2020 Lithuanian parliamentary election

Parliamentary elections will be held in Lithuania on 11 and 25 October 2020 to elect the 141 members of the Seimas.[1] 71 will be elected in single-member constituencies using the two-round system, and the remaining 70 in a single nationwide constituency using proportional representation. The first round will be held on 11 October and the second round on 25 October.

2020 Lithuanian parliamentary election

11 October 2020 (first round) 25 October 2020 (second round)

Party Leader Current seats Farmers and Greens Ramūnas Karbauskis 49 Homeland Union Gabrielius Landsbergis 36 LSDDP Gediminas Kirkilas 11 Liberal Movement Viktorija Čmilytė 10 Social Democratic Gintautas Paluckas 9 AWPL Valdemar Tomaševski 8 Non-attached Andrius Mazuronis 16

Incumbent Prime Minister Saulius Skvernelis Farmers and Greens

The 2016 election was a surprise landslide victory for the Lithuanian Farmers and Greens Union (LVŽS), which won 54 seats, including half of the single-member constituencies. The Skvernelis Cabinet took office with the support of LVŽS and Social Democratic Party of Lithuania (LSDP). The latter party split in 2017 due to disagreement about government participation, with some of its MPs forming the Social Democratic Labour Party of Lithuania (LSDDP) with members of the Labour Party. Lacking support in Parliament, the government passed a cooperation agreement with Order and Justice (TT) in 2018.

A proposal to reduce the size of the Seimas from 141 to 121 seats failed following a referendum held in May 2019.

Electoral system

Main article: Elections in Lithuania

The Seimas has 141 members, elected to a four-year term in parallel voting, with 71 members elected in single-seat constituencies and 70 members elected by proportional representation.[2] The voting in the elections is open to all citizens of Lithuania who are at least 18 years old.

Parliament members in the 71 single-seat constituencies are elected in a majority vote, with a run-off held within 15 days, if necessary. The remaining 70 seats are allocated to the participating political parties using the largest remainder method. Parties normally need to receive at least 5% (7% for multi-party electoral lists) of the votes to be eligible for a seat. Candidates take the seats allocated to their parties based on the preference lists submitted before the election and adjusted by preference votes given by the voters.[2]

To be eligible for election, candidates must be at least 25 years old on the election day, not under allegiance to a foreign state and permanently reside in Lithuania. Persons serving or due to serve a sentence imposed by the court 65 days before the election are not eligible. Also, judges, citizens performing military service, and servicemen of professional military service and officials of statutory institutions and establishments may not stand for election.[2] In addition, a person who has been removed from office through impeachment may not be elected.[3]

Parties

Name		Abbr.	Leader	Ideology	Political position	Last election
						Votes (%)	Seats
	Lithuanian Farmers and Greens Union Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga	LVŽS	Ramūnas Karbauskis	Technocracy Agrarianism Green conservatism	Centre to centre-right	22.45%	54 / 141
	Homeland Union Tėvynės sąjunga – Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai	TS-LKD	Gabrielius Landsbergis	Conservatism Christian democracy Liberal conservatism National conservatism Lithuanian nationalism[4]	Centre-right to right-wing	22.63%	31 / 141
	Social Democratic Labour Party of Lithuania Lietuvos socialdemokratų darbo partija	LSDDP	Gediminas Kirkilas	Social democracy Pro-Europeanism Nordic model	Centre-left	Did not exist Split from LSDP
	Liberal Movement Lietuvos Respublikos Liberalų sąjūdis	LRLS	Eugenijus Gentvilas	Classical liberalism Conservative liberalism Liberalism	Centre-right	9.45%	14 / 141
	Social Democratic Party of Lithuania Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija	LSDP	Gintautas Paluckas	Social democracy Democratic socialism[5] Pro-Europeanism	Centre-left to left-wing	15.04%	17 / 141
	Electoral Action of Poles in Lithuania – Christian Families Alliance Lietuvos lenkų rinkimų akcija – Krikščioniškų šeimų sąjunga Akcja Wyborcza Polaków na Litwie – Związek Chrześcijańskich Rodzin	EAPL–CFA	Valdemar Tomaševski	Polish minority interests Christian democracy Conservatism	Centre-right	5.72%	8 / 141
	Christian Union Krikščionių sąjunga	KS	Rimantas Dagys	Christian democracy Catholic social teaching		Did not exist

