Live cattle

Live cattle is a type of futures contract that can be used to hedge and to speculate on fed cattle prices. Cattle producers, feedlot operators, and merchant exporters can hedge future selling prices for cattle through trading live cattle futures, and such trading is a common part of a producer's price risk management program.[1] Conversely, meat packers, and merchant importers can hedge future buying prices for cattle.[2][3] Producers and buyers of live cattle can also enter into production and marketing contracts for delivering live cattle in cash or spot markets that include futures prices as part of a reference price formula.[4] Businesses that purchase beef as an input could also hedge beef price risk by purchasing live cattle futures contracts.[5]

Contract Description

Live cattle futures and options are traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), which introduced live cattle futures contracts in 1964.[6] Contract prices are quoted in U.S. centers per pound. Minimum tick size for the contract is $0.00025 per pound ($10 per contract). Trading on the contract are subject to price limits of $0.03 per pound above or below the previous day's contract settlement price. Contracts expire in February, April, June, August, October, and December and 9 contracts are available at any time in order of expiry. For example, On June 5th, 2020, contracts for June 2020, August 2020, October 2020, December 2020, February 2021, April 2021, June 2021, August 2021, October 2021 would be available for trading. For each contract, trading terminates at 12:00 Noon CT on the last business day of the delivery month, and deliveries may be made on any day of that month and the first eleven business days in the next calendar month, excluding that live graded deliveries may not be made prior to the ninth business day following the first Friday of the contract month and may not be made on Christmas Eve nor made on New Year’s Eve.[7]

The deliverable assets for the contracts are 40,000 pounds of 65% Choice, 35% Select, Yield Grade 3 live steers or live heifers, as defined by the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) "Official United States Standards for Grades of Slaughter Cattle", or producing 65% Choice, 35% Select, Yield Grade 3 steer or heifer carcasses, as defined by the same standard. All cattle must be born and raised exclusively in the United States, with no individual animal weighing less than 1,050 pounds or more than 1,500 pounds and no individual heifer weighing less than 1,050 pounds or more than 1,350 pounds. A delivery unit must consist entirely of steers or entirely of heifers.[8]

Secondary Uses

Live cattle futures contract prices serves as a platform for cattle price discovery because futures markets are more publicly visible and accessible, due to lower transaction costs, for a larger number of buyers and sellers than the cash market.[9] A larger number of buyers and sellers in the futures market allows those market participants to incorporate more demand and supply information, such as weather, disease, imports, exports, and world events, into the futures price compared with cash price.[10]

Since 9 live cattle contracts are available at any time, prices of contracts with delivery dates in the future can produce forecasts of the spot price of cattle at those delivery times. On an absolute basis, forecasts produced from futures prices do not produce accurate price forecasts, but on a relative basis, those forecasts were found to be better than those produced by the USDA, university economists, statistical methods, and other forecasting sources.[11]

Live cattle futures prices are also a part of both the Bloomberg Commodity Index and the S&P GSCI commodity index, which are benchmark indices widely followed in financial markets by traders and institutional investors. Its weighting in these commodity indices give live cattle futures prices non-trivial influence on returns on a wide range of investment funds and portfolios. Conversely, traders and investors have become non-trivial participants in the market for live cattle futures.[12]

A Brazilian Live Cattle futures contract also trades on B3 exchange. The contract is denoted in Brazilian reals and can be cash settled.[13]

Derivatives on futures and derivatives on packages of futures contracts, such as options, calendar spread contracts, Trade-at-Settlement (TAS) contracts are also available for the CME live cattle futures contracts. [14]

Live cattle futures contracts are often grouped together with feeder cattle and lean hogs futures contracts as livestock futures contracts. These commodities share many fundamental demand and supply risks, such long feeding periods, weather, feed prices, and consumer sentiment, which makes grouping them together useful for commercial discussions about both the commodities and their futures contracts.[15] Commodity indices have followed this practice and grouped these futures contracts together in livestock futures contracts categories. [16]

Gross Margin Financial Instruments

Cattle producers purchase feeder cattle to feed into live cattle or fat cattle for sale to slaughterhouses. Depending on the operation, producers purchase corn, soybean meal, and other commodities as feed. The difference between the selling price for live cattle and the costs of purchasing feeder cattle and feed (usually assumed to be corn, regardless of actual mix of feed used) is referred to as livestock gross margin (LGM), feeding margin, or cattle crush (as opposed to production margin, which also includes other production costs).[17] Cattle producers can use existing futures contracts for feeder cattle and corn to fix those production cost components into the future. Traders can purchase those futures and the live cattle futures contract in particular ratios to profit from the difference of selling finished live cattle against the cost of buying the feeder cattle and feeding the cattle.[18]

