Opinion polling for the 2014 Ukrainian presidential election

This page lists public opinion polls for the 2014 Ukrainian presidential election.

First round

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the two leading candidates respective colours. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is bolded. If no candidate obtains an absolute majority in the first round, then the two highest polling candidates will contest a run-off second ballot.[1] The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two candidates with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

Date	Polling firm										Others	Lead
		Yanukovych PoR	Tihipko independent	Dobkin PoR	Klitschko UDAR	Tymoshenko Fatherland	Tyahnybok Svoboda	Symonenko CPU	Poroshenko independent	Lyashko Radical
13–19 May	Ukrainian National Academy of Pedagogic Sciences[lower-alpha 1]	–	8.0	–	–	13.3	–	–	45.0	7.6	6.7	31.7
6–8 May	GfK[lower-alpha 1]	–	10.6	4.6	–	10.4	1.5	3.2	47.9	6.4	20.4	37.3
25–29 Apr	Razumkov Centre	–	6.7	4.2	–	14.8	1.9	4.5	47.7	5.0	15.2	33.9
Oleg Tsarov officially withdraws[2]
9–16 Apr	SOCIS, KIIS, RATING, Razumkov Centre	–	7.4	6.0	–	14.0	2.1	5.6	48.4	4.6	11.9	34.4
28 Mar – 2 Apr	Razumkov Centre, RATING	–	8.8	5.2	–	19.1	2.3	4.6	42.3	5.5	12.2	23.2
Serhiy Tihipko is expelled from the Party of Regions[3]
31 Mar	Advanced Legal Initiatives[lower-alpha 1]	–	19.6	1.2	–	12.7	3.6	3.5	42.0	2.3	14.9	22.4
Mykhailo Dobkin is selected by Party of Regions as their Presidential nominee, Viktor Yanukovych is officially expelled from the Party of Regions
Vitali Klitschko withdraws in order to run for the mayoralty of Kiev, and endorses Poroshenko
14–26 Mar	International Republican Institute[lower-alpha 1][lower-alpha 2]	–	7.0	3.0	13.0	14.0	3.0	4.0	27.0	–	18.0	13.0
14–19 Mar	SOCIS, KIIS, RATING, Razumkov Centre	–	10.0	5.3	12.9	12.0	2.5	5.0	36.2	5.0	11.1	23.3
4–18 Mar	GfK[lower-alpha 1][lower-alpha 2]	–	8.5	5.0	19.0	12.0	1.5	7.0	39.5	–	7.9	20.5
Viktor Yanukovych officially withdraws
1–6 Mar	Social Monitoring Centre	–	11.4	–	14.2	15.5	3.7	6.4	13.7	3	–	1.3
25 Feb – 4 Mar	SOCIS	–	9.6	–	21.3	14.1	3.6	6.4	30.9	–	14.3	9.6
28 Feb – 3 Mar	KIIS[lower-alpha 1]	–	13.3	–[lower-alpha 3]	20.1	13.9	2.8	8.3	32.8	–	8.8	12.7
Yanukovych ouster and Crimean crisis
24 Jan – 1 Feb	SOCIS	29.2	–	–	22.8	19.1	2.8	4.3	15.9	–	6.0	6.4
17–26 Jan	SOCIS	29.5	–	–	21.6	20.8	4.7	5.7	13.0	–	4.6	7.9
2014
23–27 Dec	R&B Group[lower-alpha 1]	36.0	–	–	19.9	11.2	5.7	5.4	11.0	–	10.7	16.1
7–17 Dec	RATING[lower-alpha 1]	28.2	–	–	22.7	23.2	5.5	6.3	8.0	–	6.1	5.0
26 Oct – 8 Nov	IFES[lower-alpha 1][lower-alpha 2]	31.0	–	–	30.0	17.0	6.0	9.0	–	–	7.0	1.0
30 Sep – 8 Oct	Razumkov Centre[lower-alpha 1]	26.3	–	–	20.9	18.1	5.1	7.7	4.1	–	17.8	5.4
26 Sep – 6 Oct	RATING[lower-alpha 1][lower-alpha 2]	28.0	–	–	25.0	22.0	8.0	8.0	2.0	–	6.0	3.0
15–25 Sep	R&B Group[lower-alpha 1]	32.5	–	–	18.3	17.0	4.8	7.7	5.0	–	14.7	14.2
21–30 May	KIIS[lower-alpha 1]	27.2	–	–	30.2	–	11.0	7.0	–	–	24.6	3.0
2013
21–24 Dec	Razumkov Centre[lower-alpha 1]	32.6	–	–	16.6	18.6	7.4	8.8	–	–	16.0	14.0
2012
17 January 2010	2010 election results	35.3	13.1	–	–	25.1	1.4	3.5	–	–	21.6	10.2

Notes

1. This survey shows its poll results without disregarding those who are undecided or said they will abstain from voting (either physically or by voting blank). In order to obtain results comparable to other surveys and the official election results, the result shown in this table will be that obtained, with a simple rule of three, from disregarding undecided and/or abstaining voters from the totals offered in the survey.
2. Some opinion polls round their data so that in the end up showing a .0 or a .5 value. This practise is maintained for these polls when disregarding undecided and/or abstaining voters from the totals so as to avoid different interpretations of the same value.
3. In the event that Dobkin was PoR's nominee instead of Tihipko, Dobkin would receive 6.3%, Kiltschko would receive 20.5%, Tymoshenko would receive 15.4%, Tyahnybok would receive 3.9%, Symonenko would receive 9.5%, Poroshenko would receive 35.9%, and other candidates would receive 8.8%.

References

1. Q&A: Ukraine presidential election, BBC News (7 February 2010)
2. "Царев снялся с выборов : Новости УНИАН". Unian.net. 29 April 2014.
3. "Tigipko accuses Party of Regions of betraying interests of Ukraine". Kyivpost.com. 7 April 2014.