Longevity escape velocity

In the life extension movement, longevity escape velocity (sometimes referred to as Actuarial escape velocity[2]) is a hypothetical situation in which life expectancy is extended longer than the time that is passing. For example, in a given year in which longevity escape velocity would be maintained, technological advances would increase life expectancy more than the year that just went by.

"The first 1000-year-old is probably only ~10 years younger than the first 150-year-old"–Aubrey de Grey[1]

Life expectancy increases slightly every year as treatment strategies and technologies improve. At present, more than one year of research is required for each additional year of expected life. Longevity escape velocity occurs when this ratio reverses, so that life expectancy increases faster than one year per one year of research, as long as that rate of advance is sustainable.[3][4][5]

The concept was first publicly proposed by David Gobel, co-founder of the Methuselah Foundation (MF). The idea has been championed by biogerontologist Aubrey de Grey[6] (the other co-founder of the MF), and futurist Ray Kurzweil,[7] who named one of his books, Fantastic Voyage: Live Long Enough to Live Forever, after the concept. These two claim that by putting further pressure on science and medicine to focus research on increasing limits of aging, rather than continuing along at its current pace, more lives will be saved in the future, even if the benefit is not immediately apparent.[3]

See also

References
  1. Aubrey de Grey, A roadmap to end aging. In: TEDGlobal 2005.
  2. The Futurist. "Actuarial Escape Velocity". The Futurist.
  3. de Grey, Aubrey D. N. J. (June 15, 2004), "Escape Velocity: Why the Prospect of Extreme Human Life Extension Matters Now", PLoS Biol, 2 (6): 723–726, doi:10.1371/journal.pbio.0020187, PMC 423155, retrieved 2007-02-12.
  4. Traister, Rebecca (November 22, 2006), "Diet your way to a long, miserable life!", Salon.com, retrieved 2016-01-28
  5. Dibbell, Julian (October 23, 2006), "The Fast Supper", New York Magazine
  6. de Grey, Aubrey; Rae, Michael (September 2007), Ending Aging: The Rejuvenation Breakthroughs that Could Reverse Human Aging in Our Lifetime, New York, NY: St. Martin's Press, p. 416, ISBN 0-312-36706-6
  7. Birnbaum, Ben (2006), "Extension program", Boston College Magazine, archived from the original on 2009-01-16, retrieved 2014-02-08
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