Kalmunai Polling Division

The Kalmunai Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Ampara Electoral District, in the Eastern Province, Sri Lanka.

Kalmunai
Polling Division
Coordinates: 7.369741°N 81.830838°E / 7.369741; 81.830838
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceEastern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictAmpara Electoral District
Area
 • Total53.26 km2 (20.56 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total143,093
 • Density2,687/km2 (6,960/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-13C

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Kalmunai has matched the final country result 5 out of 8 times. Hence, Kalmunai is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Kalmunai Ampara Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 NDF NDF 19.19% SLPP 37.93%
2015 NDF NDF 24.35% NDF 37.99%
2010 NDF NDF 25.32% UPFA 35.07%
2005 UNP UNP 19.54% UPFA 26.84%
1999 PA PA 0.97% PA 2.40%
1994 PA PA 13.70% PA 23.85%
1988 UNP UNP 10.84% UNP 11.67%
1982 UNP UNP 5.98% UNP 10.07%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/8 5/8 14.99% 8/8 23.23%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Kalmunai[4] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 47,309 83.08% 259,673 63.09% 5,564,239 41.99%
SLPP 7,286 12.79% 135,058 32.82% 6,924,255 52.25%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 997 1.75% 7,165 1.74% 306,638 2.31%
NMPP 709 1.25% 7,460 1.81% 418,553 3.16%
IND11 644 1.13% 2,214 0.54% 38,814 0.29%
Valid Votes 56,945 99.03% 411,570 99.24% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 555 0.97% 3,158 0.76% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 57,500 77.63% 414,728 82.32% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 74,068 503,790 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Kalmunai[5] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 45,411 89.81% 233,360 65.22% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 4,683 9.26% 121,027 33.82% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 467 0.92% 3,430 0.96% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 50,561 99.33% 357,817 99.27% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 342 0.67% 2,625 0.73% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 50,903 71.44% 360,442 73.85% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 71,254 488,067 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Kalmunai[6] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 32,946 75.76% 153,105 49.94% 4,173,185 40.15%
UPFA 9,564 21.99% 146,912 47.92% 6,015,934 57.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 976 2.24% 6,545 2.13% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 43,486 98.76% 306,562 99.06% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 544 1.24% 2,912 0.94% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 44,030 66.58% 309,474 36.77% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 66,135 841,672 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Kalmunai[7] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 29,316 75.60% 159,198 55.81% 4,706,366 48.43%
UPFA 8,951 23.08% 122,329 42.88% 4,887,152 50.29%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 512 1.32% 3,740 1.31% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 38,779 98.84% 285,267 98.98% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 456 1.16% 2,941 1.02% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 39,235 63.03% 288,208 70.65% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 62,251 407,918 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Kalmunai[8] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 23,773 55.38% 149,593 55.59% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 18,390 42.84% 109,805 40.80% 3,602,748 42.71%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 761 1.77% 9,456 3.51% 520,606 6.17%
Valid Votes 42,924 98.38% 269,100 98.34% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 707 1.62% 4,549 1.66% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 43,631 78.77% 273,649 78.47% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 55,387 348,712 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Kalmunai[9] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 31,511 86.31% 168,289 72.36% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 4,092 11.21% 59,074 25.40% 2,715,283 35.91%
Ind 2 701 1.92% 3,677 1.58% 58,888 0.78%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 206 0.56% 1,541 0.66% 78,152 1.03%
Valid Votes 36,510 99.05% 232,581 98.47% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 352 0.95% 3,621 1.53% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 36,862 73.36% 236,202 74.01% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 50,248 319,166 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Kalmunai[10] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 18,746 62.03% 96,420 50.77% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 9,708 32.12% 83,137 43.78% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 1,766 5.84% 10,352 5.45% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 30,220 98.14% 189,909 98.04% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 573 1.86% 3,802 1.96% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 30,793 69.86% 193,711 72.72% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 44,077 266,396 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Kalmunai[11] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 18,347 64.15% 90,772 56.39% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 8,197 28.66% 53,096 32.99% 2,546,348 39.05%
ACTC 926 3.24% 8,079 5.02% 173,934 2.67%
JVP 861 3.01% 7,679 4.77% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 268 0.94% 1,344 0.83% 75,526 1.16%
Valid Votes 28,599 98.45% 160,970 98.71% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 449 1.55% 2,101 1.29% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 29,048 77.44% 163,071 79.22% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 37,509 205,838 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Kalmunai has matched the final country result 2 out of 7 times.

