Opinion polling for the 2008 Russian presidential election
This is a collection of scientific, public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2008 Russian presidential election.
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Opinion polls by "Levada-center"
Sources: https://web.archive.org/web/20071130210431/http://www.levada.ru/vybory2008.html[1] Russia votes
First round
2004 polls
Opinion polling | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | 13-16 August 2004 | ||||||||||||||
Vladimir Putin | 49 | - | |||||||||||||
Sergei Ivanov | - | 2 | |||||||||||||
Gennady Zyuganov | 5 | 6 | |||||||||||||
Vladimir Zhirinovsky | 6 | 9 | |||||||||||||
No preference | 26 | - | |||||||||||||
Other | 15 | 46 | |||||||||||||
Undecided | 8 | 23 | |||||||||||||
Wouldn't vote | 12 | 15 |
2005 polls
Opinion polling | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | 15-18 July 2005 | 19-22 August 2005 | 26-29 September 2005 | 14−17 October 2005 | 11−14 November 2005 | 9−12 December 2005 | 16−19 December 2005 | ||||||||
Vladimir Putin | 36 | 37 | 35 | 35 | - | 36 | - | 36 | - | - | |||||
Sergei Ivanov | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | 8 | |||||
Gennady Zyuganov | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 17 | |||||
Vladimir Zhirinovsky | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 9 | |||||
No preference | 45 | 47 | 48 | 51 | - | 49 | - | 51 | - | - | |||||
Other | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 10 | 47 | 6 | 47 | 37 | |||||
Undecided | 24 | 23 | 22 | 30 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 21 | |||||
Unsure if I will vote | 8 | 7 | 11 | 7 | - | 9 | - | 10 | - | - | |||||
Wouldn't vote | 10 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 17 |
2006 polls
Opinion polling | |||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | 20-24 January 2006 | 10-14 February 2006 | 10-13 March 2006 | 20-25 April 2006 | 19-22 May 2006 | 10-14 June 2006 | 14-17 July 2006 | 18-21 August 2006 | 15-18 September 2006 | 13-16 October 2006 | 10-13 November 2006 | 8-12 December 2006 | |||||||||||
Vladimir Putin | 33 | - | 34 | - | 31 | - | 33 | - | 32 | - | - | 40 | - | 40 | - | 39 | - | 37 | - | 38 | - | 36 | - |
Sergei Ivanov | 0 | 25 | 1 | 25 | 2 | 26 | - | 23 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 1 | 22 | 1 | 23 | 1 | 27 | 1 | 29 | 1 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
Dmitry Medvedev | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | 2 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 14 | 3 | 19 |
Gennady Zyuganov | 3 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 5 |
Vladimir Zhirinovsky | 3 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 6 |
No preference | 53 | - | 52 | - | 53 | - | 52 | - | 50 | - | - | 47 | - | 45 | - | 48 | - | 50 | - | 46 | - | 51 | - |
Other | 8 | 37 | 7 | 36 | 6 | 36 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 28 | 30 | 5 | 26 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
Unsure if I will vote | 9 | - | 9 | - | 12 | - | 8 | - | 11 | - | - | 6 | - | 9 | - | 14 | - | 7 | - | 11 | - | 10 | - |
Wouldn't vote | 31 | 15 | 25 | 18 | 27 | 17 | 30 | 15 | 27 | 16 | 17 | 27 | 16 | 22 | 29 | 10 | 26 | 29 | 25 | 22 | 28 | 27 | 18 |
2007 polls
January-June
Opinion polling | ||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | January 2007 | 19-22 January 2007 | February 2007 | 16-19 February 2007 | March 2007 | 16-19 March 2007 | April 2007 | 13-16 April 2007 | May 2007 | 11-14 May 2007 | June 2007 | 15-18 June 2007 | ||||||
Vladimir Putin | - | 34 | - | - | 32 | - | - | 33 | - | - | 31 | - | - | 41 | - | - | 44 | - |
Sergei Ivanov | 21 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 4 | 18 | 31 | 3 | 12 | 31 | 5 | 19 |
Dmitry Medvedev | 33 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 5 | 19 | 31 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 3 | 17 |