Opinion polls

Polling Firm/Link	Last date of polling	TS-LKD	LVŽS	LSDP	LSDDP	TT/LT	LRLS	LLRA	LCP	DP	Laisves
Spinter tyrimai	16–26 July 2020	22.8	22.1	13.9		5.4	8.8	4.7	3.4	7.5	5.7
Vilmorus	10–18 July 2020	25.3	25.8	10.4	4.6	5.4	6.9	3.2	2.3	9.1	2.3
Spinter tyrimai	18–26 June 2020	25.2	19.8	13.5		4.9	7.7	5.7		8	6.1
Baltijos tyrimai	15–25 June 2020	18.2	22.5	17	2.9	7.8	8.8	6.6	1.9	8.4	3.7
Vilmorus	5–13 June 2020	24.9	23.3	15.9	3.7	5.4	7.5	3.8	3.0	8.0	3.5
Spinter tyrimai	20–30 April 2020	17.4	12.7	9	2.1		5.6	3.9		4.2	2.8
Spinter tyrimai	17–30 March 2020	19	9.5	7.7	2.3	2.3	4.6	3.2		4.1	4.1
Vilmorus	5–13 March 2020	17	12.4	8.3	2.5	3.8	3.5			5.1
Spinter tyrimai	18–25 February 2020	18.6	9.9	8.3	2.9	3.3	6.8	4.2	2	5.1	2.7
Vilmorus	7–13 February 2020	17.7	11.6	9.7	2.3	5.7	3.1	1.6	1.1	5.9	1.2
Spinter tyrimai	20-28 January 2020	18.1	9.8	7.7	2	3.8	6.2	4.2	2.5	6.7	3.9
Vilmorus	10-18 January 2020	16.5	11.3	8.9	2.4	4.3	3.2	1.7	2.8	6	1.3
Baltijos tyrimai	10–21 December 2019	16.6	6.9	12.2	2.2	5.5	5.2	4.2	3.1	8.9	2.3
Baltijos tyrimai	14–27 November 2019	17.3	8.3	13	2.4	3.4	3.9	3.9	2.1	9.1	2.2
Spinter tyrimai	19–29 November 2019	19.1	7.5	8	1.5	3.1	6.6	3.3	2.7	7.2	3.4
Baltijos tyrimai	October 2019	15.6	7	12.5	1.6	3.1	4.4	4.6	2.6	9	1.8
Spinter tyrimai	October 2019	18	10.2	6.9
Spinter tyrimai	18–27 September 2019	19.2	14.6	9	2	3.9	5.2	3	2.3	5	3
Vilmorus	6–14 September 2019	14.4	14.6	8.4	3.2	4.4	3.2	2.1	2.4	7.3	1.8
Baltijos tyrimai	26 August – 3 September 2019	15.2	14.6	14.1	1.4	6.4	5.8	4	3.5	8.3	2.7
Baltijos tyrimai	August 2019	14	12.1	12.8
Spinter tyrimai	17–26 July 2019	18.2	11.5	9.5	2	4.9	5	3.2	2.1	5.3	3.3
Vilmorus	5–13 July 2019	15.5	12.2	7.1	2.6	5.7	2.6	2.4	1.2	8.1	2.8
Vilmorus	7–15 June 2019	17	15	8.1	2.2	5.9	2.9	3.1	1.4	6.8	2.2
Spinter tyrimai	June 2019	20.2	13.7	10.5	2.2	4.9	4.6	3.5	2.2	5.2	3.5
Spinter tyrimai	20–29 April 2019	20.4	17.3	8.3		5	6.4	4.6	2	5.6
Vilmorus	4–13 April 2019	20.8	15.8	7.3	2.8	6	2.8	3.1	2.6	5.8
Vilmorus	March 2019	16.3	18.6	8.5		4.8				5.3
Spinter tyrimai	18–28 March 2019	19.6	16.5	10.5		5.5	6.2	4.2	3.1	5.4
Vilmorus	23 February 2019	18.9	16.6	4.9	2.2	4.3	3.5	2.1	2.4	4.8
Spinter tyrimai	18–28 February 2019	21.1	17.1	7.4		4.4	4	4.5	2	5.6
Baltijos tyrimai	15–26 February 2019	16.2	14.6	7.8	2.5	6.7	3.9	2.9	3.8	7.2
Baltijos tyrimai	January 2019	18.5	16.8	9.8	2.8	9.2	4.8	2.3	3.7	6.3
Spinter tyrimai	15–26 January 2019	18.3	15.5	7.6	2.2	5.7	3.1	4.5	2.2	4.8
Vilmorus	11–20 December 2018	14.6	15.7	6	2.6	5.3	2.8	2.2	2.8	5.2
Vilmorus	December 2018	18.2	14.8	5.7	2.4	6.6	2.8	2.5	2.8	6.9
Spinter tyrimai	19–30 November 2018	19.9	16.2	8.4	2.7	8.1	3.2	5	3.6	4.5
Baltijos tyrimai	9–26 November 2018	20.2	15.2	9.2	4.1	7.3	2.9	3	4.1	6.1
Vilmorus	9–18 November 2019	17.6	14.5	5.6	2.8	7	4	2.7	3.9	7
