Public debt of Puerto Rico

The public debt of Puerto Rico is the money borrowed by the government of Puerto Rico through the issue of securities by the Government Development Bank and other government agencies.

The distribution of Puerto Rico's outstanding debt.

History

In May 2007, local economists expressed serious concerns when it was revealed that the Puerto Rico public debt equaled to 76% of its gross national product (GNP), making it one of the most indebted countries by percentage in the world, even more than the United States.[1]

Economists have criticized the government's fiscal policy, whose level of expenditures and indebtness has increased significantly within the past decade while the economy was grown at a much slower pace. Between 2000 and 2006 alone, Puerto Rico's GNP rose 5.37%, while its public debt's relation to GNP rose 18%.[1]

On February 4, 2014 Standard & Poor's downgraded the debt of Puerto Rico to junk status.[2] By early 2017, the Puerto Rican government-debt crisis posed serious problems for the government which was saddled with outstanding bond debt of $70 billion or $12,000 per capita[3] at a time with a 45 percent poverty rate and 12.4% unemployment that is more than twice the mainland U.S. average.[4][5] The debt had been increasing during a decade long recession.[6]

The Commonwealth had been defaulting on many debts, including bonds, since 2015. With debt payments due, the Governor was facing the risk of a government shutdown and failure to fund the managed care health system.[7][8] "Without action before April, Puerto Rico’s ability to execute contracts for Fiscal Year 2018 with its managed care organizations will be threatened, thereby putting at risk beginning July 1, 2017 the health care of up to 900,000 poor U.S. citizens living in Puerto Rico", according to a letter sent to Congress by the Secretary of the Treasury and the Secretary of Health and Human Services. They also said that "Congress must enact measures recommended by both Republicans and Democrats that fix Puerto Rico’s inequitable health care financing structure and promote sustained economic growth."[8]

Initially, the oversight board created under PROMESA called for Puerto Rico's governor Ricardo Rosselló to deliver a fiscal turnaround plan by January 28. Just before that deadline, the control board gave the Commonwealth government until February 28 to present a fiscal plan (including negotiations with creditors for restructuring debt) to solve the problems. A moratorium on lawsuits by debtors was extended to May 31.[9] It is essential for Puerto Rico to reach restructuring deals to avoid a bankruptcy-like process under PROMESA.[10] An internal survey conducted by the Puerto Rican Economists Association revealed that the majority of Puerto Rican economists reject the policy recommendations of the Board and the Rosselló government, with more than 80% of economists arguing in favor of auditing the debt.[11]

Statehood might be useful as a means of dealing with the financial crisis, since it would allow for bankruptcy and the relevant protection. The Puerto Rican status referendum, 2017 is due to be held on June 11, 2017. The two options at that time will be "Statehood" and "Independence/Free Association". This will be the first of the five referendums that will not offer the choice of retaining the current status as a Commonwealth.

According to the Government Development Bank, statehood might be the only solution to the debt crisis. Congress has the power to vote to allow Chapter 9 protection without the need for statehood, but in late 2015 there was very little support in the House for this concept. Other benefits to statehood include increased disability benefits and Medicaid funding, the right to vote in Presidential elections and the higher (federal) minimum wage.[12]

Recent developments

By early August 2017, the debt was $72 billion in an era with a 45% poverty rate. The island's financial oversight board said that it would investigate how the debt was caused "and its relationship to the fiscal crisis".[13] The agency also planned to institute two days off without pay per month for government employees, down from the original plan of four days per month; the latter had been expected to achieve $218 million in savings. Governor Rossello rejected this plan as unjustified and unnecessary.[14]

gollark: I don't think that particularly matters. We define our perceptual up and down and such based on vision.
gollark: Also merging together information from saccades (rapid eye movements to look at more of a scene with the fovea) and correcting for orientation/vibrations/movement.
gollark: And the brain does a lot of fancy stuff to pretend to have a coherent visual field despite the blind spot and the fact that only a small region (the fovea) can actually sense color well.
gollark: I read that somewhere, I forgot where.
gollark: Apparently the retinas also do edge detection stuff onboard.

See also

References
  1. González, Joanisabel (May 5, 2007). "Debe Puerto Rico 76 centavos de cada dólar". El Nuevo Día (in Spanish). Retrieved May 5, 2007.
  2. Corkery, Michael (February 5, 2014). "Puerto Rico's Debt Downgrade". The New York Times. Retrieved February 23, 2017.
  3. Baribeau, Simone (January 23, 2017). "United States Virgin Islands Risks Capsizing Under Weight Of Debt". Forbes. Retrieved February 15, 2017.
  4. Nick Brown, Reuters (January 18, 2017). "Puerto Rico oversight board favors more time for restructuring talks". The Fiscal Times. Retrieved February 16, 2017.
  5. Baribeau, Simone (January 23, 2017). "United States Virgin Islands Risks Capsizing Under Weight Of Debt". Forbes. Retrieved February 15, 2017.
  6. "Puerto Rico Gets More Time". Star Herald. Scottsbluff, ME. Associated Press. January 29, 2017. Retrieved February 16, 2017.
  7. Platt, Eric (January 19, 2017). "New Puerto Rico governor seeks amicable debt crisis resolution". The Financial Times. New York. Retrieved February 17, 2017.
  8. Watson, Dan (January 17, 2017). "Secretary Lew Sends Letter to 115th Congress on Puerto Rico". United States Department of the Treasury. Retrieved February 16, 2017.
  9. Star Herald. Scottsbluff, ME. Associated Press. January 29, 2017 http://www.starherald.com/news/nation_world/puerto-rico-gets-more-time-to-propose-fiscal-plan/article_b805f0e6-f333-5d33-8d94-d29a610d820a.html. Retrieved February 16, 2017. Missing or empty |title= (help)
  10. Brown, Nick (January 18, 2017). "Puerto Rico oversight board favors more time for restructuring talks". The Fiscal Times. Reuters. Retrieved February 16, 2017. The bipartisan, seven-member oversight board was created under the federal Puerto Rico rescue law known as PROMESA, passed by the U.S. Congress last year. It is charged with helping the island manage its finances and navigate its way out of the economic jam, including by negotiating restructuring deals with creditors.
  11. "Economistas se Oponen a las Reformas para 'estimular la economía'". El Nuevo Día (in Spanish). 20 February 2017. Retrieved 2 May 2017.
  12. White, Gillian B. (November 9, 2017). "Why Puerto Rican Statehood Matters So Much Right Now". The Atlantic. Retrieved February 21, 2017. Six words: the ability to file for bankruptcy
  13. "Puerto Rico oversight board to investigate debt and fiscal crisis". Reuters. 2017-08-03.
  14. "Puerto Rico oversight board orders furloughs, governor defiant". Reuters. 2017-08-05.
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