2020 Romanian legislative election

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Romania in late 2020, provided that Parliament is not dissolved earlier.

2020 Romanian legislative election

By 31 December 2020[1]

All 329 seats in the Chamber and all 136 seats in the Senate
165 seats in the Chamber and 69 seats in the Senate; 233 overall seats needed for a majority
  Majority party Minority party Third party
 

Leader Marcel Ciolacu Ludovic Orban Dan Barna
Dacian Cioloș
Party PSD PNL USR-PLUS
Leader since 26 November 2019 17 June 2017 28 October 2017
Leader's seat D – Buzău did not stand D – Sibiu
Last election 67 S / 154 D 30 S / 69 D 13 S / 30 D

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
Leader Hunor Kelemen Călin Popescu-Tăriceanu Eugen Tomac
Party UDMR ALDE PMP
Leader since 26 February 2011 19 June 2015 16 June 2018
Leader's seat D – Harghita SBucharest D – Bucharest[2]
Last election 9 S / 21 D 9 S / 20 D 8 S / 18 D

Prime Minister before election

Ludovic Orban
PNL

Prime Minister-designate

TBD

This article is part of a series on the
politics and government of
Romania

Electoral system

The 329 members of the Chamber of Deputies are elected by several methods: 308 are elected from 42 multi-member constituencies based on counties and Bucharest, using proportional representation, four are elected using proportional representation from a constituency representing Romanians living abroad. Parties must pass a threshold of 5% of the national vote or at least 20% of the vote in four constituencies. Further seats can be added for ethnic minority groups that compete in the elections and pass a special (lower) threshold (currently 17).[3]

The 136 members of the Senate are also elected using party-list proportional representation, but from 43 constituencies based on the 41 counties (a total of 121 seats), Bucharest (13 seats) and one for Romanians living overseas (two seats).[4]

Government

The previous election led to a large victory for Liviu Dragnea's Social Democratic Party (PSD), although it fell short of an absolute majority. It made a coalition agreement with the ALDE, forming the Grindeanu Cabinet in January 2017. However, it didn't last long and was replaced by the Tudose Cabinet in June 2017, which didn't last either. The Dăncilă Cabinet took office in January 2018 and was dismissed by a motion of no confidence in October 2019, being subsequently replaced by the PNL minority Orban Cabinet in November 2019. The Orban Cabinet was dismissed by a motion of no confidence on 5 February 2020, but took office again on 14 March 2020.

Parties

PartyEstablishedLeaderIdeologySeats before election
Social Democratic Party2001
Marcel Ciolacu S – 67
D – 154
National Liberal Party1875Ludovic Orban S – 30
D – 69
Save Romania Union2015Dan Barna S – 13
D – 30
Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania1989Hunor Kelemen S – 9
D – 21
Alliance of Liberals and Democrats2015Călin Popescu-Tăriceanu S – 9
D – 20
People's Movement Party2014Eugen Tomac S – 8
D – 18
PRO Romania2018[5]Victor Ponta New
Democratic Forum of Germans1989Paul-Jürgen Porr S – 0
D – 1
Freedom, Unity and Solidarity Party2018[7]Dacian Cioloș New
Greater Romania Party1991Victor Iovici S – 0
D – 0
United Romania Party2015Robert Bugă S – 0
D – 0
Romanian Ecologist Party1990Dănuț PopGreen liberalismS – 0
D – 0
Green Party2005Constantin DamovGreen politicsS – 0
D – 0
Christian Democratic National Peasants' Party1989
Aurelian Pavelescu S – 0
D – 0
The Right Alternative2019Adela Mirza New
Romanian Socialist Party2003
Constantin Rotaru S – 0
D – 0

