2015 Hamburg state election
The 2015 Hamburg state election was held on 15 February 2015 to elect the members of the 21st Hamburg Parliament. The incumbent Social Democratic Party (SPD) government led by First Mayor Olaf Scholz lost its majority. The SPD subsequently formed a coalition government with The Greens, and Scholz continued in office.
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All 121 seats in the Hamburg Parliament 61 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Turnout | 3,530,097 (56.5%) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Parties
The table below lists parties represented in the 20th Hamburg Parliament.
| Name | Ideology | Leader(s) | 2011 result | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes (%) | Seats | |||||
| SPD | Social Democratic Party of Germany Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands |
Social democracy | Olaf Scholz | 48.4% | 62 / 121 | |
| CDU | Christian Democratic Union of Germany Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands |
Christian democracy | Dietrich Wersich | 21.9% | 28 / 121 | |
| Grüne | Alliance 90/The Greens Bündnis 90/Die Grünen |
Green politics | Katharina Fegebank | 11.2% | 14 / 121 | |
| FDP | Free Democratic Party Freie Demokratische Partei |
Classical liberalism | Katja Suding | 6.7% | 9 / 121 | |
| Linke | The Left Die Linke |
Democratic socialism | Dora Heyenn | 6.4% | 8 / 121 | |
Opinion polling
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
SPD | CDU | Grüne | FDP | Linke | AfD | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 state election | 15 Feb 2015 | – | 45.6 | 15.9 | 12.3 | 7.4 | 8.5 | 6.1 | 4.2 | 29.7 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 11–12 Feb 2015 | 1,113 | 47 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 8.5 | 5 | 4.5 | 30 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 3–5 Feb 2015 | 1,176 | 45 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 9.5 | 5 | 4.5 | 26 |
| Infratest dimap | 3–4 Feb 2015 | 1,001 | 46 | 18 | 11 | 5.5 | 9 | 5.5 | 5 | 28 |
| Infratest dimap | 23–27 Jan 2015 | 1,000 | 44 | 20 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 24 |
| Universität Hamburg | 5–21 Jan 2015 | 235 | 44.6 | 22.6 | 14.9 | 2.8 | 9.1 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 22.0 |
| INSA | 7–13 Jan 2015 | 1,000 | 42 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 19 |
| Infratest dimap | 9–12 Jan 2015 | 1,000 | 43 | 22 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 21 |
| Universität Hamburg | 5 Nov–23 Dec 2014 | 511 | 39.7 | 20.6 | 21.8 | 2.8 | 8.9 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 19.1 |
| mafo.de | 15 Dec 2014 | 500 | 42 | 22 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 20 |
| Infratest dimap | 5–9 Dec 2014 | 1,005 | 43 | 24 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 19 |
| GESS | 24 Oct–3 Nov 2014 | 1,002 | 45 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 18 |
| mafo.de | 9 May 2014 | 500 | 38.5 | 22.6 | 13.7 | 2.9 | 7.8 | 5.8 | 8.7 | 15.9 |
| GESS | 27 Jan–4 Feb 2014 | 1,003 | 48 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 8 | ? | ? | 24 |
| Infratest dimap | 9–13 Jan 2014 | 1,000 | 42 | 25 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 17 |
| Universität Hamburg | 8 May–24 Jun 2013 | 636 | 43 | 21 | 18 | 4 | 8 | – | 2 | 22 |
| GESS | 29 Jan–4 Feb 2013 | 1,003 | 51 | 23 | 13 | 2 | 4 | – | 5 | 28 |
| Universität Hamburg | 16 Apr–3 Aug 2012 | 468 | 42.0 | 20.8 | 21.5 | 4.4 | 4.5 | – | 6.9 | 21.2 |
| GESS | 7–14 Feb 2012 | 1,006 | 52 | 21 | 12 | 2 | 5 | – | ? | 31 |
| Infratest dimap | 13–18 Jan 2012 | 1,000 | 51 | 20 | 14 | 3 | 4 | – | 8 | 31 |
| YouGov | 21 Nov–2 Dec 2011 | 1,031 | 44 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 7 | – | 12 | 23 |
| Psephos | 1–9 Jun 2011 | 1,003 | 47 | 20 | 14 | 7 | 7 | – | 5 | 27 |
| 2011 state election | 20 Feb 2011 | – | 48.4 | 21.9 | 11.2 | 6.7 | 6.4 | – | 5.5 | 26.5 |
Election result
Summary of the 15 February 2015 election results for the Hamburg Parliament
| Party | Votes | % | +/- | Seats | +/- | Seats % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Social Democratic Party (SPD) | 1,611,274 | 45.6 | |
58 | |
47.9 | |
| Christian Democratic Union (CDU) | 561,377 | 15.9 | |
20 | |
16.5 | |
| Alliance 90/The Greens (Grüne) | 432,713 | 12.3 |  |
15 | |
12.4 | |
| The Left (Linke) | 300,567 | 8.5 | |
11 | |
9.1 | |
| Free Democratic Party (FDP) | 262,157 | 7.4 | |
9 |  |
7.4 | |
| Alternative for Germany (AfD) | 214,833 | 6.1 | New | 8 | New | 6.6 | |
| Pirate Party Germany (Piraten) | 54,802 | 1.6 | |
0 | ±0 | 0 | |
| Others | 92,374 | 2.6 | 0 | ±0 | 0 | ||
| Total | 3,530,097 | 100.0 | 121 | ±0 | |||
| Voter turnout | 56.5 | |
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gollark: Great, apiodone.
gollark: I'm not sure about that one.
gollark: Fair, you could probably write something eldritch out with `JOIN`s, but my question was whether revisions should have UUIDs or just be identified only by a combination of timestamp and page.
gollark: Well, yes, it's retrievable, but that would be slower thus apiobad.
gollark: For a hypothetical "index" which "lists" all "pages".
References
- "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 2015-02-15. Retrieved 2015-02-08.CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
External links
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