar–1 Apr 2020 1,426 – 33 18 11 6 9 18 5 15
YouGov 27–30 Mar 2020 1,615 – 34 16 12 6 9 18 5 16
INSA 27–30 Mar 2020 2,061 – 35 15 12 6.5 7.5 18 6 17
Forsa 23–27 Mar 2020 2,511 25 36 16 9 6 8 17 8 19
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 23–26 Mar 2020 1,473 – 33 15 10 6 8 22 6 11
Forsa 23–25 Mar 2020 1,502 24 36 16 9 6 8 17 8 19
Emnid 18–25 Mar 2020 1,441 – 32 18 11 6 9 19 5 13
INSA 20–23 Mar 2020 2,070 – 33.5 15 12 6.5 7 20 6 13.5
Forsa 16–20 Mar 2020 2,504 24 32 15 9 7 9 20 8 12
Infratest dimap 17–18 Mar 2020 1,035 – 30 14 10 7 9 23 7 7
Emnid 12–18 Mar 2020 1,603 – 28 16 13 7 9 21 6 7
Allensbach 5–18 Mar 2020 1,219 – 29 16.5 11.5 7 8 23 5 6
INSA 13–16 Mar 2020 2,049 – 28.5 14.5 13 6.5 9.5 23 5 5.5
Forsa 9–13 Mar 2020 2,503 22 29 14 11 6 10 22 8 7
Emnid 4–11 Mar 2020 1,414 – 26 17 14 7 8 21 7 5
INSA 6–9 Mar 2020 2,050 – 26.5 15.5 14 6.5 9.5 22 6 4.5
Forsa 2–6 Mar 2020 2,503 27 26 15 11 6 10 24 8 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 3–5 Mar 2020 1,276 – 26 16 14 6 8 23 7 3
Infratest dimap 2–4 Mar 2020 1,502 – 27 16 12 6 9 23 7 4
Emnid 27 Feb–4 Mar 2020 1,423 – 24 17 14 7 9 22 7 2
YouGov 28 Feb–2 Mar 2020 1,632 – 27 15 14 6 10 21 7 6
INSA 28 Feb–2 Mar 2020 2,061 – 26.5 16 13.5 6 10 23 5 3.5
Forsa 24–28 Feb 2020 2,505 25 27 16 10 5 10 24 8 3
Emnid 20–27 Feb 2020 1,509 – 25 16 14 6 10 22 7 3
INSA 21–24 Feb 2020 2,033 – 26.5 14.5 13 7 10.5 22 6.5 4.5
Forsa 17–21 Feb 2020 2,504 22 27 14 10 7 10 24 8 3
Emnid 13–19 Feb 2020 1,417 – 27 15 14 7 10 20 7 7
INSA 14–17 Feb 2020 2,065 – 26.5 14.5 15 7.5 9.5 20.5 6.5 6
Forsa 10–14 Feb 2020 2,502 20 27 14 11 6 10 24 8 3
Infratest dimap 11–13 Feb 2020 1,007 – 26 16 14 7 9 22 6 4
Emnid 6–12 Feb 2020 1,886 – 28 15 15 6 10 20 6 8
Allensbach 1–12 Feb 2020 1,262 – 27.5 14.5 13 8 9.5 23 4.5 4.5
INSA 7–10 Feb 2020 2,086 – 27.5 12.5 14 8 10 22 6 5.5
Forsa 3–7 Feb 2020 2,504 – 28 14 10 8 9 23 8 5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 4–6 Feb 2020 1,067 – 27 14 14 6 10 22 7 5
Infratest dimap 3–5 Feb 2020 1,503 – 27 14 14 8 9 22 6 5
Emnid 30 Jan–5 Feb 2020 1,889 – 28 15 15 8 9 20 5 8
INSA 31 Jan–3 Feb 2020 2,059 – 28 13 14 9 8 22 6 6
Forsa 27–31 Jan 2020 2,504 24 28 12 11 9 9 23 8 5
Emnid 23–29 Jan 2020 1,442 – 27 15 14 8 9 21 6 6
INSA 24–27 Jan 2020 2,081 – 27 14 15 9 8.5 20.5 6 6.5
Forsa 20–24 Jan 2020 2,507 – 28 12 12 9 9 23 7 5
Infratest dimap 21–22 Jan 2020 1,043 – 26 14 14 8 8 24 6 2
Emnid 16–22 Jan 2020 2,100 – 26 14 15 9 10 21 5 5
Allensbach 9–22 Jan 2020 1,273 – 28.5 14 13 8 8 23.5 5 5
INSA 17–20 Jan 2020 2,122 – 27.5 13 15 8.5 9.5 21 5.5 6.5
Forsa 13–17 Jan 2020 2,504 22 28 13 13 8 9 22 7 6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 13–15 Jan 2020 1,282 – 27 14 14 7 9 23 6 4
Emnid 9–15 Jan 2020 2,009 – 26 15 14 9 9 21 6 5
INSA 10–13 Jan 2020 2,040 – 27 12.5 15 9.5 9 21 6 6
Forsa 6–10 Jan 2020 2,503 23 28 12 13 9 8 22 8 6
Infratest dimap 7–8 Jan 2020 1,506 – 27 13 14 9 8 23 6 4
Emnid 19 Dec 2019–8 Jan 2020 1,829 – 27 14 14 9 9 21 6 6
INSA 3–6 Jan 2020 2,048 – 29 13 14 9 8.5 21.5 5 7.5
GMS 27 Dec 2019–2 Jan 2020 1,005 – 28 13 14 9 8 21 7 7