Year Kalmunai Ampara Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UNP UNP 13.46% UNP 22.85%
2010 UNP UPFA 23.22% UPFA 31.30%
2004 SLMC UPFA 16.60% UPFA 28.14%
2001 SLMC SLMC 14.74% UNP 30.12%
2000 PA PA 5.47% PA 8.80%
1994 SLMC UNP 18.26% PA 35.14%
1989 SLMC UNP 12.83% UNP 26.90%
Matches/Mean MAE 2/7 5/7 14.94% 7/7 26.18%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Kalmunai[14] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 24,992 55.15% 151,013 46.34% 5,098,916 45.77%
ITAK 10,847 23.94% 45,421 13.94% 515,963 4.63%
ACMC 8,549 18.87% 33,102 10.16% 33,102 0.30%
UPFA 726 1.60% 89,334 27.42% 4,732,664 42.48%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 200 0.44% 6,978 2.14% 676,586 6.07%
Valid Votes 45,314 95.53% 325,848 94.55% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,051 4.32% 18,423 5.35% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 47,434 66.57% 344,618 73.99% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 71,254 465,757 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Kalmunai[15] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 20,457 55.15% 90,757 35.50% 2,357,057 29.37%
UPFA 8,332 22.46% 132,096 51.66% 4,846,388 60.38%
ITAK 7,947 21.42% 26,895 10.52% 233,190 2.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 360 0.97% 5,926 2.32% 485,562 6.05%
Valid Votes 37,096 1854800.00% 255,688 1345726.32% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 1 50.00% 9 47.37% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 2 200.00% 19 237.50% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 1 8 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Kalmunai[16] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLMC 21,978 47.26% 76,563 26.42% 186,880 2.02%
ITAK 13,842 29.77% 55,533 19.16% 633,203 6.85%
UPFA 9,189 19.76% 111,747 38.56% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 971 2.09% 42,121 14.53% 3,486,792 37.73%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 524 1.13% 3,865 1.33% 639,878 6.92%
Valid Votes 46,504 94.46% 289,829 93.91% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,506 5.09% 18,264 5.92% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 49,231 81.43% 308,625 81.42% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 60,456 379,044 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Kalmunai[17] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLMC 22,765 51.64% 75,257 26.86% 105,346 1.18%
TULF 11,558 26.22% 48,789 17.41% 348,164 3.89%
UNP 4,411 10.01% 58,468 20.87% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 2,700 6.12% 65,246 23.29% 3,330,815 37.19%
EPDP 1,346 3.05% 5,901 2.11% 72,783 0.81%
IND9 1,051 2.38% 14,808 5.28% 14,848 0.17%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 251 0.57% 11,721 4.18% 934,107 10.43%
Valid Votes 44,082 95.80% 280,190 94.20% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 1,930 4.19% 17,225 5.79% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 46,016 79.82% 297,440 82.51% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 57,653 360,497 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Kalmunai[18] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 22,459 54.88% 136,423 51.13% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 12,300 30.06% 101,628 38.09% 3,451,765 40.12%
IG2 5,480 13.39% 19,812 7.43% 31,443 0.37%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 684 1.67% 8,937 3.35% 712,394 8.28%
Valid Votes 40,923 N/A 266,800 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Kalmunai[19] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLMC 22,653 59.09% 75,092 31.19% 143,307 1.80%
UNP 7,631 19.91% 78,767 32.72% 3,498,370 44.04%
TULF 6,294 16.42% 24,526 10.19% 132,461 1.67%
TELO 789 2.06% 4,192 1.74% 24,974 0.31%
PA 584 1.52% 54,150 22.49% 3,887,805 48.94%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 384 1.00% 4,039 1.68% 138,277 1.74%
Valid Votes 38,335 96.35% 240,766 94.98% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 1,454 3.65% 12,736 5.02% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 39,789 79.19% 253,502 79.54% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 50,248 318,710 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Kalmunai[20] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLMC 15,144 42.89% 61,325 28.69% 202,016 3.61%
TULF 11,369 32.20% 43,424 20.32% 188,594 3.37%
UNP 6,513 18.44% 62,600 29.29% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 2,241 6.35% 45,400 21.24% 1,785,369 31.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 45 0.13% 965 0.45% 965 0.02%
Valid Votes 35,312 96.15% 213,714 95.22% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,413 3.85% 10,727 4.78% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 36,725 84.27% 224,441 84.45% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 43,579 265,768 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Kalmunai Polling Division has a Moor majority (72.8%) and a significant Sri Lankan Tamil population (26.2%) . In comparison, the Ampara Electoral District (which contains the Kalmunai Polling Division) has a Moor plurality (43.4%), a significant Sinhalese population (38.9%) and a significant Sri Lankan Tamil population (17.3%) [1]

Ethnicity in Kalmunai[1]

  Moor (72.8%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (26.2%)
  Other (1.0%)

Religion

The Kalmunai Polling Division has a Muslim majority (72.8%) and a significant Hindu population (24.4%) . In comparison, the Ampara Electoral District (which contains the Kalmunai Polling Division) has a Muslim plurality (43.4%), a significant Buddhist population (38.7%) and a significant Hindu population (15.8%) [1]

Religion in Kalmunai[1]

  Muslim (72.8%)
  Hindu (24.4%)
  Roman Catholic (1.4%)
  Other Christian (1.0%)
  Other (0.3%)

References
  1. "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kalmunai and the Ampara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kalmunai and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kalmunai and the Ampara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kalmunai and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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