Blaenau Gwent (Senedd Cymru constituency)

Blaenau Gwent is a constituency of the Senedd. It elects one Member of the Senedd by the first past the post method of election. Also, however, it is one of eight constituencies in the South Wales East electoral region, which elects four additional members, in addition to eight constituency members, to produce a degree of proportional representation for the region as a whole.

Not to be confused with Blaenau Gwent (UK Parliament constituency).

Blaenau Gwent
Welsh Assembly county constituency
Blaenau Gwent shown as one of the 40
Welsh Assembly constituencies
Current Welsh Assembly county constituency
Created1999
PartyLabour
AMAlun Davies
Electoral regionSouth Wales East

Boundaries

The constituency was created for the first election to the Assembly, in 1999, with the name and boundaries of the Blaenau Gwent Westminster constituency.

The other seven constituencies of the South Wales East electoral region are Caerphilly, Islwyn, Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney, Monmouth, Newport East, Newport West and Torfaen.

History

This seat has had large changes in percentages and swing. Labour have had large majorities but following =the By-election in 2006 Blaenau Gwent People's Voice gained the seat, with the previous incumbent Peter Law's wife Trish Law taking the seat and holding it in the 2007 National Assembly for Wales election. The party did not stand in the 2011 election and Labour regained the seat with a very large majority. However, in the 2016 election this was slashed with Plaid Cymru increasing their vote from 5.4% to 36.6%.

Party averages from 5 elections, plus the by-election: Labour – 50.1%, Plaid Cymru – 13.5%, Lib Dem – 6.4%, Conservative – 4.9%

  • Blaenau Gwent People's Voice won the seat in the 2006 by-election and the 2007 election.
  • Independent Jayne Sullivan received 18.8% of the vote in the 2011 election.
  • UKIP achieved 16.1% of the vote in the 2016 election.

Voting

In general elections for the Senedd, each voter has two votes. The first vote may be used to vote for a candidate to become the Member of the Senedd for the voter's constituency, elected by the first past the post system. The second vote may be used to vote for a regional closed party list of candidates. Additional member seats are allocated from the lists by the d'Hondt method, with constituency results being taken into account in the allocation.

Assembly members and Members of the Senedd
ElectionMemberPartyPhoto
1999 Peter Law Labour Co-operative
2005 Independent
2006 Trish Law Blaenau Gwent People's Voice
2011 Alun Davies Labour

Elections

Elections in the 2010s
Welsh Assembly Election 2016: Blaenau Gwent[1]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Labour Alun Davies 8,442 39.7 −24.3
Plaid Cymru Nigel Copner 7,792 36.6 +31.2
UKIP Kevin Boucher 3,423 16.1 +16.1
Conservative Tracey West 1,334 6.3 +1
Liberal Democrats Brendan D'Cruz 300 1.4 −0.4
Majority 650 3.1 -42.0
Turnout 42.1 +3.3
Labour hold Swing −28.0
Welsh Assembly Election 2011: Blaenau Gwent[2]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Labour Alun Davies 12,926 64.0 +32.6
Independent Jayne Sullivan 3,806 18.8 N/A
Plaid Cymru Darren Jones 1,098 5.4 +0.6
Conservative Bob Hayward 1,066 5.3 +1.2
BNP Brian Urch 948 4.7 N/A
Liberal Democrats Martin Blakebrough 367 1.8 −3.9
Majority 9,120 45.1
Turnout 20,211 37.8 −6.7
Labour gain from Independent Swing

Elections in the 2000s
Welsh Assembly Election 2007: Blaenau Gwent
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Blaenau Gwent PV Trish Law 12,722 54.1 N/A
Labour Keren Bender 7,365 31.3 −38.9
Liberal Democrats Gareth H. Lewis 1,351 5.7 −5.1
Plaid Cymru Natasha Asghar 1,129 4.8 −4.8
Conservative Bob J.C. Hayward 951 4.0 −1.7
Majority 5,357 22.8 +6.5
Turnout 23,518 44.5 +7.1
Blaenau Gwent PV gain from Labour Co-op Swing
By-election 2006: Blaenau Gwent
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Blaenau Gwent PV Trish Law 13,785 50.3 N/A
Labour John Hopkins 9,321 34.0 −36.2
Liberal Democrats Stephen R. Bard 2,054 7.5 −3.4
Plaid Cymru John Price 1,109 4.0 −5.6
Conservative Jonathan Burns 816 3.0 −2.7
Green John Matthews 302 1.1 N/A
Majority 4,464 16.3 −43.1
Turnout 27,387 49.6 +12.2
Blaenau Gwent PV gain from Labour Co-op Swing
Welsh Assembly Election 2003: Blaenau Gwent
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Labour Co-op Peter Law 13,884 70.2 +8.4
Liberal Democrats Stephen R. Bard 2,184 10.9 −0.6
Plaid Cymru Rhys Ab Ellis 1,889 9.6 −11.6
Conservative Barrie O'Keefe 1,131 5.7 +0.2
UKIP Roger Thomas 719 3.6 N/A
Majority 11,736 59.4 +18.7
Turnout 20,022 37.8 −10.7
Labour Co-op hold Swing +4.5

Elections in the 1990s
Welsh Assembly Election 1999: Blaenau Gwent
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Labour Co-op Peter Law 16,069 61.8 N/A
Plaid Cymru Phil Williams 5,501 21.1 N/A
Liberal Democrats Keith Rogers 2,980 11.4 N/A
Conservative David N. Thomas 1,444 5.6 N/A
Majority 10,568 40.7 N/A
Turnout 25,994 48.2 N/A
Labour Co-op win (new seat)
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References
  1. "Wales elections > Blaenau Gwent". BBC News. 6 May 2016. Retrieved 8 March 2016.
  2. "Wales elections > Blaenau Gwent". BBC News. 6 May 2011. Retrieved 8 March 2011.
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