2019
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Abs. Union SPD AfD FDP Linke Grüne Others Lead
INSA 20–23 Dec 2019 2,034 – 28 13 15 10 8 21 5 7
Forsa 16–20 Dec 2019 2,501 23 28 13 13 8 8 22 8 6
Emnid 12–18 Dec 2019 1,899 – 27 15 14 9 9 20 6 7
YouGov 13–17 Dec 2019 1,586 – 27 13 15 7 10 21 7 6
INSA 13–16 Dec 2019 2,020 – 27 13 15 8.5 9.5 21 6 6
Forsa 9–13 Dec 2019 2,502 22 28 12 13 8 9 22 8 6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 10–12 Dec 2019 1,366 – 27 13 14 8 9 23 6 4
Infratest dimap 10–11 Dec 2019 1,038 – 27 14 15 8 8 21 7 6
Emnid 5–11 Dec 2019 1,978 – 28 16 13 9 9 20 5 8
Allensbach 1–11 Dec 2019 1,270 – 28.5 15 15 7 8.5 21 5 7.5
INSA 6–9 Dec 2019 2,052 – 28 14 15 8.5 8.5 20.5 5.5 7.5
Forsa 2–6 Dec 2019 2,502 24 28 11 14 9 8 22 8 6
Infratest dimap 2–4 Dec 2019 1,507 – 25 13 15 9 8 23 7 2
Emnid 28 Nov–4 Dec 2019 1,876 – 28 16 13 8 9 20 6 8
INSA 29 Nov–2 Dec 2019 2,060 – 26.5 13.5 15 8.5 9 21.5 6 5
GMS 27 Nov–2 Dec 2019 1,004 – 27 14 15 9 8 21 6 6
Forsa 25–29 Nov 2019 2,500 23 27 14 13 8 8 22 8 5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 26–28 Nov 2019 1,340 – 27 13 14 7 10 23 6 4
Emnid 20–27 Nov 2019 1,910 – 28 15 14 8 9 20 6 8
YouGov 22–26 Nov 2019 1,648 – 26 13 15 7 10 22 7 4
INSA 22–25 Nov 2019 2,069 – 26.5 14.5 14 8.5 9.5 22 5 4.5
Forsa 18–22 Nov 2019 2,501 22 26 14 13 9 9 21 8 5
Emnid 13–20 Nov 2019 1,905 – 28 15 13 9 9 20 6 8
INSA 15–18 Nov 2019 4,115 – 25 15.5 15 8.5 10 21 5 4
Forsa 11–15 Nov 2019 2,501 23 26 15 13 9 10 19 8 7
Civey 7–14 Nov 2019 10,198 – 27.7 14.3 13.1 8.7 9.6 20.5 6.1 7.2
Infratest dimap 12–13 Nov 2019 1,046 – 25 15 14 7 9 22 8 3
Emnid 7–13 Nov 2019 1,525 – 27 17 14 8 10 18 6 9
Allensbach 2–13 Nov 2019 1,298 – 29.5 14 14.5 7.5 8 21.5 5 8
INSA 8–11 Nov 2019 2,096 – 25.5 15.5 15 8 9.5 20.5 6 5
Forsa 4–8 Nov 2019 2,501 24 26 13 13 9 10 21 8 5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 5–7 Nov 2019 1,264 – 27 14 14 7 10 22 6 5
Infratest dimap 4–6 Nov 2019 1,507 – 26 14 14 8 9 22 7 4
Emnid 30 Oct–6 Nov 2019 1,431 – 26 16 14 10 10 18 6 8
YouGov 31 Oct–5 Nov 2019 1,583 – 27 13 14 7 10 22 7 5
INSA 1–4 Nov 2019 2,047 – 25.5 13.5 16 8 10 21 6 4.5
Forsa 28 Oct–1 Nov 2019 2,502 25 28 13 13 8 10 20 8 8
Emnid 24–30 Oct 2019 1,920 – 27 16 15 9 9 18 6 9
INSA 25–28 Oct 2019 2,042 – 26 13.5 15.5 7.5 9 23 5.5 3
Forsa 21–25 Oct 2019 2,501 22 29 14 13 8 8 20 8 9
Emnid 17–23 Oct 2019 1,441 – 29 15 14 8 9 20 5 9
INSA 18–21 Oct 2019 2,041 – 27 13.5 15 7.5 9 22.5 5.5 4.5
Forsa 14–18 Oct 2019 2,501 22 27 14 13 8 8 22 8 5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 15–17 Oct 2019 1,226 – 29 14 13 6 8 24 6 5
Infratest dimap 14–16 Oct 2019 1,062 – 28 14 14 7 8 22 7 6
Emnid 10–16 Oct 2019 1,444 – 29 15 13 7 9 20 7 9
INSA 11–14 Oct 2019 2,052 – 28 14 15 7.5 8 21.5 6 6.5
Forsa 7–11 Oct 2019 2,500 22 27 14 12 8 8 23 8 4
Allensbach 29 Sep–10 Oct 2019 1,238 – 29.5 16 13 6.5 7 23.5 4.5 6
Infratest dimap 7–9 Oct 2019 1,504 – 28 13 14 7 8 24 6 4
Emnid 2–9 Oct 2019 1,916 – 28 14 15 7 8 21 7 7
INSA 4–7 Oct 2019 2,059 – 27 13 16 8.5 9 21 5.5 6
GMS 1–7 Oct 2019 1,002 – 27 14 15 8 7 22 7 5
Forsa 30 Sep–4 Oct 2019 2,505 22 28 14 13 8 7 22 8 6
YouGov 27 Sep–1 Oct 2019 1,573 – 26 13 15 8 8 22 8 4
Emnid 26 Sep–1 Oct 2019 1,449 – 27 15 15 8 8 21 6 6
INSA 27–30 Sep 2019 2,058 – 26.5 13 16 8 8 22 6.5 4.5
Forsa 23–27 Sep 2019 2,505 20 27 13 13 9 7 23 8 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 24–26 Sep 2019 1,325 – 27 13 14 6 7 27 6 Tie
Emnid 19–25 Sep 2019 1,719 – 27 16 15 7 8 21 6 6
INSA 20–23 Sep 2019 2,052 – 26 14 16 8 8 22 6 4
Forsa 16–20 Sep 2019 2,500 21 27 15 13 8 7 22 8 5
Infratest dimap 17–18 Sep 2019 1,067 – 27 14 14 8 8 23 6 4
Emnid 12–18 Sep 2019 1,639 – 29 15 14 8 8 21 5 8
INSA 13–16 Sep 2019 2,053 – 26.5 13.5 16 7.5 7.5 22.5 6.5 4
Forsa 9–13 Sep 2019 2,503 21 27 15 14 8 7 22 7 5
GMS 6–12 Sep 2019 1,005 – 27 16 12 7 8 23 7 4
Allensbach 1–12 Sep 2019 1,255 – 29 15 14 7 8 22 5 7
Emnid 5–11 Sep 2019 2,835 – 28 16 15 8 7 21 5 7
YouGov 6–10 Sep 2019 1,632 – 27 15 14 6 8 22 8 5
INSA 6–9 Sep 2019 2,033 – 27 13.5 15.5 8 7.5 22 6.5 5
Civey 5–9 Sep 2019 10,100 – 28.7 14.7 13.8 7.8 7.8 22.3 4.9 6.4
Forsa 2–6 Sep 2019 2,503 20 27 15 13 8 6 23 8 4
Infratest dimap 3–4 Sep 2019 1,514 – 27 14 15 7 7 23 7 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 2–4 Sep 2019 1,270 – 28 15 13 6 7 24 7 4
Emnid 29 Aug–4 Sep 2019 1,884 – 29 16 14 7 8 21 5 8
INSA 30 Aug–2 Sep 2019 2,017 – 26 14.5 15 8.5 7 23.5 5.5 2.5
Forsa 26–30 Aug 2019 2,501 19 27 15 12 9 7 23 7 4
Emnid 22–28 Aug 2019 1,434 – 29 15 14 7 7 22 6 7
INSA 23–26 Aug 2019 2,058 – 26 13 15 8 8 24 6 2
Forsa 19–23 Aug 2019 2,504 21 26 14 13 9 8 23 7 3
Infratest dimap 20–21 Aug 2019 1,063 – 26 14 14 7 7 25 7 1
Emnid 15–21 Aug 2019 1,555 – 27 15 14 8 8 23 5 4
INSA 16–19 Aug 2019 2,056 – 26.5 13 14.5 9 8 24.5 4.5 2
Forsa 12–16 Aug 2019 2,501 23 25 13 13 9 8 24 8 1
Allensbach 2–15 Aug 2019 1,262 – 29.5 13.5 12.5 7 8 24 5.5 5.5
Emnid 8–14 Aug 2019 1,897 – 27 14 14 8 9 22 6 5
INSA 9–11 Aug 2019 2,060 – 27.5 12 14.5 9 8 23.5 5.5 4
Forsa 5–9 Aug 2019 2,503 22 26 12 13 8 8 25 8 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 6–8 Aug 2019 1,307 – 28 13 13 7 7 25 7 3
Emnid 1–7 Aug 2019 2,388 – 26 14 14 9 9 22 6 4
INSA 2–5 Aug 2019 2,049 – 27.5 11.5 15 9 9 23.5 4.5 4
Forsa 29 Jul–2 Aug 2019 2,501 22 27 13 13 9 8 23 7 4
Infratest dimap 29–31 Jul 2019 1,503 – 26 12 14 8 7 26 7 Tie
Emnid 25–31 Jul 2019 1,419 – 26 13 14 9 8 23 7 3
YouGov 26–29 Jul 2019 1,594 – 26 13 14 8 8 24 7 2
INSA 26–29 Jul 2019 2,036 – 27 12.5 14.5 9 8 24.5 4.5 2.5
Forsa 22–26 Jul 2019 2,502 20 27 13 13 9 7 24 7 3
Infratest dimap 22–24 Jul 2019 1,046 – 26 13 12 9 8 26 6 Tie
Emnid 18–24 Jul 2019 1,520 – 26 14 13 9 8 23 7 3
INSA 19–22 Jul 2019 2,081 – 28.5 12.5 14.5 8 8 22.5 6 6
GMS 17–22 Jul 2019 1,002 – 28 13 12 8 8 25 6 3
Forsa 15–19 Jul 2019 2,500 20 27 13 12 8 8 24 8 3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 16–18 Jul 2019 1,290 – 28 13 12 8 8 25 6 3
Emnid 11–17 Jul 2019 1,908 – 27 14 13 9 9 22 6 5
INSA 12–15 Jul 2019 2,043 – 26 14 14 9 9 23 5 3
Forsa 8–12 Jul 2019 2,500 19 26 13 13 7 8 25 8 1
Allensbach 1–11 Jul 2019 1,228 – 29.5 14.5 11.5 7 8.5 23 6 6.5
Emnid 4–10 Jul 2019 2,377 – 26 15 13 8 9 24 5 2
INSA 5–8 Jul 2019 2,069 – 27 13.5 14 8 8.5 24 5 3
Forsa 1–5 Jul 2019 2,501 19 26 12 12 8 8 26 8 Tie
Infratest dimap 1–3 Jul 2019 1,506 – 25 13 13 8 8 26 7 1
Emnid 27 Jun–3 Jul 2019 2,389 – 26 13 14 7 9 24 7 2
YouGov 28 Jun–2 Jul 2019 1,644 – 26 13 13 7 8 25 8 1
INSA 28 Jun–1 Jul 2019 2,053 – 27 13 14 8 8 24 6 3
Forsa 24–28 Jun 2019 2,501 19 26 12 12 8 8 26 8 Tie
Infratest dimap 24–26 Jun 2019 1,051 – 26 13 12 9 7 25 8 1
Emnid 21–26 Jun 2019 1,906 – 26 13 14 8 8 25 6 1
INSA 21–24 Jun 2019 2,078 – 25.5 12.5 13.5 8.5 9 25.5 5.5 Tie
GMS 18–24 Jun 2019 1,004 – 26 13 13 8 8 26 6 Tie
Forsa 17–21 Jun 2019 2,500 18 24 12 13 8 8 27 8 3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 17–19 Jun 2019 1,291 – 27 14 13 7 7 26 6 1
Emnid 13–18 Jun 2019 1,910 – 27 12 14 7 8 25 7 2
INSA 14–17 Jun 2019 2,060 – 25 13 13.5 9 9 25 5.5 Tie
Forsa 11–14 Jun 2019 2,001 18 24 11 13 9 8 27 8 3
Emnid 6–12 Jun 2019 2,377 – 25 12 13 8 8 27 7 2
Allensbach 1–12 Jun 2019 1,273 – 29 12 12 8 8 25 6 4
Civey 4–11 Jun 2019 10,008 – 28.3 13.9 10.7 9.2 7.6 23.8 6.5 4.5
INSA 7–10 Jun 2019 2,074 – 24 13 13.5 9 7.5 26.5 6.5 2.5
Forsa 3–7 Jun 2019 2,501 18 24 12 12 8 8 27 9 3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 3–5 Jun 2019 1,297 – 27 13 13 7 7 26 7 1
Infratest dimap 3–5 Jun 2019 1,500 – 25 12 13 8 7 26 9 1
Emnid 29 May–5 Jun 2019 1,903 – 27 12 12 8 7 27 7 Tie
INSA 3 Jun 2019 1,000 – 26 14 13 8 8 25 6 1
Forsa 27–31 May 2019 2,001 17 26 12 11 8 7 27 9 1
Emnid 23–28 May 2019 1,413 – 28 16 13 8 8 20 7 8
INSA 24–27 May 2019 2,039 – 27.5 15.5 13.5 9.5 9 19 6 8.5
Forsa 20–24 May 2019 2,500 24 28 17 13 8 8 18 8 10
Emnid 16–22 May 2019 1,895 – 29 17 13 9 9 17 6 12
YouGov 17–21 May 2019 1,609 – 29 18 12 8 9 18 6 11
INSA 17–20 May 2019 2,074 – 28 15.5 14 10 9 18.5 5 9.5
Forsa 13–17 May 2019 2,503 22 29 16 13 8 9 19 6 10
Allensbach 3–16 May 2019 1,283 – 30 17.5 13 9 8.5 17 5 12.5
Emnid 9–15 May 2019 1,975 – 29 16 13 9 9 18 6 11
INSA 10–13 May 2019 2,044 – 28.5 16 14 9.5 9 19 4 9.5
Forsa 6–10 May 2019 2,502 23 30 15 13 8 8 20 6 10
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 7–9 May 2019 1,357 – 30 16 14 7 8 20 5 10
Emnid 2–8 May 2019 2,393 – 29 16 13 9 9 19 5 10
GMS 2–8 May 2019 1,006 – 29 17 13 8 9 19 5 10
INSA 3–6 May 2019 2,089 – 28.5 16 14 9 8.5 20 4 8.5
Forsa 29 Apr–3 May 2019 2,002 23 29 15 13 8 9 20 6 9
Infratest dimap 29–30 Apr 2019 1,505 – 28 18 12 8 9 20 5 8
Emnid 25–30 Apr 2019 1,903 – 28 17 13 9 9 19 5 9
INSA 26–29 Apr 2019 2,005 – 28 16 14 10 9 19 4 9
YouGov 26–29 Apr 2019 1,642 – 29 18 13 9 9 17 5 11
Civey 22–29 Apr 2019 10,076 – 29.1 16.4 13.3 9.3 8.7 18.2 5.0 10.9
Forsa 23–26 Apr 2019 2,001 23 27 17 13 8 9 20 6 7
Emnid 18–24 Apr 2019 1,433 – 28 17 13 9 10 18 5 10
INSA 18–21 Apr 2019 1,005 – 30 16 14 10 10 17 3 13
Forsa 15–18 Apr 2019 2,004 23 28 17 13 9 8 19 6 9
Emnid 11–17 Apr 2019 2,709 – 28 18 13 8 9 19 5 9
Infratest dimap 15–16 Apr 2019 1,051 – 29 16 13 8 8 21 5 8
INSA 12–15 Apr 2019 2,013 – 30.5 15.5 14 9 9 18 4 12.5
Forsa 8–12 Apr 2019 2,501 24 29 16 12 10 8 19 6 10
Allensbach 1–12 Apr 2019 1,305 – 30 18.5 12.5 9 8 18 4 11.5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–11 Apr 2019 1,282 – 28 17 13 8 9 20 5 8
Emnid 4–10 Apr 2019 2,559 – 30 17 12 9 9 17 6 13
INSA 5–8 Apr 2019 2,040 – 29 15.5 14 10 8.5 19 4 10
Forsa 1–5 Apr 2019 2,501 26 29 16 12 10 8 20 5 9
Infratest dimap 1–3 Apr 2019 1,503 – 29 17 12 9 8 20 5 9
Emnid 28 Mar–3 Apr 2019 2,335 – 31 17 12 8 9 18 5 13
GMS 28 Mar–3 Apr 2019 1,003 – 30 15 13 10 9 18 5 12
INSA 28 Mar–1 Apr 2019 4,000 – 29.5 16.5 13.5 10 8.5 17.5 4.5 12
Forsa 25–29 Mar 2019 2,504 27 28 16 12 10 8 20 6 8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 25–27 Mar 2019 1,325 – 30 15 13 9 9 19 5 11
Emnid 21–27 Mar 2019 2,361 – 30 16 13 9 9 17 6 13
YouGov 22–26 Mar 2019 1,633 – 30 18 12 9 9 17 5 12
INSA 22–25 Mar 2019 2,012 – 30.5 15.5 13.5 9 9 17.5 5 13
Forsa 18–22 Mar 2019 2,501 25 30 16 11 9 8 20 6 10
Allensbach 7–21 Mar 2019 1,198 – 30 18 12 8.5 8.5 19 4 11
Infratest dimap 19–20 Mar 2019 1,041 – 29 18 12 9 8 19 5 10
Emnid 14–20 Mar 2019 1,518 – 31 17 14 8 8 17 5 14
INSA 15–18 Mar 2019 2,030 – 29.5 16 14.5 9 9 17.5 4.5 12
Forsa 11–15 Mar 2019 2,505 24 31 15 12 10 7 19 6 12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–14 Mar 2019 1,290 – 31 16 12 8 8 19 6 12
Infratest dimap 11–13 Mar 2019 1,508 – 29 17 13 8 9 19 5 10
Emnid 7–13 Mar 2019 1,904 – 31 16 13 8 9 17 6 14
INSA 8–11 Mar 2019 2,005 – 30.5 15 14.5 10 9 17.5 3.5 13
Forsa 4–8 Mar 2019 2,501 24 31 15 12 9 8 19 6 12
Emnid 28 Feb–6 Mar 2019 1,906 – 31 17 14 8 9 16 5 14
INSA 27 Feb–1 Mar 2019 4,000 – 29 17 14.5 10 10 15.5 4 12
Forsa 25 Feb–1 Mar 2019 2,502 ? 30 16 11 9 8 20 6 10
Emnid 21–27 Feb 2019 1,420 – 29 18 14 8 10 16 5 11
GMS 21–27 Feb 2019 1,005 – 31 16 14 9 9 18 3 13
YouGov 22–26 Feb 2019 1,620 – 30 18 13 9 9 17 4 12
INSA 22–25 Feb 2019 2,048 – 29.5 18 14 9.5 9 15.5 4.5 11.5
Forsa 18–22 Feb 2019 2,501 26 30 16 12 9 7 20 6 10
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 19–21 Feb 2019 1,226 – 31 15 13 7 9 20 5 11
Infratest dimap 19–20 Feb 2019 1,029 – 30 18 12 8 8 18 6 12
Emnid 14–20 Feb 2019 1,511 – 29 19 13 9 9 16 5 10
INSA 15–18 Feb 2019 2,046 – 30 18 14 9 9.5 15 4.5 12
Forsa 11–15 Feb 2019 2,501 25 29 17 12 10 6 21 5 8
Infratest dimap 11–13 Feb 2019 1,503 – 29 17 13 9 8 19 5 10
Emnid 7–13 Feb 2019 1,891 – 30 19 13 8 10 15 5 11
Allensbach 1–13 Feb 2019 1,222 – 30 18 13.5 8 8 18.5 4 12
INSA 8–11 Feb 2019 2,051 – 29.5 15.5 14 8.5 10.5 18.5 3.5 11
Forsa 4–8 Feb 2019 2,500 24 31 15 12 10 8 19 5 12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 5–7 Feb 2019 1,350 – 30 16 12 8 9 20 5 10
Emnid 31 Jan–6 Feb 2019 1,900 – 30 17 13 9 9 17 5 13
INSA 1–4 Feb 2019 2,034 – 30 14.5 14 8.5 10.5 18.5 4 11.5
Forsa 28 Jan–1 Feb 2019 2,501 25 32 15 12 9 8 19 5 13
Emnid 24–30 Jan 2019 1,434 – 29 16 15 10 8 18 4 11
YouGov 25–29 Jan 2019 1,578 – 32 15 14 8 9 18 4 14
INSA 25–28 Jan 2019 2,056 – 30 15 14 9 10 18 4 12
Forsa 21–25 Jan 2019 2,501 24 32 14 11 9 9 20 5 12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 22–24 Jan 2019 1,285 – 31 14 13 8 9 20 5 11
Infratest dimap 22–23 Jan 2019 1,051 – 28 15 15 9 8 20 5 8
Emnid 17–23 Jan 2019 2,017 – 29 16 14 9 9 19 4 10
GMS 16–23 Jan 2019 1,003 – 31 14 13 10 9 19 4 12
INSA 18–21 Jan 2019 2,044 – 31 13.5 13 9.5 9.5 19.5 4 11.5
Forsa 14–18 Jan 2019 2,503 24 32 15 12 9 8 19 5 13
Allensbach 5–17 Jan 2019 1,249 – 31.5 16.5 13 8.5 8.5 18 4 13.5
Emnid 10–16 Jan 2019 1,448 – 30 15 14 8 9 18 6 12
INSA 11–14 Jan 2019 2,028 – 29 14.5 14.5 9.5 10.5 18 4 11
Forsa 7–11 Jan 2019 2,504 25 32 15 12 9 8 19 5 13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 8–10 Jan 2019 1,267 – 29 14 14 8 9 21 5 8
Infratest dimap 7–9 Jan 2019 1,505 – 29 15 14 9 9 20 4 9
Emnid 3–9 Jan 2019 1,964 – 31 15 14 8 9 18 5 13
Civey 1–8 Jan 2019 11,881 – 28.6 15.5 16.0 8.8 8.6 18.1 4.4 10.5
INSA 5–7 Jan 2019 2,056 – 30 15 15 10 10 17 3 13
Forsa 2–4 Jan 2019 1,503 24 32 15 12 8 9 19 5 13
INSA 2–3 Jan 2019 1,026 – 29 15 14 10 10 18 4 11

