Opinion polling for the 2022 Brazilian general election

Since the previous elections in 2018, polling companies have published surveys tracking voting intention for the 2022 Brazilian general election. The results of these surveys are listed below in reverse chronological order and include parties whose candidates frequently poll above 3% of the vote as well as the incumbent President of Brazil Jair Bolsonaro.

Presidential election

First round

2020

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Bolsonaro
PSL/APB
Lula*
PT
Haddad
PT
Dino
PCdoB
Gomes
PDT
Doria
PSDB
Amoêdo
NOVO
MDB Silva
REDE
PODE Moro
Indep.
Huck
Indep.
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
PoderData 3-5 Aug 2,500 38% - 14% 3% 6% 4% - - - - 10% - 5% 20% 24%
Paraná Pesquisas 18-21 Jul 2,030 29% - 13.4% - 9.9% 4.0% 3.4% - - - 17.1% 6.5% 1.7% 14.9% 11.9%
27.5% 21.9% - - 8.3% 3.8% 3.4% - 2.5% - 16.8% - 1.6% 14.1% 5.6%
30.7% - 14.5% 1.6% 10.7% 4.6% 4% - - - - 8.3% 6.6% 18.9% 16.2%
Paraná Pesquisas 27–29 Apr 2,006 27% 14.1% 10.3% 3.7% 4% 18.1% 6% 2.2% 14.6% 8.9%
26.3% 23.1% 8.1% 3.8% 4% 2.3% 17.5% 1.9% 13% 3.2%
29.1% 15.4% 1.4% 11.1% 4.4% 4.5% 8.1% 7.9% 18.1% 13.7%
Veja/FSB 7–10 Feb 2,000 37% 13% 11% 3% 5% 12% 21% 24%
31% 28% 8% 4% 5% 11% 12% 3%
28% 15% 9% 3% 4% 17% 13% 12% 11%
14% 12% 4% 5% 31% 16% 19% 15%
28% 9% 3% 5% 33% 10% 13% 5%
Atlas Político 7–9 Feb 2,000 41% 13% 2.5% 14% 27% 27%
32% 28% 3% 0.6% 20% 14% 9% 4%
CNT/MDA 15–18 Jan 2,002 29.1% 17% 2.3% 3.5% 0.3% 1.1% 0.4% 2.4% 0.5% 2.7% 40.7% 12.2%
2018 general election 7 Oct 46.03% 29.28% 12.47% 4.76% 2.50% 1.20% 1.00% 0.80% 1.50% 16.75%
*Former president Lula is ineligible.[1]

2019

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Bolsonaro
PSL/APB
Lula*
PT
Haddad
PT
Gomes
PDT
Doria
PSDB
Amoêdo
NOVO
Moro
Indep.
Huck
Indep.
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Veja/FSB 11 Nov–2 Dec 2,000 33% 15% 11% 3% 5% 12% 22% 18%
32% 29% 9% 4% 5% 9% 12% 3%
28% 16% 11% 2% 4% 15% 13% 12% 12%
16% 12% 4% 4% 32% 15% 17% 16%
29% 9% 4% 5% 32% 10% 11% 3%
Veja/FSB 11–14 Oct 2,000 34% 17% 9% 3% 5% 11% 21% 18%
24% 14% 10% 3% 4% 17% 15% 13% 7%
16% 11% 5% 5% 30% 16% 17% 14%
Veja/FSB 16–18 Aug 2,000 35% 17% 11% 3% 5% 11% 18% 18%
18% 13% 5% 5% 27% 13% 19% 9%
2018 general election 7 Oct 46.03% 29.28% 12.47% 4.76% 2.50% 4.96% 16.75%
*Former president Lula is ineligible.[1]

Second round

2020

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Bolsonaro
PSL/APB
Lula*
PT
Haddad
PT
Gomes
PDT
Doria
PSDB
Amoêdo
NOVO
MDB REDE PODE Moro
Indep.
Huck
Indep.
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
PoderData 3-5 Aug 2,500 44% - - - 30% - - - - - - - 26% 14%
42% - 34% - - - - - - - - - 24% 8%
41% - - - - - - - - 41% - - 18% Tie
Paraná Pesquisas 18-21 Jul 2,030 46.6% - 32% - - - - - - - - - 21.4% 14.6%
44.7% - - - - - - - - 35% - - 20.2% 9.7%
45.6% 36.4% - - - - - - - - - - 18% 9.2%
48.1% - - 31.1% - - - - - - - - 20.9% 17%
51.7% - - - 23% - - - - - - - 25.4% 28.7%
50.8% - - - - - - - - - 27.6% - 21.6% 23.2%
Veja/FSB 7–10 Feb 2,000 51% 33% 16% 18%
50% 25% 26% 25%
45% 37% 17% 8%
48% 40% 11% 8%
37% 39% 25% 2%
30% 53% 17% 23%
40% 49% 12% 9%
30% 37% 34% 7%
51% 32% 16% 19%
2018 general election 28 Oct 55.13% 44.87% 10.26%
*Former president Lula is ineligible.[1]

2019

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Bolsonaro
PSL/APB
Lula*
PT
Haddad
PT
Gomes
PDT
Doria
PSDB
Moro
Indep.
Huck
Indep.
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Quaest 26-27 Dec 1,000 46% 32% 22% 14%
Veja/FSB 11 Nov–2 Dec 2,000 45% 40% 16% 5%
47% 32% 21% 15%
45% 26% 28% 19%
44% 36% 19% 8%
36% 36% 28% Tie
29% 52% 18% 23%
39% 48% 12% 9%
50% 31% 18% 19%
29% 39% 33% 10%
Veja/FSB 11–14 Oct 2,000 47% 34% 20% 13%
46% 26% 29% 20%
46% 38% 17% 8%
43% 39% 19% 7%
Veja/FSB 16–18 Aug 2,000 48% 35% 18% 13%
45% 29% 23% 16%
37% 33% 31% 4%
2018 general election 28 Oct 55.13% 44.87% 10.26%
*Former president Lula is ineligible.[1]
gollark: Answer.
gollark: I am altering the spec. Pray I do not alter it further.
gollark: Too late. You cannot escape.
gollark: Someone recently discovered a typo in the WHY article: https://esolangs.org/wiki/WHY`Below I would like to prevent WHYJIT, a revolution in stupidly slow languages.`I'm keeping it.
gollark: þͣ̎å͓͒̄я̉̎̊f̼͈͕ά̊ͨ̈́χ͆̓̂ا́ͩ̚θ̯̠̯и

See also

References

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