Gennady Zyuganov | 14 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 9 |
Vladimir Zhirinovsky | 14 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 9 |
Sergey Glazyev | 5 | - | - | 5 | - | - | 6 | - | - | 5 | - | - | 3 | - | - | 5 | - | - |
"Liberal Candidate"* | 11 | - | - | 8 | - | - | 8 | - | - | 6 | - | - | 6 | - | - | 7 | - | - |
Dmitry Rogozin | 1 | - | - | 2 | - | - | 4 | - | - | 2 | - | - | 2 | - | - | 2 | - | - |
No preference | - | 46 | - | - | 46 | - | - | 47 | - | - | 45 | - | - | 41 | - | - | 35 | - |
Other | - | 10 | 10 | - | 11 | 9 | - | 9 | 8 | - | 6 | 9 | - | 8 | 9 | - | 6 | 8 |
Undecided | - | 25 | 28 | - | 25 | 20 | - | 25 | 27 | - | 25 | 23 | - | 25 | 44 | - | 19 | 20 |
Unsure if I will vote | - | 8 | 8 | - | 5 | 4 | - | 9 | 8 | - | 11 | 8 | - | 7 | 6 | - | 8 | 10 |
Wouldn't vote | - | 10 | 20 | - | 11 | 21 | - | 9 | 13 | - | 6 | 10 | - | 8 | 8 | - | 6 | 11 |
July-December
Opinion polling | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | 13—16 July 2007 | August 2007 | 10—13 August 2007 | September 2007 | 14—17 September 2007 | October 2007 | 12—15 October 2007 | November 2007 | 9—12 November 2007 | December 2007 | 21—24 December, 2007 | ||||
Vladimir Putin | 48 | - | - | 40 | - | 32 | - | 35 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Sergei Ivanov | 4 | 22 | 36 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 6 | 18 | 25 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 16 | 21 | - |
Dmitry Medvedev | 3 | 17 | 34 | 5 | 18 | 30 | 5 | 16 | 26 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 13 | 35 | 79 |
Viktor Zubkov | - | - | - | - | - | 4 | - | - | 19 | - | 10 | 20 | 11 | 17 | - |
Gennady Zyuganov | 4 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 9 |
Vladimir Zhirinovsky | 3 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 9 |
Sergey Glazyev | - | - | 1 | - | - | 4 | - | - | 3 | - | - | 4 | - | - | - |
"Liberal Candidate"* | - | - | 3 | - | - | 3 | - | - | 2 | - | - | 4 | - | 3 | 2 |
Dmitry Rogozin | - | - | 1 | - | - | <1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
No preference | 34 | - | - | 41 | - | 46 | - | 44 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Other | 4 | 5 | - | 3 | 3 | - | 3 | 4 | - | 5 | 3 | - | 4 | - | - |
Undecided | 18 | 22 | - | 22 | 23 | - | 28 | 27 | - | 28 | 26 | - | 22 | - | - |
Unsure if I will vote | 7 | 6 | - | 10 | 10 | - | 11 | 7 | - | 10 | 7 | - | 9 | - | - |
Wouldn't vote | 8 | 14 | - | 7 | 14 | 8 | - | 7 | 12 | - | 11 | - | 10 | - | - |
2008 polls
Opinion polling | ||
---|---|---|
Candidate | January 2008 | February 2008 |
Dmitry Medvedev | 82 | 80 |
Gennady Zyuganov | 9 | 10.5 |
Vladimir Zhirinovsky | 8 | 9 |
"Liberal Candidate"* | 1 | - |
Andrey Bogdanov | <1 | 0,5 |
Second-round
Two-way contest | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | 1st candidate | % | vs | % | 2nd candidate | |||||||||
December 2007 | Sergei Ivanov | 44 | -------> | 56 | Dmitry Medvedev | |||||||||
December 2007 | Sergei Ivanov | 58 | <------- | 42 | Viktor Zubkov | |||||||||
December 2007 | Dmitry Medvedev | 63 | <------- | 37 | Viktor Zubkov | |||||||||
November 2007 | Sergei Ivanov | 53 | <------- | 47 | Dmitry Medvedev | |||||||||
November 2007 | Sergei Ivanov | 57 | <------- | 43 | Viktor Zubkov | |||||||||
November 2007 | Dmitry Medvedev | 57 | <------- | 43 | Viktor Zubkov | |||||||||
October 2007 | Sergei Ivanov | 53 | <------- | 47 | Dmitry Medvedev | |||||||||
October 2007 | Sergei Ivanov | 59 | <------- | 41 | Viktor Zubkov | |||||||||
October 2007 | Dmitry Medvedev | 56 | <------- | 44 | Viktor Zubkov | |||||||||
September 2007 | Sergei Ivanov | 59 | <------- | 41 | Dmitry Medvedev | |||||||||
August 2007 | Sergei Ivanov | 54 | <------- | 46 | Dmitry Medvedev | |||||||||
June 2007 | Sergei Ivanov | 55 | <------- | 46 | Dmitry Medvedev | |||||||||