2018
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Abs. Union SPD AfD FDP Linke Grüne Others Lead
YouGov 21–27 Dec 2018 1,665 – 30 16 14 8 10 18 4 12
INSA 20–21 Dec 2018 1,029 – 29 14 15 9 9 19 5 10
Forsa 17–21 Dec 2018 2,504 24 31 14 13 8 8 20 6 11
Emnid 13–19 Dec 2018 1,889 – 29 15 14 9 9 19 5 10
INSA 14–17 Dec 2018 2,077 – 29 15 15 9.5 9.5 18 4 11
Forsa 10–14 Dec 2018 2,507 24 32 15 12 8 8 19 6 13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 11–13 Dec 2018 1,268 – 30 15 15 7 9 19 5 11
Infratest dimap 11–12 Dec 2018 1,048 – 31 15 13 8 8 20 5 11
Emnid 6–12 Dec 2018 1,997 – 30 15 14 8 8 20 5 10
GMS 6–12 Dec 2018 1,005 – 30 14 15 9 9 19 4 11
Allensbach 1–12 Dec 2018 1,295 – 29 16.5 14 8.5 9 19 4 10
INSA 8–10 Dec 2018 2,047 – 29 15 15 10 10 17 4 12
Forsa 7–9 Dec 2018 1,506 22 32 14 13 8 8 19 6 13
Forsa 3–6 Dec 2018 2,006 ? 29 14 13 8 8 22 6 7
Infratest dimap 3–5 Dec 2018 1,502 – 30 14 14 8 8 20 6 10
Emnid 29 Nov–5 Dec 2018 2,469 – 29 15 14 9 9 19 5 10
INSA 30 Nov–3 Dec 2018 2,069 – 27.5 13.5 16 9.5 11 18 4.5 9.5
Civey 24 Nov–3 Dec 2018 10,041 – 26.5 15.0 15.9 9.5 9.4 19.9 3.8 6.6
Forsa 26–30 Nov 2018 2,505 24 27 14 14 9 8 22 6 5
Infratest dimap 27–28 Nov 2018 1,052 – 28 14 15 9 8 21 5 7
Emnid 22–28 Nov 2018 1,531 – 28 15 15 9 9 19 5 9
YouGov 23–27 Nov 2018 1,580 – 27 15 14 9 10 21 4 6
INSA 23–26 Nov 2018 2,062 – 27.5 14 16 8.5 10 19 5 8.5
Forsa 19–23 Nov 2018 2,507 21 27 14 14 9 8 23 5 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 20–22 Nov 2018 1,336 – 27 14 16 8 9 22 4 5
Emnid 15–21 Nov 2018 2,361 – 26 15 15 9 9 21 5 5
INSA 16–19 Nov 2018 2,047 – 25.5 14.5 15.5 9.5 10 20 5 5.5
Forsa 12–16 Nov 2018 2,503 24 28 14 12 9 9 23 5 5
Allensbach 2–15 Nov 2018 1,242 – 28 17 13.5 9.5 9 19 4 9
Infratest dimap 12–14 Nov 2018 1,506 – 26 14 14 8 9 23 6 3
Emnid 8–14 Nov 2018 1,987 – 26 15 15 8 9 21 6 5
INSA 9–12 Nov 2018 2,070 – 25.5 14 16.5 9 10 20 5 5.5
Forsa 5–9 Nov 2018 2,504 23 27 14 13 9 9 23 5 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 6–8 Nov 2018 1,200 – 27 14 14 9 9 22 5 5
Emnid 5–7 Nov 2018 1,518 – 25 15 15 8 9 22 6 3
INSA 2–5 Nov 2018 3,138 – 24.5 13.5 16.5 10 11 19 5.5 5.5
Civey 29 Oct–5 Nov 2018 10,005 – 28.6 15.4 13.0 9.6 9.3 19.4 4.7 9.2
YouGov 28 Oct–4 Nov 2018 1,542 – 25 14 16 10 10 21 4 4
Forsa 29 Oct–2 Nov 2018 2,502 24 27 13 13 9 9 24 5 3
Emnid 25–31 Oct 2018 1,815 – 25 14 15 9 10 21 6 4
INSA 26–29 Oct 2018 2,052 – 25 14 16.5 9.5 11 20 4 5
Forsa 22–26 Oct 2018 2,509 ? 26 14 14 9 10 21 6 5
Emnid 18–24 Oct 2018 1,905 – 24 15 16 10 10 20 5 4
INSA 19–22 Oct 2018 2,061 – 26 15 17 9 10.5 19 3.5 7
Forsa 15–19 Oct 2018 2,502 26 27 14 15 9 9 21 5 6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 16–18 Oct 2018 1,117 – 27 14 16 8 10 20 5 7
Infratest dimap 16–17 Oct 2018 1,040 – 25 14 16 11 9 19 6 6
Emnid 11–17 Oct 2018 1,609 – 25 15 15 10 10 19 6 6
INSA 12–15 Oct 2018 2,061 – 26.5 15 18 9.5 10.5 17 3.5 8.5
Forsa 8–12 Oct 2018 2,504 29 28 16 14 9 9 19 5 9
Allensbach 28 Sep–11 Oct 2018 1,259 – 29 19 15 8.5 9 15 4.5 10
Infratest dimap 8–10 Oct 2018 1,508 – 26 15 16 10 10 17 6 9
Emnid 4–10 Oct 2018 1,899 – 26 17 15 9 11 17 5 9
GMS 4–10 Oct 2018 1,007 – 27 15 18 10 10 16 4 9
INSA 5–8 Oct 2018 2,054 – 26 16 18 10 11 15 4 8
Forsa 1–5 Oct 2018 2,002 29 28 16 14 9 10 18 5 10
Emnid 27 Sep–2 Oct 2018 1,515 – 27 17 16 9 10 16 5 10
INSA 28 Sep–1 Oct 2018 2,041 – 26 16 18.5 10 11.5 14.5 3.5 7.5
Civey 24 Sep–1 Oct 2018 11,904 – 26.7 16.8 16.8 8.6 10.4 15.7 5.0 9.9
Forsa 24–28 Sep 2018 2,501 31 28 16 15 9 10 17 5 11
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 25–27 Sep 2018 1,260 – 28 17 16 8 10 17 4 11
Emnid 20–26 Sep 2018 1,902 – 27 16 17 10 11 15 4 10
GMS 20–26 Sep 2018 1,005 – 27 16 18 9 10 15 5 9
YouGov 21–25 Sep 2018 1,504 – 27 17 18 9 11 14 4 9
INSA 21–24 Sep 2018 2,051 – 27 16 18 10 11.5 14.5 3 9
Forsa 17–21 Sep 2018 2,502 31 28 17 15 9 10 16 5 11
INSA 19 Sep 2018 1,040 – 27.5 16.5 17.5 10 11 14.5 3 10
Infratest dimap 17–19 Sep 2018 1,035 – 28 17 18 9 10 15 3 10
Emnid 13–19 Sep 2018 2,368 – 28 17 16 9 11 14 5 11
INSA 14–17 Sep 2018 2,054 – 28.5 17 17.5 9 10.5 13 4.5 11
Forsa 10–14 Sep 2018 2,507 25 30 18 13 8 10 16 5 12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 11–13 Sep 2018 1,339 – 30 20 15 7 8 16 4 10
Allensbach 1–13 Sep 2018 1,258 – 31.5 19.5 15 8.5 9 12.5 4 12
Emnid 6–12 Sep 2018 1,978 – 30 18 15 9 10 13 5 12
INSA 7–10 Sep 2018 2,042 – 28 17 17.5 9 10.5 13.5 4.5 10.5
GMS 4–10 Sep 2018 1,003 – 29 17 16 9 9 14 6 12
Forsa 3–7 Sep 2018 2,507 27 31 16 14 9 10 15 5 15
Infratest dimap 3–5 Sep 2018 1,502 – 29 18 16 8 10 14 5 11
Emnid 30 Aug–5 Sep 2018 2,472 – 29 17 15 9 10 14 6 12
INSA 31 Aug–3 Sep 2018 2,069 – 28.5 16 17 9.5 10 13.5 5.5 11.5
Forsa 27–31 Aug 2018 2,503 26 30 17 16 8 8 16 5 13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 28–30 Aug 2018 1,216 – 31 18 17 8 8 14 4 13
Emnid 23–29 Aug 2018 2,390 – 30 19 15 9 9 14 4 11
YouGov 24–28 Aug 2018 1,538 – 28 17 17 9 11 13 5 11
INSA 24–27 Aug 2018 2,079 – 28 16.5 16.5 10 10.5 13.5 5 11.5
Forsa 20–24 Aug 2018 2,502 26 30 18 14 8 10 15 5 12
Infratest dimap 20–22 Aug 2018 1,047 – 29 18 17 8 9 14 5 11
Emnid 16–22 Aug 2018 1,891 – 30 18 14 9 9 15 5 12
INSA 16–20 Aug 2018 3,129 – 28 16.5 16 10 12 13.5 4 11.5
Forsa 13–17 Aug 2018 2,503 26 30 18 14 9 10 15 4 12
Emnid 9–15 Aug 2018 2,942 – 30 17 15 9 9 15 5 13
INSA 10–13 Aug 2018 2,034 – 29 17.5 17 9.5 11 12.5 3.5 11.5
Forsa 6–10 Aug 2018 2,505 26 30 18 14 10 9 15 4 12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 7–9 Aug 2018 1,294 – 31 18 16 8 9 15 3 13
Allensbach 27 Jul–9 Aug 2018 1,295 – 31 20 14.5 9 9 12.5 4 11
Emnid 2–8 Aug 2018 2,502 – 31 17 14 8 10 15 5 14
Civey 31 Jul–7 Aug 2018 11,907 – 30.1 17.4 15.8 7.8 9.8 14.0 5.1 12.7
INSA 3–6 Aug 2018 2,096 – 30 17 17 8.5 11 12.5 4 13
Forsa 30 Jul–3 Aug 2018 2,508 26 31 18 14 10 9 13 5 13
Infratest dimap 30 Jul–1 Aug 2018 1,508 – 29 18 17 7 9 15 5 11
Emnid 26 Jul–1 Aug 2018 2,478 – 30 18 15 8 9 15 5 12
GMS 25–31 Jul 2018 1,005 – 30 17 16 10 10 13 4 13
INSA 27–30 Jul 2018 2,074 – 29 18 17.5 9 10.5 12 4 11
Forsa 23–27 Jul 2018 2,505 25 32 18 14 9 9 13 5 14
Infratest dimap 24–25 Jul 2018 1,047 – 30 18 16 8 8 15 5 12
Emnid 19–25 Jul 2018 2,001 – 29 18 15 9 10 14 5 11
YouGov 20–24 Jul 2018 1,520 – 30 17 17 9 11 12 4 13
INSA 20–23 Jul 2018 2,056 – 29 18 17.5 9 10.5 12 4 11
Forsa 16–20 Jul 2018 2,505 25 31 18 15 8 10 13 5 13
Emnid 12–18 Jul 2018 2,476 – 30 19 15 9 10 12 5 11
INSA 13–16 Jul 2018 2,084 – 29 17 17.5 9.5 10 13 4 11.5
Forsa 9–13 Jul 2018 2,505 24 31 17 16 9 9 13 5 14
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–12 Jul 2018 1,340 – 31 18 15 7 11 14 4 13
Emnid 5–11 Jul 2018 2,368 – 30 18 16 9 10 12 5 12
Allensbach 1–12 Jul 2018 1,295 – 30.5 20 15 9.5 9 12 4 10.5
GMS 5–11 Jul 2018 1,006 – 30 17 17 9 10 12 5 13
INSA 6–9 Jul 2018 2,061 – 29 17 17.5 9.5 11 12 4 11.5
Forsa 2–6 Jul 2018 2,502 24 30 17 16 10 9 13 5 13
Infratest dimap 3–4 Jul 2018 1,505 – 30 18 16 8 9 14 5 12
Emnid 28 Jun–4 Jul 2018 1,894 – 30 17 17 9 9 12 6 13
INSA 29 Jun–2 Jul 2018 2,089 – 29 19 16.5 9 11 12 3.5 10
Forsa 25–29 Jun 2018 2,508 24 31 17 15 10 10 12 5 14
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 25–28 Jun 2018 1,290 – 32 18 14 9 10 14 3 14
Emnid 21–28 Jun 2018 1,954 – 32 19 14 9 9 12 5 13
Infratest dimap 25–26 Jun 2018 1,025 – 32 19 14 8 9 13 5 13
YouGov 22–26 Jun 2018 1,525 – 30 17 16 10 11 12 4 13
Civey 19–26 Jun 2018 10,033 – 29.8 17.7 16.1 8.7 10.1 12.7 4.9 12.1
INSA 22–25 Jun 2018 2,036 – 29 19.5 16 9 11 11 4.5 9.5
Forsa 18–22 Jun 2018 2,503 24 30 17 15 9 10 13 6 13
Emnid 14–20 Jun 2018 2,336 – 31 18 16 9 10 12 4 13
INSA 15–18 Jun 2018 2,060 – 29 19 16 8 12 11 5 10
Forsa 14–15 Jun 2018 1,001 26 30 16 15 10 9 14 6 14
Forsa 11–13 Jun 2018 1,501 23 34 18 13 9 8 12 6 16
Infratest dimap 11–13 Jun 2018 1,506 – 31 18 15 8 10 13 5 13
Emnid 7–13 Jun 2018 2,310 – 33 18 15 8 11 11 4 15
Allensbach 1–13 Jun 2018 1,279 – 33 21 13 9.5 9.5 11 3 12
INSA 8–11 Jun 2018 2,038 – 31 17 16 8 12 11 5 14
Forsa 4–8 Jun 2018 2,504 23 33 18 13 9 10 12 5 15
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 5–7 Jun 2018 1,284 – 33 20 13 8 10 13 3 13
Emnid 30 May–6 Jun 2018 1,950 – 32 19 14 8 11 12 4 13
INSA 1–4 Jun 2018 2,067 – 32 17 16 8 11.5 11 4.5 15
Forsa 28 May–1 Jun 2018 2,506 25 34 18 13 8 10 12 5 16
YouGov 25–29 May 2018 1,556 – 33 17 16 9 11 11 3 16
Emnid 24–29 May 2018 1,397 – 32 18 15 7 11 13 4 14
Civey 22–29 May 2018 11,925 – 32.2 16.6 15.2 9.2 10.2 12.0 4.6 15.6
INSA 25–28 May 2018 2,062 – 32 17 15.5 8 12 11.5 4 15
Forsa 22–25 May 2018 2,002 24 33 18 13 8 10 13 5 15
Emnid 17–23 May 2018 1,946 – 33 17 14 8 11 13 4 16
INSA 18–22 May 2018 2,044 – 32.5 16.5 15.5 8 11 11.5 5 16
Forsa 14–18 May 2018 2,502 23 33 18 13 9 9 12 6 15
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 15–17 May 2018 1,200 – 34 20 14 8 9 12 3 14
Infratest dimap 14–16 May 2018 1,009 – 33 17 14 8 10 13 5 16
GMS 11–16 May 2018 1,003 – 34 16 14 9 10 12 5 18
Emnid 9–16 May 2018 2,030 – 33 17 14 9 10 13 4 16
INSA 11–14 May 2018 2,098 – 32.5 17 15.5 8 11 11.5 4.5 15.5
Forsa 7–11 May 2018 2,004 23 34 17 13 8 10 13 5 17
Infratest dimap 7–8 May 2018 1,507 – 32 18 15 8 9 13 5 14
Emnid 3–8 May 2018 1,489 – 33 17 14 9 10 12 5 16
Allensbach 24 Apr–8 May 2018 1,253 – 34 20 11.5 9 10 11 4.5 14
INSA 4–7 May 2018 2,065 – 32.5 17 15.5 8.5 10.5 11.5 4.5 15.5
Forsa 30 Apr–4 May 2018 2,003 21 34 18 13 9 10 11 5 16
Emnid 26 Apr–2 May 2018 1,507 – 34 17 14 8 10 12 5 17
INSA 27–30 Apr 2018 2,097 – 33 17 15.5 9 10.5 11.5 3.5 16
Forsa 23–27 Apr 2018 2,507 22 34 17 12 9 10 13 5 17
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 24–26 Apr 2018 1,285 – 34 20 13 7 10 13 3 14
GMS 20–26 Apr 2018 1,005 – 33 17 13 9 11 12 5 16
Emnid 19–25 Apr 2018 2,350 – 32 18 14 9 11 12 4 14
YouGov 20–24 Apr 2018 1,573 – 32 18 15 9 10 12 4 15
INSA 20–23 Apr 2018 2,091 – 31.5 18 15.5 9.5 10.5 12 3 13.5
Forsa 16–20 Apr 2018 2,503 22 34 18 12 9 10 13 4 16
Infratest dimap 16–18 Apr 2018 1,039 – 32 17 15 10 10 12 4 15
Emnid 12–18 Apr 2018 2,437 – 33 18 13 9 11 12 4 15
Allensbach 3–17 Apr 2018 1,279 – 34 20.5 12 10 9 11 3.5 13.5
INSA 13–16 Apr 2018 2,054 – 31.5 18.5 15 9 11 11.5 3.5 13
Forsa 9–13 Apr 2018 2,506 23 34 19 12 9 10 12 4 15
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 10–12 Apr 2018 1,159 – 33 19 13 8 9 14 4 14
Emnid 5–11 Apr 2018 1,786 – 33 18 14 9 11 11 4 15
INSA 6–9 Apr 2018 2,048 – 31.5 17.5 15.5 9 12 11.5 3 14
Forsa 3–6 Apr 2018 2,005 23 32 20 13 9 10 11 5 12
Emnid 29 Mar–5 Apr 2018 1,414 – 34 17 13 8 11 12 5 17
Infratest dimap 3–4 Apr 2018 1,503 – 33 18 14 9 10 12 4 15
pollytix 23 Mar–4 Apr 2018 1,386 – 30 19 15 10 11 10 5 11
INSA 29–31 Mar 2018 1,074 – 32 18 15 10 12 10 3 14
Forsa 26–29 Mar 2018 2,003 23 33 18 13 9 10 12 5 15
Emnid 22–28 Mar 2018 1,982 – 34 18 12 8 11 12 5 16
YouGov 23–27 Mar 2018 1,579 – 34 17 15 8 11 11 4 17
Civey 20–27 Mar 2018 11,868 – 31.2 17.2 15.4 9.3 10.5 11.9 4.5 14.0
INSA 23–26 Mar 2018 2,051 – 32.5 17 15 10 12 10.5 3 15.5
Forsa 19–23 Mar 2018 2,502 23 31 19 14 9 11 12 4 12
Infratest dimap 20–21 Mar 2018 1,038 – 33 19 13 9 10 12 4 14
GMS 16–21 Mar 2018 1,003 – 33 18 13 10 10 11 5 15
Emnid 15–21 Mar 2018 1,972 – 34 18 13 9 10 12 4 16
INSA 16–19 Mar 2018 2,066 – 32 17.5 15 10 12 10.5 3 14.5
Forsa 12–16 Mar 2018 2,502 25 34 19 13 8 10 11 5 15
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 13–15 Mar 2018 1,214 – 32 19 13 9 11 12 4 13
Allensbach 2–15 Mar 2018 1,256 – 34 19 12.5 10 10 11 3.5 15
Emnid 8–14 Mar 2018 1,959 – 33 19 14 9 10 11 4 14
INSA 9–12 Mar 2018 2,033 – 32 17.5 15 9.5 12 11 3 14.5
Forsa 5–9 Mar 2018 2,507 24 34 18 12 9 10 13 4 16
Emnid 1–7 Mar 2018 1,869 – 33 19 13 8 10 12 5 14
INSA 5 Mar 2018 1,052 – 33 15 15 10 12 12 3 18
Forsa 4–5 Mar 2018 1,502 26 34 19 13 9 9 12 4 15
Forsa 26 Feb–2 Mar 2018 2,505 25 35 18 13 9 9 12 4 17
Infratest dimap 26–28 Feb 2018 1,502 – 34 18 15 9 9 11 4 16
YouGov 26–28 Feb 2018 1,585 – 32 16 16 8 12 12 4 16
Emnid 22–28 Feb 2018 1,890 – 33 16 15 9 11 12 4 17
Civey 20–27 Feb 2018 11,878 – 33.7 18.1 12.1 8.1 10.4 12.6 5.0 15.6
INSA 23–26 Feb 2018 1,063 – 32.5 15.5 16 9 12 12 3 16.5
Forsa 19–23 Feb 2018 2,506 25 35 18 13 9 9 12 4 17
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 20–22 Feb 2018 1,360 – 33 17 14 8 11 12 5 16
Infratest dimap 20–21 Feb 2018 1,052 – 34 17 14 9 10 12 4 17
Emnid 15–21 Feb 2018 1,985 – 33 17 15 10 11 11 3 16
Civey 13–20 Feb 2018 11,909 – 32.2 16.5 14.6 9.4 10.0 12.5 4.8 15.7
INSA 16–19 Feb 2018 2,040 – 32 15.5 16 9 11 13 3.5 16
Forsa 12–16 Feb 2018 2,501 24 34 16 13 9 10 13 5 18
Infratest dimap 13–15 Feb 2018 1,001 – 33 16 15 9 11 13 3 17
Allensbach 2–15 Feb 2018 1,271 – 32 17.5 13 11 9.5 12 5 14.5
Emnid 8–14 Feb 2018 1,478 – 33 19 14 9 10 11 4 14
Civey 9–13 Feb 2018 11,841 – 33.3 16.4 13.2 9.3 10.2 12.8 4.8 16.9
INSA 9–12 Feb 2018 2,608 – 29.5 16.5 15 10.5 11.5 13 4 13
Forsa 5–9 Feb 2018 ? ? 31 17 13 10 10 13 5 14
Forsa 7–8 Feb 2018 1,003 – 31 18 13 10 10 13 5 13
Emnid 1–7 Feb 2018 1,226 – 34 20 12 9 9 11 5 14
GMS 1–7 Feb 2018 1,007 – 32 18 14 9 9 13 5 14
INSA 2–5 Feb 2018 2,034 – 30.5 17 15 10 11 12.5 4 13.5
Forsa 29 Jan–2 Feb 2018 2,507 24 33 18 13 9 9 13 5 15
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 30 Jan–1 Feb 2018 1,302 – 31 19 14 7 11 14 4 12
Infratest dimap 29–31 Jan 2018 1,502 – 33 18 14 10 11 11 3 15
Emnid 25–31 Jan 2018 1,247 – 33 20 13 9 10 11 4 13
INSA 26–29 Jan 2018 2,073 – 33.5 17.5 14 9 11 11 4 16
Forsa 22–26 Jan 2018 2,505 25 34 18 12 9 10 12 5 16
Infratest dimap 22–24 Jan 2018 1,043 – 33 19 12 10 10 11 5 14
Emnid 18–24 Jan 2018 1,513 – 34 20 12 8 10 11 5 14
YouGov 19–23 Jan 2018 1,566 – 34 19 14 8 11 10 4 15
Forsa 22 Jan 2018 1,282 – 34 17 13 8 11 12 5 17
INSA 22 Jan 2018 1,169 – 31.5 18 14 10 11 10 5.5 13.5
Forsa 15–19 Jan 2018 2,501 23 34 18 12 8 10 12 6 16
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 16–18 Jan 2018 1,332 – 33 20 12 8 10 12 5 13
Allensbach 5–18 Jan 2018 1,221 – 34 21 12 10 8.5 10.5 4 13
Forsa 15–17 Jan 2018 1,504 – 34 18 12 8 10 12 6 16
Emnid 11–17 Jan 2018 1,419 – 33 21 13 8 10 10 5 12
INSA 12–15 Jan 2018 2,000 – 31.5 18.5 14 9.5 11.5 10 5 13
Forsa 8–12 Jan 2018 2,501 22 33 20 11 9 9 12 6 13
Emnid 4–10 Jan 2018 1,899 – 34 21 13 8 9 11 4 13
INSA 5–8 Jan 2018 2,028 – 31.5 19.5 13.5 10 11 10 4.5 12
Civey 11 Dec 2017–8 Jan 2018 11,880 – 31.1 19.3 14.5 9.3 9.9 11.1 4.8 11.8
Forsa 2–5 Jan 2018 2,503 22 34 20 10 9 9 12 6 14
Infratest dimap 2–3 Jan 2018 1,506 – 33 21 13 9 9 11 4 12
Emnid 21 Dec 2017–3 Jan 2018 1,440 – 33 20 12 9 9 12 5 13
INSA 29 Dec 2017–2 Jan 2018 2,012 – 32.5 19.5 13 10 11 10 4 13
GMS 27 Dec 2017–2 Jan 2018 1,005 – 32 20 14 9 10 11 4 12

