Ratgama Polling Division

The Ratgama Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Galle Electoral District, in the Southern Province, Sri Lanka.

Ratgama
Polling Division
Coordinates: 6.154226°N 80.110039°E / 6.154226; 80.110039
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceSouthern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictGalle Electoral District
Area
 • Total66.81 km2 (25.80 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total101,909
 • Density1,525/km2 (3,950/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-07G

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Ratgama has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Ratgama is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Ratgama Galle Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 3.24% SLPP 14.44%
2015 UPFA UPFA 4.84% NDF 12.72%
2010 UPFA UPFA 3.25% UPFA 8.73%
2005 UPFA UPFA 2.39% UPFA 10.43%
1999 PA PA 0.83% PA 4.67%
1994 PA PA 0.08% PA 1.04%
1988 SLFP SLFP 0.96% UNP 5.85%
1982 UNP UNP 3.44% UNP 6.48%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 6/8 2.38% 8/8 8.04%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Ratgama[4] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 42,756 67.92% 466,148 64.26% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 17,062 27.11% 217,401 29.97% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 1,896 3.01% 27,006 3.72% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,233 1.96% 14,803 2.04% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 62,947 99.09% 725,358 99.20% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 581 0.91% 5,878 0.80% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 63,528 82.66% 731,236 85.15% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 76,853 858,749 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Ratgama[5] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 36,209 60.57% 377,126 55.64% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 23,038 38.54% 293,994 43.37% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 536 0.90% 6,691 0.99% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 59,783 99.20% 677,811 99.05% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 480 0.80% 6,516 0.95% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 60,263 77.08% 684,327 80.46% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 78,182 850,549 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Ratgama[6] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 37,329 67.05% 386,971 63.69% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 17,617 31.64% 211,633 34.83% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 726 1.30% 9,017 1.48% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 55,672 99.40% 607,621 99.38% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 336 0.60% 3,765 0.62% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 56,008 75.24% 611,386 77.82% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 74,442 785,663 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Ratgama[7] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 34,259 60.89% 347,233 58.41% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 21,330 37.91% 239,320 40.26% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 676 1.20% 7,915 1.33% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 56,265 99.12% 594,468 99.08% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 498 0.88% 5,540 0.92% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 56,763 76.98% 600,008 79.86% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 73,737 751,327 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Ratgama[8] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 28,404 56.03% 281,154 54.91% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 19,134 37.74% 195,906 38.26% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 2,497 4.93% 27,257 5.32% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 663 1.31% 7,702 1.50% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 50,698 98.54% 512,019 98.14% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 749 1.46% 9,716 1.86% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 51,447 75.10% 521,735 77.43% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 68,503 673,785 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Ratgama[9] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 28,618 61.46% 285,398 61.40% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 17,406 37.38% 173,282 37.28% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 539 1.16% 6,135 1.32% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 46,563 98.60% 464,815 98.49% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 660 1.40% 7,112 1.51% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 47,223 71.31% 471,927 73.01% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 66,221 646,373 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Ratgama[10] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 13,290 51.37% 148,615 53.09% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 11,539 44.60% 124,912 44.62% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 1,043 4.03% 6,417 2.29% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 25,872 98.27% 279,944 98.43% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 456 1.73% 4,461 1.57% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 26,328 43.25% 284,405 49.34% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 60,877 576,390 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Ratgama[11] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 20,801 46.20% 211,544 50.23% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 20,798 46.19% 180,925 42.96% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 2,409 5.35% 20,962 4.98% 273,428 4.19%
LSSP 907 2.01% 6,391 1.52% 58,531 0.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 110 0.24% 1,316 0.31% 190,929 2.93%
Valid Votes 45,025 98.37% 421,138 98.78% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 748 1.63% 5,198 1.22% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 45,773 82.93% 426,336 81.84% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 55,193 520,909 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Ratgama has matched the final country result 5 out of 7 times. Hence, Ratgama is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Ratgama Galle Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UPFA 3.97% UNP 8.47%
