Opinion polling on the Jair Bolsonaro presidency

Opinion polling has been regularly conducted in Brazil since the start of Jair Bolsonaro's four-year term administration, gauging public support for the President of Brazil and his government. Typically, an approval rating is based on responses to a poll in which a sample of people are asked to evaluate the overall administration of the current president. Participants might also be asked whether they approve of the way president handles his job, if they trust him, to rate his personality, or to opine on various policies promoted by the government.

This article is part of
a series about
Jair Bolsonaro
  • Political career

President (2019–present)
Federal Deputy (1991–2019)
Councillor of Rio de Janeiro (1989–1991)

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  • Presidency
  • Governments
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Media gallery

Overall administration evaluation

The public was asked to evaluate the performance of Jair Bolsonaro's administration. A question might ask:

The administration of President Jair Bolsonaro has been excellent, good, regular, bad, or terrible?[1]

  plurality approval   neutral evaluation   plurality disapproval

Polling
group		 Date Sample
size		 Good /
Excellent		 Regular Bad /
Terrible		 Unsure /
No opinion		 Net +/-
Datafolha[2] August 11–12, 2020 2,065 37% 27% 34% 1% +3%
PoderData[3] August 3–5, 2020 2,500 32% 25% 41% 2% -9%
DataPoder360[4] July 20–22, 2020 2,500 30% 23% 43% 4% -13%
Datafolha[5] June 23–24, 2020 2,016 32% 23% 44% 1% -12%
XP/Ipespe[6] June 9–11, 2020 1,000 28% 22% 48% 2% -20%
DataPoder360[7] June 8–10, 2020 2,500 28% 20% 47% 5% -19%
XP/Ipespe[8][6] May 26–27, 2020 1,000 26% 23% 49% 2% -23%
DataPoder360[9] May 25–27, 2020 2,500 28% 23% 44% 5% -16%
Datafolha[10] May 25–26, 2020 2,069 33% 22% 43% 2% -10%
XP/Ipespe[11] May 16–18, 2020 1,000 25% 23% 50% 2% -25%
Fórum/Offerwise[12][13] May 14–17, 2020 1,000 32.0% 24.9% 39.5% 3.6% -7.5%
DataPoder360[14] May 11–13, 2020 2,500 30% 27% 39% 4% -9%
CNT/MDA[15][16] May 7–10, 2020 2,002 32.0% 22.9% 43.4% 1.7% -11.4%
XP/Ipespe[17] Apr 28–30, 2020 1,000 27% 24% 49% 1% -22%
Paraná Pesquisas[1] Apr 27–29, 2020 2,006 31.8% 27.3% 39.4% 1.6% -7.6%
DataPoder360[18] Apr 27–29, 2020 2,500 29% 26% 40% 5% -11%
Datafolha[19][20] Apr 27, 2020 1,503 33% 26% 38% 3% -5%
XP/Ipespe[21] Apr 23–24, 2020 800 31% 24% 42% 3% -11%
XP/Ipespe[21] Apr 20–22, 2020 1,000 31% 26% 42% 2% -11%
XP/Ipespe[21] Apr 13–15, 2020 1,000 30% 26% 40% 3% -10%
DataPoder360[22] Apr 13–15, 2020 2,500 36% 28% 33% 3% +3%
XP/Ipespe[23] Mar 30–Apr 1, 2020 1,000 28% 27% 42% 3% -14%
XP/Ipespe[24] Mar 16–18, 2020 1,000 30% 31% 36% 3% -6%
XP/Ipespe[25][26] Feb 17–19, 2020 1,000 34% 29% 36% 2% -2%
CNT/MDA[27][28] Jan 15–18, 2020 2,002 34.5% 32.1% 31.0% 2.4% +3.5%
XP/Ipespe[29] Jan 13–15, 2020 1,000 32% 28% 39% 1% -7%
XP/Ipespe[30] Dec 9–11, 2019 1,000 35% 25% 39% 1% -4%
Ibope[31] Dec 5–8, 2019 2,000 29% 31% 38% 3% -9%
Datafolha[32] Dec 5–6, 2019 2,948 30% 32% 36% 1% -6%
XP/Ipespe[33] Nov 6–8, 2019 1,000 35% 25% 39% 2% -4%
XP/Ipespe[34] Oct 9–11, 2019 1,000 33% 27% 38% 1% -5%
Ibope[35] Sept 19–22, 2019 2,000 31% 32% 34% 3% -3%
Datafolha[36] Aug 29–30, 2019 2,878 29% 30% 38% 2% -9%
XP/Ipespe[37] Aug 27–29, 2019 1,000 30% 27% 41% 2% -11%
CNT/MDA[38][39] Aug 22–25, 2019 2,002 29.4% 29.1% 39.5% 2.0% -10.1%
XP/Ipespe[40] Aug 5–7, 2019 1,000 33% 27% 38% 2% -5%
Datafolha[41] July 4–5, 2019 2,086 33% 31% 33% 2% 0%
XP/Ipespe[42] July 1–3, 2019 1,000 34% 28% 35% 4% -1%
Paraná Pesquisas[43] June 20–25, 2019 2,102 30.1% 26.9% 40.8% 2.2% -10.7%
Ibope[44][45] June 20–23, 2019 2,000 32% 32% 32% 3% 0%
XP/Ipespe[46] June 11–13, 2019 1,000 34% 28% 35% 3% -1%
XP/Ipespe[47] May 20–21, 2019 1,000 34% 26% 36% 4% -2%
XP/Ipespe[48] May 6–8, 2019 1,000 35% 31% 31% 3% +4%
Ibope[49][50][51] Apr 12–15, 2019 2,000 35% 31% 27% 7% +8%
Datafolha[52] Apr 2–3, 2019 2,086 32% 33% 30% 4% +2%
XP/Ipespe[53] Apr 1–3, 2019 1,000 35% 32% 26% 7% +9%
Ibope[54][55][56] Mar 16–19, 2019 2,002 34% 34% 24% 8% +10%
XP/Ipespe[57] Mar 11–13, 2019 1,000 37% 32% 24% 8% +13%
Ibope[58][55] Feb 22–25, 2019 2,002 39% 30% 19% 12% +20%
CNT/MDA[59][60] Feb 21–23, 2019 2,002 38.9% 29.0% 19.0% 13.1% +19.9%
XP/Ipespe[61] Feb 11–13, 2019 1,000 40% 32% 17% 11% +23%
Ibope[62][55] Jan 24–28, 2019 2,002 49% 26% 11% 14% +38%
XP/Ipespe[63] Jan 9–11, 2019 1,000 40% 29% 20% 11% +20%

