2020 Trinidad and Tobago general election
The 2020 Trinidad and Tobago general election was held on Monday, 10 August 2020[2] to elect 41 members to the 12th Trinidad and Tobago Republican Parliament It was the 14th election since gaining independence from the United Kingdom in 1962 and the 22nd national election in Trinidad and Tobago ever. It was the first parliamentary election where a major Tobagonian party, The Tobago Council of the People's National Movement (PNM), and two of the three largest parties elected in 2015, the United National Congress (UNC) and the Congress of the People (COP), were led by women.
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All 41 seats in the House of Representatives 21 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Turnout | 58.04%[1] ( | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Map of the seats to be contested in the election. Tobago's electorates are shown on the left, Trinidad's electorates on the right. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Composition of the House of Representatives after the election | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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President Paula-Mae Weekes, with the advice of Prime Minister Keith Rowley, dissolved Parliament and issued the writs for the election on 3 July 2020.[3]
The first-term incumbent People's National Movement (PNM), led by incumbent Prime Minister Keith Rowley, won 22 seats to form a second five-year term majority government by defeating the opposition United National Congress, led by Opposition Leader Kamla Persad-Bissessar. Her latest in a series of losses at the polls which commenced with the January 2013 Tobago House of Assembly election with the wipeout of her People's Partnership-led administration from the Tobago House of Assembly due to a landslide victory by the Tobago Council of the PNM, losses at the 2013 Trinidadian local elections, St. Joseph and Chaguanas West bye-elections, loss in the 2015 Trinidad and Tobago general election, and subsequent losses in local government bye-elections[4][5] has placed pressure on her to offer her resignation before the 2021 United National Congress leadership election.[6] The UNC finished with 19 seats.
Voters elected the 41 members to the House of Representatives by first-past-the-post voting.
Prior to the election, the People's National Movement, led by Prime Minister Keith Rowley formed a majority government. The main opponent to the People's National Movement government was the United National Congress, led by Kamla Persad-Bissessar. The Congress of the People was the sole other party in Parliament, represented by a single MP.
Electoral system
The 41 members of the House of Representatives are elected by first-past-the-post voting in single-member constituencies. Registered voters must be 18 years and over, must reside in an electoral district/constituency for at least two months prior to the qualifying date, be a citizen of Trinidad and Tobago or a Commonwealth citizen residing legally in Trinidad and Tobago for a period of at least one year.[7]
If one party obtains a majority of seats, then that party is entitled to form the Government, with its leader as Prime Minister. If the election results in no single party having a majority, then there is a hung parliament. In this case, the options for forming the Government are either a minority government or a coalition government.
Parties and candidates
Political parties registered with the Elections and Boundaries Commission (EBC) can contest the general election as a party.
The leader of the party commanding a majority of support in the House of Representatives is the person who is called on by the president to form a government as Prime Minister, while the leader of the largest party or coalition not in government becomes the Leader of the Opposition.
The People's National Movement and the United National Congress have been the two biggest parties, in addition to having supplied every Prime Minister since 1991.
On 14 July 2020, the leader of the Patriotic Front, Mickela Panday, announced that her party will no longer be contesting the 2020 elections due to lack of time to prepare for the August 2020 polls.[8]
The following registered parties are contesting the general election, the People's National Movement is the only party fielding all 41 seats (39 in Trinidad and two in Tobago), 14 parties are contesting seats in Trinidad only and four parties are contesting seats in Tobago only.
