Opinion polling for the next Estonian parliamentary election

In the run up to the next Estonian parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Estonia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 3 March 2019.

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's color. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded.

Graphical Summary

30 day moving average trend line of Estonian polls towards the election in 2023, each line corresponds to a political party.

Polling Results

Fieldwork Polling firm Sample
size
Ref Kesk EKRE I SDE E200 Green EVA Others Lead Gov. Opp.
04 – 10 Aug 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 32.1 19.4 19.0 6.2 8.4 9.4 1.2 1.1 3.2 12.7 44.652.2
27 Jul – 03 Aug 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 33.0 22.5 18.4 5.9 8.8 6.8 2.6 0.9 1.1 10.5 46.852.1
21 – 28 Jul 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 31.2 24.1 18.6 6.4 8.7 6.8 2.2 0.6 1.4 7.1 49.149.5
16 - 22 Jul 2020 Kantar Emor 1,268 31 17 18 6 9 14 3 0 2 13 4157
14 – 20 Jul 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 34.0 23.5 16.8 5.6 8.7 6.9 2.3 0.3 1.9 10.5 45.952.2
07 – 13 Jul 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 32.3 23.2 15.8 4.4 10.2 7.5 2.2 0.4 4.0 9.1 43.452.6
29 Jun – 06 Jul 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 32.1 22.9 14.8 6.1 9.2 9.6 2.5 0.6 2.2 9.2 43.854
16 – 22 Jun 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 30.3 26.1 16.0 5.9 9.3 9.2 1.3 0.9 1.2 4.2 4851
9 – 16 Jun 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 31.7 27.0 16.3 5.9 7.6 7.4 2.4 0.4 1.3 4.7 49.249.5
9 – 15 Jun 2020 Turu-uuringute AS 1004 33 27 16 3 8 9 2 0 1 6 4655
Jun 2020 Kantar Emor 1,268 28 19 19 5 10 13 3 0 3 9 4354
1 – 8 Jun 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 30.3 22.8 20.3 4.7 7.6 7.2 3.4 0.4 3.3 7.5 47.848.9
25 May – 1 Jun 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 30.8 24.5 16.7 5.6 9.3 7.7 1.4 0.3 3.7 6.3 46.849.5
18 – 25 May 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 32.4 27.1 12.4 6.3 7.4 7.3 3.8 0.4 2.9 5.3 45.851.3
14 - 20 May 2020 Kantar Emor 1,268 24 20 22 4 12 14 2 0 2 2 4652
12 – 18 May 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 30.8 26.0 16.7 4.6 7.3 8.5 2.0 1.1 3.0 4.8 47.349.7
7 – 15 May 2020 Turu-uuringute AS 1004 30 27 15 6 7 8 2 0 1 3 4851
06 – 12 May 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 29.1 25.0 18.0 5.9 8.3 8.2 2.3 0.2 3.8 4.1 48.948.3
24 Apr – 05 May 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 29.8 23.8 19.2 4.6 9.3 8.6 2.7 0.8 1.2 6.0 47.651.2
21 – 27 Apr 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 29.3 27.8 18.1 5.3 8.1 6.2 2.1 0.7 3.0 1.5 51.245.8
20 - 22 Apr 2020 Kantar Emor 1,280 30 18 19 4 10 14 3 2 3 12 4255
15 – 20 Apr 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 34.6 22.3 18.1 5.2 8.2 6.5 2.3 0.2 2.4 12.3 45.652.0