Results may not always add to 100% due rounding methodology employed by various polling groups.

Graphical timeline[45][35][31]

Presidential approval ratings

The public was asked whether they approved or disapproved of the way Jair Bolsonaro governs Brazil.[45]

Polling group Date Sample size Approves Disapproves Unsure / No opinion Net +/-
PoderData August 3–5, 2020 2,500 45% 45& 5% -
DataPoder360[7] June 8–10, 2020 2,500 41% 50% 9% -9%
CNT/MDA[16] May 7–10, 2020 2,002 39.2% 55.4% 5.4% -16.2%
Paraná Pesquisas[1] Apr 27–29, 2020 2,006 44.0% 51.7% 4.3% -7.7%
CNT/MDA[28] Jan 15–18, 2020 2,002 47.8% 47.0% 5.2% +0.8%
Ibope[31] Dec 5–8, 2019 2,000 41% 53% 6% -12%
Ibope[35] Sept 19–22, 2019 2,000 44% 50% 6% -6%
CNT/MDA[39] Aug 22–25, 2019 2,002 41.0% 53.7% 5.3% -12.7%
Paraná Pesquisas[43] June 20–25, 2019 2,102 43.7% 51.0% 5.3% -7.3%
Ibope[45] June 20–23, 2019 2,000 46% 48% 5% -2%
Ibope[45] Apr 12–15, 2019 2,000 51% 40% 9% +11%
Ibope[45] Mar 16–19, 2019 2,002 51% 38% 9% +13%
Ibope[45] Fev 22–25, 2019 2,002 57% 31% 12% +26%
CNT/MDA[60] Fev 21–23, 2019 2,002 57.5% 28.2% 14.3% +29.3%
Ibope[45] Jan 24–28, 2019 2,002 67% 21% 12% +46%