2017
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Abs. Union SPD AfD FDP Linke Grüne Others Lead
YouGov 25–27 Dec 2017 1,489 – 33 21 13 9 10 10 4 12
INSA 21–22 Dec 2017 2,203 – 33 20.5 13 10.5 10 9.5 3.5 12.5
Forsa 18–22 Dec 2017 2,504 21 34 19 12 8 10 12 5 15
Emnid 14–20 Dec 2017 1,861 – 33 21 12 8 10 11 5 12
INSA 15–18 Dec 2017 2,031 – 31 21 14 9 11 10 4 10
Forsa 11–15 Dec 2017 2,501 21 33 20 12 8 10 12 5 13
Allensbach 1–14 Dec 2017 1,443 – 34 21 11 10 9 11.5 3.5 13
Infratest dimap 11–13 Dec 2017 1,029 – 32 20 13 9 9 12 5 12
Emnid 7–13 Dec 2017 1,865 – 32 22 13 8 9 11 5 10
INSA 8–11 Dec 2017 2,013 – 31 22 13.5 9 10.5 10.5 3.5 9
Forsa 9–10 Dec 2017 1,566 – 34 20 11 8 9 12 6 14
Forsa 4–8 Dec 2017 2,500 22 34 20 11 8 9 12 6 14
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 5–7 Dec 2017 1,353 – 32 23 12 8 9 12 4 9
Infratest dimap 4–6 Dec 2017 1,504 – 32 21 13 9 10 11 4 11
Emnid 30 Nov–6 Dec 2017 1,880 – 33 21 12 9 10 11 4 12
Civey 30 Nov–5 Dec 2017 11,936 – 31.5 20.4 11.3 11.9 9.2 11.0 4.7 11.1
INSA 1–4 Dec 2017 2,063 – 31 22 13 10 11 10 3 9
GMS 28 Nov–1 Dec 2017 1,010 – 32 21 13 10 10 10 4 11
Forsa 27 Nov–1 Dec 2017 2,502 23 34 20 10 8 9 13 6 14
Emnid 23–29 Nov 2017 1,888 – 33 21 12 9 10 10 5 12
YouGov 24–28 Nov 2017 1,570 – 32 21 13 9 10 10 5 11
Civey 21–28 Nov 2017 10,024 – 31.7 20.4 10.6 13.1 8.9 11.0 4.3 11.3
INSA 24–27 Nov 2017 2,003 – 32 22 13 10 10 10 3 10
Allensbach 22–27 Nov 2017 1,299 – 33 21.5 11 10 9 11 4.5 11.5
Forsa 20–24 Nov 2017 2,508 24 33 19 11 10 9 12 6 14
Emnid 20–23 Nov 2017 1,225 – 33 22 11 9 10 10 5 11
INSA 21–22 Nov 2017 1,069 – 32 21 12 12 10 10 3 11
Civey 20–21 Nov 2017 5,044 – 29.2 19.5 13.6 13.2 8.4 11.9 4.1 9.7
Forsa 20 Nov 2017 1,789 – 31 21 12 10 9 12 5 10
Infratest dimap 20 Nov 2017 1,011 – 32 22 11 10 10 11 4 10
INSA 20 Nov 2017 1,034 – 30 21 14 11 11 10 3 9
INSA 17–19 Nov 2017 2,027 – 31 21 14 10 11.5 9.5 3 10
Forsa 13–17 Nov 2017 2,505 21 32 20 12 12 8 11 5 12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 14–16 Nov 2017 1,303 – 33 21 11 10 9 12 4 12
Infratest dimap 10–15 Nov 2017 1,382 – 31 21 12 11 10 11 4 10
Emnid 9–15 Nov 2017 1,842 – 31 21 13 10 9 11 5 10
INSA 10–13 Nov 2017 2,049 – 32 20 13.5 10.5 10.5 9 4.5 12
Forsa 6–10 Nov 2017 2,506 21 32 20 12 12 9 10 5 12
Infratest dimap 6–8 Nov 2017 1,505 – 30 21 13 12 9 11 4 9
Emnid 2–8 Nov 2017 1,392 – 30 22 13 11 10 10 4 8
INSA 3–6 Nov 2017 2,023 – 31 22 13.5 10.5 10.5 8.5 4 9
Civey 27 Oct–6 Nov 2017 10,012 – 31.0 20.4 13.7 11.0 9.4 10.2 4.3 10.6
Forsa 30 Oct–3 Nov 2017 2,005 22 32 21 12 11 9 10 5 11
Emnid 26–30 Oct 2017 1,476 – 31 21 12 10 10 11 5 10
INSA 27–28 Oct 2017 1,024 – 31 21 13 11 10 10 4 10
Forsa 23–27 Oct 2017 2,500 23 33 20 11 11 9 11 5 13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 24–26 Oct 2017 1,325 – 33 21 12 10 9 11 4 12
Emnid 19–25 Oct 2017 2,296 – 31 22 12 11 9 10 5 9
INSA 23 Oct 2017 1,002 – 33 21 13 10 10 9 4 12
Forsa 16–20 Oct 2017 2,503 25 31 22 11 11 10 10 5 9
Allensbach 7–19 Oct 2017 1,454 – 33 20.5 12 12 9 9.5 4 12.5
Infratest dimap 16–18 Oct 2017 1,026 – 31 21 12 12 9 11 4 10
Emnid 12–18 Oct 2017 2,304 – 32 21 12 11 9 10 5 11
GMS 12–18 Oct 2017 1,005 – 31 21 13 12 10 9 4 10
INSA 13–16 Oct 2017 2,011 – 32 21.5 13 10 9 9.5 5 10.5
Forsa 9–13 Oct 2017 2,501 25 32 20 12 11 9 11 5 12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 10–12 Oct 2017 1,180 – 31 21 12 11 10 11 4 10
Infratest dimap 9–11 Oct 2017 1,506 – 32 20 11 11 10 10 6 12
Emnid 5–11 Oct 2017 1,960 – 31 21 12 11 10 10 5 10
INSA 6–9 Oct 2017 2,015 – 32 22 13 11 9 9 4 10
Forsa 2–6 Oct 2017 2,001 24 32 20 12 11 9 11 5 12
Emnid 28 Sep–4 Oct 2017 1,490 – 32 22 12 10 10 9 5 10
Forsa 25–29 Sep 2017 2,005 25 32 20 12 11 10 10 5 12
INSA 27–28 Sep 2017 1,071 – 31 21 13 12 9 10 4 10
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 26–28 Sep 2017 1,425 – 32 21 12 10 10 11 4 11
Emnid 25–27 Sep 2017 1,038 – 33 21 12 11 10 10 3 12
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 – 23.8 32.9 20.5 12.6 10.7 9.2 8.9 5.0 12.4