7 – 14 Apr 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 32.9 23.5 16.3 6.3 8.0 8.4 1.8 0.4 2.4 9.4 46.151.5
6 – 7 Apr 2020 Turu-uuringute AS 1000 27 24 17 7 8 11 2 1 3 3 4849
31 Mar – 6 Apr 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 33.5 25.7 14.1 5.1 7.6 8.0 2.1 0.7 3.2 7.8 44.951.9
24 – 30 Mar 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 29.7 30.4 15.9 4.1 6.8 7.7 2.2 0.5 2.7 0.7 50.446.9
18 – 23 Mar 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 29.6 26.1 16.9 5.4 8.6 7.2 3.2 0.3 2.7 3.5 48.448.9
12 - 18 Mar 2020 Kantar Emor 1118 29 17 21 4 12 13 3 2 8 4256
10 – 16 Mar 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 30.7 26.2 16.5 6.3 7.2 9.4 1.8 0.2 1.7 4.5 49.049.7
6 – 16 Mar 2020 Turu-uuringute AS 1056 26 22 20 6 9 12 3 1 1 4 4851
04 – 09 Mar 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 29.5 21.6 16.9 6.1 10.5 8.9 2.8 0.5 3.2 7.9 44.652.2
26 Feb – 02 Mar 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 33.2 24.2 16.3 5.8 7.0 6.6 2.5 0.7 3.3 9.0 46.350.4
19 – 26 Feb 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 33.2 19.3 18.4 6.9 10.2 7.5 2.1 0.5 1.9 13.9 44.653.5
1 - 22 Feb 2020 Kantar Emor 31 18 17 4 12 14 3 1 13 3960
13 – 18 Feb 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 30.9 22.4 18.0 6.0 7.9 9.8 3.0 0.7 1.3 8.5 46.452.3
6 – 17 Feb 2020 Turu-uuringute AS 808 25 24 16 5 10 9 2 1 1 4554
04 – 11 Feb 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 33.8 20.0 17.5 7.3 6.7 9.2 3.3 0.5 1.8 13.8 44.853.4
28 Jan – 03 Feb 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 35.1 20.8 15.6 5.9 10.2 8.5 2.7 0.3 1.0 14.3 42.356.7
23 – 27 Jan 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 35.9 19.3 12.7 6.0 10.7 8.5 4.1 0.4 2.4 16.6 38.059.6
1 - 31 Jan 2020 Kantar Emor 30 17 16 8 14 9 3 1 2 13 4157
17 – 27 Jan 2020 Turu-uuringute AS 808 25 24 18 7 10 8 3 1 1 1 4950
16 – 24 Jan 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 35.0 22.8 14.6 5.6 9.3 7.2 2.9 1.1 1.4 12.2 43.055.6
8 – 14 Jan 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 32.2 24.3 12.9 8.4 8.5 7.0 3.5 0.6 2.2 7.9 45.652.2
3 – 7 Jan 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 34.1 23.6 15.8 6.3 8.2 7.3 2.6 0.6 1.5 10.5 45.752.8
18 – 23 Dec 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 30.3 22.0 16.1 5.9 11.9 7.2 3.4 0.9 2.4 8.3 44.053.6
11 – 17 Dec 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 34.3 22.5 13.5 5.4 11.8 6.8 3.2 0.1 2.4 11.8 41.456.2
5 – 12 Dec 2019 Kantar Emor 1,407 34.8 17.9 15.6 6.3 13.7 7.7 2 2 9.2 39.858.2
2 – 9 Dec 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 35.4 21.1 16.3 6.0 9.0 6.6 3.2 0.4 1.9 14.3 43.454.7
28 Nov–9 Dec 2019 Turu-uuringute AS 1,014 29 25 17 5 10 5 3 1 5 4 4748
25 – 29 Nov 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 36.4 23.5 11.9 8.1 10.4 2.9 3.8 0.5 2.3 12.9 43.553.6
18 – 25 Nov 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 36.1 24.0 12.2 6.8 9.8 5.0 3.5 0.5 2.1 12.1 43.054.9
