2022 Latvian parliamentary election
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Latvia on 1 October 2022, following the end of the term of the Saeima elected in 2018. The election may be held at an earlier date in the event of an early election motion.
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Electoral system
The 100 members of the Saeima are elected by open list proportional representation from five multi-member constituencies ranging in size from 13 to 32 seats and based on the regions, with overseas votes included in the Riga constituency. Seats are allocated using the Saint-Laguë method.[1]
Opinion polls
Graphical summary
| Fieldwork date [release] |
Polling firm/Commissionner | Sample size | SDPS | KPV LV | JKP | AP! | NA | ZZS | JV | LRA | LKS | P | Other | Don't know | Won't vote | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8-31 July 2020 | Factum | 1975 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - | - | Tie |
| July 2020 | SKDS/LTV | 884 | 15,5 | 2,2 | 3,9 | 5,6 | 6,8 | 8,3 | 5,8 | 2,9 | 2,1 | 2,2 | 0,2 | 26,0 | 18,5 | 7,2 |
| 1-30 June 2020 | Factum | 1461 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 7 | – | – | 2 |
| June 2020 | SKDS/LTV | 891 | 12,9 | 1,8 | 4,2 | 5,8 | 5,6 | 8,9 | 5,1 | 2,8 | 2,2 | 1,7 | 0,6 | 29,8 | 18,6 | 4,0 |
| 23 May – 2 June 2020 | SKDS/LTV | 902 | 13,2 | 2,0 | 3,7 | 5,0 | 5,5 | 8,1 | 6,1 | 2,6 | 2,3 | 1,5 | 9,6 | 29,6 | 19,6 | 5,1 |
| 18–31 May 2020 | Factum | 1182 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 7 | – | – | 2 |
| 7-26 April 2020 | Factum | 1325 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 2 | – | – | 1 |
| March 2020 | SKDS/LTV | 903 | 14,8 | 2,2 | 4,8 | 5,6 | 5,8 | 8,6 | 5,8 | 2,9 | 1,5 | 1,5 | 0,4 | 28,8 | 17,1 | 6,2 |
| 4–28 March 2020 | Factum | 1994 | 18 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 4 | – | – | 5 |
| 24–28 February 2020 | Factum | 783 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 2 | – | – | 4 |
| 7–18 February 2020 | SKDS/LTV | 873 | 12,3 | 1,3 | 4,1 | 5,4 | 5,4 | 7,9 | 6,4 | 3,3 | 2,0 | 2,2 | 0,4 | 27,9 | 21,4 | 4,4 |
| 28 January - 1 February 2020 | Factum | 684 | 21 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 2 | – | – | 5 |
| January 2020 | SKDS/LTV | ~900 | 13,6 | 2,0 | 6,1 | 5,4 | 6,3 | 8,7 | 6,1 | 2,9 | 2,5 | 1,8 | 0,8 | 26,9 | 16,9 | 4,9 |
| 18–31 December 2019 | Factum | 1153 | 20 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 2 | – | – | 6 |
| 30 November – 12 December 2019 | SKDS/LTV | 887 | 13,4 | 1,8 | 5,9 | 4,6 | 6,9 | 8,0 | 6,8 | 2,0 | 2,2 | 2,4 | 0,1 | 26,7 | 19,2 | 6,4 |
| 21–24 November 2019 | Factum | 966 | 20 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | – | – | 4 |
| 2–12 November 2019 | SKDS/LTV | 884 | 11,2 | 3,0 | 5,4 | 5,6 | 8,8 | 7,5 | 6,5 | 2,8 | 2,0 | 2,1 | 0,2 | 25,4 | 19,5 | 2,4 |