CDU and CSU
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 CDU SPD AfD FDP Linke Grüne CSU Others Lead
INSA 13-16 Sept 2019 2,053 20.4 13.5 16 7.5 7.5 22.5 6.1 6.5 2.1
INSA 6-9 Sept 2019 2,033 21 13.5 15.5 8 7.5 22 6 6.5 1
INSA 30 Aug–2 Sept 2019 2,017 20.2 14.5 15 8.5 7 23.5 5.8 5.5 3.3
INSA 23–26 Aug 2019 2,058 21 13 15 8 8 24 5 6 3
INSA 16–19 Aug 2019 2,056 21.5 13 14.5 9 8 24.5 5 5.5 3
INSA 9–11 Aug 2019 2,060 21.5 12 14.5 9 8 23.5 6 5.5 2
INSA 2–5 Aug 2019 2,049 21 11.5 15 9 9 23.5 6.5 4.5 2.5
INSA 26–29 Jul 2019 2,036 21.5 12.5 14.5 9 8 24.5 5.5 4.5 3
INSA 19–22 Jul 2019 2,081 22.7 12.5 14.5 8 8 22.5 5.8 6 0.2
INSA 12–15 Jul 2019 2,043 20 14 14 9 9 23 6 5 3
INSA 5–8 Jul 2019 2,069 20.8 13.5 14 8 8.5 24 6.2 5 3.2
INSA 28 Jun–1 Jul 2019 2,053 23 13 14 8 8 24 4 6 1
INSA 21–24 Jun 2019 2,078 19.4 12.5 13.5 8.5 9 25.5 6.1 5.5 6.1
INSA 14–17 Jun 2019 2,060 20 13 13.5 9 9 25 5 5.5 5
INSA 7–10 Jun 2019 2,074 18 13 13.5 9 7.5 26.5 6 6.5 8.5
INSA 3 Jun 2019 1,000 21 14 13 8 8 25 5 6 4
INSA 24–27 May 2019 2,039 21 15.5 13.5 9.5 9 19 6.5 6 2
INSA 17–20 May 2019 2,074 22 15.5 14 10 9 18.5 6 5 3.5
INSA 10–13 May 2019 2,044 23.5 16 14 9.5 9 19 5 4 4.5
INSA 3–6 May 2019 2,089 22.5 16 14 9 8.5 20 6 4 2.5
INSA 26–29 Apr 2019 2,005 23 16 14 10 9 19 5 4 4
INSA 18–21 Apr 2019 1,005 24.4 16 14 10 10 17 5.6 3 7.4
INSA 12–15 Apr 2019 2,013 25.1 15.5 14 9 9 18 5.4 4 7.1
INSA 5–8 Apr 2019 2,040 23.5 15.5 14 10 8.5 19 5.5 4 4.5
INSA 28 Mar–1 Apr 2019 4,000 23.5 16.5 13.5 10 8.5 17.5 6 4.5 6
INSA 22–25 Mar 2019 2,012 23.5 15.5 13.5 9 9 17.5 7 5 6
INSA 15–18 Mar 2019 2,030 22.5 16 14.5 9 9 17.5 7 4.5 5
INSA 8–11 Mar 2019 2,005 23.5 15 14.5 10 9 17.5 7 3.5 6
INSA 27 Feb–1 Mar 2019 4,000 23 17 14.5 10 10 15.5 6 4 6
INSA 22–25 Feb 2019 2,048 23.5 18 14 9.5 9 15.5 6 4.5 5.5
INSA 15–18 Feb 2019 2,046 25 18 14 9 9.5 15 5 4.5 7
INSA 8–11 Feb 2019 2,051 24 15.5 14 8.5 10.5 18.5 6 3.5 5.5
INSA 1–4 Feb 2019 2,034 24 14.5 14 8.5 10.5 18.5 6 4 5.5
INSA 25–28 Jan 2019 2,056 24 15 14 9 10 18 6 4 6
INSA 18–21 Jan 2019 2,044 25 13.5 13 9.5 9.5 19.5 6 4 5.5
INSA 11–14 Jan 2019 2,028 22.5 14.5 14.5 9.5 10.5 18 6.5 4 4.5
INSA 5–7 Jan 2019 2,056 23.5 15 15 10 10 17 6.5 3 6.5
INSA 2–3 Jan 2019 1,026 23 15 14 10 10 18 6 4 5
INSA 20–21 Dec 2018 1,029 23 14 15 9 9 19 6 5 4
INSA 14–17 Dec 2018 2,077 23 15 15 9.5 9.5 18 6 4 5
INSA 8–10 Dec 2018 2,047 23 15 15 10 10 17 6 4 6
INSA 30 Nov–3 Dec 2018 2,069 21.5 13.5 16 9.5 11 18 6 4.5 3.5
INSA 23–26 Nov 2018 2,062 22 14 16 8.5 10 19 5.5 5 3
INSA 16–19 Nov 2018 2,047 20 14.5 15.5 9.5 10 20 5.5 5 Tie
INSA 9–12 Nov 2018 2,070 20.5 14 16.5 9 10 20 5 5 0.5
INSA 2–5 Nov 2018 3,138 19 13.5 16.5 10 11 19 5.5 5.5 Tie
INSA 26–29 Oct 2018 2,052 19 14 16.5 9.5 11 20 6 4 1
INSA 19–22 Oct 2018 2,061 21 15 17 9 10.5 19 5 3.5 2
INSA 12–15 Oct 2018 2,061 21 15 18 9.5 10.5 17 5.5 3.5 3
INSA 5–8 Oct 2018 2,054 21 16 18 10 11 15 5 4 3
INSA 28 Sep–1 Oct 2018 2,041 20 16 18.5 10 11.5 14.5 6 3.5 1.5
INSA 21–24 Sep 2018 2,051 23 16 18 10 11.5 14.5 4 3 5
INSA 14–17 Sep 2018 2,054 23.5 17 17.5 9 10.5 13 5 4.5 6
INSA 7–10 Sep 2018 2,042 21 17 17.5 9 10.5 13.5 7 4.5 3.5
INSA 31 Aug–3 Sep 2018 2,069 22.7 16 17 9.5 10 13.5 5.8 5.5 5.7
INSA 24–27 Aug 2018 2,079 23 16.5 16.5 10 10.5 13.5 5 5 6.5
INSA 16–20 Aug 2018 3,129 22 16.5 16 10 12 13.5 6 4 5.5
INSA 10–13 Aug 2018 2,034 22 17.5 17 9.5 11 12.5 7 3.5 4.5
INSA 3–6 Aug 2018 2,096 24 17 17 8.5 11 12.5 6 4 7
INSA 27–30 Jul 2018 2,074 24 18 17.5 9 10.5 12 5 4 6
Forsa 23–27 Jul 2018 2,505 27 18 14 9 9 13 5 5 9
INSA 20–23 Jul 2018 2,056 24 18 17.5 9 10.5 12 5 4 6
Forsa 16–20 Jul 2018 2,505 26 18 15 8 10 13 5 5 8
INSA 13–16 Jul 2018 2,084 23 17 17.5 9.5 10 13 6 4 5.5
Forsa 9–13 Jul 2018 2,505 26 17 16 9 9 13 5 5 9
INSA 6–9 Jul 2018 2,061 24 17 17.5 9.5 11 12 5 4 6.5
INSA 29 Jun–2 Jul 2018 2,089 23 19 16.5 9 11 12 6 3.5 4
Forsa 25–29 Jun 2018 2,508 26 17 15 10 10 12 5 5 9
INSA 22–25 Jun 2018 2,036 23 19.5 16 9 11 11 6 4.5 4
INSA 15–18 Jun 2018 2,060 23 19 16 8 12 11 6 5 4
INSA 8–11 Jun 2018 2,038 24.2 17 16 8 12 11 6.8 5 7.2
INSA 1–4 Jun 2018 2,067 27.0 17 16 8 11.5 11 5.0 4.5 10.0
INSA 25–28 May 2018 2,062 25.6 17 15.5 8 12 11.5 6.4 4 8.6
INSA 18–22 May 2018 2,044 26.9 16.5 15.5 8 11 11.5 5.6 5 10.4
INSA 11–14 May 2018 2,098 26.9 17 15.5 8 11 11.5 5.6 4.5 9.9
INSA 4–7 May 2018 2,065 25.3 17 15.5 8.5 10.5 11.5 7.2 4.5 8.3
INSA 27–30 Apr 2018 2,097 26.7 17 15.5 9 10.5 11.5 6.3 3.5 9.7
INSA 20–23 Apr 2018 2,091 26.0 18 15.5 9.5 10.5 12 5.5 3 8.0
INSA 13–16 Apr 2018 2,054 25.2 18.5 15 9 11 11.5 6.3 3.5 6.7
INSA 6–9 Apr 2018 2,048 27.0 17.5 15.5 9 12 11.5 4.5 3 9.5
INSA 29–31 Mar 2018 1,074 26.7 18 15 10 12 10 5.3 3 8.7
INSA 23–26 Mar 2018 2,051 26.9 17 15 10 12 10.5 5.6 3 9.9
INSA 16–19 Mar 2018 2,066 25.0 17.5 15 10 12 10.5 7.0 3 7.5
INSA 9–12 Mar 2018 2,033 25.9 17.5 15 9.5 12 11 6.1 3 8.4
INSA 5 Mar 2018 1,052 28.5 15 15 10 12 12 4.5 3 13.5
INSA 23–26 Feb 2018 1,063 26.8 15.5 16 9 12 12 5.7 3 10.8
INSA 16–19 Feb 2018 2,040 25.2 15.5 16 9 11 13 6.8 3.5 9.2
INSA 9–12 Feb 2018 2,608 24.1 16.5 15 10.5 11.5 13 5.4 4 7.6
INSA 2–5 Feb 2018 2,034 24.6 17 15 10 11 12.5 5.9 4 7.6
INSA 26–29 Jan 2018 2,073 26.7 17.5 14 9 11 11 6.8 4 9.2
INSA 22 Jan 2018 1,169 25.6 18 14 10 11 10 5.9 5.5 7.6
INSA 12–15 Jan 2018 2,000 25.4 18.5 14 9.5 11.5 10 6.1 5 6.9
INSA 5–8 Jan 2018 2,028 25.2 19.5 13.5 10 11 10 6.3 4.5 5.7
INSA 29 Dec 2017–2 Jan 2018 2,012 26.9 19.5 13 10 11 10 5.6 4 7.4
INSA 21–22 Dec 2017 2,203 26.9 20.5 13 10.5 10 9.5 6.1 4 6.4
INSA 15–18 Dec 2017 2,031 24.8 21 14 9 11 10 6.2 4 3.8
INSA 8–11 Dec 2017 2,013 25.6 22 13.5 9 10.5 10.5 5.4 3 3.6
INSA 1–4 Dec 2017 2,063 25.0 22 13 10 11 10 6.0 3 3.0
INSA 24–27 Nov 2017 2,003 25.2 22 13 10 10 10 6.8 3 3.2
INSA 17–19 Nov 2017 2,027 24.7 21 14 10 11.5 9.5 6.3 3 3.7
INSA 10–13 Nov 2017 2,049 25.7 20 13.5 10.5 10.5 9 6.3 4.5 5.7
INSA 3–6 Nov 2017 2,023 24.6 22 13.5 10.5 10.5 8.5 6.4 4 2.6
INSA 27–28 Oct 2017 1,024 25.7 21 13 11 10 10 5.3 4 4.7
INSA 23 Oct 2017 1,002 28.1 21 13 10 10 9 4.9 4 7.1
INSA 13–16 Oct 2017 2,011 26.7 21.5 13 10 9 9.5 5.3 5 5.2
INSA 6–9 Oct 2017 2,015 25.7 22 13 11 9 9 6.3 4 3.7
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 – 26.8 20.5 12.6 10.7 9.2 8.9 6.2 5.0 6.3