11 – 15 Nov 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 35.4 26.1 12.6 7.2 9.5 3.8 1.7 0.1 3.8 9.3 45.950.3
7 – 13 Nov 2019 Kantar Emor 1,407 27.7 16.2 18.5 6.2 16.2 9.5 4 1 1.7 9.2 40.957.4
31 Oct– 12 Nov 2019 Turu-uuringute AS 1,019 30 23 17 5 11 7 2 1 1 7 45.054
5 – 11 Nov 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 32.6 24.3 17.5 6.5 10.9 3.4 3.5 0.2 1.0 8.3 48.350.7
28 Oct– 5 Nov 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 36.2 22.9 15.8 5.8 8.2 5.0 3.2 0.8 1.8 13.3 44.553.7
22–28 Oct 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 36.1 23.4 17.7 5.5 6.3 5.1 2.9 0.6 2.0 12.7 46.651.4
15–21 Oct 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 36.3 23.4 15.6 6.6 7.4 4.5 2.7 0.3 2.9 14.9 45.651.5
10–16 Oct 2019 Kantar Emor 1,182 32.5 17.6 16.6 6.2 12.4 9.4 2.9 1.7 14.9 40.457.9
9–14 Oct 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 30.7 25.8 17.6 7.1 8.3 5,6 2.3 0.4 1.4 4.9 50.548.1
3 - 13 Oct 2019 Turu-uuringute AS 1,040 32 22 17 6 9 7 3 1 10 45.054.0
1–8 Oct 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 35.6 22.2 15.2 6.5 9.2 6.1 2.4 0.6 2.1 13.4 43.954.0
25–30 Sep 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 32.7 24.3 15.6 7.4 8.3 6.2 2.8 0.6 2.1 8.4 47.350.6
18–23 Sep 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 37.1 20.7 18.3 5.4 8.6 4.2 3.4 0.6 1.8 17.0 44.453.8
11–19 Sep 2019 Kantar Emor 1,161 32.8 16.5 18.4 7.0 11.0 7.5 5 1 14.4 41.957.5
10–17 Sep 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 33.5 24.0 17.0 7.2 6.4 5.2 3.7 0.1 2.3 13.5 48.249.5
5–16 Sep 2019 Turu-uuringute AS 1,040 32 21 19 6 9 5 2 1 1 11 45.053.0
3–9 Sep 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 33.9 23.7 15.1 7.8 9.1 5.0 2.6 0.6 2.1 10.2 46.650.8
27 Aug–2 Sep 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 35.9 24.6 14.8 6.5 9.3 4.8 1.3 0.2 2.6 11.3 45.951.5
21–26 Aug 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 34.3 23.7 15.2 6.2 9.0 4.5 2.6 0.8 3.6 10.6 45.151.3
15–21 Aug 2019 Kantar Emor 1,161 36.8 16.0 17.6 4.8 13.0 6.9 19.2 43.356.7
9–20 Aug 2019 Turu-uuringute AS 1,000 34 22 16 7 8 5 3 1 1 12 45.054.0
13–19 Aug 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 33.9 23.0 16.9 7.1 10.9 4.1 1.8 0.7 1.7 10.9 47.051.7
5–12 Aug 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 33.5 22.0 16.4 9.1 10.0 3.5 3.9 0.3 1.1 11.5 47.551.2
30 Jul–5 Aug 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 41.0 18.9 12.7 8.8 8.1 4.2 2.8 0.8 3.0 22.1 40.156.9
22–30 Jul 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 36.2 17.8 17.7 7.1 12.0 4.0 1.9 0.6 2.6 18.4 42.654.8
18–24 Jul 2019 Kantar Emor 1,305 34.5 15.3 19.4 6.8 10.8 7.9 15.1 41.553.2
15–22 Jul 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 39.1 18.3 16.6 7.7 7.6 4.4 2.7 0.2 3.6 20.8 42.654.0
8–15 Jul 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 37.7 16.4 15.8 11.0 8.7 4.0 2.7 1.1 2.7 21.3 43.254.2