Opinion polls

Aggregated polls since last election.
Date Poll source Sample size PSD PNL USR PLUS UDMR ALDE PMP PRO Other Lead
25 Jul–17 Aug 2020 poll.fm (online) 98.496 11 29 36 1 1 6 8 8 7
29 Jul–5 Aug 2020 CURS 1,100 28 31 14 4 5 5 7 6 3
10–29 Jul 2020 IMAS 1,010 23.4 33.4 17.2 5.6 3.4 3.9 9.7 3.4 10
19–30 Jun 2020 CURS 1,100 28 32 16 5 5 5 7 2 4
5–27 Jun 2020 IMAS 1,010 21.9 33.0 12.3 5.8 3.4 3.7 4.7 11.2 4 11.1
8–27 May 2020 IMAS 1,010 23.0 32.6 11.6 5.1 5.1 4.2 3.7 11.2 3.1 9.6
15–26 May 2020 Avangarde 1,000 29 35 13 5 4 4 6 4 6
21 May 2020 PSD N/A 27 35 16 2 4 4 4 8 8
15–20 May 2020 INSCOP 1,132 25.8 38.5 10.2 6.0 3.6 3.5 9.4 2.9 12.7
1–7 May 2020 BCS 1,545 22.5 33.0 22.0 5.3 1.4 6.5 5.1 4.3 10.5
6–24 Apr 2020 IMAS 1,010 24.8 33.0 10.8 5.1 5.5 4.4 3.4 8.2 4.8 8.2
1–15 Apr 2020 BCS 1,008 22.9 31.3 19.9 3.6 2.5 6.7 8.8 4.2 8.4
5–26 Mar 2020 IMAS N/A 23.9 36.7 12.5 6.5 4.5 3.5 3.5 5.8 3.0 12.8
11–28 Feb 2020 IMAS 1,010 25.8 40.7 10.0 3.5 4.4 4.3 3.6 4.6 3.1 14.9
13–31 Jan 2020 IMAS 1,007 20.6 47.4 12.4 3.4 4.7 3.2 1.8 3.8 2.7 26.8
20–30 Jan 2020 CURS 1,229 26 37 14 5 4 4 6 1 11
13–18 Dec 2019 Sociopol 1,000 23 47 13 4 2 3 5 3 24
4–18 Dec 2019 IMAS 1,011 18.5 45.0 11.5 3.5 5.0 3.5 3.0 6.4 4.6 26.5
12–17 Dec 2019 CURS 1,067 31 35 14 4 4 5 6 1 4
11–27 Nov 2019 IMAS 1,011 21.3 39.0 12.6 5.6 4.2 3.3 2.9 6.4 4.7 17.7
24 Nov 2019 Iohannis re-elected President of Romania with 66.09% of the vote
25 Oct–3 Nov 2019 USR 1,225 24.0 38.2 20.0 4.5 4.3 4.8 4.2 14.2
8–28 Oct 2019 IMAS 1,010 21.2 29.6 16.4 5.6 5.5 4.3 3.4 10.7 4.4 8.4
15–23 Oct 2019 USR N/A 24.9 36.8 19.9 4.0 4.0 6.5 3.9 11.9
12–19 Oct 2019 BCS 1,117 23.8 36.3 16.8 5.7 3.3 5.6 5.6 2.9 12.5
10 Oct 2019 Dăncilă ousted as Prime minister, following a vote of no confidence from the parliament.
9–28 Sep 2019 IMAS 1,010 19.5 27.7 17.9 5.2 5.3 6.2 3.3 9.1 5.3 8.2
3–24 Sep 2019 USR 1,500 25.3 36.8 21.2 2.9 3.2 5.6 5.2 11.5
16–20 Sep 2019 Socio-Data 1,070 25 28 22 5 4 5 9 2 3
9–13 Sep 2019 Socio-Data 1,070 26 32 22 4 5 3 6 2 6
2–6 Sep 2019 Socio-Data 1,070 24 32 21 4 3 5 9 2 8
26–30 Aug 2019 Socio-Data 1,070 22 26 24 4 6 5 10 3 2
19–31 Aug 2019 Sociopol 1,001 20 35 16 3 5 5 11 5 15
26–30 Aug 2019 Verifield 1,000 25 28 23 4 6 2 8 4 3
5–28 Aug 2019 IMAS 1,010 17.9 28.4 19.8 5.5 4.6 7.4 2.9 8.7 4.8 8.6
19 Jul–5 Aug 2019 CURS 1,600 24 31 20 4 8 5 7 1 7
15 Jul–2 Aug 2019 IMAS 1,010 19.4 25.5 21.4 6.0 4.2 7.3 2.9 9.0 4.2 4.1
17–23 Jul 2019 BCS 1,128 25.4 34.2 18.6 4.6 5.7 5.5 4.8 1.1 8.8
28 Jun–8 Jul 2019 CURS 1,067 26 29 22 4 5 4 8 2 3
7–26 Jun 2019 IMAS 1,010 18.9 27.5 17.6 7.6 2.5 8.5 3.7 9.8 3.8 8.6
26 May 2019 European elections 22.5 27.0 22.4 5.3 4.1 5.8 6.4 6.5 4.5
2–20 May 2019 IMAS 1,010 21.4 29.3 14.4 6.3 3.3 10.2 5.5 8.0 1.7 7.9
5–28 Apr 2019 CURS 1,500 32 25 12 5 10 5 9 2 7
12–25 Mar 2019 CURS 1,067 31 23 13 5 10 6 8 4 8
1–21 Feb 2019 IMAS 1,010 23.4 23.6 10.5 8.0 5.0 12.4 3.5 11.1 2.5 0.2
21 Jan–6 Feb 2019 CURS 1,067 31 21 9 4 5 10 5 8 7 10
28 Jan–4 Feb 2019 Sociopol 1,003 33 20 9 6 4 11 2 8 7 13
11–30 Jan 2019 IMAS 1,011 25.3 22.1 11.0 4.4 13.4 3.8 8.1 8.9 3.2 3.2
12–20 Jan 2019 BCS N/A 23.0 23.7 6.5 8.1 4.8 8.1 9.3 10.7 5.8 0.7