CDU vs. CSU
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 CDU SPD AfD FDP Linke Grüne CSU Others Lead
INSA 8–11 Jun 2018 2,038 22 17 11 6 12 10 18 4 4
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 – 26.8 20.5 12.6 10.7 9.2 8.9 6.2 5.0 6.3

By state

Baden-Württemberg
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 CDU SPD Grüne FDP AfD Linke Others Lead
Forsa 29 Jan–1 Feb 2019 1,007 33 10 24 10 12 6 5 9
Forsa 8–22 Feb 2018 1,003 35 13 17 11 12 8 4 18
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 – 34.4 16.4 13.5 12.7 12.2 6.4 4.5 18.0

Bavaria
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 CSU SPD AfD FDP Grüne Linke FW Others Lead
GMS 27 Nov–2 Dec 2019 1,003 35 10 13 8 21 5 3 5 14
GMS 18–24 Jun 2019 1,005 36 9 11 9 24 4 4 3 12
INSA 25–27 Jun 2018 1,231 37 14 16 7 13 5 4 4 21
Forsa 21–22 Jun 2018 1,033 36 13 15 9 14 7 – 6 21
Forsa 8–22 Feb 2018 1,027 40 13 12 8 14 6 ? 7 26
GMS 1–9 Feb 2018 1,510 39 14 14 8 12 5 3 5 25
GMS 27 Dec 2017–1 Jan 2018 1,007 38 15 14 9 10 5 4 5 23
INSA 12–13 Dec 2017 1,003 37 15 13 9 12 6 4 4 22
GMS 27–29 Nov 2017 1,006 36 15 14 9 11 6 4 5 21
Forsa 6–9 Nov 2017 1,017 36 15 13 11 12 6 – 7 21
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 – 38.8 15.3 12.4 10.2 9.8 6.1 2.7 4.8 23.5

Berlin
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 CDU Linke SPD Grüne AfD FDP Others Lead
Forsa 29 Jan–6 Feb 2020 1,001 21 16 12 26 10 6 9 5
Forsa 12–19 Dec 2019 1,005 21 16 13 24 10 7 9 3
Forsa 21–26 Nov 2019 1,006 20 16 14 24 11 7 8 4
Forsa 22–31 Oct 2019 1,002 22 15 13 24 11 6 9 2
Forsa 17–26 Sep 2019 1,002 22 15 13 24 11 7 8 2
Forsa 20–29 Aug 2019 1,003 22 17 14 24 10 7 8 2
Forsa 17–25 Jul 2019 1,001 22 17 14 24 10 6 7 2
Forsa 17–27 Jun 2019 1,004 21 16 14 24 11 7 7 3
Forsa 20–27 May 2019 1,006 19 16 14 25 12 7 7 6
Forsa 16–25 Apr 2019 1,005 20 16 14 24 13 7 6 4
Forsa 19–28 Mar 2019 1,003 21 16 13 24 12 8 6 3
Forsa 20–28 Feb 2019 1,001 24 15 13 23 12 7 6 1
Forsa 22–31 Jan 2019 1,002 23 17 12 23 12 7 6 Tie
Forsa 11–19 Dec 2018 1,009 21 16 13 23 14 8 5 2
Forsa 19–29 Nov 2018 1,003 19 17 12 25 15 8 4 6
Forsa Oct 2018 1,005 18 18 12 26 14 8 4 8
Forsa 19–27 Sep 2018 1,005 19 20 14 22 15 7 3 2
Forsa 21–30 Aug 2018 1,004 21 19 15 20 15 6 4 1
Forsa 16–26 Jul 2018 1,009 21 20 15 18 15 7 4 1
Forsa 20–28 Jun 2018 1,009 21 19 17 18 13 8 4 2
Forsa 22–31 May 2018 1,004 23 19 16 18 12 8 4 4
Forsa 17–26 Apr 2018 1,001 23 19 17 16 12 8 5 4
Forsa 19–28 Mar 2018 1,003 23 20 17 15 13 8 4 3
Forsa 12–22 Feb 2018 1,006 25 19 17 15 11 8 5 6
Forsa 15–25 Jan 2018 1,008 24 19 18 15 11 7 6 5
Forsa 12–21 Dec 2017 1,002 24 19 18 15 11 6 7 5
Forsa 13–23 Nov 2017 1,002 23 18 19 14 11 8 7 4
Forsa 17–26 Oct 2017 1,011 23 18 20 13 11 9 6 3
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 – 22.7 18.8 17.9 12.6 12.0 8.9 7.1 3.9

Brandenburg
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 CDU AfD SPD Linke FDP Grüne Others Lead
Forsa 17–20 Dec 2018 1,005 23 20 12 18 7 14 6 3
Forsa 7–9 Nov 2017 1,002 26 20 16 19 8 6 5 6
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 – 26.7 20.2 17.6 17.2 7.1 5.0 6.3 6.5

Hamburg
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 CDU SPD Grüne Linke FDP AfD Others Lead
Forsa 18 Dec 2019–6 Jan 2020 1,069 21 16 29 11 8 9 6 8
Universität Hamburg 6 Jan–2 Mar 2019 1,069 20 24 32 8 10 3 3 8
Forsa 27 Dec 2018–3 Jan 2019 1,004 22 17 26 11 10 9 5 4
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 – 27.2 23.5 13.9 12.2 10.8 7.8 4.5 3.7