2–8 Jul 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 31.9 22.3 18.0 8.2 11.0 4.3 2.5 0.9 1.0 9.6 48.550.6
26 Jun–1 Jul 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 34.3 20.8 17.5 9.2 9.8 5.3 2.1 0.2 0.7 13.5 47.551.7
11–19 Jun 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 37.7 20.2 15.2 5.6 13.6 4.0 1.7 0.3 1.6 17.5 41.057.3
6–13 Jun 2019 Kantar Emor 1,129 36.0 14.7 16.7 6.9 12.8 8.3 3.0 0 1.0 19.3 38.360.1
4–11 Jun 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 30.3 21.4 19.1 8.7 9.4 5.8 2.6 1.4 1.0 8.9 49.249.5
28 May–10 Jun 2019 Turu-uuringute AS 1,000 32 19 18 9 11 4 1 1 1 13 4649
27 May–3 Jun 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 30 23 19 8 12 3 3 0 1 7 5048
20–27 May 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 33.0 19.5 16.8 10.4 11.7 4.6 2.4 0.4 1.1 13.5 46.752.1
26 May 20192019 European Parliament election in Estonia
20–23 May 2019 Kantar Emor 1,390 30.6 14.7 15.0 7.9 12.1 11.8 15.6 37.654.4
14–20 May 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 28.6 21.5 22.0 8.8 9.4 5.3 2.2 0.7 1.5 6.6 52.346.2
2–15 May 2019 Turu-uuringute AS 2,037 27 20 17 10 10 8 3 1 1 7 4749
6–13 May 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 31.8 19.4 16.2 8.0 12.2 5.1 4.5 0.3 2.0 12.4 43.653.9
7–9 May 2019 Kantar Emor 1,271 33.5 15.3 16.9 6.1 12.9 11.5 - - 3.8 16.6 38.357.9
29 Apr–7 May 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 35.6 19.9 15.0 8.3 10.8 6.0 2.5 0.5 1.6 15.7 43.255.4
22–29 Apr 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 33.6 18.5 19.1 7.6 8.5 7.2 3.4 0.3 1.9 14.5 45.253.0
24 Apr 2019The Jüri Ratas' second cabinet is formed by the Centre, EKRE and Pro Patria.
15–22 Apr 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 32 20.1 20.1 9.2 8.4 5.4 2.6 0.7 0.7 11.9 49.449.1
10–15 Apr 2019 Kantar Emor 1,000 32.3 17 15.4 8.5 11.4 10.3 2.7 1.1 - 15.3 40.957.8
8–15 Apr 2019 Norstat 1,000 34.6 19.4 18 7.3 10.1 5.9 2.5 0.3 1.6 16 44.753.4
18 Mar–15 Apr 2019 Norstat 4,014 33.0 20.6 17.9 9.4 9.2 5.8 2.3 1.8 12.4 47.950.3
1–8 Apr 2019 Norstat 1,000 33.4 22.5 14.8 11.6 8.0 4.8 3.0 0.5 1.3 10.9 48.949.7
25–29 Mar 2019 Norstat 1,000 32.5 20.5 19.1 9.0 10.1 5.5 1.7 0.6 1.0 12.0 48.650.4
18–24 Mar 2019 Norstat 1,000 31.9 19.5 18.8 8.9 9.3 7.2 2.1 0.9 1.5 12.4 47.251.4
14–21 Mar 2019 Kantar Emor 1,214 32 17 18 7 11 10 3 0.3 1.7 14.0 42.056.3
5–18 Mar 2019 Turu-uuringute AS 1,004 27 24 21 11 9 5 1 1 1 3.0 56.043.0
11–15 Mar 2019 Norstat 1,000 36.9 19.4 12.6 11.2 9.0 6.5 1.7 0.6 2.1 17.5 43.254.7
12–13 Mar 2019 Kantar Emor 752 30 19.4 18.1 7.3 12.5 8.5 1.7 0.6 2.2 10.6 44.853.3
5–11 Mar 2019 Norstat 1,000 31.9 21.2 18.1 11.4 9.1 4.4 1.7 1.1 1.2 10.7 50.748.2
3 Mar 2019 Election Results N/A 28.9 23.1 17.8 11.4 9.8 4.4 1.8 1.2 1.6 5.7 52.346.1
34 26 19 12 10 0 0 0 8.0 5744
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References

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