Karandeniya Polling Division

The Karandeniya Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Galle Electoral District, in the Southern Province, Sri Lanka.

Karandeniya
Polling Division
Coordinates: 6.257410°N 80.139707°E / 6.257410; 80.139707
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceSouthern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictGalle Electoral District
Area
 • Total151.94 km2 (58.66 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total91,845
 • Density604/km2 (1,560/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-07C

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Karandeniya has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Karandeniya is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Karandeniya Galle Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 5.73% SLPP 17.09%
2015 UPFA UPFA 7.52% NDF 15.42%
2010 UPFA UPFA 7.26% UPFA 12.73%
2005 UPFA UPFA 4.79% UPFA 12.83%
1999 PA PA 1.11% PA 4.70%
1994 PA PA 2.89% PA 1.83%
1988 SLFP SLFP 3.11% UNP 9.71%
1982 UNP UNP 2.82% UNP 1.22%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 6/8 4.40% 8/8 9.44%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Karandeniya[4] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 42,664 70.29% 466,148 64.26% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 14,437 23.79% 217,401 29.97% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 2,199 3.62% 27,006 3.72% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,393 2.30% 14,803 2.04% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 60,693 99.32% 725,358 99.20% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 415 0.68% 5,878 0.80% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 61,108 82.60% 731,236 85.15% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 73,981 858,749 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Karandeniya[5] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 34,983 63.13% 377,126 55.64% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 19,752 35.65% 293,994 43.37% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 675 1.22% 6,691 0.99% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 55,410 99.03% 677,811 99.05% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 541 0.97% 6,516 0.95% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 55,951 77.10% 684,327 80.46% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 72,572 850,549 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Karandeniya[6] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 34,809 71.00% 386,971 63.69% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 13,420 27.37% 211,633 34.83% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 795 1.62% 9,017 1.48% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 49,024 99.38% 607,621 99.38% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 308 0.62% 3,765 0.62% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 49,332 73.60% 611,386 77.82% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 67,025 785,663 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Karandeniya[7] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 31,157 63.26% 347,233 58.41% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 17,438 35.40% 239,320 40.26% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 658 1.34% 7,915 1.33% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 49,253 99.03% 594,468 99.08% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 481 0.97% 5,540 0.92% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 49,734 77.57% 600,008 79.86% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 64,111 751,327 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Karandeniya[8] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 22,445 54.57% 281,154 54.91% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 14,882 36.18% 195,906 38.26% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 3,157 7.68% 27,257 5.32% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 649 1.58% 7,702 1.50% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 41,133 97.96% 512,019 98.14% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 857 2.04% 9,716 1.86% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 41,990 74.32% 521,735 77.43% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 56,502 673,785 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Karandeniya[9] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 22,470 64.15% 285,398 61.40% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 11,934 34.07% 173,282 37.28% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 625 1.78% 6,135 1.32% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 35,029 98.36% 464,815 98.49% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 583 1.64% 7,112 1.51% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 35,612 67.11% 471,927 73.01% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 53,066 646,373 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Karandeniya[10] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 5,703 56.45% 148,615 53.09% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 4,210 41.67% 124,912 44.62% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 189 1.87% 6,417 2.29% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 10,102 98.53% 279,944 98.43% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 151 1.47% 4,461 1.57% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 10,253 21.41% 284,405 49.34% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 47,887 576,390 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Karandeniya[11] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 17,060 51.57% 211,544 50.23% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 12,732 38.48% 180,925 42.96% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 3,026 9.15% 20,962 4.98% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 266 0.80% 7,707 1.83% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 33,084 98.90% 421,138 98.78% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 367 1.10% 5,198 1.22% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 33,451 80.89% 426,336 81.84% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 41,355 520,909 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Karandeniya has matched the final country result 4 out of 7 times. Hence, Karandeniya is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Karandeniya Galle Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UPFA 4.48% UNP 8.97%