Hesse
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 CDU SPD AfD FDP Grüne Linke Others Lead
Forsa 8–22 Feb 2018 1,035 31 19 10 12 14 10 4 12
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 – 30.9 23.5 11.9 11.5 9.7 8.1 4.4 7.3

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 CDU AfD Linke SPD FDP Grüne Others Lead
Forsa 2–10 Jan 2020 1,002 27 20 16 8 6 14 9 7
Forsa 18–23 Sep 2019 1,002 28 21 14 10 6 14 7 7
Forsa 4–11 Jan 2019 1,007 32 20 16 11 5 11 5 12
Forsa 24–28 Jun 2018 1,002 30 21 19 12 5 8 5 9
Forsa 2–11 Jan 2018 1,001 33 18 18 15 5 6 5 15
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 – 33.1 18.6 17.8 15.1 6.2 4.3 4.9 14.5

Lower Saxony
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 CDU SPD FDP AfD Grüne Linke Others Lead
Forsa 1–8 Feb 2019 1,010 33 19 8 9 19 7 5 14
Forsa 8–22 Feb 2018 1,004 36 24 9 8 12 7 4 12
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 – 34.9 27.4 9.3 9.1 8.7 7.0 3.6 7.5

North Rhine-Westphalia
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 CDU SPD FDP AfD Grüne Linke Others Lead
Forsa 1–16 Aug 2019 1,505 27 17 10 9 25 6 6 2
Forsa 8–22 Feb 2018 1,015 34 21 11 9 11 8 6 13
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 – 32.6 26.0 13.1 9.4 7.6 7.5 3.8 6.7

Rhineland-Palatinate
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 CDU SPD AfD FDP Grüne Linke Others Lead
Forsa 1–8 Feb 2019 1,005 34 16 10 10 18 7 5 16
Infratest dimap 5–7 Mar 2018 1,001 34 23 12 9 12 7 3 11
Infratest dimap 8–12 Dec 2017 1,003 39 24 9 8 12 5 3 15
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 – 35.9 24.1 11.2 10.4 7.6 6.8 3.9 11.7

Preferred Chancellor

Kramp-Karrenbauer–Nahles
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Kramp-Karrenbauer
Union		 Nahles
SPD		 Neither
Forsa 27–31 May 2019 2,001 24 13 63
Forsa 20–24 May 2019 2,500 30 13 57
Forsa 13–17 May 2019 2,503 31 13 56
Forsa 6–10 May 2019 2,502 31 12 57
Forsa 29 Apr–3 May 2019 2,002 31 11 58
Forsa 23–26 Apr 2019 2,001 30 13 57
Forsa 15–18 Apr 2019 2,004 30 13 57
Forsa 8–12 Apr 2019 2,501 32 14 54
Forsa 1–5 Apr 2019 2,501 34 17 49
Forsa 25–29 Mar 2019 2,504 33 15 52
Forsa 18–22 Mar 2019 2,501 36 15 49
Forsa 11–15 Mar 2019 2,505 41 15 44
Forsa 4–8 Mar 2019 2,501 42 14 44
Forsa 25 Feb–1 Mar 2019 2,502 44 12 44
Forsa 18–22 Feb 2019 2,501 45 13 42
Forsa 11–15 Feb 2019 2,501 46 14 40
Forsa 21–25 Jan 2019 2,501 47 13 40
Forsa 14–18 Jan 2019 2,503 46 12 42
Forsa 7–11 Jan 2019 2,504 47 12 41
Forsa 2–4 Jan 2019 1,503 47 11 42
Forsa 17–21 Dec 2018 2,504 47 12 41
Forsa 10–14 Dec 2018 2,507 48 12 40
Forsa 3–6 Dec 2018 2,006 50 14 36
Forsa 12–16 Nov 2018 2,503 48 15 37

Kramp-Karrenbauer–Scholz
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Kramp-Karrenbauer
Union		 Scholz
SPD		 Neither
Forsa 24–28 Jun 2019 2,501 20 27 53
Forsa 17–21 Jun 2019 2,500 18 28 54
Forsa 11–14 Jun 2019 2,001 19 27 54
Forsa 3–7 Jun 2019 2,501 19 28 53
Forsa 27–31 May 2019 2,001 21 26 53
Forsa 20–24 May 2019 2,500 26 25 49
Forsa 13–17 May 2019 2,503 26 25 49
Forsa 6–10 May 2019 2,502 25 23 52
Forsa 29 Apr–3 May 2019 2,002 27 21 52
Forsa 23–26 Apr 2019 2,001 26 23 51
Forsa 15–18 Apr 2019 2,004 26 24 50
Forsa 8–12 Apr 2019 2,501 28 25 47
Forsa 1–5 Apr 2019 2,501 29 26 45
Forsa 25–29 Mar 2019 2,504 28 25 47
Forsa 18–22 Mar 2019 2,501 31 24 45
Forsa 11–15 Mar 2019 2,505 37 24 39
Forsa 4–8 Mar 2019 2,501 38 22 40
Forsa 25 Feb–1 Mar 2019 2,502 40 21 39
Forsa 18–22 Feb 2019 2,501 40 20 40
Forsa 11–15 Feb 2019 2,501 41 21 38
Forsa 21–25 Jan 2019 2,501 42 22 36
Forsa 14–18 Jan 2019 2,503 42 22 36
Forsa 7–11 Jan 2019 2,504 42 23 35
Forsa 2–4 Jan 2019 1,503 44 21 35
Forsa 17–21 Dec 2018 2,504 43 21 36
Forsa 10–14 Dec 2018 2,507 43 20 37
Forsa 3–6 Dec 2018 2,006 43 21 36
Forsa 12–16 Nov 2018 2,503 41 26 33

Kramp-Karrenbauer–Habeck
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Kramp-Karrenbauer
Union		 Habeck
Grüne		 Neither
Forsa 24–28 Jun 2019 2,501 20 34 46
Forsa 17–21 Jun 2019 2,500 18 34 48
Forsa 11–14 Jun 2019 2,001 19 33 48
Emnid 13 Jun 2019 504 24 51 19
Forsa 3–7 Jun 2019 2,501 21 34 45
Emnid 6 Jun 2019 502 36 40 24
Civey 3–4 Jun 2019 5,071 21 43 34
Forsa 8–12 Apr 2019 2,501 28 25 47

Laschet–Habeck
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Laschet
Union		 Habeck
Grüne		 Neither
Emnid 13 Jun 2019 504 29 40 20

Merz–Habeck
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Merz
Union		 Habeck
Grüne		 Neither
Emnid 13 Jun 2019 504 33 39 18

Scholz–Habeck
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Scholz
SPD		 Habeck
Grüne		 Neither
Forsa 24–28 Jun 2019 2,501 21 30 49
Forsa 17–21 Jun 2019 2,500 21 30 49
Forsa 11–14 Jun 2019 2,001 22 28 50
Forsa 3–7 Jun 2019 2,501 23 28 49

Kramp-Karrenbauer–Schulz
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Kramp-Karrenbauer
Union		 Schulz
SPD		 Neither
Forsa 10–14 Dec 2018 2,507 48 16 36

Kramp-Karrenbauer–Gabriel
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Kramp-Karrenbauer
Union		 Gabriel
SPD		 Neither
Forsa 10–14 Dec 2018 2,507 43 21 36

Merz–Nahles
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Merz
Union		 Nahles
SPD		 Neither
Forsa 3–6 Dec 2018 2,006 33 24 43
Forsa 26–30 Nov 2018 2,505 34 25 41
Forsa 12–16 Nov 2018 2,503 36 23 41
Forsa 29 Oct–2 Nov 2018 2,502 37 13 50

Merz–Scholz
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Merz
Union		 Scholz
SPD		 Neither
Forsa 3–6 Dec 2018 2,006 29 35 36
Forsa 26–30 Nov 2018 2,505 29 34 37
Forsa 12–16 Nov 2018 2,503 32 36 32
Forsa 29 Oct–2 Nov 2018 2,502 31 28 41

Spahn–Nahles
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Spahn
Union		 Nahles
SPD		 Neither
Forsa 12–16 Nov 2018 2,503 19 14 67

Spahn–Scholz
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Spahn
Union		 Scholz
SPD		 Neither
Forsa 12–16 Nov 2018 2,503 14 32 54

Merkel–Nahles
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Merkel
Union		 Nahles
SPD		 Neither
Forsa 26–30 Nov 2018 2,505 46 11 43
Forsa 19–23 Nov 2018 2,507 47 10 43
Forsa 12–16 Nov 2018 2,503 47 11 42
Forsa 5–9 Nov 2018 2,504 45 11 44
Forsa 29 Oct–2 Nov 2018 2,502 45 10 45
Forsa 22–26 Oct 2018 2,509 43 10 47
Forsa 15–19 Oct 2018 2,502 43 10 47
Forsa 8–12 Oct 2018 2,504 43 12 45
Forsa 1–5 Oct 2018 2,002 43 13 44
Forsa 24–28 Sep 2018 2,501 43 13 44
Forsa 17–21 Sep 2018 2,502 44 13 43
Forsa 10–14 Sep 2018 2,507 46 14 40
Forsa 3–7 Sep 2018 2,507 46 13 41
Forsa 27–31 Aug 2018 2,503 47 13 40
Forsa 20–24 Aug 2018 2,502 47 13 40
Forsa 13–17 Aug 2018 2,503 47 14 39
Forsa 6–10 Aug 2018 2,505 46 14 40
Forsa 30 Jul–3 Aug 2018 2,508 48 14 38
Forsa 23–27 Jul 2018 2,505 49 14 37
Forsa 16–20 Jul 2018 2,505 48 13 39
Forsa 9–13 Jul 2018 2,505 48 12 40
Forsa 2–6 Jul 2018 2,502 46 14 40
Forsa 18–22 Jun 2018 2,503 46 15 39
Forsa 11–15 Jun 2018 2,502 46 13 41
Forsa 4–8 Jun 2018 2,504 49 14 37
Forsa 28 May–1 Jun 2018 2,506 49 13 38
Forsa 22–25 May 2018 2,002 50 12 38
Forsa 14–18 May 2018 2,502 49 13 38
Forsa 7–11 May 2018 2,004 50 13 37
Forsa 30 Apr–4 May 2018 2,003 49 13 38
Forsa 23–27 Apr 2018 2,507 49 13 38
Forsa 16–20 Apr 2018 2,503 50 13 37
Forsa 9–13 Apr 2018 2,506 51 15 34
Forsa 3–6 Apr 2018 2,005 49 15 36
Forsa 26–29 Mar 2018 2,003 51 13 36
Forsa 19–23 Mar 2018 2,502 50 13 37
Forsa 12–16 Mar 2018 2,502 50 13 37
Forsa 5–9 Mar 2018 2,507 48 12 40
Forsa 26 Feb–2 Mar 2018 2,505 48 14 38
Forsa 19–23 Feb 2018 2,506 48 14 38
Forsa 12–16 Feb 2018 2,501 47 16 37
Forsa 5–9 Feb 2018 ? 46 23 31
Forsa 7–8 Feb 2018 1,003 46 23 31
Forsa 30 Oct–3 Nov 2017 2,005 58 17 25

Merkel–Scholz
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Merkel
Union		 Scholz
SPD		 Neither
Forsa 26–30 Nov 2018 2,505 41 21 38
Forsa 19–23 Nov 2018 2,507 41 20 39
Forsa 12–16 Nov 2018 2,503 40 22 38
Forsa 29 Oct–2 Nov 2018 2,502 38 21 41
Forsa 22–26 Oct 2018 2,509 37 20 43
Forsa 15–19 Oct 2018 2,502 38 21 41
Forsa 8–12 Oct 2018 2,504 38 21 41
Forsa 1–5 Oct 2018 2,002 38 21 41
Forsa 24–28 Sep 2018 2,501 37 21 42
Forsa 3–7 Sep 2018 2,507 42 20 38
Forsa 27–31 Aug 2018 2,503 42 20 38
Forsa 20–24 Aug 2018 2,502 42 23 35
Forsa 13–17 Aug 2018 2,503 42 22 36
Forsa 6–10 Aug 2018 2,505 41 23 36
Forsa 23–27 Jul 2018 2,505 42 22 36
Forsa 16–20 Jul 2018 2,505 42 23 35
Forsa 2–6 Jul 2018 2,502 42 21 37
Forsa 18–22 Jun 2018 2,503 42 22 36
Forsa 11–15 Jun 2018 2,502 42 20 38
Forsa 4–8 Jun 2018 2,504 44 21 35
Forsa 28 May–1 Jun 2018 2,506 44 20 36
Forsa 22–25 May 2018 2,002 44 20 36
Forsa 14–18 May 2018 2,502 45 20 35
Forsa 7–11 May 2018 2,004 46 20 34
Forsa 30 Apr–4 May 2018 2,003 47 20 33
Forsa 23–27 Apr 2018 2,507 44 20 36
Forsa 9–13 Apr 2018 2,506 46 21 33
Forsa 3–6 Apr 2018 2,005 44 21 35
Forsa 26–29 Mar 2018 2,003 46 21 33
Forsa 19–23 Mar 2018 2,502 45 21 34
Forsa 12–16 Mar 2018 2,502 45 21 34
Forsa 5–9 Mar 2018 2,507 43 23 36
Forsa 26 Feb–2 Mar 2018 2,505 45 20 35
Forsa 5–9 Feb 2018 ? 44 29 27
Forsa 7–8 Feb 2018 1,003 45 27 28