Trinidad and Tobago
Party | Founded | Political position and ideology | Leader(s) | Leader since | Leader's seat | Last election | At dissolution | Contested seats | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% party vote | Seats | |||||||||
Major party not part of any coalition | ||||||||||
PNM | 1955 | Centre to centre-left Liberalism, Social liberalism, Nationalism |
Keith Rowley | May 2010 | Diego Martin West | 51.69% | 23 / 41 (56%) | 23 / 41 (56%) |
41 seats in Trinidad and Tobago |
Trinidad only
Party | Founded | Political position and ideology | Leader(s) | Leader since | Leader's seat | Last election | At dissolution | Contested seats | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% party vote | Seats | |||||||||
Major party not part of any coalition | ||||||||||
UNC | 1989 | Centre-left Social democracy, Civic nationalism |
Kamla Persad-Bissessar | January 2010 | Siparia | 39.60% | 17 / 41 (41%) | 17 / 41 (41%) | 39 seats in Trinidad[9] | |
Better United Coalition | ||||||||||
COP | 2006 | Centre-left Reformism |
Carolyn Seepersad-Bachan | November 2017 | None | 6.02% | 1 / 41 (2%) | 1 / 41 (2%) | 4 seats in Trinidad | |
DPTT | 2002 | Steve Alvarez | April 2002 | None | – | – | 0 / 41 (0%) |
1 seat in Trinidad | ||
TTDF | 2019 | Nicholas Anthony Williams | August 2019 | None | New party | 0 / 41 (0%) |
1 seat in Trinidad | |||
Not part of any coalition | ||||||||||
PEP | 2017 | Centre-left to left-wing Progressivism, Environmentalism, Decentralisation |
Phillip Alexander | January 2017 | None | New party | 0 / 41 (0%) |
28 seats in Trinidad | ||
THC | 2015 | Marcus Ramkissoon | July 2015 | None | – | – | 0 / 41 (0%) |
7 seats in Trinidad | ||
NNV | 1994 | Muslim interests, Social conservatism | Fuad Abu Bakr | April 2010 | None | – | – | 0 / 41 (0%) |
6 seats in Trinidad | |
MSJ | 2009 | Left-wing Socialism, Labourism, Direct democracy |
David Abdulah | January 2012 | None | – | – | 0 / 41 (0%) | 5 seats in Trinidad | |
MND | 2019 | Diego Martin regionalism | Garvin Nicholas | September 2019 | None | New party | 0 / 41 (0%) |
3 seats in Trinidad | ||
NCT | 2013 | Nalini Dial | July 2013 | None | – | – | 0 / 41 (0%) |
2 seats in Trinidad | ||
ILP | 2013 | Rekha Ramjit | October 2015 | None | 0.70% |
0 / 41 (0%) |
0 / 41 (0%) |
1 seat in Trinidad | ||
TNP | 2017 | Valmiki Ramsingh | July 2017 | None | New party | 0 / 41 (0%) |
1 seat in Trinidad | |||
UPP | 2018 | Right-wing Christian right, Social conservatism |
Kenneth Munroe-Brown | December 2018 | None | New party | 0 / 41 (0%) |
1 seat in Trinidad | ||
Progressive | 2019 | Centre to centre-left Progressivism, Decentralization, Localism |
Nikoli Edwards | June 2019 | None | New party | 0 / 41 (0%) | 1 seat in Trinidad | ||
NOW | 2020 | Kirk Waithe | January 2020 | None | New party | 0 / 41 (0%) |
1 seat in Trinidad |
Tobago only
Party | Founded | Political position and ideology | Leader(s) | Leader since | Leader's seat | Last election | At dissolution | Contested seats | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% party vote | Seats | |||||||||
Not part of any coalition | ||||||||||
PDP | 2016 | Tobagonian nationalism, Federalism | Watson Duke | July 2016 | None | New party | 0 / 41 (0%) | 2 seats in Tobago | ||
OTV | 2019 | Tobago regionalism | Hochoy Charles | October 2019 | None | New party | 0 / 41 (0%) | 1 seat in Tobago | ||
UTP | 2020 | Tobago regionalism | Nickocy Phillips[10] | July 2020 | None | New party | 0 / 41 (0%) |
1 seat in Tobago |
Ideology
Significant differences in the programs of the two major parties UNC and PNM cannot be identified. The UNC is traditionally more of an Indo-Trinidadian party, while Afro-Trinidadians and Tobagonians make up the majority of the PNM's base. In Trinidad, however, racial differences play a subordinate role, the dominant subject areas in the media are the stagnating economy and the high rate of violent crime; here both parties claim that they are better suited to combat them.[11] In the closing stages of the election campaign, Prime Minister Rowley and citizens accused the UNC of using racist motives in its advertising campaign.[12]
Some parties only represent regional positions. This applies in particular to the parties PDP and OTV, who are running exclusively in Tobago and advocate for regional interests of the island and the MND, which advocates the interests of the Diego Martin region .
