2012 PSOE leadership election
The 2012 PSOE leadership election—officially the 38th PSOE Federal Congress—was held between 3 and 5 February 2012 to elect a new party leadership in the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE). The congress was called after the PSOE suffered its worst defeat since the Spanish transition to democracy. Previous Secretary General José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero had announced in April the same year he would not stand for election to a third term as Prime Minister of Spain, announcing his intention to step down as party leader after a successor had been elected.[1]
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956 delegates in the 38th PSOE Federal Congress | ||||||||||||||||
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Opinion polls | ||||||||||||||||
Turnout | 955 (99.9%) | |||||||||||||||
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The result was a close race between the two main candidates to the General Secretariat: Alfredo Pérez Rubalcaba, the party's candidate for the 2011 general elections and former First Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of the Interior, and Carme Chacón Piqueras, former Minister of Defense. The ballot saw Rubalcaba win by a 51% of the vote (487 votes) to the 49% won by Carme Chacón (465 votes), with 2 blank votes and 1 invalid vote.[2]
Candidates
Proclaimed
Candidate (name and age) | Political offices | Announced | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Alfredo Pérez Rubalcaba (age 60) |
Deputy in the Cortes Generales for Madrid (1996–2004 and since 2011) Other offices
|
29 December 2011[3] | ||
Carme Chacón (age 40) |
Deputy in the Cortes Generales for Barcelona (since 2000) Other offices
|
7 January 2012[4] |
Announced
On 8 January, Luis Ángel Hierro Recio—former party deputy in the Congress of Deputies between 2004 and 2007—tried to gather the required federal committee endorsements to be able to run in the party congress. However, he was unable to collect the required endorsements of at least 10% of federal committee members and was eliminated as a result.[5]
Candidate (name and age) | Political offices | Announced | |
---|---|---|---|
Luis Ángel Hierro Recio (age 48) |
Deputy in the Cortes Generales for Seville (2004–07) |
8 January 2012[5] |
Endorsements
Candidates seeking to run were required to collect the endorsements of at least 10% of federal committee members and of between 20% and 30% of congress delegates.[5]
Candidate | Federal Committee: 8 January |
Delegates: 4 February | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Count | % T | % V | Count | % T | % V | ||
Alfredo Pérez Rubalcaba | 58 | 23.20 | 68.24 | 286 | 29.92 | 49.91 | |
Carme Chacón | 27 | 10.80 | 31.76 | 287 | 30.02 | 50.09 | |
Luis Ángel Hierro Recio | Eliminated (below 10%) | N/A | |||||
Total | 85 | 573 | |||||
Valid endorsements | 85 | 34.00 | 573 | 59.94 | |||
Not endorsing | 165 | 66.00 | 383 | 40.06 | |||
Total members | 250 | 956 | |||||
Source(s): El Periódico de Catalunya, Europa Press |
Opinion polls
Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the candidate's colour. In the instance of a tie, the figures with the highest percentages are shaded. Polls show data gathered among PSOE voters/supporters as well as Spanish voters as a whole, but not among delegates, who were the ones ultimately entitled to vote in the congress election.
PSOE voters
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other /None |
Lead | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chacón | Rubalcaba | Bono | López Aguilar |
Madina | Blanco | Fernández de la Vega |
Jiménez | ||||||
Metroscopia/El País[p 1] | 4–5 Jan 2012 | ? | 21.0 | 44.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 2] | 27–29 Dec 2011 | ? | 38.2 | 50.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11.4 | 12.2 |
33.7 | 35.3 | 11.0 | 4.9 | 3.4 | – | – | – | 3.3 | 8.4 | 1.6 | |||
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 3][p 4] | 27 Nov 2011 | ? | 27.4 | 43.1 | 8.1 | – | – | – | – | – | 21.4 | 15.7 | |
Metroscopia/El País[p 5] | 30–31 Mar 2011 | 1,004 | 15.0 | 52.0 | 14.0 | – | – | – | – | – | 15.0 | 4.0 | 37.0 |