2010 UPFA UPFA 2.82% UPFA 7.24%
2004 UPFA UPFA 0.74% UPFA 5.41%
2001 PA UNP 1.81% UNP 4.64%
2000 PA PA 1.36% PA 3.57%
1994 PA PA 0.60% PA 4.33%
1989 UNP UNP 4.02% UNP 3.28%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/7 6/7 2.19% 7/7 5.28%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Ratgama[14] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 29,554 54.54% 312,518 50.07% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 20,869 38.51% 265,180 42.49% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 2,928 5.40% 37,778 6.05% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 834 1.54% 8,659 1.39% 82,852 0.74%
Valid Votes 54,185 97.53% 624,135 97.63% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 1,364 2.46% 15,107 2.36% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 55,556 71.06% 639,318 78.00% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 78,182 819,666 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Ratgama[15] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 28,814 69.35% 305,307 66.17% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 9,729 23.42% 120,101 26.03% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 2,821 6.79% 33,663 7.30% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 183 0.44% 2,317 0.50% 32,313 0.40%
Valid Votes 41,547 95.33% 461,388 95.05% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 2,037 4.67% 24,013 4.95% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 43,584 58.55% 485,401 61.67% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 74,442 787,139 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Ratgama[16] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 29,413 57.27% 306,385 56.58% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 19,408 37.79% 209,399 38.67% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 2,267 4.41% 22,826 4.22% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 267 0.52% 2,901 0.54% 60,066 0.65%
Valid Votes 51,355 94.63% 541,511 94.69% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,913 5.37% 30,380 5.31% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 54,268 74.33% 571,891 79.81% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 73,009 716,609 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Ratgama[17] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 24,018 45.28% 232,931 42.98% 3,330,815 37.19%
UNP 22,487 42.40% 238,989 44.10% 4,086,026 45.62%
JVP 5,715 10.77% 61,806 11.41% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 821 1.55% 8,188 1.51% 143,033 1.60%
Valid Votes 53,041 95.74% 541,914 95.66% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,360 4.26% 24,561 4.34% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 55,401 77.39% 566,475 81.09% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 71,584 698,558 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Ratgama[18] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 26,619 51.37% 264,601 50.08% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 19,910 38.42% 212,055 40.14% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 4,274 8.25% 41,620 7.88% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,019 1.97% 10,072 1.91% 250,489 2.91%
Valid Votes 51,822 N/A 528,348 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Ratgama[19] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 27,243 55.70% 277,956 56.39% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 20,412 41.73% 203,268 41.24% 3,498,370 44.04%
SLPF 891 1.82% 7,239 1.47% 90,078 1.13%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 364 0.74% 4,451 0.90% 69,351 0.87%
Valid Votes 48,910 95.82% 492,914 95.96% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,132 4.18% 20,763 4.04% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 51,042 77.08% 513,677 79.57% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 66,221 645,559 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Ratgama[20] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 21,511 53.77% 183,962 50.40% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 14,593 36.48% 152,096 41.67% 1,785,369 31.90%
USA 3,100 7.75% 18,160 4.98% 141,983 2.54%
MEP 534 1.33% 2,676 0.73% 90,480 1.62%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 265 0.66% 8,111 2.22% 269,739 4.82%
Valid Votes 40,003 93.61% 365,005 93.94% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,729 6.39% 23,536 6.06% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 42,732 71.81% 388,541 68.03% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 59,508 571,146 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Ratgama Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (99.5%) . In comparison, the Galle Electoral District (which contains the Ratgama Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (94.4%) [1]

Ethnicity in Ratgama[1]

  Sinhalese (99.5%)
  Other (0.5%)

Religion

The Ratgama Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (99.1%) . In comparison, the Galle Electoral District (which contains the Ratgama Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (93.9%) [1]

Religion in Ratgama[1]

  Buddhist (99.1%)
  Other (0.9%)
gollark: Fascinating. Have you tried picking randomly, or checking the internet?
gollark: Is "interpreting things using different sets of techniques sometimes produces different/novel results" not enough for you?
gollark: What do you mean "rigorous take"?!
gollark: You mean Pascal's triangle?
gollark: Your idea of "run the thing backward" is quite obvious to anyone who looks at the problem. There have been many people looking at the problem. So if it worked someone would have proved collatz now.

References
  1. "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ratgama and the Galle Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ratgama and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ratgama and the Galle Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ratgama and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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