The announcement by the opposition UNC that, in the event of an election victory, would build a “dome” over Trinidad to protect against illegal immigrants, made the election campaign relaxed. Before the UNC made it clear that it meant a radar screen, users of social media picked up the topic and indulged in humorous allusions to domes in films and television series.[13]
Process
The organization of the election was subject to the state Elections and Boundaries Commission (EBC). There were no election observers.
Opinion research in the run-up to the election was carried out by the North American Caribbean Teachers Association (NACTA) and the management consultancy HHB Associates, among others. A NACTA poll shortly after the election date was announced, found that, as in most previous elections, only PNM and UNC would play a role.[14] An HHB poll published July 25 in the Trinidad and Tobago Guardian found the ruling PNM at 53% and the UNC at 44%.[15] A NACTA poll from July 25, however, saw the UNC one percentage point ahead.[16] At this point in time, the tendency, known from previous elections, was that Trinidadians with African roots tend to choose the PNM and Trinidadians with Indian roots rather the UNC.
The resignation of former deputy PNM chairwoman Nafeesa Mohammed on July 28, who accused the PNM leadership of arrogance, ignorance and incompetence, caused a media stir.[17] The opposition leader and former Prime Minister Kamla Persad-Bissessar were threatened with death during the election campaign.[18] Minor parties and bodies called on the President to postpone the election in view of the Covid-19 pandemic, which was also rampant in Trinidad, but their requests were denied.[19] A UNC supporter was stabbed on the sidelines of a UNC election campaign on the Saturday before the election.[20]
The polling stations closed at 6:00 p.m. on election Monday. At 10:30 pm, Prime Minister Keith Rowley declared his party the winner of the election.
Marginal seats
The following lists identify and rank seats by the margin by which the party's candidate finished behind the winning candidate in the 2015 election.
For information purposes only, seats that have changed hands through subsequent by elections have been noted. Seats whose members have changed party allegiance are ignored.
- = appears in two lists
People's National Movement | People's Partnership (UNC—COP—TOP) | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marginal | |||||||
1 | Barataria/San Juan | 3.18% | 1 | Moruga/Tableland | 2.53% | ||
2 | Chaguanas East | 7.95% | 2 | St. Joseph | 8.33% | ||
3 | Pointe-à-Pierre | 8.39% | 3 | La Horquetta/Talparo | 15.56% | ||
4 | Mayaro | 14.05% | 4 | Tunapuna | 19.13% | ||
5 | Cumuto/Manzanilla | 15.95% | 5 | Toco/Sangre Grande | 19.20% | ||
6 | Fyzabad | 18.92% | 6 | San Fernando West | 19.39% | ||
7 | Caroni Central | 26.11% | 7 | Point Fortin | 20.94% | ||
8 | Tabaquite | 31.12% | 8 | Lopinot/Bon Air West | 28.10% | ||
9 | St. Augustine | 33.57% | 9 | La Brea | 33.45% | ||
10 | Couva North | 34.17% | 10 | D'Abadie/O'Meara | 34.20% | ||
11 | Princes Town | 35.60% | 11 | San Fernando East | 37.33% | ||
12 | Couva South | 38.83% | 12 | Arima | 40.12% | ||
13 | Caroni East | 44.79% | 13 | Diego Martin North/East | 41.40% | ||
14 | Oropouche West | 48.70% | 14 | Diego Martin West | 55.32% | ||
15 | Siparia | 51.60% | 15 | St. Ann's East | 56.55% | ||
16 | Oropouche East | 60.02% | 16 | Diego Martin Central | 59.77% | ||
17 | Naparima | 65.53% | 17 | Port of Spain South | 60.81% | ||
18 | Chaguanas West | 76.14% | 18 | Tobago East | 60.88% | ||