  majority approval   plurality approval   majority disapproval   plurality disapproval

Results may not always add to 100% due rounding methodology employed by various polling groups.

Graphical timeline[45][35][31]

Public trust in Bolsonaro

The public was asked whether they trusted Jair Bolsonaro.[45]

Polling group Date Sample size Trusts Does not trust Unsure / No opinion Net +/-
Ibope[31] Dec 5–8, 2019 2,000 41% 56% 4% -15%
Ibope[35] Sept 19–22, 2019 2,000 42% 55% 3% -13%
Ibope[45] June 20–23, 2019 2,000 46% 51% 3% -5%
Ibope[45] Apr 12–15, 2019 2,000 51% 45% 4% +6%
Ibope[45] Mar 16–19, 2019 2,002 49% 44% 6% +5%
Ibope[45] Fev 22–25, 2019 2,002 55% 38% 7% +17%
Ibope[45] Jan 24–28, 2019 2,002 62% 30% 7% +32%

  majority approval   plurality approval   majority disapproval   plurality disapproval

Results may not always add to 100% due rounding methodology employed by various polling groups.

Graphical timeline[45][35][31]

Issue-specific support

COVID-19

The public was asked to evaluate the performance of Jair Bolsonaro in relation to the COVID-19 pandemic. A question might ask:

How do you evaluate the performance of President Jair Bolsonaro in relation to the coronavirus outbreak: excellent, good, regular, bad, or terrible?[20]

  majority approval   plurality approval   neutral evaluation   plurality disapproval   majority disapproval

Polling
group		 Date Sample
size		 Good /
Excellent		 Regular Bad /
Terrible		 Unsure /
No opinion		 Net +/-
XP/Ipespe[6] June 9–11, 2020 1,000 23% 20% 55% 3% -32%
XP/Ipespe[8] May 26–27, 2020 1,000 20% 22% 55% 3% -35%
Datafolha[64] May 25–26, 2020 2,069 27% 22% 50% 1% -23%
XP/Ipespe[11] May 16–18, 2020 1,000 21% 19% 58% 3% -37%
Fórum/Offerwise[65][13] May 14–17, 2020 1,000 28.5% 22.3% 46.3% 3.0% -17.8%
XP/Ipespe[17] Apr 28–30, 2020 1,000 23% 22% 54% 1% -31%
DataPoder360[18] Apr 27–29, 2020 2,500 24% 29% 43% 4% -19%
Datafolha[19][20] Apr 27, 2020 1,503 27% 25% 45% 3% -18%
XP/Ipespe[17] Apr 20–22, 2020 1,000 30% 20% 48% 2% -18%
Datafolha[66][67] Apr 17, 2020 1,606 36% 23% 38% 3% -2%
XP/Ipespe[17] Apr 13–15, 2020 1,000 29% 25% 44% 2% -15%
DataPoder360[22] Apr 13–15, 2020 2,500 34% 27% 37% 2% -3%
Fórum/Offerwise[68][65] Apr 8–11, 2020 956 38.9% 23.0% 35.4% 2.7% +3.5%
Datafolha[69] Apr 1–3, 2020 1,511 33% 25% 39% 2% -6%
XP/Ipespe[23] Mar 30–Apr 1, 2020 1,000 29% 21% 44% 6% -15%
Datafolha[70] Mar 18–20, 2020 1,558 35% 26% 33% 5% +2%
XP/Ipespe[24][17] Mar 16–18, 2020 1,000 41% 33% 18% 8% +23%

Results may not always add to 100% due rounding methodology employed by various polling groups.

