Improbable (horse)

Improbable (foaled February 11, 2016) is an American Thoroughbred racehorse and the winner of the 2020 Hollywood Gold Cup Stakes.[1]

Improbable
BreedThoroughbred
SireCity Zip
GrandsireCarson City
DamRare Event
DamsireA.P. Indy
SexColt
FoaledFebruary 11, 2016
CountryUSA
ColourChestnut
BreederSt. George Farm LLC & G. Watts Humphrey Jr.
OwnerWinStar Farm LLC, CHC Inc. and SF Racing LLC
TrainerBob Baffert
JockeyIrad Ortiz, Jr.
Record13:6-3-0
Earnings$1,529,520
Major wins
Los Alamitos Futurity (2018)
Shared Belief Stakes (2019)
Hollywood Gold Cup Stakes (2020)
Whitney Stakes (2020)
Last updated on August 1st, 2020

Career

2-year-old-Season

Improbable's first race was on September 29th, 2018, at Santa Anita where he went 3 wide in the final turn after that it turned into a two horse race where he and Stretford End opened up 4 and 1/2 lengths on the rest of the field. But with 100 yards to go Improbable put his head in front and prevailed under urging by a neck. He then picked up his first stakes win in his second race the Street Sense Stakes (Black Type) on November 2nd, 2018 at Churchill Downs. There he stayed mid-pack for most of it but in the stretch took over the lead and then drew off to win by 7 and 1/4 lengths.[2]

The win gained him some notoriety as Justify had won the Triple Crown 3 months earlier and now Improbable's name began to have a double meaning since he was trained and even owned by the same people as Justify and even living in Justify's stall when Justify went to Del Mar[3]. His name new double entendre became more evident when he picked up his first grade 1 win the month after when he won the Los Alamitos Futurity on December 8th, 2018.[4] In the race mimicked his win in the Street Sense staying off the pace before passing Mucho Gusto and drawing away to win by 5 lengths.

3-year-old-Season

He started off the 2019 season with a 2nd place finish at the Grade-2 Rebel Stakes on March 16th, 2019 and a 2nd place finish at the Grade-1 Arkansas Derby on April 13th, 2019.

On May 4th, 2019, he competed in the 2019 Kentucky Derby. He came in at 4:1 odds as the favorite[5] He came in as the 4:1 favorite but finished in 5th. Due to Maximum Security's disqualification, he was moved up to 4th place.[6]

On May 18th, 2019, he competed in the 2019 Preakness Stakes but finished in 6th place.[7] On Augst 25th, 2019, Improbable gained his first win of the 2019 season by winning the listed grade race, the 2019 Shared Belief Stakes.[8] He came in as the 5:2 favorite and took home $100,000 by defeating King Jack by 2 3/4 lengths.[8]

To end the 2019 season, he competed in the Grade-1 Pennsylvania Derby on September 21st, 2019, where he came in 4th and he finished in 5th at the November 2nd, 2019 Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile.[1]

He started off his 2020 season on April 11th, 2020 with a 2nd place finish at the Oaklawn Mile Stakes (Black Type) behind Tom's d'Etat.[9]

Improbable then got on a hot streak. He captured the June 6th, 2020 Grade-1 Hollywood Gold Cup Stakes.[10] He came in as the 1:1 favorite and defeated Higher Power for the $300,500 prize. On August 1st, 2020, Improbable won the Grade-1 2020 Whitney Stakes. He came in at 3:1 odds and defeated By My Standards and his rival, Tom's d'Etat.[11]

Pedigree
Pedigree of Improbable (USA), 2016[12]
Sire
City Zip (USA)
b. 1998		 Carson City (USA)
b. 1987		 Mr. Prospector Raise a Native
Gold Digger
Blushing Promise Blushing Groom
Summertime Promise
Baby Zip (USA)
b. 1991		 Relaunch In Reality
Foggy Note
Thirty Zip Tri Jet
Sailaway
Dam
Rare Event (USA)
b. 2009		 A.P. Indy (USA)
b. 1989		 Seattle Slew Bold Reasoning
My Charmer
Weekend Surprise Secretariat
Lassie Dear
Our Rite of Spring (USA)
b. 2001		 Stravinsky Nureyev
Fire the Groom
Turkish Tryst Turkoman
Darbyvail
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References
  1. "Improbable". Retrieved 9 January 2020.
  2. "Improbable Anything But In Street Sense Stakes". Retrieved 1 August 2020.
  3. "Tales from the Crib: Improbable".
  4. "Improbable unstoppable in Los Alamitos Futurity romp". Retrieved 1 August 2020.
  5. "Kentucky Derby odds, picks 2019". Retrieved 1 August 2020.
  6. "2019 Kentucky Derby: Live Results, Race Winners Tracker". Retrieved 9 January 2020.
  7. "Preakness results: Who won the 2019 Preakness Stakes? Final order, highlights from the race". Retrieved 9 January 2020.
  8. "Horse racing: Improbable shows off in Shared Belief Stakes at Del Mar".
  9. "Tom's d'Etat Rallies Past Improbable In Oaklawn Mile". Retrieved 9 January 2020.
  10. "Improbable Rolls Home in Hollywood Gold Cup". Retrieved 9 January 2020.
  11. "Improbable's clean break at gate gets him Whitney victory". Retrieved 9 January 2020.
  12. "Improbable". Retrieved 9 January 2020.
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