Safe | 19 | Arouca/Maloney | 63.10% | ||||
20 | Port of Spain North/St. Ann's West | 65.62% | |||||
21 | Tobago West | 73.48% | |||||
22 | Laventille East/Morvant | 76.84% | |||||
23 | Laventille West | 81.07% | |||||
Safe | |||||||
Independent (Watson Duke) | |||||||
1 | Tobago East | 53.78% | |||||
Safe | |||||||
Tobago Forwards | |||||||
1 | Tobago West | 67.24% | |||||
Safe | |||||||
Source: Parliamentary Elections, 2015 Final Results – Candidates Vote Count |
Members of Parliament not standing for re-election
Trinidad
Retiring incumbent | Electoral District | Term in office | Date announced | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Surujrattan Rambachan | UNC | Tabaquite | 2010–2020 | 14 August 2019[21] | |
Fuad Khan | UNC | Barataria/San Juan | 1995–2007; 2010–2020 | 9 November 2019[22] | |
Ganga Singh | UNC | Chaguanas West | 1995–2007 (Caroni East); 2015–2020 | 8 March 2020[23] | |
Maxie Cuffie | PNM | La Horquetta/Talparo | 2015–2020 | 13 May 2020[24] | |
Tim Gopeesingh | UNC | Caroni East | 2007–2020 | 4 June 2020[25] |
Candidates by constituency
Trinidad
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PNM | UNC | PEP | Other | |||||||
Arima | Pennelope Beckles-Robinson | Flora Singh | Sharon Hernandez | Nalini Dial (NCT) | Anthony Garcia | |||||
Arouca/Maloney | Camille Robinson-Regis | Cherry-Ann David | Kelvin Wayne | Camille Robinson-Regis | ||||||
Barataria/San Juan | Jason 'JW' Williams | Saddam Hosein | Albertha Purdeen | † Fuad Khan | ||||||
Caroni Central | Reyad Ali | Arnold Ram | Lorena Lucien | Bhoendradatt Tewarie | ||||||
Caroni East | Sharon Archie | Rishi Seecharran | Dave Babwah | † Tim Gopeesingh | ||||||
Chaguanas East | Clarence Rambharat | Vandana Mohit | Matthew Gibbs | Shiraz Khan (Ind.) | Fazal Karim | |||||
Chaguanas West | Rackeal Bissoon | Dinesh Rambally | Rahman Ali (NNV) | † Ganga Singh | ||||||
Couva North | Sharda Satram | Ravi Ratiram | Rohanie Debideen | Joel Ramdhanie (COP/Better United) | Ramona Ramdial | |||||
Couva South | Rajendra Rampersad | Rudranath Indarsingh | Gerard Whyms | Linnell Doolan (THC) | Rudranath Indarsingh | |||||
Cumuto/Manzanilla | Ronney Lochan | Rai Ragbir | Anthony Henry | Christopher Mathura (THC) | Christine Newallo-Hosein | |||||
D'Abadie/O'Meara | Lisa Morris-Julian | Maurice Hoyte | Hadassah Charles-McLeod | Peter Amann (NCT) | Ancil Antoine | |||||
Diego Martin Central | Symon De Nobrega | John Ricardo Laquis | Felicia Holder | Ashton Francis (NNV)
Garvin Nicholas (MND) Renee St Rose (MSJ) |
Darryl Smith | |||||
Diego Martin North/East | Colm Imbert | Eli Zakour | Phillip Edward Alexander | Myron Bruce (MND)
Lonsdale Williams (COP/Better United) |
Colm Imbert | |||||
Diego Martin West | Keith Rowley | Marsha Riley-Walker | Zafir David (THC)
Dexter Nicholls (MND) |
Keith Rowley | ||||||
Fyzabad | Solange De Souza | Lackram Bodoe | Alice Narine | Radhaka Gualbance (MSJ) | Lackram Bodoe | |||||
La Brea | Stephen McClatchie | Victor Roberts | Rondoll Glasgow | Callum Marshall (NNV) | Nicole Olivierre | |||||
La Horquetta/Talparo | Foster Cummings | Jearlean John | Benet Thomas | †Maxie Cuffie | ||||||
Laventille East/Morvant | Adrian Leonce | Kareem Baird | Christopher Roberts | Umar Khan (NNV) | Adrian Leonce | |||||
Laventille West | Fitzgerald Hinds | Rodney Stowe | Natalia Moore | Sandra Emmanuel (NNV)
Kurt Sinnette (COP/Better United) Kirk Waithe (NOW) |
Fitzgerald Hinds | |||||
Lopinot/Bon Air West | Marvin Gonzales | Prakash Williams | Dominique Lopez | Jack Warner (ILP) | Cherrie Ann Crichlow-Cockburn | |||||