Metroscopia/El País[p 6][p 7] | 2 Jun 2010 | 506 | – | 8.0 | 4.0 | – | – | 3.0 | 5.0 | – | 7.0 | 38.0 | 3.0 |
Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 8] | 28–29 Dec 2009 | 807 | 8.1 | 11.0 | 8.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.2 |
Spanish voters
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other /None |
Lead | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chacón | Rubalcaba | Bono | López Aguilar |
Madina | Blanco | Fernández de la Vega |
Jiménez | ||||||
Metroscopia/El País[p 1] | 4–5 Jan 2012 | 1,000 | 18.0 | 26.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 36.0 | 20.0 | 8.0 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 2] | 27–29 Dec 2011 | 800 | 37.2 | 38.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24.3 | 1.3 |
22.4 | 26.0 | 14.4 | 4.1 | 3.2 | – | – | – | 3.9 | 26.0 | 3.6 | |||
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 3][p 4] | 27 Nov 2011 | ? | 19.5 | 21.2 | 15.8 | 2.0 | 2.4 | – | – | – | 39.1 | 1.7 | |
Ikerfel/Vocento[p 9] | 4–22 Apr 2011 | 45,635 | 18.8 | 34.9 | 11.3 | – | – | 2.8 | – | – | 3.1 | 29.1 | 16.1 |
NC Report/La Razón[p 10] | 3 Apr 2011 | ? | 7.3 | 25.2 | 21.2 | – | – | – | – | – | 46.3 | 4.0 | |
Invymark/laSexta[p 11][p 12] | 2 Apr 2011 | ? | 24.8 | 62.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13.1 | 37.3 | |
11.3 | 44.0 | 5.9 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 16.3 | 7.5 | 32.7 | |||
Metroscopia/El País[p 5] | 30–31 Mar 2011 | 1,004 | 17.0 | 42.0 | 16.0 | – | – | – | – | – | 18.0 | 7.0 | 25.0 |
Metroscopia/El País[p 6][p 7] | 2 Jun 2010 | 506 | – | 6.0 | 3.0 | – | – | 2.0 | 2.0 | – | 10.0 | 56.0 | 3.0 |
Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 8] | 28–29 Dec 2009 | 807 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | – | – | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 29.0 | 38.0 | 4.0 |
Results
Candidate | Votes | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
# | % T | % V | ||
Alfredo Pérez Rubalcaba | 487 | 51.00 | 51.16 | |
Carme Chacón | 465 | 48.69 | 48.84 | |
Invalid and blank ballots | 3 | 0.31 | ||
Votes cast / turnout | 955 | 99.90 | ||
Abstentions | 1 | 0.10 | ||
Total delegates | 956 | |||
Source: Historia Electoral |
References
- Opinion poll sources
- "La mayoría apoya los recortes pero rechaza la subida de impuestos". El País (in Spanish). 7 January 2012.
- "Los jóvenes prefieren a Chacón para liderar el PSOE y los mayores a Rubalcaba". La Voz Libre (in Spanish). 3 January 2012.
- "Los votantes del PSOE prefieren a Rubalcaba". e-Notícies (in Spanish). 27 November 2011.
- "Una encuesta "agridulce" para Rubalcaba y Chacón con Bono al fondo". El Semanal Digital (in Spanish). 27 November 2011. Archived from the original on 3 April 2017. Retrieved 2 April 2017.
- "Rubalcaba es el candidato preferido". El País (in Spanish). 3 April 2011.
- "El 77% quiere nuevos candidatos". El País (in Spanish). 6 June 2010.
- "Clima Social de España (12ª oleada. Junio 2010)" (PDF). Metroscopia (in Spanish). 14 June 2010.
- "El 63% no quiere que Zapatero repita; la alternativa: Rubalcaba o Bono". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 2 January 2010.
- "Encuesta Elecciones 2011". ABC (in Spanish). 1 May 2011.
- "Rubalcaba encabeza todas las encuestas tras el fin de Zapatero". Libertad Digital (in Spanish). 3 April 2011.
- "Rajoy perdería también contra Rubalcaba y Chacón". Público (in Spanish). 2 April 2011.
- "La Sexta ya ve al PSOE ganador". Libertad Digital (in Spanish). 2 April 2011.
- Other
- "Zapatero convoca un congreso ordinario en la primera semana de febrero" (in Spanish). PSOE.es. Retrieved 2012-02-05.
- "Alfredo Pérez Rubalcaba elegido Secretario General del PSOE" (in Spanish). PSOE.es. Retrieved 2012-02-05.
- "Rubalcaba se rodea de caras nuevas en su presentación como candidato". El País (in Spanish). Madrid. 29 December 2011. Retrieved 2 April 2017.
- Viúdez, Juana (7 January 2012). "Chacón pide al PSOE que huya del inmovilismo y de la incoherencia". El País (in Spanish). Olula del Río. Retrieved 2 April 2017.
- "Rubalcaba y Chacón logran los avales necesarios del Comité Federal para convertirse en "precandidatos"". Europa Press (in Spanish). 8 January 2012. Retrieved 2 April 2017.