In addition to exchange-traded products, cattle producers can purchase livestock gross margin insurance policy contracts (LGM-Cattle) sponsored by the USDA Risk Management Agency from authorized crop insurance agents. These insurance policy contracts are bundles of exchange-traded options on futures contracts, and prices for these policy contracts refer to exchange-traded futures prices.[19][20]

gollark: It should probably accept 2-tuples instead.
gollark: <@136969229730709504> I think this is an XY problem thing here. What do you actually want to do?
gollark: Instead of reopening it, I mean.
gollark: You can just reload it.
gollark: In the modern trendy world of JS you can have it set up so that it just recompiles whenever you edit a file, and usually quite fast.

References
  1. Radke, Amanda (2018-08-01). "Cattle Futures 101: Fundamentals of Industry Marketing Tool Explained". Tri-State Livestock News. Retrieved 2020-05-06.CS1 maint: date and year (link)
  2. "Livestock Risk Management". Retrieved 2020-05-06.
  3. Mattos, Fabio (2016-02-10). "Commodity Indices and Futures Markets". Cornhusker Economics. Retrieved 2020-05-06.CS1 maint: date and year (link)
  4. "Forward Contracting of Cattle". Government of Alberta. Retrieved 2020-05-06.
  5. Schroeder, Ted; Coffey, Brian (2018-06-28). "Assessment of Physical Delivery Mechanisms on the Live Cattle Futures Market" (PDF). Department of Agricultural Economics. Kansas State University. p. 4. Retrieved 2020-05-06.
  6. "Livestock Risk Management". Retrieved 2020-05-06.
  7. "CME Live Cattle contract specifications". CME Group. Retrieved 2020-05-06.
  8. "CME Rule Book, Chapter 101: Live Cattle Futures" (PDF). CME Group. Retrieved 2020-05-06.
  9. Schroeder, Ted; Coffey, Brian (2018-06-28). "Assessment of Physical Delivery Mechanisms on the Live Cattle Futures Market" (PDF). Department of Agricultural Economics. Kansas State University. p. 4. Retrieved 2020-05-06.
  10. Radke, Amanda (2018-08-01). "Cattle Futures 101: Fundamentals of Industry Marketing Tool Explained". Tri-State Livestock News. Retrieved 2020-05-06.CS1 maint: date and year (link)
  11. Schroeder, Ted; Coffey, Brian (2018-06-28). "Assessment of Physical Delivery Mechanisms on the Live Cattle Futures Market" (PDF). Department of Agricultural Economics. Kansas State University. p. 5. Retrieved 2020-05-08.
  12. Mattos, Fabio (2016-02-10). "Commodity Indices and Futures Markets". Cornhusker Economics. Retrieved 2020-05-06.CS1 maint: date and year (link)
  13. "Cash Settled Live Cattle Futures". B3 S.A. – Brasil, Bolsa, Balcão. Retrieved 2020-05-06.
  14. CME Group. "Trading at Settlement (TAS) for Agricultural Futures" (PDF). Retrieved 2020-05-06.
  15. Purcell, Wayne D.; Hudson, Michael A. (1985), "The Economic Roles and Implications of Trade in Livestock Futures" (PDF), in Peck, Anne E. (ed.), Futures Markets: Regulatory Issues, Washington D.C.: American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research, p. 329-376
  16. Mattos, Fabio (2016-02-10). "Commodity Indices and Futures Markets". Cornhusker Economics. Retrieved 2020-05-06.CS1 maint: date and year (link)
  17. Diersen, Matthew A. "Assessing Livestock Gross Margin for Cattle". SDSU Extension Fact Sheets. Retrieved 2020-05-15.
  18. CME Group. "An Introduction to Cattle Feeding Spreads" (PDF). Retrieved 2020-05-06.
  19. "Livestock Gross Margin - Cattle". United States Department of Agriculture Risk Management Agency. Retrieved 2020-05-15.
  20. Diersen, Matthew A. "Assessing Livestock Gross Margin for Cattle". SDSU Extension Fact Sheets. Retrieved 2020-05-15.
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