Mayaro | Bunny Mahabirsingh | Rushton Paray | Sterling Lee Ha | Rushton Paray | ||||||
Moruga/Tableland | Winston 'Gypsy' Peters | Michelle Benjamin | Steve Alvarez (DPTT/Better United)
Larry Sanchar (THC) Thomas Sotillio (Ind.) |
Lovell Francis | ||||||
Naparima | Randy Sinanan | Rodney Charles | Rodney Charles | |||||||
Oropouche East | Clifford Rambharose | Roodal Moonilal | Roodal Moonilal | |||||||
Oropouche West | Lea Ramoutar | Davendranath Tancoo | Sasha Ali | Vidia Gayadeen-Goopeesingh | ||||||
Point Fortin | Kennedy Richards Jr. | Taharqa Obika | Kenesha Ramsoondar | Ernesto Kesar (MSJ)
Nicholas Anthony Williams (TTDF) |
Edmund Dillon | |||||
Pointe-à-Pierre | Daniel Dookie | David Lee | Marvyn Howard | David Abdulah (MSJ) | David Lee | |||||
Port of Spain North/St. Ann's West | Stuart Young | Darren Garner | Limma Mc Leod | Kenneth Munroe-Brown (UPP) | Stuart Young | |||||
Port of Spain South | Keith Scotland | Curtis Orr | Gail Castanada | Fuad Abu Bakr (NNV) | Marlene McDonald | |||||
Princes Town | Sharon Baboolal | Barry Padarath | Kim Young Low | Barry Padarath | ||||||
San Fernando East | Brian Manning | Monifa Andrews | Randall Mitchell | |||||||
San Fernando West | Faris Al-Rawi | Sean Sobers | Benison Jagessar | Nikoli Edwards (Progressive)
Valmiki Ramsingh (TNP) |
Faris Al-Rawi | |||||
Siparia | Rebecca Dipnarine | Kamla Persad-Bissessar | Kamla Persad-Bissessar | |||||||
St. Ann's East | Nyan Gadsby-Dolly | Kenya Charles | Akil Camps | Nyan Gadsby-Dolly | ||||||
St. Augustine | Renuka Sagramsingh-Sookal | Khadijah Ameen | Satesh Ramsaran | Michlin Hosein-Phelps (THC)
Carolyn Seepersad-Bachan (COP/Better United) |
Prakash Ramadhar | |||||
St. Joseph | Terrence Deyalsingh | Ahloy Hunte | Errol Fabien (Ind./Better United)
Joel Williams (THC) |
Terrence Deyalsingh | ||||||
Tabaquite | Michael Seales | Anita Haynes | Carl Henry | † Surujrattan Rambachan | ||||||
Toco/Sangre Grande | Roger Munroe | Nabila Greene | Kevon Hernandez | Glenda Jennings-Smith | ||||||
Tunapuna | Esmond Forde | David Nakhid | Maurice Downes | Marcus Ramkissoon (THC) | Esmond Forde |
Tobago
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PNM | PDP | OTV | UTP | Other | ||||||||
Tobago East | Ayanna Webster-Roy | Watson Duke | Juliana Henry-King | Ayanna Webster-Roy | ||||||||
Tobago West | Shamfa Cudjoe | Tashia Grace Burris | Nickocy Phillips | Ricardo Phillip (Ind.) | Shamfa Cudjoe |
Campaign slogans and songs
Party | Slogan | Song | |
---|---|---|---|
PNM | "The right choice."[26][27] | ||
UNC | "Now is the time."[28] |
| |
COP | "Making the quantum leap." | ||
DPTT | "The way forward for Trinidad and Tobago." | ||
TTDF | "People first." | ||
PEP | "Time for real change."[29] | ||
THC | "Good governance is at your fingertips." | ||
NNV | "Believe in better." | ||
MSJ | "Create a balance." | ||
MND | "We are from Diego Martin, for Diego Martin." | ||
NCT | "Respect, ethics, truth, integrity, love, equity." | ||
TNP | "You be the change." | ||
UPP | |||
Progressive | "Progressive 2020. The new normal." | ||
NOW | "Time is now." | ||
PDP | "People before politics."[30] | ||
OTV | “Uniting the peoples of Tobago.” | ||
UTP | "Leadership is action not a position." |
Opinion polling
The North American Caribbean Teachers Association (NACTA) based in New York (led by political analyst Vishnu Bisram), pollster Nigel Henry's Solution by Simulation and pollster Louis Bertrand's H.H.B (H.H.B) & Associates have commissioned opinion polling for the next general election sampling the electorates' opinions.