May 2007 | Sergei Ivanov | 49 | -------> | 51 | Dmitry Medvedev | |||||||||
April 2007 | Sergei Ivanov | 55 | <------- | 45 | Dmitry Medvedev | |||||||||
March 2007 | Sergei Ivanov | 52 | <------- | 48 | Dmitry Medvedev | |||||||||
February 2007 | Sergei Ivanov | 48 | -------> | 52 | Dmitry Medvedev | |||||||||
January 2007 | Sergei Ivanov | 46 | -------> | 54 | Dmitry Medvedev |
Polls by FOM
2007 polls
Opinion polling | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dates | November 24—25[2] | November 27—28[3][4] | December 11—12[5] | December 15—16[6] | December 22—23[7] | ||||||||||
Vladimir Putin | 57 | 57 | 60 | 54 | - | - | |||||||||
Dmitry Medvedev | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 46 | |||||||||
Gennady Zyuganov | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |||||||||
Vladimir Zhirinovsky | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 7 | |||||||||
Boris Gryzlov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |||||||||
Sergei Ivanov | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - | |||||||||
Sergey Mironov | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | |||||||||
Sergey Shoygu | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - | |||||||||
Viktor Zubkov | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | |||||||||
Other | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - | |||||||||
Will not participate | 10 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 9 | |||||||||
Don't know | 16 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 28 | 25 |
2008 polls
Opinion polling | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dates | January 12—13[7] | January 19—20[7] | January 26—27[7] | February 2—3[7] | February 9—10[7] | February 16—17[8] | February 20[9] | February 23—24[10] | March 2[11] | ||||||
Dmitry Medvedev | 50 | 50 | 54 | 52 | 49 | 49.6 | 67.8 | 50 | 70.0 | 50 | |||||
Gennady Zyuganov | 6 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 9.1 | 16.3 | 9 | 15.8 | 9 | |||||
Vladimir Zhirinovsky | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8.7 | 13.7 | 9 | 12.4 | 8 | |||||
Andrey Bogdanov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1 | 0.7 | 0 | |||||
Will make ballot invalid | - | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1 | N/A | 1 | |||||
Will not participate | 10 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 9.3 | N/A | 9 | N/A | 10 | |||||
Don't know | 26 | 26 | 23 | 24 | 22 | 22.1 | N/A | 22 | N/A | 22 |
Exit polls
Agency | Medvedev | Zyuganov | Zhirinovsky | Bogdanov |
---|---|---|---|---|
POF[10][12] | 67.4% | 19.5% | 10.5% | 1.4% |
gollark: Also the thing where if you interact with a problem in any way you immediately become ethically responsible for it.
gollark: In any case, I think it's a good *description* of part of human behavior, because people often really like motivated reasoning.
gollark: Well, John Searle's Chinese Room Experiment proved that no computer could understand Chinese, meaning they can't be sentient. Since humans are implemented in physics, like computers, we are also computers, and so not sentient. QED.
gollark: I assume they have a workaround for the finals and you can delegate someone else to get the plotter.
gollark: It's the part of the Copenhagen interpretation of ethics. If you aren't *sure* you're doing a bad thing, you aren't.
References
- (in Russian) Левада-Центр > ВЫБОРЫ 2008 Archived 2007-11-30 at the Wayback Machine
- Preliminary forecast of the results of the election of the President of the Russian Federation on March 2, 2008 (according to a poll from February 16-17)
- Elections of the President of the Russian Federation: FOM forecast, exit-poll results and election results (CEC) FOM
- Election of the President of the Russian Federation on March 2, 2008. Poll at the exit from polling stations (exit-poll). Final results FOM
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