Graphical timeline[64]

Gun control

Loosening gun control laws[71][72] was one of Bolsonaro's major campaign promises during the 2018 elections. The changes were first signed it into a decree in May.[73] In March 2019, an Ibope survey[74] asked the public whether they approved of the policy and related questions. Polls conducted by Datafolha[75] and Paraná Pesquisas[76] presented similar findings.

Should gun control laws be loosened?

Are you favorable to (any kind of) carrya?

Does having a gun at home make it safer?

Does carrying a gun make someone safer?

Does increasing the number of armed people make society safer?

See also

Notes
a.^ The question doesn't distinguish between open and concealed carry, as Brazilian laws at the time of the research made no distinction between them,[77] only asking if participant is favorable to people carrying guns in their daily lives.

References
  1. "Pesquisa Nacional – Situação Eleitoral para o Executivo Federal e Avaliação da Administração Federal/ Maio 2.020". Paraná Pesquisas. 2 May 2020.
  2. "Aprovação a Bolsonaro cresce e é a mais alta desde início de mandato". Datafolha (in Portuguese). Poder360. 14 August 2020. Retrieved 15 August 2020.
  3. Freire, Sabrina (5 August 2020). "Governo Bolsonaro é aprovado por 45% e desaprovado por 45%" (in Portuguese). Poder360. Retrieved 6 August 2020.
  4. "Aprovação do governo Bolsonaro sobe para 43%; desaprovação está em 46%" (in Portuguese). DataPoder360. 26 July 2020.
  5. "Bolsonaro tem reprovação de 44% e aprovação de 32%, diz Datafolha" (in Portuguese). Datafolha. 26 June 2020.
  6. "Pesquisa XP/Ipespe - 9 a 11 de junho de 2020" (PDF). XP Investimentos. 12 June 2020.
  7. "41% aprovam e 50% desaprovam governo Bolsonaro, diz DataPoder360". Poder360. 11 June 2020.
  8. "Pesquisa XP/Ipespe - Extra: 26 e 27 de Maio 2020" (PDF). XP Investimentos. 29 May 2020.
  9. "Rejeição a Bolsonaro vai a 44% e aprovação fica em 28%, diz DataPoder360". Poder360. 30 May 2020.
  10. "Reprovação a Bolsonaro alcança 43%, e aprovação fica estável" (in Portuguese). Datafolha. 28 May 2020.
  11. "Pesquisa XP com a População - 16 a 18 de Maio 2020" (PDF). XP Investimentos. 20 May 2020.
  12. "Governo Bolsonaro tem 32% de ótimo e bom na Pesquisa Fórum de maio" (in Portuguese). Revista Fórum. 20 May 2020.
  13. "Pesquisa Fórum/Offerwise - Maio 2020" (PDF) (in Portuguese). Revista Fórum. 24 May 2020.
  14. "Bolsonaro tem 30% de aprovação e 39% de rejeição, diz DataPoder360". Poder360. 16 May 2020.
  15. "CNT divulga os resultados da nova Pesquisa de Opinião" (in Portuguese). CNT. 12 May 2020.
  16. "Pesquisa CNT/MDA - Relatório Síntese - Rodada 146" (PDF) (in Portuguese). CNT. 12 May 2020.
  17. "Pesquisa XP com a População - 28 a 30 Abril 2020" (PDF). XP Investimentos. 4 May 2020.
  18. "Percepção de risco do coronavírus aumenta e aprovação de Bolsonaro cai". Poder360. 2 May 2020.
  19. "Impeachment de Bolsonaro divide o país, mas presidente mantém base de apoio, diz Datafolha" (in Portuguese). Folha de S.Paulo. 27 April 2020.