Baltijos tyrimai	October 2018	16	12.3	8.7	4.6	7.5	5	3.7	3.8	5.1
Spinter tyrimai	16–30 October 2019	19	15.2	6.2	3.5	6.2	3.4	4.3	3.3	4.6
Vilmorus	5–14 October 2018	16.9	13.1	7.2	3.1	8.3	2.5	3.1	2.5	4.8
Baltijos tyrimai	24 September – 7 October 2018	17.7	12.4	8.6	3.9	8.3	5.2	3.1	3.2	5.3
Spinter tyrimai	September 2018	19.3	18.2	5.4	4.4	5.4	4.5	4.5	3	4.7
Vilmorus	7–16 September 2018	14.5	14.9	7.2	4.5	6.3	3.4			6.4
Vilmorus	5–17 July 2018	16.7	15	5.1	3.5	6.8	2.2	2.9	4	6.1
Spinter tyrimai	19–27 June 2018	17.1	15.4	7.8	4.5	8.2	4.6	4	2.9	6.7
Vilmorus	8–17 June 2018	16.6	14.9	5.3	4.8	6.2	2	2.7	3.1	6.7
Spinter tyrimai	22–29 May 2018	17.8	16.2	5.4	4.9	7.4	3.9	3.9	3.1	4.9
Vilmorus	4–12 May 2018	16.3	16.3	5.1	6.4	7.6	3.8	2.8	4.4	7.1
Spinter tyrimai	17–26 April 2018	17.3	15.2	5.2	4.6	7.7	7	4.5	3.1	1.7
Vilmorus	6–15 April 2018	17.6	11.9	4.9	5	7.2	4.7	2.7	4	2.9
Spinter tyrimai	March 2018	18.6	16.9	6.5	3.7	7.5	5.8	4	3.3
Vilmorus	March 2018	16.8	16.2	10.1		9	5.1	2.5	3.7	1.9
Spinter tyrimai	19–27 February 2018	17.3	15.4	8.2		7.7	5.1	3	4.7
Vilmorus	9–18 February 2018	16.8	13.5	7.6		7	3.4	2.5	2.6	4.3
Vilmorus	12–21 January 2018	17.8	13.9	8.3		8.4	4	2.3	1.9	2.7
Vilmorus	December 2017	16.3	13.4	8.1		5.6	4	2.3	1.9	2.7
Spinter tyrimai	11–19 December 2017	18.7	14.9	9.3		7.5	4.9	4	5.2
Spinter tyrimai	November 2017	20.4	19.4	8		6.2	5.3	4	3.3
Vilmorus	November 2017	15.4	12.1	7.9		6.4		3.1	4.1
RAIT	10–27 November 2017	19	16	10		4	5		6
Spinter tyrimai	16–28 October 2017	19.1	17	7.2		4.8	5.6	5	5.4
Vilmorus	5–16 October 2017	15	12.4	10		6.2	4.1	4.2
Spinter tyrimai	19–28 September 2017	17	16.6	9.1		4.9	5.7		3.9
Vilmorus	September 2017	14.1	13.5	9		4.5	4.1	2.4
Baltijos tyrimai	29 August – 9 September 2017	13	12	10		7	9	4	3	4
Spinter tyrimai	August 2017	16.3	15.9	11.3			6.8
RAIT	15–27 July 2017	17	16	12		4	7		4	4
Spinter tyrimai	17–23 July 2017	16.6	17	11.3
Vilmorus	30 June – 9 July 2017	13.5	12.9	9.7			4.9
RAIT	9 June – 2 July 2017	16	19	9			9
Vilmorus	June 2017	15.5	15.7	10.7			5
Baltijos tyrimai	13–26 June 2017	13	14	13		7	7	6	3	4
RAIT	10–26 March 2017	10	26			3	9	2
RAIT	9–26 February 2017	14	29	9		5	7
Spinter tyrimai	December 2016	12	30.7	8.9
	2016 Elections	22.63	22.45	15.04		5.55	9.45	5.72	6.32	4.88

References

1. "Numatomi rinkimai" [Upcoming elections] (in Lithuanian). Central Elections Commission. Retrieved 2 December 2015.
2. "Law on Elections to the Seimas". Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania. 14 May 2015. Retrieved 31 July 2015.
3. "Konstitucinis Teismas R. Paksui vilties nesuteikė" [The constitutional court did not give R. Paksas hope]. Delfi.lt (in Lithuanian). 20 March 2014. Retrieved 31 July 2015.
4. "TS-LKD 2020". TS-LKD 2020. Retrieved 2020-07-07.
5. "Partijos statutas". LSDP (in Lithuanian). Retrieved 2020-07-07.