1940 Swan by-election
A by-election was held for the Australian House of Representatives seat of Swan on 21 December 1940. This was triggered by the death of Country Party MP Henry Gregory.
The by-election was won by Country Party candidate Thomas Marwick, who had been a member of the Senate from 1936 to 1937.
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labor | Jim Dinan | 16,729 | 37.4 | +9.2 | |
| Country | Thomas Marwick | 12,354 | 27.6 | -1.6 | |
| Country | Percy Ferguson | 10,628 | 23.8 | +23.8 | |
| Independent | Claude Barker | 4,980 | 11.1 | +11.1 | |
| Total formal votes | 44,691 | 98.5 | |||
| Informal votes | 701 | 1.5 | |||
| Turnout | 45,392 | 84.6 | |||
| Two-party-preferred result | |||||
| Country | Thomas Marwick | 23,537 | 52.3 | -5.2 | |
| Labor | Jim Dinan | 21,154 | 47.3 | +5.2 | |
| Country hold | Swing | -5.2 | |||
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gollark: As such, we can calculate the probability that it is someone's birthday as 1 - (364/365)^n.
gollark: (The number of people whose birthday it is, that is)
gollark: The number is roughly binomially distributed.
gollark: More people can only increase the chance that it is someone's birthday.
References
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