Seat projections
Date[nb 1] | Pollster | Sample size |
PNM | UNC | COP | Other | Legislative majority |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 Aug 2020 | 2020 general election | – | 22 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Prime Minister Keith Rowley announces that the election will take place on 10 August 2020 and parliament is dissolved. | |||||||
COVID-19 lockdown ends | |||||||
Ancil Dennis becomes Chief Secretary of Tobago[31][32] | |||||||
COP, PPM, DPTT and TTDF agree to form a coalition[33] | |||||||
Trinidad and Tobago commences a nationwide lockdown due to the COVID-19 pandemic | |||||||
The first case of COVID-19 is confirmed in Trinidad and Tobago, pre-campaigning partially suspended on 13 March[34][35] | |||||||
2020 Tobago Council of the PNM election; Tracy Davidson-Celestine is elected leader | |||||||
PNM wins more districts, ties in number of corporations won and loses the popular vote to the UNC in the 2019 Trinidadian local elections | |||||||
The 2019 budget is delivered | |||||||
Aug 2019 | NACTA/Newday | – | 23 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Apr 2019 | NACTA/Newsday | – | 26 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Mar 2019 | NACTA/Newsday | 540 | 25 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
The 2018 budget is delivered | |||||||
Sep 2018 | NACTA/Newsday | – | 23 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Barataria and Belmont East Local Government By-Elections | |||||||
2018 Trinidad and Tobago presidential election; Paula-Mae Weekes is elected president | |||||||
Carolyn Seepersad-Bachan is elected leader of the COP[36][37][38][39] | |||||||
The Tobago Council of the PNM wins the 2017 Tobago House of Assembly election; Kelvin Charles becomes Chief Secretary of Tobago | |||||||
The 2017 budget is delivered | |||||||
PNM wins the 2016 Trinidadian local elections but loses the popular vote to the UNC | |||||||
The 2016 budget is delivered | |||||||
Anirudh Mahabir is elected leader of the COP[40][41] | |||||||
Kelvin Charles is elected leader of the Tobago Council of the PNM[42] | |||||||
The People's Partnership splits up | |||||||
PNM wins the Auzonville/Tunapuna and Malabar South Local Government By-Elections | |||||||
The 2015 budget is delivered | |||||||
Keith Rowley is sworn in as Prime Minister of Trinidad and Tobago | |||||||
7 Sep 2015 | 2015 general election | – | 23 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Individual polls
Date[nb 1] | Pollster | Sample size |
PNM | UNC | PDP | PEP | COP | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 Aug 2020 | 2020 general election | – | 49.1 | 47.1 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 1.99 |
July 24-31 2020 | SBS/Express | 473 | 43 | 38 | 1 | 1 | – | 1 | 5 |
July 25 2020 | NACTA/Newsday | – | 44 | 45 | – | – | – | – | 1 |
July 2020 | H.H.B. & Associates/Guardian Media | 600 | 35 | 29 | – | – | 0 | 2 | 6 |
7 Sep 2015 | 2015 general election | – | 51.7 | 39.6 | – | – | 6.0 | 3.7 | 12.1 |
Regional/Subnational polls
Tobago East
Date[nb 1] | Pollster | Sample size |
PNM | PDP | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 Aug 2020 | 2020 general election | – | 54.35 | 44.74 | 0.91 | 9.61 |
