Vorpommern-Rügen – Vorpommern-Greifswald I

Vorpommern-Rügen – Vorpommern-Greifswald I is an electoral constituency (German: Wahlkreis) represented in the German Bundestag. Part of the state of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, the constituency elects one representative under the mixed member proportional representation (MMP) system using first past the post voting. Under the current constituency numbering system, it is designated as constituency 15.

The constituency was created as part of the 2012 federal boundary review, which saw the state of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern lose one of its 18 geographic constituencies as a result of population change. The constituency of Mecklenburg-Strelitz - Uecker-Randow was abolished, which in turn mandated changes to the boundaries of six nearby constituencies.[1] Vorpommern-Rügen – Vorpommern-Greifswald I was created chiefly from the constituency of Stralsund – Nordvorpommern – Rügen, and took its district number of 15.

Members of the Bundestag

The constituency has been held since it was first contested in 2013 by the Christian Democratic Union's Angela Merkel, Federal Chancellor since 2005. It is considered a safe seat for the CDU. Merkel had previously represented Stralsund – Nordvorpommern – Rügen for six consecutive terms from 1990 to 2013. In the 2009 federal election, Merkel won the seat on its old boundaries by 23 percentage points over her nearest opponent, but boundary changes reduced her notional margin of victory to 20%. However, in 2013, Merkel increased her majority to 37%.

ElectionMemberParty
2013Angela MerkelCDU
2017Angela MerkelCDU

Election results

2017 election

Chancellor Angela Merkel retained her seat with a reduced majority; she won the seat with a plurality. The seat reflected a national trend of the rise of Alternative for Germany with its candidate coming in a distant second of the list of candidates.

Federal election 2017: Vorpommern-Rügen – Vorpommern-Greifswald I[2]
Notes:

Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote.
Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list.
Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent.
A Y or N denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.

Party Candidate Votes % ±% Party votes % ±%
CDU Y Angela Merkel 73,745 44.0% -12.3% 55,114 32.9% -12.0%
AfD Leif Erik Holm 32,174 19.2% +19.2% 32,881 19.6% +13.1%
Left Karin Kerstin Kassner 26,672 15.9% -3.4% 30,128 18.0% -2.6%
SPD Sonja Amalie Steffen 19,515 11.6% -2.4% 20,405 12.2% -2.4%
FDP Patrick Meinhardt 5,229 3.1% +2.3% 11,490 6.9% +4.3%
Green Claudia Müller 5,081 3.0% -0.1% 8,498 5.1% +0.3%
Tierschutzpartei 2,161 1.3% +1.3% 3,319 2.0% +2.0%
PARTEI   1,867 1.1% +1.1%
FW 1,576 0.9% +0.2% 1,232 0.7% -0.2%
NPD Udo Pastörs 976 0.6% -2.0% 1,368 0.8% -1.5%
BGE 692 0.4% +0.4%
MLPD 407 0.2% +0.2% 249 0.1% ±0.0%
ÖDP   194 0.1% +0.1%
Independent 148 0.1% +0.1%
Informal votes 1,866 2,116
Total Valid votes 167,662 167,412
Turnout 169,528 70.4% +6.1%
CDU hold Majority 41,572 24.8% -12.1%

2013 election

Merkel was re-elected to the Bundestag with an absolute majority when the constituency was first contested for the 2013 federal election, increasing her share of the vote by nearly 10%. Incumbent Bundestag list member for the SPD Sonja Steffen and Claudi Muller, chairman of the state Green Party, were among the eight candidates unsuccessfully tried to take the constituency from her. Her major opponent, Left Party candidate Karin Kassner, was elected to the Bundestag for the first time on statewide second votes despite a poor performance on first votes in the district. FDP candidate Gino Leonhard suffered a particularly humiliating defeat, dropping from fourth to seventh place since 2009 and finishing behind both the controversial Pirate Party and the far-right National Democratic Party.

The following table does not list parties which did not contest or gain constituency votes. Changes are relative to the notional 2009 result in the constituency.

Federal election 2013: Vorpommern-Rügen – Vorpommern-Greifswald I[3]
Notes:

Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote.
Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list.
Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent.
A Y or N denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.

Party Candidate Votes % ±% Party votes % ±%
CDU Y Angela Merkel 87,142 56.2% +9.8% 69,682 45.0% +8.5%
Left Karin Kassner 29,847 19.3% −7.2% 31,931 20.6% −7.4%
SPD Sonja Steffen 21,687 14.0% +1.4% 22,629 14.6% +1.7%
Green Claudia Müller 4,728 3.1% −1.4% 7,372 4.8% −0.9%
NPD Michael Andrejewski 3,968 2.6% −0.2% 3,524 2.3% −0.5%
Pirates Susanne Weist 3,738 2.4% +2.4% 3,527 2.3% −0.3%
Independent Michael Adomeit 1,388 0.9% −0.3% - -
FDP Gino Leonhard 1,228 0.8% −4.8% 4,068 2.6% −8.5%
Independent Jürgen Dettmann 1,206 0.8% N/A - -
Informal votes 2,459 2,417
Total Valid votes 154,932 154,974
Turnout 157,391 64.3% +3.5%
CDU hold Majority 57,295 36.9% +16.9%

Notional results of the 2009 election

The following table does not list parties which did not contest or gain constituency votes. These are the notional results of how the 2009 election would have gone if this constituency had been contested then instead of Vorpommern-Rügen – Vorpommern-Greifswald I; they should only be used to compare against the results of the 2013 election or to measure the impact of boundary changes.

Federal election 2009: Vorpommern-Rügen – Vorpommern-Greifswald I[4]
Notes:

Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote.
Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list.
Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent.
A Y or N denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.

Party Candidate Votes % ±% Party votes % ±%
CDU Y Angela Merkel 70,329 46.4% 55,282 36.5%
Left Marianne Linke 40,081 26.4% 33,522 28.0%
SPD Sonja Steffen 19,090 12.6% 19,591 12.9%
FDP Gino Leonhard 8,491 5.6% 16,798 11.1%
Green Arnold von Bosse 6,757 4.5% 8,550 5.6%
NPD Raimund Borrmann 4,115 2.7% 4,237 2.8%
Others 2,718 1,8% - -
Informal votes 2,632 2,761
Total Valid votes 151,581 151,452
Turnout 154,213 60.8%
CDU hold Majority 30,248 20.0%

References
  1. "Details of the 2012 boundary review (German)". Archived from the original on 2013-09-21. Retrieved 2013-09-23.
  2. 2017 results (German)
  3. "2013 results (German)". Archived from the original on 2013-09-25. Retrieved 2013-09-23.
  4. Notional 2009 results (German)

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