Merkel–Schulz
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Merkel
Union		 Schulz
SPD		 Neither
Forsa 7–8 Feb 2018 1,003 44 12 44
Forsa 29 Jan–2 Feb 2018 2,507 46 14 40
Forsa 22–26 Jan 2018 2,505 47 15 38
Forsa 15–19 Jan 2018 2,501 46 18 36
Forsa 8–12 Jan 2018 2,501 46 19 35
Forsa 2–5 Jan 2018 2,503 47 18 35
Forsa 18–22 Dec 2017 2,504 47 19 34
Forsa 11–15 Dec 2017 2,501 48 21 31
Forsa 4–8 Dec 2017 2,500 49 20 31
Forsa 27 Nov–1 Dec 2017 2,502 50 19 31
Forsa 20–24 Nov 2017 2,508 51 19 30
Forsa 13–17 Nov 2017 2,505 49 20 31
Forsa 6–10 Nov 2017 2,506 50 22 28
Forsa 30 Oct–3 Nov 2017 2,005 52 22 26
Forsa 23–27 Oct 2017 2,500 49 21 30
Forsa 16–20 Oct 2017 2,503 48 21 31
Forsa 9–13 Oct 2017 2,501 48 20 32
Forsa 2–6 Oct 2017 2,001 49 21 30
Forsa 25–29 Sep 2017 2,005 49 22 29

Preferred coalition
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Union
SPD		 Union
FDP		 SPD
Grüne		 Union
Grüne		 SPD
Grüne
Linke		 Union
FDP
Grüne
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 17–19 Jun 2019 1,291 6 6 11 19 9 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 3–5 Jun 2019 1,297 9 6 11 19 6 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 7–9 May 2019 1,357 11 10 13 14 6 3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–11 Apr 2019 1,282 11 8 15 15 5 3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 25–27 Mar 2019 1,325 10 11 12 14 5 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–14 Mar 2019 1,290 13 12 12 12 5 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 19–21 Feb 2019 1,226 13 11 12 13 5 5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 5–7 Feb 2019 1,350 12 11 12 14 5 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 22–24 Jan 2019 1,285 11 9 12 15 4 6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 8–10 Jan 2019 1,267 11 9 10 14 4 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 11–13 Dec 2018 1,268 11 10 13 15 4 5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 20–22 Nov 2018 1,336 8 9 12 15 5 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 6–8 Nov 2018 1,200 10 9 12 15 7 5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 16–18 Oct 2018 1,117 5 9 13 14 5 5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 25–27 Sep 2018 1,260 11 7 10 8 5 6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 11–13 Sep 2018 1,339 15 8 11 7 8 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 28–30 Aug 2018 1,216 16 11 8 7 6 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 7–9 Aug 2018 1,294 13 8 9 9 6 5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–12 Jul 2018 1,340 14 9 10 6 6 5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 25–28 Jun 2018 1,290 14 11 9 6 6 5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 5–7 Jun 2018 1,284 18 10 10 6 4 6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 15–17 May 2018 1,200 19 9 9 8 4 6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 24–26 Apr 2018 1,285 16 10 10 7 5 5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 10–12 Apr 2018 1,159 14 13 11 9 4 5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 13–15 Mar 2018 1,214 18 13 10 5 5 5

Constituency projection
Source Date Union SPD AfD FDP Linke Grüne
INSA 25 Feb 2020 199 27 17 0 11 45
INSA 18 Feb 2020 192 25 32 0 12 38
INSA 11 Feb 2020 216 7 25 0 7 44
INSA 4 Feb 2020 236 10 7 0 3 43
INSA 28 Jan 2020 204 21 32 0 4 38
INSA 21 Jan 2020 216 7 32 0 5 39
INSA 7 Jan 2020 237 6 16 0 3 37
INSA 27 Aug 2019 206 14 17 0 2 60
INSA 20 Aug 2019 208 18 4 0 3 66
INSA 13 Aug 2019 221 6 20 0 3 49
INSA 6 Aug 2019 221 5 17 0 5 51
INSA 30 Jul 2019 218 14 4 0 4 59
INSA 23 Jul 2019 243 5 5 0 3 43
election.de 17 Jul 2019 197 31 17 0 3 51
INSA 16 Jul 2019 197 21 16 0 3 62
INSA 9 Jul 2019 221 21 3 0 4 50
INSA 2 Jul 2019 208 15 17 0 4 55
INSA 25 Jun 2019 194 14 22 0 5 64
INSA 18 Jun 2019 180 23 25 0 10 61
INSA 11 Jun 2019 177 25 25 0 4 68
election.de 7 Jun 2019 207 35 17 0 3 37
INSA 4 Jun 2019 205 22 4 0 3 65
INSA 21 May 2019 224 32 15 0 4 24
election.de 17 May 2019 225 42 11 0 5 16
INSA 14 May 2019 232 36 3 0 4 24
INSA 7 May 2019 218 32 14 0 5 30
INSA 30 Apr 2019 219 46 3 0 3 28
election.de 16 Apr 2019 234 41 8 0 5 11
INSA 16 Apr 2019 246 28 1 0 4 20
INSA 2 Apr 2019 241 34 4 0 3 17
INSA 26 Mar 2019 250 22 9 0 5 13
election.de 20 Mar 2019 243 34 8 0 5 9
INSA 19 Mar 2019 236 28 7 0 10 18
INSA 12 Mar 2019 259 17 2 0 5 16
INSA 5 Mar 2019 225 55 4 0 5 10
INSA 26 Feb 2019 220 64 1 0 4 10
INSA 19 Feb 2019 230 51 5 0 4 9
election.de 13 Feb 2019 242 31 9 0 5 12
INSA 12 Feb 2019 239 31 2 0 5 22
INSA 5 Feb 2019 242 18 14 0 5 20
INSA 29 Jan 2019 244 16 4 0 15 20
INSA 22 Jan 2019 263 7 4 0 5 20
election.de 17 Jan 2019 240 26 12 0 5 16
INSA 15 Jan 2019 228 18 24 0 9 20
INSA 8 Jan 2019 238 18 20 0 7 16
election.de 18 Dec 2018 240 27 11 0 5 16
INSA 18 Dec 2018 250 20 4 0 5 20
INSA 11 Dec 2018 243 30 3 0 5 18
INSA 4 Dec 2018 235 15 19 0 10 20
election.de 29 Nov 2018 205 38 25 0 6 25
INSA 27 Nov 2018 221 24 22 0 5 27
INSA 20 Nov 2018 200 32 25 0 5 37
INSA 13 Nov 2018 197 31 29 0 6 36
INSA 6 Nov 2018 204 29 21 0 12 33
INSA 30 Oct 2018 206 33 14 0 5 41
election.de 24 Oct 2018 189 47 32 0 6 23
INSA 23 Oct 2018 213 37 12 0 5 32
election.de 17 Oct 2018 205 60 23 0 5 6
INSA 16 Oct 2018 205 35 27 0 13 19
INSA 9 Oct 2018 200 61 24 0 4 10
INSA 25 Sep 2018 205 47 27 0 12 8
election.de 13 Sep 2018 213 61 17 0 5 3
INSA 11 Sep 2018 214 58 13 0 9 5
INSA 3 Sep 2018 237 38 13 0 5 6
INSA 28 Aug 2018 236 46 7 0 5 5
INSA 21 Aug 2018 235 40 8 0 10 6
election.de 16 Aug 2018 213 61 17 0 5 3
INSA 14 Aug 2018 229 57 4 0 4 5
INSA 7 Aug 2018 232 55 4 0 4 4
INSA 31 Jul 2018 218 61 9 0 8 3
INSA 24 Jul 2018 227 60 3 0 4 5
election.de 18 Jul 2018 214 60 17 0 5 3
INSA 16 Jul 2018 241 40 9 0 5 4
INSA 9 Jul 2018 236 50 4 0 5 4
INSA 2 Jul 2018 221 65 3 0 5 5
INSA 25 Jun 2018 214 67 7 0 8 3
INSA 18 Jun 2018 211 61 6 0 16 5
election.de 15 Jun 2018 229 59 4 0 5 2
INSA 11 Jun 2018 244 35 8 0 9 3
INSA 4 Jun 2018 261 29 1 0 4 4
INSA 28 May 2018 256 31 4 0 4 4
election.de 24 May 2018 240 49 4 0 4 2
election.de 23 Apr 2018 239 48 4 0 5 3
election.de 20 Mar 2018 237 51 4 0 5 2
election.de 16 Feb 2018 230 54 7 0 5 3
election.de 19 Jan 2018 240 49 2 0 5 3
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 231 59 3 0 5 1

By probability
Source Date Union SPD AfD FDP Linke Grüne
Safe Likely Lean Safe Likely Lean Safe Likely Lean – Safe Likely Lean Safe Likely Lean
election.de 17 Jul 2019 49 62 86 1 4 26 0 3 14 0 2 1 0 5 16 30
election.de 7 Jun 2019 58 66 83 1 4 30 0 2 15 0 2 1 0 2 6 29
election.de 17 May 2019 70 74 81 1 6 35 0 1 10 0 2 1 2 2 3 11
election.de 16 Apr 2019 75 76 83 1 4 36 0 1 7 0 2 1 2 2 2 7
election.de 20 Mar 2019 84 80 79 0 4 30 0 1 7 0 2 1 2 2 2 5
election.de 13 Feb 2019 86 75 81 0 3 28 0 1 8 0 2 1 2 2 2 8
election.de 17 Jan 2019 90 73 77 0 2 24 0 1 11 0 2 1 2 2 2 12
election.de 18 Dec 2018 89 74 77 0 2 25 0 1 10 0 2 1 2 2 2 12
election.de 29 Nov 2018 63 67 75 1 4 33 1 3 21 0 1 2 3 3 3 19
election.de 24 Oct 2018 58 71 60 1 6 42 1 5 26 0 2 1 3 3 3 17
election.de 17 Oct 2018 71 52 82 2 6 52 1 2 20 0 1 1 3 0 2 4
election.de 13 Sep 2018 122 28 63 5 18 38 1 2 14 0 3 1 1 0 1 2
election.de 16 Aug 2018 123 26 64 5 18 38 1 2 14 0 3 1 1 0 1 2
election.de 18 Jul 2018 142 30 42 13 16 31 3 1 13 0 4 0 1 0 0 3
election.de 15 Jun 2018 118 54 57 2 17 40 0 1 3 0 2 2 1 0 0 2
election.de 24 May 2018 130 59 51 2 12 35 0 1 3 0 2 2 0 0 0 2
election.de 23 Apr 2018 128 61 50 2 12 34 0 1 3 0 2 2 1 0 0 3
election.de 20 Mar 2018 127 59 51 2 13 36 0 1 3 0 2 2 1 0 0 2
election.de 16 Feb 2018 118 57 55 2 14 38 0 1 6 0 2 2 1 0 0 3
election.de 19 Jan 2018 128 63 49 2 12 35 0 1 1 0 2 2 1 0 0 3
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 231 59 3 0 5 1

Second place
Source Date Union SPD AfD FDP Linke Grüne
election.de 17 Jul 2019 85 71 31 0 10 102
election.de 7 Jun 2019 78 86 29 0 9 97
election.de 17 May 2019 64 120 30 0 9 76
election.de 16 Apr 2019 55 123 30 0 11 80
election.de 20 Mar 2019 50 127 36 0 9 77
election.de 13 Feb 2019 50 123 33 0 12 81
election.de 17 Jan 2019 53 114 37 0 9 86
election.de 18 Dec 2018 53 116 39 0 7 84
election.de 29 Nov 2018 79 102 36 0 4 78
election.de 24 Oct 2018 93 102 34 0 5 65
election.de 17 Oct 2018 88 132 46 0 2 31
election.de 13 Sep 2018 81 158 44 0 2 14
election.de 16 Aug 2018 81 159 43 0 2 14
election.de 18 Jul 2018 80 159 44 0 2 14
election.de 15 Jun 2018 67 175 40 0 7 10
election.de 24 May 2018 57 183 44 0 6 9
election.de 20 Mar 2018 60 184 43 0 7 5
election.de 16 Feb 2018 66 169 39 0 9 16
election.de 19 Jan 2018 57 181 32 0 13 16
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 66 185 33 0 10 5
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See also
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