Jan 2019 PNL 26,000 30.2 27.0 10.2 5.0 5.0 11.6 4.2 5.5 1.3 3.2
4–20 Dec 2018 IMAS 1,010 25.2 26.1 11.5 8.1 4.6 9.6 2.5 6.2 6.2 0.9
24 Nov–9 Dec 2018 CURS 1,067 33 20 7 5 6 9 5 9 6 13
Nov 2018 IMAS 1,010 24.9 23.3 14.8 8.2 5.8 11.7 2.1 9.2 1.6
Oct 2018 IMAS N/A 27.6 21.9 13.1 9.6 4.7 10.6 4.1 8.4 5.7
6–7 Oct 2018 Failure of the constitutional referendum
3–4 Oct 2018 Sociopol 873 38 23 6 5 4 10 1 5 8 15
20 Sep – 1 Oct 2018 CURS 1,067 37 22 8 5 5 9 5 6 3 15
Sep 2018 IMAS N/A 28.1 27.1 9.5 10.1 5.6 11.4 2.7 5.5 1.0
22–27 Sep 2018 Sociopol 1,004 34 20 10 4 4 11 2 7 8 16
7–20 Aug 2018 Sociopol 1,005 35 19 13 4 4 10 3 3 5 16
Jul 2018 IRIN/A 26 24 7 5 1 6 3 28 2
Jun 2018 IMAS 1,200 28.4 29.2 11.3 8.0 5.0 8.6 2.8 6.7 0.8
23 Jun – 1 Jul 2018 CURS 1,067 37 24 7 5 5 8 4 5 4 13
22–26 Jun 2018 Sociopol 917 41 20 7 7 4 12 1 5 3 21
28 May – 8 Jun 2018 Sociopol 1,003 40 18 9 8 5 7 1 3 9 22
27 Apr – 8 May 2018 CURS1,067 39 25 6 3 6 8 5 3 5 14
Mar 2018 CURSN/A 39 27 7 12 5 10 12
Feb 2018 IMAS1,010 28.6 29.4 11.2 6.0 10.6 4.6 9.6 0.8
27 Feb – 5 Mar 2018 Sociopol1,000 34 33 12 6 5 5 5 1
29 Jan 2018 The Dăncilă Cabinet takes office, with the confidence of UDMR and other MPs from national minorities.
16 Jan 2018 Prime minister Tudose resigns, followed by other ministers.
3–10 Jan 2018 CURS1,068 42 27 5 2 6 9 5 2 6 15
24 Nov – 7 Dec 2017 Avangarde700 46 23 5 5 13 4 4 23
Nov 2017 CURS1,067 43 27 5 6 9 6 4 16
Sep 2017 IMAS1,000 38.8 30.9 6.8 5.0 8.1 3.0 7.4 7.9
22 Sep – 5 Oct 2017 SociopolN/A 61 24 2 3 4 3 3 37
28 Aug – 14 Sep 2017 Sociopol1,005 51 27 7 4 6 3 2 24
11–23 Aug 2017 Avangarde710 46 25 6 5 7 4 7 21
14–29 Jun 2017 Ministers resign. A motion of no-confidence is passed with PSD support. The Tudose Cabinet is sworn in.
15–22 Jun 2017 Avangarde781 46 30 9 3 6 5 1 16
Apr 2017 IMASN/A 40.6 25.4 8.2 8.5 15.2
6–14 Mar 2017 Sociopol1,007 47 21 12 5 6 3 6 26
Jan 2017 IMASN/A 49.0 20.7 8.3 6.8 28.3
18 Jan – 5 Mar 2017 Street protests force the government to withdraw some of its proposed policies
4 Jan 2017 The Grindeanu Cabinet (PSD–ALDE coalition) assumes office
11 Dec 2016 2016 elections 45.5
154
20.0
69
8.9
30
6.2
21
5.6
20
5.4
18
6.3
25.5

References

  1. https://data.ipu.org/node/140/elections?chamber_id=13509
  2. Eugen Tomac was elected as an MP in the Chamber of Deputies of Romania in 2016. However, he successfully stood for election in the European Parliament election in 2019, thus Eugen Tomac resigned his seat in the Romanian Parliament on 20 June 2019 to take up his seat in the European Parliament as an MEP on 2 July 2019.
  3. Electoral system IPU
  4. Electoral system IPU
  5. Maria Tufan (20 February 2018). "Victor Ponta și Daniel Constantin au primit personalitate juridică pentru partidul Pro România". Adevărul (in Romanian).
  6. Valentina Postelnicu (3 September 2017). "Victor Ponta, în partidul Pro România, alături de Daniel Constantin: Nu mi-am propus să rup PSD". Libertatea (in Romanian).
  7. "Dacian Cioloș are, oficial, partid: PLUS". Digi 24 (in Romanian). 15 December 2018.
This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.