Sub-national opinion polling for the next Spanish general election
In the run up to the next Spanish general election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in autonomous communities and constituencies in Spain during the term of the 14th Cortes Generales. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 10 November 2019, to the present day.
Voting intention estimates refer mainly to a hypothetical Congress of Deputies election. Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.
Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections are displayed below the percentages in a smaller font.
Autonomous communities
Castile and León
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sigma Dos/RTVCyL[1] | 14–19 May 2020 | 1,200 | ? | 34.8 | 32.1 | 11.7 | 9.2 | 7.3 | 2.7 |
November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | N/A | 66.6 | 31.6 13 |
31.3 12 |
16.6 6 |
9.3 0 |
7.6 0 |
0.3 |
Catalonia
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GESOP/CEO[2] | 25 Jun–21 Jul 2020 | 2,000 | 68 | 22.1 13 |
21.5 12 |
14.3 7 |
13.4 8 |
7.8 2/3 |
5.9 2 |
6.6 2 |
5.0 1/2 |
0.6 |
GESOP/CEO[3] | 10 Feb–9 Mar 2020 | 2,000 | 68 | 22.9 13/14 |
21.7 12 |
14.6 7 |
12.7 7/8 |
8.6 3 |
5.8 2 |
6.8 2 |
3.3 1 |
1.2 |
GESOP/CEO[4] | 14 Nov–5 Dec 2019 | 1,500 | 68 | 23.2 14 |
19.6 11 |
14.3 6/7 |
13.8 8 |
8.1 3 |
7.2 2/3 |
6.8 2 |
3.7 1 |
3.6 |
November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | N/A | 69.4 | 22.6 13 |
20.5 12 |
14.2 7 |
13.7 8 |
7.4 2 |
6.4 2 |
6.3 2 |
5.6 2 |
2.1 |
Galicia
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | EC | Lead | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 regional election | 12 Jul 2020 | N/A | 49.0 | 48.0 13 |
19.4 4 |
3.9 0 |
23.8 6 |
2.0 0 |
0.8 0 |
24.2 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[5] | 15–22 Jan 2020 | 1,223 | ? | 32.0 10 |
30.2 10 |
12.6 2 |
9.6 1 |
7.6 0 |
3.1 0 |
1.8 |
November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | N/A | 55.9 | 31.9 10 |
31.3 10 |
12.7 2 |
8.1 1 |
7.8 0 |
4.4 0 |
0.6 |
Madrid
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GAD3/ABC[6] | 18 May–5 Jun 2020 | ? | ? | ? 11 |
? 12 |
? 5 |
? 4 |
? 4 |
? 1 |
? |
November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | N/A | 70.6 | 26.9 10 |
24.9 10 |
18.3 7 |
13.0 5 |
9.1 3 |
5.7 2 |
2.0 |
Murcia
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Murcia Electoral[7] | 29 Jul–5 Aug 2020 | ? | ? | 28.7 3 |
27.5 3 |
22.9 3 |
8.8 1 |
6.6 0 |
1.9 0 |
– | 0.3 0 |
1.2 |
Murcia Electoral[8][9][10] | 10 Jun 2020 | 1,721 | ? | 30.3 4 |
26.8 3 |
21.6 2 |
9.6 1 |
7.5 0 |
1.2 0 |
0.9 0 |
0.4 0 |
3.5 |
November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | N/A | 68.0 | 28.0 3 |
26.5 3 |
24.8 3 |
8.9 1 |
7.4 0 |
1.9 0 |
1.0 0 |
0.3 0 |
1.5 |
Valencian Community
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario[11] | 17–19 Jun 2020 | ? | 64.3 | 25.8 9 |
28.1 10 |
18.7 6 |
14.9 5 |
6.7 1 |
4.4 1 |
2.3 |
November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | N/A | 69.8 | 27.6 10 |
23.0 8 |
18.5 7 |
13.4 4 |
7.7 2 |
7.0 1 |
4.6 |
Constituencies
Alicante
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario[11] | 17–19 Jun 2020 | ? | ? | 26.5 4 |
29.1 4 |
19.7 2 |
13.8 2 |
6.6 0 |
2.9 0 |
2.6 |
November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | N/A | 67.4 | 28.2 4 |
24.3 3 |
19.7 3 |
12.7 1 |
8.1 1 |
4.2 0 |
3.9 |
Castellón
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario[11] | 17–19 Jun 2020 | ? | ? | 26.3 1 |
28.6 2 |
18.7 1 |
14.9 1 |
6.3 0 |
3.9 0 |
2.3 |
November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | N/A | 70.7 | 28.6 2 |
23.8 1 |
18.6 1 |
13.3 1 |
6.9 0 |
6.2 0 |
4.8 |
Madrid
Murcia
Valencia
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario[11] | 17–19 Jun 2020 | ? | ? | 25.1 4 |
27.3 4 |
18.1 3 |
15.6 2 |
5.5 1 |
6.9 1 |
2.2 |
November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | N/A | 71.2 | 27.0 4 |
22.1 4 |
17.7 3 |
13.8 2 |
8.8 1 |
7.7 1 |
4.9 |
References
- "El PP ganaría las elecciones generales en Castilla y León con un 34,8% de los votos". RTVCyL (in Spanish). 28 May 2020.
- "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política. 2a onada 2020" (PDF). CEO (in Catalan). 31 July 2020.
- "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política. 1a onada 2020" (PDF). CEO (in Catalan). 20 March 2020.
- "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política. 3a onada 2019" (PDF). CEO (in Catalan). 20 December 2019.
- "La opinión sobre el Gobierno divide a los gallegos en dos bloques empatados". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 25 January 2020.
- "El PP recupera la primera posición en Madrid". ABC (in Spanish). 8 June 2020.
- "Vox repetiría como partido más votado en la Región, aunque pierde fuerza". La Opinión de Murcia (in Spanish). 8 August 2020.
- "Vox volvería a ganar ampliando más su distancia". Murcia Electoral (in Spanish). 22 June 2020.
- "Barómetro Región de Murcia. Elecciones Generales" (PDF). Murcia Electoral (in Spanish). 10 June 2020.
- "Vox volvería a ganar unas elecciones generales en la Región de Murcia". La Razón (in Spanish). 22 June 2020.
- "Sondeo ESdiario: el PP recupera la primera plaza en la Comunitat". ESdiario (in Spanish). 21 June 2020.