  20. "Bolsonaro é aprovado por 33%, e 45% apoiam processo de impeachment" (in Portuguese). Datafolha. 28 April 2020.
  21. "Pesquisa XP com a População - 23 e 24 de Abril 2020" (PDF). XP Investimentos. 25 April 2020.
  22. "Avaliação de Bolsonaro fica estável com 36% de aprovação e 33% de rejeição". Poder360. 18 April 2020.
  23. "Pesquisa XP com a População [edição extra] - Abril 2020" (PDF). XP Investimentos. 3 April 2020.
  24. "Pesquisa XP com a População - Março 2020" (PDF). XP Investimentos. 20 March 2020.
  25. "Avaliação do governo Bolsonaro fica estável em fevereiro, mostra pesquisa XP/Ipespe - Política - Estadão". Estadão. 24 February 2020.
  26. "Pesquisa XP com a População - Fevereiro 2020" (PDF). XP Investimentos. 24 February 2020.
  27. "CNT divulga sua 1ª Pesquisa de Opinião de 2020" (in Portuguese). CNT. 22 January 2020.
  28. "Pesquisa CNT/MDA - Relatório Síntese - Rodada 145" (PDF) (in Portuguese). CNT. 22 January 2020.
  29. "Pesquisa XP com a População - Janeiro 2020" (PDF). XP Investimentos. 16 January 2020.
  30. "Pesquisa XP com a População - Dezembro 2019". XP Investimentos. 13 December 2019.
  31. "38% consideram administração de Bolsonaro ruim ou péssima". Ibope. 20 December 2019.
  32. "Bolsonaro é aprovado por 30% após um ano de governo" (in Portuguese). Datafolha. 9 December 2019.
  33. "Pesquisa XP com a População - Novembro 2019" (PDF). XP Investimentos. 13 November 2019.
  34. "Pesquisa XP com a População - Outubro 2019" (PDF). XP Investimentos. 15 October 2019.
  35. "Popularidade de Bolsonaro mantém-se praticamente estável". Ibope. 27 September 2019.
  36. "Reprovação de Bolsonaro cresce para 38% em meio a crises, mostra Datafolha". Folha de S.Paulo. 2 September 2019.
  37. "Pesquisa XP com a População - Setembro 2019" (PDF). XP Investimentos. 2 September 2019.
  38. "Resultados da 144ª Pesquisa CNT de Opinião" (in Portuguese). CNT. 26 August 2019.
  39. "Pesquisa CNT/MDA - Relatório Síntese - Rodada 144" (PDF) (in Portuguese). CTN. 26 August 2019.
  40. "Pesquisa XP com a População - Agosto 2019" (PDF). XP Investimentos. 9 August 2019.
  41. "33% aprovam governo Bolsonaro" (in Portuguese). Datafolha. 8 July 2019.
  42. "Pesquisa XP com a População - Julho 2019" (PDF). XP Investimentos. 8 July 2019.
  43. "Pesquisa Nacional – Avaliação Federal/ Junho 2019". Paraná Pesquisas. 28 June 2019.
  44. "Avaliação do Governo Federal - Junho" (PDF) (in Portuguese). Ibope. 28 June 2019.
  45. "Avaliação negativa de Bolsonaro aumenta; confiança no presidente diminui" (in Portuguese). Ibope. 28 June 2019.
  46. "Pesquisa XP com a População - Junho 2019" (PDF). XP Investimentos. 17 June 2019.
  47. "Pesquisa XP com a População - Maio 2019 – Edição extra" (PDF). XP Investimentos. 24 May 2019.
  48. "Pesquisa XP com a População - Maio 2019" (PDF). XP Investimentos. 10 May 2019.
  49. "Avaliação do Governo Federal - Abril" (PDF) (in Portuguese). Ibope. 24 April 2019.
  50. "Avaliação positiva de Jair Bolsonaro permanece estável em abril; avaliação negativa continua em tendência de crescimento" (in Portuguese). Ibope. 24 April 2019.
