2014 MV67

2014 MV67 (also written 2014 MV67) is a lost asteroid with an observation arc less than 1 day. It has an assumed orbital eccentricity[lower-alpha 1] and a very poorly constrained orbit.[1] Depending on the orbit, it could be a potentially hazardous asteroid roughly 540 meters (1,770 feet) in diameter. It was discovered on 24 June 2014, when the asteroid was estimated to be 0.97±0.75 AU from Earth and had a solar elongation of 161 degrees.

2014 MV67
Discovery[1]
Discovered byPan-STARRS
Discovery date24 June 2014
Designations
2014 MV67
Orbital characteristics[2]
Epoch 24 June 2014 (JD 2456832.5)
Uncertainty parameter 9/E[1][lower-alpha 1]
Observation arc0.94 days[3]
Aphelion
  • 3.1±4.2 AU
  • 3.57562±5.8103 AU[2]
Perihelion
  • 1.0±1.4 AU
  • 0.968083±1.2673 AU[2]
  • 2.1±2.7 AU
  • 2.27185±3.6917 AU[2]
Eccentricity
  • 3±6 yr
  • 3.42±8.347 yr
    (1250.74±3048.6 d)[2]
0.287829°/d±0.70157°/d[2]
Inclination
  • 3.5°±2.4°
  • 3.67380°±1.9654°[2]
  • 195°±83°
  • 191.0°±76.7°[2]
  • 313°±73°
  • 314.5264°±63.344°[2]
Earth MOID0.0238423 AU (3,566,760 km)[2]
Jupiter MOID1.47912 AU (221,273,000 km)[2]
TJupiter3.370[2]
Physical characteristics
Mean diameter
~540 m (1,770 ft)[3]
Mass2.2×1011 kg[3]
19.372±0.28624[2]

    The 22 March 2018 and 3 April 2019 virtual impactors did not occur.[3] The uncertainty region of ±10 billion km wraps around the entire orbit so the asteroid could be anywhere on any of the numerous orbit fits. It could be near aphelion 7 AU from the Sun (beyond the orbit of Jupiter).[lower-alpha 2] The asteroid was not expected to be near Earth anytime during 2019.[4]

    With an almost meaningless 1-day observation arc, the Sentry Risk Table shows an estimated 1 in 3 billion chance of the asteroid impacting Earth on 22 March 2022.[3] The nominal JPL Horizons 22 March 2022 Earth distance is 3.5 AU (520,000,000 km; 330,000,000 mi) with a 3-sigma uncertainty of ±16 billion km. NEODyS lists the nominal 22 March 2022 Earth distance as 2.2 AU (330,000,000 km; 200,000,000 mi).

    Virtual impactors (past and future)
    Date Impact
    probability
    (1 in)    		 JPL Horizons
    nominal geocentric
    distance (AU)    		 NEODyS
    nominal geocentric
    distance (AU)    		 uncertainty
    region
    2018-03-221.9 billion3.8 AU (570 million km)2.5 AU (370 million km)±1 billion km
    2019-04-032.1 billion3.5 AU (520 million km)1.2 AU (180 million km)±10 billion km
    2022-03-223.2 billion3.5 AU (520 million km)2.2 AU (330 million km)±16 billion km
    2025-03-263.2 billion3.4 AU (510 million km)2.8 AU (420 million km)±22 billion km

    Notes
    1. The Minor Planet Center's uncertainty code (orbit note) "E" stands for "Eccentricity assumed", as per Publishable Notes for Orbits of Minor Planets
    2. Jupiter is 5 AU (750 million km) from the Sun. The asteroid's aphelion range (furthest distance from the Sun) is estimated to be 3.1±4.2 AU.
    gollark: Yes, leave it as is until [EXPUNGED].
    gollark: No, not *everything*, I think only ranked choice systems?
    gollark: Isn't STV subject to Arrow's theorem?
    gollark: Use score voting or approval voting.
    gollark: NO!

    References
    1. "2014 MV67 Orbit". IAU Minor Planet Center. Archived from the original on 28 March 2019. Retrieved 28 March 2019.
    2. "JPL Small-Body Database Browser: (2014 MV67)" (last observation: 2014-06-25; arc: 1 day). Jet Propulsion Laboratory. Archived from the original on 28 March 2019. Retrieved 28 March 2019.
    3. "Earth Impact Risk Summary: 2014 MV67". NASA/JPL Near-Earth Object Program Office. Archived from the original on 28 January 2018. Retrieved 28 March 2019. (Wayback Machine 2014)
    4. "2014MV67 Ephemerides for 2019". NEODyS (Near Earth Objects – Dynamic Site). Archived from the original on 28 March 2019. Retrieved 28 March 2019.
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