| 15–22 October 2019 | Factum | 502 | 20 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | – | – | 5 |
| 5–16 October 2019 | SKDS/LTV | 909 | 12,9 | 2,5 | 6,7 | 5,2 | 7,3 | 8,0 | 6,5 | 2,2 | 2,2 | 2,8 | 0,5 | 24,9[2] | 18,3 | 4,9 |
| 27–30 September 2019 | Factum | 489 | 19 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | – | – | 2 |
| 26–18 September 2019 | SKDS/LTV | ~900 | 14,5 | 2,8 | 7,2 | 6,1 | 8,9 | 8,4 | 8,3 | 2,5 | – | 2,1 | 1,0 | 22,1 | 16,1 | 5,6 |
| 27–30 August 2019 | Factum | 1152 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | – | – | 1 |
| August 2019 (published on 30th) | SKDS/LTV | – | 16,1 | 2,6 | 6,3 | 6,2 | 7,2 | 8,3 | 8,8 | 2,9 | 2,5 | 2,1 | 0,3 | 17,3 | 19,4 | 7,3 |
| July 2019 (published on 30th) | SKDS/LTV | – | 14,7 | 1,6 | 5,0 | 5,7 | 6,3 | 7,6 | 8,5 | 3,6 | 2,3 | 2,1 | 0,5 | 22,2 | 19,9 | 6,2 |
| 22–29 July 2019 | Factum | 989 | 18 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | – | – | 3 |
| 26–30 June 2019 | Factum | 860 | 17 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 9 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | – | – | Tie |
| 7–17 June 2019 | SKDS/LTV | 891 | 15,8 | 3,4 | 4,6 | 6,8 | 7,7 | 6,3 | 10,5 | 3,0 | 1,6 | 3,0 | 0,4 | 18,2 | 18,7 | 5,3 |
| May 2019 | SKDS/LTV | – | 17,5 | 2,4 | 7,9 | 5,9 | 8,6 | 8,8 | 6,1 | 4,0 | 1,5 | 1,9 | 0,1 | 16,9 | 18,4 | 8,7 |
| 1–28 May 2019 | Factum | 1079 | 17 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 | – | – | 1 |
| 1–30 April 2019 | Factum | 1236 | 20 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 3 | – | – | 5 |
| April 2019 (published on 26th) | SKDS/LTV | – | 19,7 | 2,8 | 8,6 | 5,6 | 6,7 | 6,9 | 5,8 | 3,0 | 1,6 | 1,5 | 0,3 | 20,6 | 16,9 | 11,1 |
| March 2019 | Factum | 867 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 5 | – | – | 1 |
| SKDS/LTV | 873 | 17,7 | 4,1 | 8,0 | 6,2 | 5,0 | 7,6 | 5,3 | 2,9 | 1,6 | 2,3 | 0,5 | 22,1 | 16,7 | 8,3 | |
| February 2019 | SKDS/LTV | 872 | 19,0 | 3,5 | 9,5 | 5,9 | 6,3 | 5,7 | 6,5 | 2,4 | 2,0 | 2,7 | 0,4 | 19,3 | 16,8 | 9,5 |
| 11–23 January | SKDS/LTV | 906 | 17,4 | 7,1 | 12,1 | 6,7 | 7,7 | 8,1 | 4,0 | – | – | – | 5,3 | 18,8 | 12,8 | 5,3 |
| 1–12 December 2018 | SKDS/LTV | 900 | 20,6 | 10,4 | 8,9 | 6,2 | 6,5 | 6,6 | 4,2 | 3,0 | 2,4 | 2,3 | 0,1 | 16,5 | 12,3 | 10,2 |
| 3–15 November 2019 | SKDS/LTV | 833 | 18,2 | 9,8 | 10,2 | 6,7 | 5,9 | 6,4 | 4,7 | 2,6 | 1,6 | 1,8 | 0,1 | 17,7 | 14,3 | 8,0 |
| 13.–23. October 2019 | SKDS/LTV | 900 | 19,2 | 11,5 | 10,1 | 8,9 | 8,4 | 5,4 | 4,4 | 4,2 | 1,4 | 1,7 | 0,2 | 12,0 | 12,6 | 7,7 |
| 2018 Parliamentary election | 19,80 | 14,25 | 13,59 | 12,05 | 11,02 | 9,92 | 6,70 | 4,15 | 3,20 | 2,62 | 2,70 | (45,42) | 5,55 | |||
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References
| Parliamentary | |
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| European | |
| Municipal | |
| Referendums | |
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