  51. "35% aprovam governo Bolsonaro, e 27% reprovam, diz pesquisa Ibope" (in Portuguese). G1. 24 April 2019.
  52. "Após três meses de governo, Bolsonaro é aprovado por 32%" (in Portuguese). Datafolha. 8 April 2019.
  53. "Pesquisa XP com a População - Abril 2019" (PDF). XP Investimentos. 8 April 2019.
  54. "Avaliação do Governo Federal - Março" (PDF) (in Portuguese). Ibope. 20 Mar 2019.
  55. "Cerca de um terço dos brasileiros avalia como ótima ou boa a administração de Jair Bolsonaro" (in Portuguese). Ibope. 20 Mar 2019.
  56. "Ibope: Aprovação de Bolsonaro cai e rejeição cresce desde a posse" (in Portuguese). Valor. 20 March 2019.
  57. "Pesquisa XP com a População - Março 2019" (PDF). XP Investimentos. 18 March 2019.
  58. "Avaliação do Governo Federal - Fevereiro" (PDF) (in Portuguese). Ibope. 20 Mar 2019.
  59. "Confira os resultados da 143ª Pesquisa CNT/MDA" (in Portuguese). CNT. 26 February 2019.
  60. "Pesquisa CNT/MDA - Relatório Síntese - Rodada 143" (PDF) (in Portuguese). CTN. 26 February 2019.
  61. "Pesquisa XP com a População - Fevereiro 2019" (PDF). XP Investimentos. 18 February 2019.
  62. "Avaliação do Governo Federal - Janeiro" (PDF) (in Portuguese). Ibope. 20 Mar 2019.
  63. "Pesquisa XP com a População - Janeiro 2019" (PDF). XP Investimentos. 16 January 2019.
  64. "Piora a avaliação do Ministério da Saúde na crise do coronavírus" (in Portuguese). Datafolha. 29 May 2020.
  65. "Pesquisa Fórum aponta queda de 20% em aprovação do governo Bolsonaro na ação contra Coronavírus" (in Portuguese). Revista Fórum. 19 May 2020.
  66. "Demissão de Mandetta por Bolsonaro é reprovada por 64%, diz Datafolha" (in Portuguese). Folha de S. Paulo. 17 April 2020.
  67. "64% avaliam que Bolsonaro agiu mal ao demitir Mandetta" (in Portuguese). Datafolha. 18 April 2020.
  68. "Pesquisa Fórum: 39% dos brasileiros avaliam atuação de Bolsonaro como ótima e boa na crise do Coronavírus" (in Portuguese). Revista Fórum. 14 April 2020.
  69. "Aprovação a Ministério da Saúde cresce enquanto sobe reprovação a Bolsonaro na crise do coronavírus" (in Portuguese). Datafolha. 3 April 2020.
  70. "Governadores e Ministério da Saúde superam Bolsonaro na crise do vírus" (in Portuguese). Datafolha. 23 March 2020.
  71. "Bolsonaro promete facilitar posse de armas" (in Portuguese). Terra. 29 December 2018.
  72. "Além de posse, Bolsonaro quer facilitar porte e definir limite de arma por pessoa" (in Portuguese). Folha de S. Paulo. 3 January 2019.
  73. "Decreto de Bolsonaro que regulamenta uso e porte de armas no país libera compra de fuzil por qualquer cidadão" (in Portuguese). G1. 20 May 2019.
  74. "Pesquisa de Opinião Pública sobre a Flexibilização do Posse de Armas" (PDF) (in Portuguese). Ibope. 5 June 2019.
  75. "Violência" (PDF) (in Portuguese). Datafolha. 14 January 2019.
  76. "Arma de Fogo em Casa / Maio 2019" (PDF) (in Portuguese). Paraná Pesquisas. 21 May 2019.
  77. "LEI No 10.826, DE 22 DE DEZEMBRO DE 2003". December 22, 2003. Retrieved 2019-07-01.
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