2010 UPFA UPFA 4.32% UPFA 8.49%
2004 UPFA UPFA 7.82% UPFA 11.54%
2001 PA UNP 1.92% UNP 4.26%
2000 PA PA 1.12% PA 1.57%
1994 PA PA 0.26% PA 5.13%
1989 SLFP UNP 5.98% UNP 8.44%
Matches/Mean MAE 4/7 6/7 3.70% 7/7 6.91%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Karandeniya[14] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 27,367 54.77% 312,518 50.07% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 18,796 37.61% 265,180 42.49% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 2,588 5.18% 37,778 6.05% 544,154 4.88%
BJP 803 1.61% 3,041 0.49% 20,377 0.18%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 417 0.83% 5,618 0.90% 62,475 0.56%
Valid Votes 49,971 97.64% 624,135 97.63% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 1,203 2.35% 15,107 2.36% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 51,178 70.52% 639,318 78.00% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 72,572 819,666 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Karandeniya[15] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 27,274 71.15% 305,307 66.17% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 8,688 22.67% 120,101 26.03% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 2,022 5.28% 33,663 7.30% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 347 0.91% 2,317 0.50% 32,313 0.40%
Valid Votes 38,331 95.81% 461,388 95.05% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 1,677 4.19% 24,013 4.95% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 40,008 59.69% 485,401 61.67% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 67,025 787,139 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Karandeniya[16] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 29,807 65.42% 306,385 56.58% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 14,377 31.55% 209,399 38.67% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 1,187 2.61% 22,826 4.22% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 195 0.43% 2,901 0.54% 60,066 0.65%
Valid Votes 45,566 94.87% 541,511 94.69% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,464 5.13% 30,380 5.31% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 48,030 77.24% 571,891 79.81% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 62,180 716,609 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Karandeniya[17] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 18,925 42.14% 232,931 42.98% 3,330,815 37.19%
UNP 18,632 41.49% 238,989 44.10% 4,086,026 45.62%
JVP 6,718 14.96% 61,806 11.41% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 631 1.41% 8,188 1.51% 143,033 1.60%
Valid Votes 44,906 95.71% 541,914 95.66% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,012 4.29% 24,561 4.34% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 46,918 77.84% 566,475 81.09% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 60,273 698,558 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Karandeniya[18] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 21,035 48.21% 264,601 50.08% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 17,491 40.08% 212,055 40.14% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 4,334 9.93% 41,620 7.88% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 775 1.78% 10,072 1.91% 250,489 2.91%
Valid Votes 43,635 N/A 528,348 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Karandeniya[19] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 21,880 56.62% 277,956 56.39% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 15,830 40.96% 203,268 41.24% 3,498,370 44.04%
SLPF 805 2.08% 7,239 1.47% 90,078 1.13%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 130 0.34% 4,451 0.90% 69,351 0.87%
Valid Votes 38,645 95.14% 492,914 95.96% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 1,975 4.86% 20,763 4.04% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 40,620 76.55% 513,677 79.57% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 53,066 645,559 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Karandeniya[20] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 10,402 50.01% 152,096 41.67% 1,785,369 31.90%
UNP 9,516 45.75% 183,962 50.40% 2,838,005 50.71%
USA 410 1.97% 18,160 4.98% 141,983 2.54%
ELJP 271 1.30% 4,097 1.12% 67,723 1.21%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 200 0.96% 6,690 1.83% 292,496 5.23%
Valid Votes 20,799 92.13% 365,005 93.94% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,777 7.87% 23,536 6.06% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 22,576 47.60% 388,541 68.03% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 47,426 571,146 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Karandeniya Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (97.7%) . In comparison, the Galle Electoral District (which contains the Karandeniya Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (94.4%) [1]

Ethnicity in Karandeniya[1]

  Sinhalese (97.7%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (1.5%)
  Other (0.8%)

Religion

The Karandeniya Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (97.4%) . In comparison, the Galle Electoral District (which contains the Karandeniya Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (93.9%) [1]

Religion in Karandeniya[1]

  Buddhist (97.4%)
  Other (1.5%)
  Hindu (1.1%)
gollark: I hash all of my private information with Base64 then encrypt it with MD5 and gzip.
gollark: Have you tried using Urn`?`
gollark: Hmm, you are right.
gollark: It should be a nil check operator.
gollark: no.

References
  1. "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Karandeniya and the Galle Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Karandeniya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Karandeniya and the Galle Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Karandeniya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.