July 2020 | NACTA/Newsday | (380) | 47 | 42 | 11 | 5 |
7 Sep 2015 | 2015 general election | – | 69.48 | – | 30.52 | 53.78 |
Tobago West
Date[nb 1] | Pollster | Sample size |
PNM | PDP | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 Aug 2020 | 2020 general election | – | 66.81 | 32.42 | 0.77 | 34.39 |
July 2020 | NACTA/Newsday | (380) | 48 | 40 | 12 | 9 |
7 Sep 2015 | 2015 general election | – | 79.20 | – | 20.8 | 67.24 |
Moruga/Tableland
Date[nb 1] | Pollster | Sample size |
PNM | UNC | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 Aug 2020 | 2020 general election | – | 35.92 | 52.34 | 11.74 | 16.42 |
July 25 2020 | H.H.B. & Associates/Guardian Media | 200 | 34 | 23 | 43 | 11 |
7 Sep 2015 | 2015 general election | – | 51.15 | 48.62 | 0.23 | 2.53 |
St. Joseph
Date[nb 1] | Pollster | Sample size |
PNM | UNC | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 Aug 2020 | 2020 general election | – | 51.42 | 46.96 | 1.62 | 4.46 |
July 25 2020 | H.H.B. & Associates/Guardian Media | 200 | 40 | 31 | 29 | 9 |
7 Sep 2015 | 2015 general election | – | 53.77 | 45.44 | 0.79 | 8.33 |
San Fernando West
Date[nb 1] | Pollster | Sample size |
PNM | UNC | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 Aug 2020 | 2020 general election | – | 54.51 | 42.87 | 2.62 | 11.64 |
July 25 2020 | H.H.B. & Associates/Guardian Media | – | 49 | 29 | 22 | 20 |
7 Sep 2015 | 2015 general election | – | 59.24 | 39.85 | 0.91 | 19.39 |
Tunapuna
Date[nb 1] | Pollster | Sample size |
PNM | UNC | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 Aug 2020 | 2020 general election | – | 54.63 | 43.51 | 1.86 | 11.12 |
July 25 2020 | H.H.B. & Associates/Guardian Media | – | 39 | 23 | 38 | 16 |
7 Sep 2015 | 2015 general election | – | 59.42 | 40.29 | 0.29 | 19.13 |
Toco/Sangre Grande
Date[nb 1] | Pollster | Sample size |
PNM | UNC | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 Aug 2020 | 2020 general election | – | 58.66 | 40.10 | 1.24 | 18.23 |
July 25 2020 | H.H.B. & Associates/Guardian Media | – | 32 | 19 | 49 | 13 |
7 Sep 2015 | 2015 general election | – | 59.04 | 39.84 | 0.91 | 19.20 |
Satisfaction
Date[nb 1] | Firm | Interview Mode | Sample Size | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rowley
(PNM) |
Persad-Bissessar
(UNC) | ||||||||||
Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Never heard of | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Never heard of | ||||||
July 2020 | H.H.B. & Associates/Guardian Media | Face-to-face | 600 | 57% | 43% | 0% | 53% | 44% | 3% | ||
31 May 2020 | NACTA/Newsday | n/a | n/a | 53% | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | ||
March 2020 | NACTA/Newsday | n/a | n/a | 46% | n/a | n/a | 55% | n/a | n/a | ||
1–7 September 2019 | SBS/Express | n/a | n/a | 50% | 38% | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | ||
8 March 2019 | NACTA/Newsday | Face-to-face | 540 | 40% | 47% | n/a | 42% | 44% | n/a | ||
24 September 2017 | NACTA/Newsday | Face-to-face | 390 | 40% | n/a | n/a | 42% | n/a | n/a | ||
1–3 September 2017 | H.H.B. & Associates/Guardian Media | Telephone | 301 | 32% | n/a | n/a | 43% | 38% | n/a | ||
July 2017 | NACTA/Newsday | Face-to-face | 410 | 41% | n/a | n/a | 43% | n/a | n/a | ||
June 2017 | NACTA/Newsday | Face-to-face | 380 | 42% | n/a | n/a | 43% | n/a | n/a | ||
30 August – 5 September 2016 | SBS/Express | Telephone | 601 | 51% | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | ||
^ Remainder were "undecided". |
Preferred Prime Minister
Date[nb 1] | Firm | Interview Mode | Sample Size | Lead | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rowley
(PNM) |
Persad-Bissessar
(UNC) | |||||||
July 2020 | H.H.B. & Associates | Face-to-face | 600 | 39% | 34% | 5% | ||
March 2020 | NACTA | n/a | n/a | 43% | 45% | 2% | ||
^ Remainder were "undecided". |
Government direction
Date[nb 1] | Polling organisation | Interview Mode | Sample size | Right direction | Wrong direction | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 August 2020 | SBS/Express | Telephone | 473 | 47 | 41 | 6 |
24 September 2017 | NACTA | Face-to-face | 390 | n/a | 89 | n/a |
1–3 September 2017 | H.H.B. & Associates | Telephone | 301 | n/a | 83 | n/a |
July 2017 | NACTA | Face-to-face | 410 | n/a | 85 | n/a |
June 2017 | NACTA | Face-to-face | 380 | n/a | 83 | n/a |
Results
Summary Results
↓ | |||||||||
22 | 19 | ||||||||
PNM | UNC |
Party | Votes | Seats | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PNM | 322,250 | 49.08% |
22 / 41 (54%) |
|||
UNC | 309,188 | 47.09% |
19 / 41 (46%) |
|||
All other parties won no seats. Total seats in the House of Representatives: 41. Seats for a majority government: 21. |
Full Results
Parties | Votes | % | +/- | Seats | +/- | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
People's National Movement | 322,250 | 49.08 | 22 | ||||||
United National Congress | 309,188 | 47.09 | 19 | ||||||
Progressive Democratic Patriots | 10,367 | 1.58 | New | 0 | New | ||||
Progressive Empowerment Party | 5,933 | 0.90 | New | 0 | New | ||||
Independent Liberal Party | 3,817 | 0.58 | 0 | ||||||
Movement for Social Justice | 1,223 | 0.19 | N/a | 0 | |||||
Movement for National Development | 1,039 | 0.16 | New | 0 | New | ||||
COP–DPTT–TTDF | 524 | 0.08 | 0 | ||||||
New National Vision | 493 | 0.08 | 0 | ||||||
Trinidad Humanity Campaign | 366 | 0.06 | 0 | ||||||
National Organisation of We the People | 310 | 0.05 | New | 0 | New | ||||
National Coalition for Transformation | 234 | 0.04 | N/a | 0 | |||||
Progressive Party | 211 | 0.03 | New | 0 | New | ||||
One Tobago Voice | 80 | 0.01 | New | 0 | New | ||||
Unrepresented Peoples Party | 73 | 0.01 | New | 0 | New | ||||
Unity of the People | 40 | 0.01 | New | 0 | New | ||||
The National Party | 23 | 0.00 | New | 0 | New | ||||
Independents | 351 | 0.05 | 0 | ||||||
Valid votes | 656,522 | 99.73 | |||||||
Blank and invalid votes | 1,775 | 0.27 | |||||||
Total | 658,297 | 100 | – | 41 | = | ||||
Abstentions | 475,838 | 41.96 | |||||||
Registered voters/turnout | 1,134,135 | 58.04 |
See also
- 2021 Tobago House of Assembly election
- 2020 Tobago Council of the People's National Movement election
- 2019 Trinidadian local elections
- 2017 Tobago House of Assembly election
- 2016 Trinidadian local elections
Footnotes
- These are the survey dates of the poll, or if the survey dates are not stated, the date the poll was released.
References
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